The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from Pat Fitzmaurice.
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Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
1.02 Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR – SEA)
Smith-Njigba won’t burn you in the open field with his raw speed, but that isn’t necessary for him to succeed. He’s a route tactician with the route-running chops of an NFL veteran. Smith-Njigba’s snap at the top of his stem is excellent, which allows him to create easy separation. Any team investing high draft capital in him knows what they are getting: a high-volume wide receiver that can work both inside and on the perimeter. Yes, Smith-Njigba was a slot receiver in college, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t have the intangibles to get loose on the boundary. He wins with excellent, quick footwork at the line and in space. He’s more quick than fast. Also, in saying that, it has to be mentioned that he is plenty quick to win in the NFL. While it’s not a huge part of his game (only 16.1% of his 2021 target volume), he can win on vertical routes. He flashes the ability to stack corners on verticals from the slot easily. Smith-Njigba was ninth in yards per route run on deep targets, tied for first In PFF deep receiving grade, and second in passer rating when targeted on routes 20-plus yards in 2021 (minimum 15 deep targets). Smith-Njigba could be an immediate target hog in the NFL. He will be an immediate asset to the run game. He’s a tenacious blocker who engages well with defenders and anchors them. He won’t blow defenders out of their cleats, but he has the functional strength to hold running lanes or clear a path.Dynasty Outlook: Jaxon Smith-Njigba got the draft capital that we wanted, but the landing spot has some dynasty GMs worried. How will he earn targets playing alongside D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett? Will Seattle abandon their love of heavy tight end sets (28th in the usage of three or more wide receiver sets last year)? Will Smith-Njigba be a full-time player? These concerns are all valid, but I’m not frightened at all. While Lockett remains a stellar wide receiver, he is almost 31 years old and can be cut next year with the team saving nearly ten million against the cap. Drafting wide receivers in dynasty is a bet on talent. Situations can change quickly. Smith-Njigba has talent that is worth investing heavily in. He could be the number two target in this passing offense as soon as this season, if not next year. He’s the 1.02 in 1QB leagues and a top-six selection in Superflex format rookie drafts.
– Derek Brown
2.02 Anthony Richardson (QB – IND)
Richardson looks like a quarterback with only one full season of starting experience under his belt. Many passing plays have a predetermined target immediately. Richardson rarely gets to his second option; when he does, it feels a tick behind. Sometimes, he hesitates with open wide receivers pumping the ball instead of firing as if he doesn’t trust his eyes. Richardson was utilized on a ton of bootlegs to the right. This was also a favorite escape path when pressured, as he would roll out right in many cases instead of stepping up in the pocket. Richardson looks comfortable throwing on the run, moving to his right. His ball placement is strong in these play designs. Richardson has a cannon for an arm, but he’s still refining it. His ball placement can be erratic. He’ll toss a ball behind a receiver running a slant and then hit a receiver in stride for a 50-yard bomb into double coverage. The flashes of upside are brilliant. You get a glimpse of the type of game-changing quarterback Richardson can be if it all coalesces. His strong arm still needs taming. He needs to gain touch on short and intermediate throws. He has only one gear on many of these plays: a full-bore fastball. Richardson isn’t an anticipatory thrower. He’s still in the see it throw it phase of his evolution. Richardson is a sick athlete capable of highlight-reel-worthy play every snap. He’s an explosive rusher with some nice lateral agility for his size. When he’s in a rhythm, he is a special player.Dynasty Outlook: If you’re an Anthony Richardson truther or just a fan of elite upside, you should be streaking in the streets after shotgunning a few cocktails with Richardson landing with Shane Steichen. Steichen’s track record with quarterbacks is proven and polished. Yes, he helped Jalen Hurts, but even before that, he assisted Justin Herbert in his rookie season and Philip Rivers before him. Richardson’s rushing upside is ridiculous. That alone gives him a top-12 floor in fantasy in his rookie season, assuming he starts in Week 1. Indy has Michael Pittman, Jonathan Taylor, Alec Pierce, and Josh Downs to help make Richardson’s life easier when he drops back to pass. Look for Steichen to dial up the deep heaves as well. Over the last two seasons, Jalen Hurts finished 14th and fourth in deep ball passing rate (minimum 20 deep attempts per PFF). Last year among 148 quarterbacks with at least 20 deep attempts (per PFF), Richardson ranked 20th in PFF deep passing grade and 30th in deep passer rating. The Colts will be an explosive play factory this year. In Superflex dynasty rookie drafts, you can make an argument for Richardson over Bijan Robinson, with Richardson’s floor being 1.03. In 1QB dynasty formats, he is the QB1 of this class because of his rushing production.
