NFL Conference Championship PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions

Continuing through the NFL playoffs, I will provide my top player props from PrizePicks.com. Sign up now!

From under-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season concluded. Let the game sweats keep coming!

Prizepicks is also offering a freebie prop as well this week with Joe Burrow‘s passing yards prop set at just 0.5 passing yards. Never a better time now than to start playing! Use promo code: PR-REQ653D

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

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Best NFL Conference Championship PrizePicks Prop Bet Predictions

A.J. Brown (WR – PHI): OVER 69.5 receiving yards

The 49ers’ defense has allowed the most fantasy points and third-most receiving yards to WRs since Week 7 (186 per game).
Before the Divisional Round, Brown was Jalen Hurts‘ go-to WR the three games beforehand, compiling an absurd 35% target share and 55% air yards share.
In fact, before last week, AJB had surpassed at least 70 receiving yards in six straight games, including Hurts’ last four regular season starts.
Brown has almost been exclusively used downfield with six targets of 20-plus air yards and a team-high 14.2 aDOT over the last three weeks.
San Fran has been devastated versus the long ball all year ranking 24th in DVOA versus deep passes thrown up to 15 yards downfield.
And it’s been No.1s doing the majority of damage considering the 49ers have allowed the fourth-most targets (8.9) and fifth-most receiving yards to opposing No. 1s this season.
Strongly consider pairing Brown’s OVER with Hurts’ OVER 242.5 passing yards. The 49ers are allowing the third-most passing yards per game (265) since Week 7.

Isiah Pacheco (RB – KC): OVER 47.5 rushing yards

Pacheco has rushed for over 47.5 rushing yards in nine of his last ten games since becoming a focal point of the Chiefs’ rushing attack in Week 10.
Against the Bengals back in Week 13, Pacheco led the Chiefs with 14 carries for 66 yards and 1 rushing TD (62% opportunity share).
Jerick McKinnon had 8 carries for 51 yards. The two backs totaled 117 rushing yards on 22 carries (5.3 yards per carry).
KC was also uncharacteristically more run-heavy in their first matchup vs. CIN with a pass rate over expectation of -3%.
They ran on early downs more often (52%) and averaged a higher EPA rushing (0.158) than on dropback passes (-0.150).
With a more run-centric approach probable due to Patrick Mahomes‘ ankle injury, expect Pacheco to soar over the egregiously low rushing total.

Miles Sanders (RB – PHI): UNDER 6.5 receiving yards

Sanders has gone under 6.5 receiving yards in his last five games played.
He has totaled just three targets over that same time span, running a route on just 30% of dropbacks.
Sanders has also run fewer routes than Kenneth Gainwell (39% route participation) and has been out-targeted 11-to-3.
Bet the under on Sanders underwhelming receiving usage against a defense that ranks No. 1 in DVOA versus RBs in the passing game.
And parlay it with Gainwell’s OVER 6.5 receiving yards — a number he has hit in eight of his last nine games played. He is clearly the preferred pass-catching back in the Eagles’ offense.