The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Luke Musgrave.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Luke Musgrave
Stats:
- 2022 (146 FBS TEs, minimum 20 targets)**
- Yards per route run: 2nd
- PFF receiving grade: 23rd
- 2021 (133 FBS TEs, minimum 20 targets)
- Yards per route run: 66th
- PFF receiving grade: 61st
- 2020 (146 FBS TEs, minimum 20 targets)
- Yards per route run: 57th
- PFF receiving grade: 63rd
**Only 15 targets**
- Career
- Only 38.9% of his contested collegiate targets secured
- 58.1% inline rate in college
Scouting report:
- Luke Musgrave’s intriguing raw athleticism needs to translate to the field more. People will fawn over his testing metrics, but the sad thing is he is only a gym shorts hype machine. Musgrave managed only two missed tackles forced and 3.8 yards after the catch per reception in his collegiate career. These numbers are dreadful. Musgrave is a catch-and-fall down tight end.
- Musgrave can get knocked off his routes by physical linebackers easily. His lack of play strength also shows up at the catch point and in the blocking department. Musgrave secured only 38.9% of his contested targets in college. He is a matador in blocking. At this point, he lacks the tenacity required to become even an average blocker. He looks like a player just going through the motions when blocking as he engages passively with oncoming defenders. He rarely anchors well and never drives a defender back.
- Musgrave does flash an impressive burst off the line with the speed to stretch the seam. His route running is raw at this juncture, but he does have fluid hips that allow him to turn on a dime. His catch radius is solid, especially when asked to adjust to shoestring targets.
Player Comp: Zach Miller
Dynasty Outlook: We’ve seen Green Bay utilize a hyper-athletic tight end to some fantasy success (Robert Tonyan) in the past. I’m notably lower on Musgrave than consensus. His theoretical upside is tied to his impressive athletic profile. If you take that away, he has little on-field production to back up the hope and hype. If you’re looking for a mid or late-round tight-end dart for your dynasty squad, I get tossing it in his direction. Musgrave is my TE7 for this class (Tier 5). If you’re following my ranks closely for your rookie drafts, you’re unlikely to draft Musgrave much, and I’m ok with that. I’d rather dynasty GMs attempt to move around in drafts to snag his teammate Tucker Kraft over Musgrave.
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