The midweek MLB DFS slate is small, featuring only six games at DraftKings and seven at FanDuel. It begins at 6:40 pm ET on FD and 7:07 pm ET on DK. The picks in today’s primer are narrowed to three pitchers, two stacks, core studs and values/punts.
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Wednesday's Starting Pitcher Strategy
The top-ranked pitcher is living up to his prospect billing. However, he carries some risk, like all the pitchers on this slate. The matchup is a mixed bag for him. The matchup is less concerning for the second pitcher on the table, but his home ballpark is treacherous for pitchers. Nevertheless, he's the best SP2 in cash games at DK and a decent choice in GPPs at FD. Finally, the third listed pitcher is a dart throw based on his recent performance in the minors.
Cash Game Recommendations:
Hunter Brown (HOU) vs. MIN
Brown is cooking with gasoline this year after getting a cup of coffee in the majors last year. According to FanGraphs, in 10 starts spanning 57.2 innings this season, he has a 3.12 ERA, 3.80 xERA, 3.09 xFIP, 1.20 WHIP, 7.7 BB%, 28.1 K% and 29.5 CSW%.
The 24-year-old righty's pitch modeling is excellent, too. Among qualified pitchers, Brown is tied for 20th in Stuff+ (105). He also boasts a 102 Location+ and 104 Pitching+.
The young righty's matchup isn't perfect. For example, the Twins are tied for eighth in wRC+ (106) against righties this year. However, Minnesota has also struck out in 26.2% of their plate appearances against right-handed pitchers in 2023. Furthermore, the Twins have face-planted on the road this season, tying for 22nd in wRC+ (88) and punching out at a 26.6% clip.
The betting info indicates the oddsmakers and bettors expect Minnesota's offense to struggle. Per Betting Pros, the Astros are -170, and the game's total is 8.0 runs. So, there's a ton to love about Brown, making him the top pitcher tonight.
Wednesday's Hitter Strategy
The Blue Jays and Red Sox should light up the scoreboard tonight. As a result, they're the best sources of hitters on tonight's MLB DFS main slate. Gamers also shouldn't sleep on players near the bottom of the order when stacking Toronto and Boston.
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