Here at FantasyPros, we collate many of the industry’s top player rankings into the Expert Consensus Rankings to give you the best idea of how the entire industry sees each player. Using the ECR we can filter to compare against ADP letting us see who the ECR is higher or lower than the market on. With Best Ball a game that year in and year out rewards the rosters that scoop value through drafts, this is an excellent exercise at this time of year.
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Best Ball ADP Review
Here are players the experts like more than Best Ball ADP.
Players the Experts Like More Than ADP
The Giants have worked hard to build up their receiving options around Daniel Jones now that they have committed to him for the next few years at the very least. Most of the players the Giants have brought in are in a similar vein, smaller slot receivers who may struggle to win on the outside, where Darius Slayton spends most of his time. The ECR has Slayton valued almost five full rounds ahead of best ball ADP, with our rankers believing in the big play ability Slayton can bring to the table, which is perfect for best ball.
Darrell Henderson (RB – FA) +47
There has been plenty of talk about Leonard Fournette or Ezekiel Elliott crushing the hopes of your favorite running back by signing with their team, but Darrell Henderson arguably is more of a threat than either of them. Of these three only Henderson boasted a positive EPA figure in 2022 and at age 25 is two years younger than Elliott and three younger than Fournette. Both Fournette and Elliott tend to get drafted but Henderson is often undrafted. If you’re drafting early, acquiring Henderson now with some of your last picks in drafts could look very smart in a month or two.
Largely undrafted at the moment, Kyle Trask doesn’t have the faith of early best ball drafters, but the ECR is siding with the idea that Trask could start meaningful games this year. The battle between Trask and Baker Mayfield looks set to be a true camp battle and while Trask has done little to show us he is an NFL-caliber quarterback so far in his career, he has more familiarity with the Bucs offensive players than Mayfield does. It shouldn’t surprise anyone if Trask starts five or more games this year.
Isaiah McKenzie (WR – IND) +39
The Colts moved on from Parris Campbell this offseason as they reshape their offense and one of the few offensive moves they made in free agency was to sign Isaiah McKenzie, who will likely compete for snaps with rookie Josh Downs. McKenzie has played in the NFL for six years and is with his third different team. While it’s true he may be a lesser talent than Downs, we shouldn’t automatically think McKenzie won’t play meaningful snaps this year. McKenzie has been a very boom-or-bust player, but that’s okay for best ball.
When the Lions moved on from T.J. Hockenson in 2022 it left a tight end-shaped hole in their offense that had previously featured Hockenson at times. The Lions drafted Sam Laporta as the TE2 of the class, giving him elite draft capital and a match made in heaven for Dan Campbell’s gritty style. Only 20% of tight ends drafted in the first three rounds score more than 6.0 half PPR points per game in their rookie seasons, but Laporta looks well placed to be in that 20% and as part of three tight end builds is a fine best-ball pick.
Another tight end that the ECR is ahead of ADP on is Dalton Kincaid, who is already being drafted as the second-highest rookie tight end in the last four years, behind only Kyle Pitts. Kincaid looks set to be used more as a slot receiver than a true tight end and if that comes to fruition then he’ll buck the trend of poor rookie seasons from tight ends.
There is a level of ambiguity with the Ravens’ pass catchers after Mark Andrews. Odell Beckham is the best-paid, while Zay Flowers has the most recent draft capital investment in him which is leaving drafters with plenty to chew over but Lamar Jackson has often turned to the players he has a history with. In 2022 we saw players like James Proche and Tylan Wallace struggle to get targets while Jackson peppered his favorite players. Bateman has the most experience with Jackson out of the trio of top receivers and he’s flashed enough at times that he could deliver in a great way in this new pass-happier offense in 2023.
The Vikings moved on from Adam Thielen, replacing him with arguably the WR1 of this rookie class, Jordan Addison. The Vikings will be able to use Addison on the inside and outside, allowing the Vikings to give defenses matchup nightmares. Addison could easily have 100 or more targets in his rookie season.
In 2022 JK Dobbins’ lingering knee issues hurt both himself and the fantasy managers who drafted him. Now, a year further removed from the knee injury, Dobbins’ ADP is still suppressed somewhat but the reasons are unclear. Baltimore should look to give Lamar Jackson less designed runs in this offense and Todd Monken has a love for the screen game that could see Dobbins see more designed targets. John Harbaugh often commented that he wasn’t sure why Greg Roman gave Gus Edwards touches ahead of Dobbins last year, and if we see an increase to 20 touches a game, Dobbins could be THE league winner of 2023.
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