MLB PrizePicks Player Prediction for Lucas Giolito: Thursday (5/25)

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Lucas Giolito Over 5.5 Strikeouts

The Tigers strikeout rate over the last two weeks is lower than usual, but that’s more of a result of the righties they’ve faced. We just saw Zack Greinke, who hardly ever strikes out anyone, manage to find five punch outs against them yesterday in five innings though. The day before, some guy named Mike Mayers struck out eight Detroit batters. So, I think it’s safe to say you can ignore them being 29th in K% over the last 14 days. Over the duration of the season, they have the 10th highest K% (23.5%) and 3rd worst wRC+ (83) against right-handed pitching.

Lucas Giolito has dominated this roster for a while now. Detroit has a collective 182 PAs vs. him and an unimpressive 28% K% to go along with it. Last year he cleared this in four of five starts against them. Gio has cleared this in seven of his 10 starts this year, thanks largely in part to that changeup of his that has the 6th highest SwStr% out of all changeups. The Tigers are 25th in wCH rating (-3.6) and 29th in wFB (-25.3). Look for Lucas to play both pitches off each other as he usually does en route to at least 6 Ks today.

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At BettingPros, we’ve compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from the sportsbooks to give you the best prop bet picks.

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