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NHL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: Friday (3/24)

NHL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Primer: Friday (3/24)

We’ve got a small, three-game sampler on tap for Friday’s NHL slate. Two of the three games are projected to be fairly tight, while the Arizona Coyotes are the only team with moneyline odds exceeding +170 odds, gaining a ton of value as +360 moneyline road underdogs against the Colorado Avalanche. The other two games should be a bit tighter, with the Columbus Blue Jackets and Buffalo Sabres both serving as home underdogs, as the Blue Jackets will host the New York Islanders (-200) and the Sabres will face the New Jersey Devils (-175) in front of their home fan bases on Friday night. The Islanders are currently sitting in the first Wild Card seed in the Eastern Conference, while the Sabres are in the midst of a four-game losing slump that has quickly diminished their playoff ambitions from a few weeks ago.

Lighter slates are a double-edged sword when it comes to DFS lineup construction. On the one hand, we’re getting some excellent blue-chip prospects at a bigger discounted value due to the lack of games, but this also creates fewer combinations to roll out in contests against other opponents, making it more difficult to win with a contrarian, high-risk, high-reward strategy. It shows up the most with goaltenders. Goalies often make or break a lineup based on whether or not their team can rally and manufacture a win. Even racking up 35 saves and allowing only two goals won’t be enough if other players don’t hit their ceiling in the lineup and the goaltender’s team loses, eliminating six bonus points on DraftKings and eight bonus points on FanDuel. Oddsmakers don’t have a lot of confidence in the projected netminders for Friday, as all three matchups have plus odds on the over for total goals, with the only exception occurring in the Sabres vs. Devils game, setting it at seven goals (+100) due the Sabres’ porous goaltending going up against the high-octane New Jersey offense.

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