Dynasty baseball values change quicker than most are willing to admit. We always play the long game, but also, if you are not playing for right now, you could miss out on potential breakouts that hold long-term value in dynasty leagues.
Each week we will dive in on some players seeing their dynasty stock move up and others seeing theirs fall. You came for the players, so let’s get to them!
Dynasty Baseball Stock Report
Here are the dynasty stock risers and fallers for Week 14.
Stock Up
Corey Seager (SS – TEX)
Seager is proving to be every bit worth the massive ten-year, $325 million contract the Rangers gave him before 2022. Seager hit a career-high 33 home runs in 2022 but suffered a .245 batting average mainly because of the shift. With the ban of the shift, many analysts screamed that Seager would be in for a major breakout in 2023, which has been the case.
Injuries have limited Seager to 205 plate appearances this season, but the results have been stellar. Seager is currently slashing .354/.415/.630 with 10 home runs. Seager is pacing for nearly 140 RBI over a 600-plate-appearance pace. Seager has a 56 percent hard-hit rate and a 19.3 percent barrel rate. If you look at his savant sliders, Seager ranks 99th percentile or better among all MLB hitters in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, barrel percentage, xwOBA, xBA, and xSLG.
Seager has moved into my top-20 overall for dynasty and showing to be one of the best hitters in baseball.
Yainer Diaz (C – HOU)
If you look at Yainer Diaz’s overall slash line of .273/.289/.512, you might not come away impressed. But since Diaz began getting regular playing time on May 31, he has been highly impressive. Diaz is hitting .328/.333/.687 with six home runs and doubles a piece when splitting time between catcher and designated hitter. That is over just a 69-plate-appearance sample.
Diaz is making elite contact on pitches in the zone at a rate of 92 percent. You may be concerned about the walk rate being so low, but honestly, I’m not due to how aggressive Diaz is early in counts and the amount of contact he does make. Diaz is likely being undervalued in your leagues, so you could grab him for cheap as I am buying the power and speed profile.
Stock Down
Jacob deGrom (SP – TEX)
It is no secret that Jacob deGrom is the best pitcher in the world when he is on the mound. For 1256 career innings, deGrom has a 2.53 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP for his career with a 31 percent strikeout rate. Since 2019 they have been even more impressive as deGrom has a 2.08 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP, and a 36 percent strikeout rate to a five percent walk rate.
The issue is he can’t stay healthy. deGrom has not thrown more than 100 innings since 2019 and is now out with Tommy John Surgery. He will miss the entire 2024 season and will be almost 37 years old the next time he takes the mound. Sadly, I think this tanks nearly all of deGrom’s dynasty value.
Tim Anderson (SS – CWS)
Tim Anderson has been one of the most consistent hitters in the game until 2023. He had not posted a batting average below .300 since 2018 and averaged .318 between 2019 and 2022. This year has not been Anderson’s year, as the 30-year-old is now hitting .241/.279/.282 across 229 plate appearances this year. Anderson has not hit a home run and has just 11 RBI.
Anderson is hitting the ball on the ground at a 65 percent rate and has just a three-percent barrel rate. Has there been some bad luck going against Anderson? Yes. But at the end of the day, he has to lift the ball more. His ground ball percentage is the worst among all hitters, and he has the fewest RBI of any hitter with 200 plate appearances. Things will improve, but Anderson’s stock has taken a significant hit.
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