The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Zach Charbonnet.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Zach Charbonnet
Stats:
- 2022 (minimum 100 carries, 20 targets)
- Yards after contact per attempt: 14th
- Breakaway rate: 34th
- PFF elusive rating: 22nd
- PFF receiving grade: 13th
- Yards per route run: 31st
- 2021 (minimum 100 carries, 20 targets)
- Yards after contact per attempt: 52nd
- Breakaway rate: 72nd
- PFF elusive rating: 19th
- PFF receiving grade: 77th
- Yards per route run: 97th
- Career
- 70th percentile college dominator
- 93rd percentile college target share
Scouting report:
- Zach Charbonnet is a dancing rhino covered in butter. Charbonnet is a tough runner with nimble feet for his size and a mean stiff arm. He can string together jump cuts to daylight more regularly than a person his size should be able to. Arm tackles don’t bring down Charbonnet. He slips through them with ease.
- Charbonnet has a strong leg drive and consistently finishes runs well. While his lateral agility will surprise, he’s still at his best when he gets downhill in a hurry. Charbonnet is a decisive runner who operated in a gap-heavier scheme over the last two seasons (53.5% of his runs came on gap designs).
- Charbonnet is a serviceable pass catcher. He displays soft hands, but his athletic ceiling will limit how creatively a team will deploy him through the air at the next level. He can be a trusted check-down option for his next quarterback.
- His calling card will be his ability to handle volume and break off chunk plays. His home run hitting ability will not. Charbonnet is a buildup speed back who utilizes his fancy footwork to cover up for an average burst. He’s an upright runner who can also be slowed down when hit in the backfield or contacted before he’s built up momentum.
Player Comp: A.J. Dillon’s little brother
Dynasty Outlook: Seattle crushed my heart. You heard my audible sorrow if you listened to our live reaction podcast on Round 2. That pain was and remains real. Charbonnet got the draft capital we wanted from a dynasty perspective, but Seattle just dolled out similar capital for Ken Walker last year. Charbonnet is now locked into a timeshare for the foreseeable future with Walker. Unless Seattle plans to transition to a top 5-10 neutral rushing rate team, this will cap the volume for Walker and Charbonnet yearly, assuming both stay healthy. I can’t drop Charbonnet below the ranking of RB3 in this class because of the combination of talent, draft capital invested in him, and the fact that nearly every running back in this class was sent to a butthole-clenching landing spot. Charbonnet is a late first-round/early second-round rookie draft pick.
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