The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Cedric Tillman.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Cedric Tillman
Stats:
- 2022 (286 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)
- Yards per route run: 118th
- PFF receiving grade: 155th
- 2022 (286 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)
- Yards per route run: 55th
- PFF receiving grade: 57th
- Career
- 44th percentile college dominator
- 81st percentile collegiate target share
- 28th percentile breakout age
Scouting report:
- Cedric Tillman will never be described as a “burner,” but that doesn’t mean he’s slow. Tillman has build up speed with the ability to pull away from corners on deep patterns. Tillman also has no problems stacking opposing corners.
- Tillman runs a full complement of routes with nuanced jab steps and head fakes. His foot speed won’t wow you, but his quick first step allows him to get separation on slants and drive routes. Tillman has a well-developed understanding of how to use his size, especially on slants and above the rim. He flashes nice body control in the air on back-shoulder throws and errant passes.
- Tillman compensates for average foot speed with a strong upper body that allows him to beat press, but he needs to continue to work on his releases and footwork at the line. NFL corners will offer a stiffer test for him. He has good bend for his size. Tillman’s next quarterback must become accustomed to trusting Tillman to win at the catch point. While he can get early separation on routes, late separation is usually the name of the game for him.
Player Comp: Alshon Jeffery
Dynasty Outlook: Tillman could struggle to see the field in 2023. Even if the Browns deploy 11 personnel at a high rate, Tillman should be behind Amari Cooper, Donovan Peoples-Jones, and Elijah Moore on the depth chart. Tillman was drafted to be the eventual replacement for Peoples-Jones, an unrestricted free agent after this season. If you miss out on Tillman in your rookie drafts, it’s ok because we probably get a “trade for” window during the season if he’s the WR4 on the team. Tillman is a late-second-round/early third-round rookie draft pick. He makes more sense on teams rebuilding and shooting for next year to compete than a team looking for a quick contributor for 2023.
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