The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Michael Wilson.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson (Stanford)
Stats:
- 2022 (512 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)**
- Yards per route run: 69th
- PFF receiving grade: 123rd
**Only 40 targets in 2022**
- Career
- 62nd percentile college dominator
- 57th percentile college target share
- 76th percentile breakout age
Scouting report:
- Wilson looks like a possession receiver who will see more targets against zone in the NFL. Wilson uncovers well with smooth hips. His issues come when he’s asked to gear down on curls and comebacks. His feet fail him, reflected in his 38th percentile 20-yard shuttle. When he’s tasked with running these routes, any separation he’s gained early in the route is eradicated at the top of his stem. An NFL team should look to deploy him on slants, outs, and digs in close quarters and posts or corners deep where he can utilize his size and plus hips.
- Wilson struggles against man and press coverage. He lets corners into his body too easily. Once they get their hands on him, it’s over. He gets tied up easily at the line with more physical defensive backs. I’d say it’s fair to question his upper body strength considering the issues he displays on film, but with a 96th-percentile bench press; I don’t think raw strength is the problem. He needs to work on his hand-fighting technique, so he can shake free.
- Wilson’s strong hands served him well at Stanford, with a 62% contested target catch rate. He’ll need them if he settles into a possession role over the middle in an NFL offense.
- He’s a tenacious, high-energy run blocker. He seeks out contact and has no problems setting the edge. Wilson will earn brownie points immediately for his dirty work in the run game.
Player Comp: Mohamed Sanu
Dynasty Outlook: Wilson was drafted in the third round heading to Arizona to compete for targets as the WR4/5 on the depth chart. Unless DeAndre Hopkins is traded, Wilson will struggle to see the field in his rookie season. Wilson falls into the fourth-round dart throw bucket in rookie drafts. He’s worth getting some exposure to across your dynasty leagues, but he’s definitely not a priority pick in the later rounds.
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