The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Jonathan Mingo.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Jonathan Mingo
Stats:
- 2022 (286 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)
- Yards per route run: 94th
- PFF receiving grade: 44th
- Career
- Mingo ran from the slot on 35.1% of his snaps in 2022. From 2019-2021, he played 83.3-87.9% from the perimeter.
Scouting report:
- Mingo is an inconsistent separator. Mingo can gain enough separation to haul in contested catches, but you won’t see Mingo sending anyone to the shadow realm on a route.
- His upper body strength shows up in blocking, fighting through press, and after the catch. Mingo can make some things happen after the catch with his dense lower half.
- Mingo was utilized on screens for 18.4% of his target volume in 2022. He ranked 11th in YAC per reception (minimum 15 screen targets) on screens last season.
Player Comp: Laquon Treadwell
Dynasty Outlook: Call me a Mingo hater. It’s ok. I’m fine with this title. Mingo was overdrafted to the Panthers in the second round of the NFL Draft. None of Mingo’s profile outside of his testing says he has a high ceiling in the NFL. It does, however, forecast a frightening floor. Mingo didn’t crack the top 40 in PFF receiving grade or Yards per route run in his final season. He was only a 40th percentile prospect in college dominator with a 53rd percentile breakout age (20.4). Carolina looks like an easy depth chart to ascend to the top of the heap, but that’s also assuming that you have the talent to draw targets at a high rate which is one of my questions about Mingo. He didn’t sniff above a 20% target share until his final season at Ole Miss. Mingo will get drafted in most rookie drafts in the second round around the other wide receiver prospects that were selected in the second round of the NFL Draft. If you want him, you’ll have to pull the trigger there. If you’re following my ranks, Mingo isn’t on the board until the third round, which means you likely miss out on Mingo. Considering all the factors I discussed previously, I’m fine with being underweight on Mingo in dynasty.
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