– Derek Brown
3.02 Marvin Mims Jr. (WR – DEN)
Marvin Mims is a smooth run after the catch field chewer. His long, striding open field speed sneaks up on corners. He transitions from receiver to runner well. His fluid hips serve him well with subtle direction changes on posts and working underneath with stop routes and quick outs. Mims was tasked with a limited route tree at Oklahoma, with stops, screens, crossers, and posts making up most of his repertoire. Miims should be utilized as a slot option in the NFL from the outset. His best reps come inside against off-coverage, where he can win with his speed and after the catch ability. He looks clunky when saddled with go routes and double moves on the outside. Corners that can run with him have no problem staying in his back pocket. He routinely leaves corners unstacked on the perimeter, which leads to problems at the catch point. Mims can beat man or press coverage with speed if the opposing corner isn’t up to the foot race. Mims isn’t a 50/50 ball dominator, but his strong vertical jump (89th percentile) shows up when asked to high-point balls. He also flashes impressive body control on these throws and near the boundary.Dynasty Outlook: Sean Payton traded up in the second round to get his guy, Marvin Mims. Mims could be a part-time player this season, with Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick filling out three-wide sets. He may beat out Patrick in camp for the final starting spot. Patrick can be cut after this year, saving the Broncos nearly 11 million against the cap. The current coaching staff has no allegiances to Patrick, so Mims starting in Week 1 wouldn’t be a shock. Mims is a borderline first-round pick, but in many drafts, he’ll still be available in the early second round.
– Derek Brown
4.02 Evan Hull (RB – IND)
Evan Hull was a draft-day steal for the Colts on Day 3. The Northwestern product spent the past two seasons owning his team’s backfield as a mega-producer posting back-to-back seasons with a 35% dominator rating. The 5-foot-10 and 209-pound back hauled in 87 passes for 800 receiving yards as a full-blown three-down back while forcing over 100 missed tackles. With a decorated production profile and desirable athleticism – 78th percentile or better tester in the 40-yard dash, vertical jump, broad jump and 3-cone drill – Hull rising the ranks in Indy’s backfield should surprise nobody. He led all FBS running backs in receptions and receiving yards in 2022.
– Andrew Erickson
Scott’s burst and short-area quickness pop immediately on film. He’s immediate lightning with the ball in his hands. Scott has easy change of direction ability with little to no speed sacrificed in the process. He flashes a deep and varied release package at the line. He can win with speed or precision footwork. Scott varies his tempo with his releases and his route pacing. He can win from the outside (96.2% of his snaps in college as a perimeter receiver). Scott has fantastic ball tracking on deep routes. He saved his quarterback more than a few times by adjusting to underthrown balls. Scott plays bigger than his size. His catch radius is larger than his frame would suggest because of his strong hands and high-pointing skills.Dynasty Outlook: The selection of Scott in the fourth round by Ryan Poles was with an eye toward the future. Chicago has a fully stocked starting lineup of wide receivers, but Chase Claypool and Darnell Mooney are unrestricted free agents after this season. Scott won’t be a main contributor this season unless injury strikes, but he could move into the starting lineup in 2024. Scott is a final-round dart/taxi squad stash.
– Derek Brown
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