We have made it through another week of the season, and we have some early results to overreact to possibly., The early results give us a set of players to Buy High or Sell Low based on their weekly performances. Based on their recent performances and a full-season outlook, I will break down some players to buy or sell in the coming weeks. Some are just hot streaks, and some are worth buying into, so we are here to help make the right decisions for your fantasy teams. Let’s look at a handful of players you should buy high or sell low after Week 4.
- Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
- Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
- Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Trade Value Chart
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Buy High
Max Muncy (2B,3B – LAD)
The season’s early games were not kind to Muncy, but that changed quickly, and by the end of Week 4, Muncy was leading all of baseball in home runs with 11. A large part of Muncy leading the league was the five home runs he hit last week. Five of his seven hits were home runs. Muncy had a huge week hitting .389 with a 33.3% walk rate while only striking out 14.8% of the time. Muncy had five barrels for the week for a 35.7% barrel rate, with a 57.1% hard-hit rate.
Muncy was locked in this past week and has quickly got his season back on track. He is now hitting .254 with those 11 home runs, 16 runs scored, and 21 RBI. Muncy walks 20% of the time with a less-than-ideal 30% strikeout rate. Muncy ended last season swinging a powerful bat, which has carried over to 2023. If he can stay healthy, Muncy should be on his way to yet another 30+ home run season with solid counting stats.
Jonah Heim (C – TEX)
After a lovely season in 2022, Heim has kept the good times rolling at the plate. This past week Heim hit safely in all five games he played for a .375 batting average. In addition, he hit two home runs while driving in eight with a .438 ISO. When Heim made contact, he made quality contact with a 20% barrel rate and a 60% hard-hit rate. The ROTO stats were great, but what was more impressive, was Heim walking 19% of the time with a 4.8% strikeout rate. Heim has been an excellent C2 and is starting to show some C1 upside.
Nico Hoerner (2B,SS – CHC)
Hoerner is having a tremendous breakout season as he is flourishing as the leadoff hitter for the Cubs. Hoerner collected 13 hits over seven games this past week, suitable for a .394 batting average. Hoerner even flexed his muscle with two home runs and a .242 ISO. He scored seven runs while driving in eight and stealing a base. Hoerner’s plate discipline was outstanding, with a 2.9% strikeout rate. He is not hitting .355 on the season, with two home runs and nine stolen bases while scoring 20 runs. Hoerner is ready to break out this season fully, so buy high while you can.
Zac Gallen (SP – ARI)
After a couple of rough starts to begin the season, Gallen has bounced back in a big way. This past week, Gallen threw seven shutout innings with 11 strikeouts versus the Padres. He has thrown 20.2 shutout innings over his last three starts with 29 strikeouts. Gallen is locked in and looks like the ace he was in 2022. He may have a hiccup occasionally, but overall, Gallen should eat up innings with solid ratios and a lot of strikeouts.
Logan Webb (SP – SF)
Webb has had mixed results throughout the season; this past week was no exception. He made two starts and threw 13.2 innings while allowing six runs, only walking one and striking out 14. Webb had a 25% K:BB ratio with a 3.95 ERA and 2.65 xFIP. Webb is racking up all the ground balls while increasing his strikeout rate. He should also continue the low ratios and be a nice trade target while his ERA is not as ideal as some may like.
Sell Low
Wil Myers (1B, OF – CIN)
I was optimistic about Myers this season as he was joining the Reds. Unfortunately, that optimism has quickly disappeared, and last week was the final straw. He collected three singles on the week for a .050 batting average. Myers did not score a run, drive in a run, or even draw a walk, but he did strike out 50% of the time. Myers is now hitting .222 with two home runs and a 34.8% strikeout rate. I am out on Myers, and you should be too.
Gunnar Henderson (SS,3B – BAL)
While some prospects are figuring it out at the plate, Henderson is having some significant struggles. Some of those struggles may take some serious time to fix. This past week, Henderson hit .200 with three hits, a run, and an RBI. Henderson did walk 11.8% of the time, which is not bad, but he also struck out 29.4%. He only had a 64.5% contact rate with a 14.7% SwStr. Henderson is only hitting .183 on the season with a 34.2% strikeout rate. Henderson needs to fix his approach at the plate; otherwise, it will be an extremely long season for the rookie.
Miguel Vargas (1B,2B – LAD)
Vargas was one of the shiny new toys in the preseason, but he has yet to live up to the hype. This past week, Vargas hit .200 with five hits, three runs scored, and one RBI. He has walked 15 times this season but only walked 3.8% of the time while striking out 26.9% last week. Vargas wasn’t even squaring the ball up well, as he had zero barrels and an 11.1% hard-hit rate. He is now hitting .213 on the season with zero home runs and zero stolen bases. He is doing nothing to help your fantasy team, so the time is now to get rid of Vargas to someone that still believes.
David Peterson (SP – NYM)
Peterson has an ERA over 7.00 to start the season, and this past week’s two starts did not help. He threw 11 innings while allowing 13 runs with five home runs. Peterson only walked one while striking out 14, which is nice, but he couldn’t keep those runs off the board. In addition, he allowed a 20% barrel rate and a 48.6% hard-hit rate. Peterson will get a little more time in the Mets rotation, but his days could be numbered with these consistently poor starts.
Dustin May (SP – LAD)
May brings such a hype train in fantasy circles, but he has yet to live up to the hype. This past week he made two starts, throwing 11 innings and allowing seven runs while walking three and striking out 7. May only forced a 29% O-Swing and 6% SwStr which is not what is expected from someone with his stuff. He provides some fantastic gifs, but that is not a fantasy category. It is time to cut bait with May and upgrade your pitching with a trade to a team that still believes in May.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio