With free agency still ongoing and the NFL Draft upcoming, there’s still a lot of change coming to the fantasy football landscape. The key to winning dynasty deals is to trade for someone when their value is relatively low and send them away when their value is near or at its apex. With the league’s roster situation still in flux, you have the added dynamic of making speculative moves based on what you think might happen, which adds another fun layer of complexity.
That said, it can be tough to decide who you’re targeting and selling considering the generally uncertain state of each team and player’s situation right now. Fortunately, our featured analysts have come to offer their suggestions on which trade candidates you’d be wise to buy or sell in dynasty.
- Dynasty Trade Value Chart
- NFL Draft Needs for Every Team
- Derek Brown’s Dynasty Rookie Draft Sleepers
- Dynasty Rookie Draft Pick Trade Strategy & Advice
- Latest Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
Players to Buy Low & Sell High: Dynasty Fantasy Football
Which player are you buying now in dynasty leagues and why? Also, what are you willing to give up to get him?
Diontae Johnson (WR – PIT)
“Despite finishing sixth among wide receivers in targets (147), Diontae Johnson had zero receiving touchdowns. That means 136 wide receivers had more touchdowns than Johnson, including N’Keal Harry and Kenny Golladay. However, the star receiver averaged 6.7 receiving touchdowns per season in his career before the 2022 season. Had he scored 6.7 touchdowns last year, Johnson would have been the WR19, averaging 10.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. With Kenny Pickett heading into his first year as the unquestioned starter, expect the star receiver to have massive positive touchdown regression. If you can swap Deebo Samuel for Johnson, I would do that in a heartbeat.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
David Montgomery (RB – DET)
“David Montgomery should be immediately viewed as Jamaal Williams-plus in this Lions’ offense. Williams was the RB18 in fantasy points per game last year. Montgomery could eclipse that mark in 2023. Despite a depressed fantasy showing last year (RB27), Montgomery was tip-top in terms of efficiency, ranking 26th in yards after contact per attempt and 12th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 100 carries per PFF). This was the second-highest yards-after-contact per attempt mark of his career. Montgomery will never be a breakaway runner, though, as he ranked 53rd in breakaway run rate last season. That’s not why Detroit signed him. He’s being brought in as the early down grinder that can be the short porch touchdown specialist while also contributing something in the passing game. Montgomery’s new contract cements him in Detroit’s plans as a solid RB2 with RB1 upside for the next two seasons. I’d give up a mid-2023 second-round rookie pick to secure him in a trade. He fits both win-now and rebuilding roster builds.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL)
“A year ago, some people would have sold their children to acquire Kyle Pitts. Now that the Pitts market is considerably squishier, I’m interested in throwing out offers for a 22-year-old athletic marvel who had the first 1,000-yard season by a rookie tight end in 20 years. The good news is that with the Atlanta QB situation no less bleak now than it was in 2022, and with Falcons head coach Arthur Smith running an offense from the Cretaceous Period, trading for Pitts is actually possible. The bad news is … well, that it might take some time for the Falcons to find competent quarterbacking and to modernize their offense. Still, if I were in rebuild/retool mode with my dynasty team, I’d happily give up an older star-caliber receiver — Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams — to lock down my TE position with Pitts for the next 10 years.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
Antonio Gibson (RB – WAS)
“Brian Robinson‘s status as the starter on early downs entering the season will surely make Antonio Gibson (a free agent at the end of 2023) an enticing buy-low running back target based on his pass-catching prowess and RB1 fantasy production his first two years in the league. Keep in mind that J.D. McKissic is coming off a neck injury and was released last week, slating Gibson to reprise the full-blown receiving role for Washington. Gibson’s 80.5 PFF receiving grade ranked third among all RBs in 2022. Gibson is the RB34 in the FantasyPros dynasty trade value chart. He is my RB16 in my dynasty rankings. If being too high on 25-year-old running backs with ideal size, a three-down skillset and proven production is wrong, I don’t want to be right. I’d happily gift a 2023 2nd-round rookie pick or A.J. Dillon straight up for AG.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
For more dynasty trade advice, check out our Dynasty Trade Value Chart
Which player are you selling now in dynasty leagues and why? Also, what kind of return are you looking for?
Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ)
“Wilson has a bright future ahead of him, but now is the time to put the second-year wide receiver on the trade block after he won the Offensive Rookie of the Year award last year. His current ADP on Underdog Fantasy is the WR9 despite ending the 2022 season as the WR19, averaging 10.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. The anticipated addition of Aaron Rodgers will only make Wilson’s trade value higher. Yet, the Jets recently added Rodgers’ best friend, Allen Lazard. Furthermore, how long will Wilson have Rodgers throwing to him before the star quarterback retires? If you can flip Wilson and a mid-round rookie pick for CeeDee Lamb or A.J. Brown, that’s a deal I would make.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Dalton Schultz (TE – HOU)
“Dalton Schultz should still be viewed as a full-time player with only Teagan Outoriano, Brevin Jordan, and Mason Schreck behind him on the tight-end depth chart. Schultz will check the playing time box this season that we covet with tight ends after finishing tenth in route per dropback rate last year, but his upside to crest the top 12 fantasy tight ends in 2023 and remain a top-15 dynasty tight end is in question. Last year he ranked 23rd in PFF receiving grade and 18th in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets per PFF) as the TE9 in fantasy points per game. Houston’s passing rate with a rookie quarterback incoming will likely be depressed to league average at best, which will hinder his target upside. Schultz has been a mediocre target earner for most of his career, finishing 16th or lower in target per route run rate in two of the last three seasons. The Texans don’t project to be a high-scoring offense, so we are left with a fantasy volume bet on a one-year deal. I’d trade Schultz away immediately with the hope of attaining a 2024 second-round rookie pick in the process.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
George Pickens (WR – PIT)
“Like everyone else, I was excited by the circus catches that George Pickens made as a rookie last season, but I want to take advantage of Pickens enthusiasm and sell before people start noticing some of the warts in his profile. The biggest of those warts is his inability to draw targets. Pickens had a 15.3% target share for the Steelers last season. He didn’t draw more than eight targets in any game, and from Week 6 on, he never drew more than six targets in a game. Pickens also rated poorly in average separation and average cushion, according to Next Gen Stats, and in yardage after the catch. This is probably a good time to sell Pickens, while enthusiasm is still high. I would take Rachaad White for Pickens, or I’d take D’Andre Swift from any investor panicked by the Lions’ signing of David Montgomery. I’d also trade Pickens for either the 1.08 or 1.09 pick in superflex rookie drafts.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
Kadarius Toney (WR – KC)
“I am looking to sell Kadarius Toney. The former first-round pick was deemed a “winner” after the team lost JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman in free agency, and failed to add any worthwhile names. It’s between Toney and second-year WR Skyy Moore to pick up the slack in the Chiefs receiving room, and Toney’s WR41 dynasty value ranking has him ahead of Moore (WR48). The former Giants’ per-snap numbers are salivating — 2.6 yards per route run (3rd), 27.4% target rate per route run (12th) — but it’s on such a small sample size of 85 routes run as a Chief. And that’s because Toney has shown zero ability to stay healthy two years into his career, making him a prime sell-high candidate off potential alone for players like George Pickens, Diontae Johnson or Elijah Moore.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
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