Fantasy Football Draft Advice & Outlook: Bijan Robinson (2023)

As the 2023 NFL season approaches, understanding fantasy football player profiles is critical for a winning draft strategy. We’ll have you covered with thorough analysis of each key player, offering insights that will help you make informed decisions for your league as you prepare for your fantasy football drafts. Stay ahead of the game with our comprehensive coverage.

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Fantasy Football Draft Advice: Bijan Robinson

Here’s our 2023 fantasy football outlook for Bijan Robinson.

Texas running back Bijan Robinson was the consensus No. 1 RB across all pre-Draft publications and was selected eighth overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Atlanta Falcons.

Robinson finished the 2022 college football season as PFF’s second highest-graded rusher in the FBS, tallying 18 rushing TDs and 1,575 rushing yards en route to a 37% dominator rating in his final year as a Texas Longhorn. He forced 104 missed tackles (40% broken tackle rate), which has shown to be super predictive of success rushing at the NFL level. Compared to last year’s running back class, only Breece Hall posted a higher dominator rating (40%). Factor in that Robinson also finished third among RBs in yards per catch (16.5) with zero drops, and there’s no question why he’s the locked-in 1.01 for rookie drafts and top-three-ranked running back in season-long formats.

At 5-foot-11 and 215 pounds, Robinson has the requisite size and all the tools to be a successful three-down running back in Arthur Smith’s offense. Last season in Atlanta’s offense, Tyler Allgeier finished as PFF’s highest-graded rookie running back and sixth in rushing EPA as a former fifth-round pick. Allgeier also averaged nearly 18 carries and 96 rushing yards per game from Week 13 onward.

If Robinson inherits that workload, he is easily projecting 300-plus carries and 1,500 rushing yards in an offense that ranked first in early-down run rate and +13% in run rate above expectation.