Continuing into Super Bowl 57 are my top player props from Underdog Fantasy’s Pick’em contest. Use this link to sign up!
From under-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season and the 2022 NFL season coming to a close. Let the game sweats keep coming!
Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.
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Best Super Bowl Underdog Fantasy Picks
Jerick McKinnon (RB – KC): UNDER 22.5 rushing yards
- Since Week 12, the Eagles defense ranks 12th in run defense DVOA, allowing the 7th-fewest rushing yards per game to RBs (77) at 4.5 yards per carry.
- Over the same span, no single RB has rushed for more than 65.5 rushing yards (not-named Christian McCaffrey).
- Jerick McKinnon has rushed for OVER 23 rushing yards just twice since Week 14 (seven games played).
- In his last five games played, he has yet to eclipse more than 25 rushing yards in any contest.
- Isiah Pacheco has out-carried him with 61 rushing attempts (12.2 carries per game) vs. 26 rushing attempts (5.2 carries per game).
- McKinnon has not rushed for more than 25 yards this season in any game in that he has seen fewer than eight carries.
- Pacheco has rushed for over 58 rushing yards in nine of his last 11 games since becoming a focal point of the Chiefs’ rushing attack in Week 10.
- Pair the McKinnon under with the OVER on Pacheco’s 49.5 rushing yards.
Kenneth Gainwell (RB – PHI): OVER 11.5 receiving yards
- The Chiefs have bled fantasy points to RBs in the passing game, allowing the most receptions to the position per game (six), third-most targets, and third-most receiving yards (46.9) this season.
- Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon combined for 6 receptions, 7 targets, and 19 receiving yards in the AFC Championship Game versus the Chiefs. Both RBs caught 3 passes.
- Since Week 15, Miles Sanders has run fewer routes (30% route participation) than Kenneth Gainwell and has been out-targeted 14-to-4.
- Last week Gainwell earned three targets while running a route on 41% of dropbacks compared to Sanders’ 30%.
- Bet the over on Gainwell’s receiving usage against a defense that ranks No. 28th in DVOA versus RBs in the passing game, as he is clearly the preferred pass-catching back in the Eagles’ offense.
- In Gainwell’s last five games, he has over 11.5 receiving yards in three contests (60% hit rate).
- For four straight games, Sanders has played 40% of the snaps after never playing fewer than 50% of the snaps from Weeks 1-16.
- Sanders has gone under 4.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games played, making his receiving prop (O/U at 4.5 receiving yards) under the perfect parlay to go alongside Gainwell’s over.
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