The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Hendon Hooker.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Hendon Hooker
Stats:
- 2022 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
- PFF passing grade: 16th
- Adjusted completion rate: 25th
- Yards per attempt: 1st
- Big-time throw rate: 57th
- Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
- Adjusted completion rate: 31st
- Deep throw rate: 23rd (20.2%)
- Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
- Adjusted completion rate: 77th
- Pressured rate: 13th lowest (23.6% of dropbacks)
Scouting report:
- Hooker has the prerequisite arm strength to make all the NFL throws, but he doesn’t have a cannon by any means. His short-area accuracy can be sporadic, with him airmailing touch passes within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage.
- He is a “see it and throw it” quarterback. Hooker is not an anticipatory thrower. He does tend to stare down his first read, which results in corners jumping routes in the NFL. Hooker wasn’t asked to go through full-field reads, with many plays having a predetermined option and, at the most, Hooker having to get to his second option. The Vols also gave him a ton of stacked formations where his 1-to-2 progression was easy.
- Hooker displayed rushing upside in college. He is adept at letting his blocks set up in front of him with adequate vision. He is not an explosive or dynamic rusher in the open field, so I wonder how much rushing production will translate to the NFL.
Player Comp: Dak Prescott
Dynasty Outlook: Hendon Hooker’s fall to the third round, while adding the knee and age concerns on top, tanks his dynasty value. He needed at least second-round capital for me to look past some of these frightening concerns about his profile. With the hit rate being shaky at best for quarterbacks taken in the third round of the NFL Draft, Hooker is a fourth-round Superflex dynasty rookie draft pick and likely a fade in most drafts. Jared Goff has two years left on his deal with Detroit. If the team improves this year, then Goff almost assuredly keeps his job for the final year of his deal in 2024, which means the geriatric Hooker remains buried on the bench for half of his rookie deal.
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