The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Bryce Young.
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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Bryce Young
Stats:
- 2022 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
- PFF passing grade: 1st
- Adjusted completion rate: 11th
- Yards per attempt: 12th
- Big-time throw rate: 33rd
- Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
- Adjusted completion rate: 19th
- Deep throw rate: 114th
- Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
- Adjusted completion rate: 8th
- Pressured rate: 8th
Scouting report:
- Bryce Young has the arm strength to make all the NFL-level throws, but he’ll never be confused as a quarterback with a rifle for an arm. When he fails to set his feet in the pocket and attempts to put zip on the ball, he can get erratic with low throws or sailing the ball. His accuracy on the run is surprisingly good and fluid though, as he throws with touch with enough juice. Young can lace some balls into tight windows and deep to the boundaries when he’s in rhythm and feeling it (Georgia, SEC Championship, 2021). He can also be erratic, especially past 25-30 yards downfield.
- Young’s pocket presence is solid, as he displays escapability and playmaking ability outside of structure. He can utilize multiple arm angles in the pocket and on the move to facilitate accurate passes. His rushing upside is real at the NFL level. He rarely takes big hits, protecting himself well by sliding. His open-field agility and burst are nice.
- Young has all the tools to succeed in the NFL, but some areas of his game still need to be polished. He is sometimes slow on the trigger, looking a second behind on some progressions and throws. Young will lock onto his first read and attempt some head-scratching passes into tight coverage when open receivers are running crossers over the middle of the field. This is more evident in his 2022 film, with a downgraded cast of characters surrounding him. It still popped up in 2021, but he played with more confidence in this season with Jameson Williams and John Metchie at his side. Young reminds me of watching Trevor Lawrence‘s final-season film in that regard. He does have plenty of instances on film going from his first read all the way down the ladder to his third option.
- Young plays with tempered aggression, but he’s still learning. He has no issues fitting the ball into a tight window in the short and intermediate regions or taking the check down when nothing is open. In 2022, he opted for check downs or to take off running more which can be a reflection of his surrounding cast, but it’s also a reflection of him. There are moments during that season where he bailed clean pockets or missed open wide receivers when he failed to come off of his first read. Young is still trying to find the perfect balance between aggression and taking what the defense gives him.
Player Comp: Russell Wilson (with less arm strength)
Dynasty Outlook: The Carolina Panthers held to their word and selected Bryce Young first overall in the NFL Draft. Young is in good hands under Frank Reich and Josh McCown, who should create a stable environment for the talented rookie to grow. Young will have a solid offensive line to sit behind and toss darts. Last year Carolina was the tenth-highest-graded offensive line per PFF, allowing the fourth-lowest pressure rate. Young has a decent set of pass catchers to throw to, with D.J. Chark, Adam Thielen, Jonathan Mingo, Terrace Marshall, and Hayden Hurst leading the way. Young should be helped by Reich’s love for incorporating screens in his passing game. In two of his last three seasons directing an NFL offense, his starting quarterback finished top-ten (fifth, ninth) in screen attempts (per PFF). Young’s fantasy ceiling remains in question, but his floor should be high as a strong QB2 in fantasy as soon as 2023. Young is a top-four pick in Superflex dynasty rookie drafts.
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