Dynasty baseball values change quicker than most are willing to admit. We always play the long game, but also, if you are not playing for right now, you could miss out on potential breakouts that hold long-term value in dynasty leagues.
Each week we will dive in on some players seeing their dynasty stock move up and others seeing theirs fall. You came for the players, so let’s get to them!
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Dynasty Baseball Stock Report
Here are the dynasty stock risers and fallers for Week 12.
Stock Up
India is pushing toward the top of dynasty second base rankings. After winning Rookie of the Year in 2021, India fell off hard in 2022 due to injuries. After 2021, some wondered if India was in the top-tier of dynasty second baseman. He hit 21 home runs that year, stole 12, and slashed .269/.376/.459.
India is off to a strong start in 2023, which looks similar to his 2021 season. He has ten home runs and 12 stolen bases while slashing .272/.356/.442. India has the highest average exit velocity of his career by nearly 1.5 mph. He pairs that with elite plate discipline and strong contact.
India’s stock is soaring, but he plays even better in OBP leagues. I moved India inside the top 50 of my dynasty rankings.
I recently got asked if I preferred Nolan Arenado or Josh Jung in dynasty. I had to think about that a bit, but I prefer Jung. He is off to a scorching hot start, with 14 home runs and a .278/.334/.496 slash.
Jung’s barrel rate of 12.2 percent and his hard-hit rate of 48.7 percent are both 80th percentile or higher among all MLB hitters. He is not an elite contact hitter, but Jung does make enough contact to run respectable batting averages. I would argue Josh Jung has improved his stock as much as anyone this season.
Stock Down
Is Alcantara broken? It really feels like it right now. We have waited all season for the 2022 NL CY Young winner to turn things around, but here we are, 88.2 innings into the season, and Alcantara has a 4.97 ERA and a 4.41 SIERA.
Between 2021 and 2022, Alcantara threw 434.1 innings with a combined 2.71 ERA and 408 strikeouts. This year, Alcantara’s strikeout rate has dropped by over four percentage points, and his walk rate is up over 1.5 percent.
The interesting thing is Alcantara’s slider and changeup are getting more whiffs than ever. He may be struggling due to poor defense in Miami, but there is more to the story. Alcantara is allowing more balls in play and is missing his spots more often. Is it fixable? Yes. But is his stock down a ton? Absolutely.
As I mentioned in the intro, dynasty values change pretty fast. Right or wrong, perceived value is a real thing, and Volpe’s perceived value is down. Volpe has been steadily worse throughout the year and is currently sitting on a .189/.264/.350 slash line with a 30 percent strikeout rate.
The power and speed are excellent, as Volpe has nine home runs and 15 stolen bases. That is valuable in itself, but the way things are trending, Volpe seems to be heading for a demotion which would tank his stock even more. The future is still bright for the 2022-year-old, but his stock has taken a hit.
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