Dynasty Rookie Draft Profile: Bijan Robinson (2023 Fantasy Football)

The NFL offseason is here (silently chuckles on the inside). Every dynasty GM knows there is no offseason. There’s the regular season, and then there is rookie fever season. If you’re like me and you’ve had a raging fever since February…the only prescription is my rookie primers. You can check them all out in our 2023 dynasty draft kit. Below I’ll take a closer look at Bijan Robinson.

Dynasty Rookie Draft Profile: Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson (Texas)

Stats:

2022 (minimum 100 carries, 20 targets)
- Yards after contact per attempt: 11th
- Breakaway rate: 60th
- PFF elusive rating: 6th
- PFF receiving grade: 19th
- Yards per route run: 21st

2021 (minimum 100 carries, 20 targets)
- Yards after contact per attempt: 18th
- Breakaway rate: 88th
- PFF elusive rating: 3rd
- PFF receiving grade: 86th
- Yards per route run: 43rd
Career
- College dominator: 86th percentile
- College target share: 77th percentile

Scouting report:

Bijan Robinson is a beautiful combination of speed and power. He can beat you in a variety of ways as a rusher. His pristine vision marries well with his efficient footwork and an extensive tool bag of moves. Robinson can jump cut or break out a spin move leaving a defender in the dust, or he can use his powerful lower half to drop the hammer.
Robinson breaks tackles like he’s playing against junior high defenders. He looks like he’s playing on a different level slicing through and mowing defenders down easily. Robinson is a scheme-versatile back. He has the strength to excel in a downhill gap scheme and the juice to plant and go on outside zone runs.
If Robinson wasn’t so talented, his 2022 could have looked quite different. The Texas offensive line was a trainwreck in 2022. They dropped from 13th and 43rd in stuff rate and power success rate (per Football Outsiders) to 45th and 90th. Robinson had to face skinny running lanes, multiple defenders in his face at the second level, and free rushers on many runs.
Robinson is a dependable three-down weapon. He is a wheel route demon with speed to separate from linebackers and a pair of soft mitts. Robinson showed growth in the passing game in 2022, ranking 19th in PFF receiving grade and 21st in Yards per route run (minimum 20 targets, per PFF).

Player Comp: Ezekiel Elliott with softer hands