It’s that time, folks! It is officially NFL Draft season with the NFL Combine and pro days in the rearview. For fantasy managers, that means Dynasty rookie drafts are rapidly approaching. The NFL Draft will provide the last pieces to the puzzle in draft capital and landing spots, but let’s go ahead and do a two-round dynasty rookie mock to gauge the landscape before the NFL Draft.
2QB/Superflex Rookie Mock Draft
Height: 5’11”
Weight: 215
With the first overall pick, it has to be Texas RB Bijan Robinson. Yes, even in a Superflex league. The 215-pound back can do it all and is widely considered one of the best RB prospects ever. Identifying a single flaw in his game is difficult as he demonstrates every trait necessary at a high level, including pass-catching. His market value over the rest of the field is apparent in early 2023 startups, where he is regularly drafted as the top rookie and the overall RB1.
Having pick 1.01 during the rookie draft is the apex of leverage. Let’s dive into a bit of strategy on this pick. If you’re picking 1.01, you need to maximize the value of that asset, whether it is just taking Bijan or trading the pick. Most teams picking 1.01 are probably not a Bijan away from contending; there is a reason they are picking 1.01. The RB position is a contender’s luxury due to its short shelf life and high injury volatility. Even the players who rise to the top usually don’t have longevity, Todd Gurley and Le’Veon Bell being recent examples. These factors result in RB not being the ideal position to allocate asset value during a rebuild.
If you buy into that logic, look to flip Bijan for 1.02-1.04 plus additional assets. This will allow you to still draft a high-end asset at a position with more value longevity while adding additional value elsewhere. Speaking of high-end assets available at 1.02-1.04, the trio of quarterbacks is next up.
2022 Stats
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
258 |
1580 |
18 |
6.1 |
19 |
314 |
2 |
16.5 |
Height: 6’3″
Weight: 214
At pick 1.02 is the first of the quarterbacks, Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud. Stroud is an incredibly productive college player, throwing for a combined 85 touchdowns over the past two seasons. He is highly accurate and has the arm strength to make every NFL throw. He sees the field like a pro, regularly throwing his receivers open. His NFL-ready arm and prototypical size make him the safest bet of the QB crop.
2022 Stats
COMP% |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RATING |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
66.3 |
3688 |
41 |
6 |
177.7 |
47 |
108 |
0 |
Height: 5’10”
Weight: 204
At 1.03, Alabama’s Bryce Young comes off the board. Young can do everything Stroud can do, plus some, but size is a concern as he is one of the most undersized QB prospects ever, considering both height and weight. Young is a magician in the pocket; when a play breaks down and requires improvisation, Young is among the best you’ll ever see. If size weren’t a concern, he would be the top option at the position.
2022 Stats
COMP% |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RATING |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
64.5 |
3328 |
32 |
5 |
163.2 |
49 |
185 |
4 |
Height: 6’4″
Weight: 244
With pick 1.04 comes the player with the highest ceiling of any player in the entire draft, Florida’s Anthony Richardson. Richardson is the most athletic QB prospect ever, literally. His 4.43 40-yard dash at 244 pounds at the NFL Combine wowed the masses, and he even shined in the throwing portion, showcasing his massive arm. Unlike Stroud and Young, Richardson isn’t accomplished or experienced as a college player starting only 13 games in college. His film isn’t impressive either, and there is a ton of development that still needs to happen for Richardson to be a successful NFL QB. What has dynasty managers drooling over Richardson, though, is the generational traits, not to mention the rushing he provides is fantasy football gold. With Josh Allen‘s recent NFL success after being an unaccomplished, trait-driven first-round selection, the faster SEC version in Richardson will hold some serious Dynasty value for the foreseeable future.
2022 Stats
COMP% |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RATING |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
53.8 |
2549 |
17 |
9 |
131 |
103 |
654 |
9 |
Height: 6’0″
Weight: 196
At 1.05, the top WR in the class comes off the board in Ohio State’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He missed almost the entirety of the 2022 season but dominated college football in 2021 with a 95-1606-9 receiving line. Those numbers were the best of any WR for the Buckeyes, including NFL stars Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave. Smith-Njigba outplaying older stud players while sharing the field with them is more than impressive. He can do it all at the WR position and should be an immediate fantasy impact as a rookie.
2022 Stats
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
5 |
43 |
0 |
8.6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Height: 5’9″
Weight: 199
Next off the board is electric Alabama RB Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs will be knocked by some for being undersized, weighing in just under 200 pounds, but his athleticism makes him a home run threat every time he touches the ball. Gibbs has shown tremendous ability as a pass-catcher which should get fantasy managers excited to add him to their rosters. Gibbs is unlikely a three-down back in the NFL but has the potential to be an excellent fantasy asset due to his fantasy-centric skillset.
2022 Stats
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
151 |
926 |
7 |
6.1 |
44 |
444 |
3 |
10.1 |
Height: 6’4″
Weight: 229
At pick 1.07, Kentucky QB Will Levis is the selection. In Superflex leagues, quarterbacks are scarce assets with the highest value. Any quarterback selected in the first round of the NFL Draft will get an opportunity and hold Dynasty value for much longer than players at other positions. At this point, it seems certain that Levis is a first-rounder in the NFL Draft, possibly even a top-10 pick. If that is the case, this is where he should come off the board. He is as raw as they come as a prospect, his film leaves much to be desired, and his numbers are not impressive. What has NFL teams excited about Levis is his remarkable physique and rocket arm. He has the tools NFL teams and fantasy managers like to see, but he is a project requiring some patience.
2022 Stats
COMP% |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RATING |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
65.4 |
2406 |
19 |
10 |
151.9 |
72 |
-107 |
2 |
Height: 5’11”
Weight: 173
Next up, we have a pair of wide receivers. The one coming off the board just ahead of the other at 1.08 is USC’s, Jordan Addison. Addison transferred to USC for the 2022 season after dominating the ACC at Pittsburgh en route to the Biletnikoff Award for the Nation’s best WR in 2021. Addison is small but is an absolute WR technician and is athletic enough to create on his own. The refined Addison should slide right into a WR rotation for an NFL team and be productive immediately.
2022 Stats
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
59 |
875 |
8 |
14.8 |
4 |
33 |
0 |
Height: 6’3″
Weight: 208
The other WR considered at 1.08 now comes off the board at 1.09, TCU’s Quentin Johnston. Don’t let the TCU helmet fool you; this is not Josh Doctson or Jalen Reagor. Johnston is a big-bodied athlete that looks like a man amongst boys. Johnston isn’t as big or fast as DK Metcalf but is built in that same mold. The size/speed combination that Johnston provides is a rare combo, which will have fantasy managers elated to pursue that ceiling.
2022 Stats
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
60 |
1069 |
6 |
17.8 |
3 |
-7 |
0 |
Height: 6’0″
Weight: 214
At 1.10, we go back to the RB well to snag a potential three-down workhorse in UCLA’s Zach Charbonnet. Charbonnet is a good athlete who packs some punch with his 214-pound frame. He runs physically while demonstrating elusiveness using his vision and lateral agility, regularly making defenders miss in open space. Charbonnet also tacked on 37 receptions last year, making him an all-around backfield weapon. He’s not quite at Gibbs’ level in most things, but he’s more well-rounded, making him a more significant threat to have a backfield to himself at the NFL level.
2022 Stats
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
195 |
1359 |
14 |
7 |
37 |
321 |
0 |
8.7 |
Height: 6’3″
Weight: 217
This pick may raise some eyebrows for some, but few players are gaining first-round NFL Draft buzz with more steam than Tennessee signal caller Hendon Hooker. As aforementioned with Levis, any QB going in round 1 of the NFL Draft is a serious Superflex Dynasty asset. If Hooker sneaks into the first round, he will probably go even higher than 1.11. Hooker is an older prospect and hails from a very QB-friendly system at Tennessee, but his accuracy and intangibles are off the charts.
2022 Stats
COMP% |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RATING |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
69.6 |
3135 |
27 |
2 |
175.5 |
104 |
430 |
5 |
Height: 5’9″
Weight: 182
Capping off the first round is Boston College WR Zay Flowers. Flowers broke out early in his career as a sophomore and never looked back. His production suffered a bit from poor QB play in college, but he is as impressive as they come in the slot. He ran 4.42 at the combine and by all accounts, has positively transformed his body during the pre-draft process. Expect Flowers to be drafted in round 2 of the NFL draft with the potential to sneak into round 1.
2022 Stats
REC |
YDS |
TD |
AVG |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
78 |
1077 |
12 |
13.8 |
12 |
40 |
0 |
2nd Round
2.01 Josh Downs (WR)
2.02 Kendre Miller (RB)
2.03 Jalin Hyatt (WR)
2.04 Devon Achane (RB)
2.05 Cedric Tillman (WR)
2.06 Marvin Mims (WR)
2.07 Dalton Kincaid (TE)
2.08 Michael Mayer (TE)
2.09 Tyjae Spears (RB)
2.10 Tank Bigsby (RB)
2.11 Sean Tucker (RB)
2.12 Kayshon Boutte (WR)
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio