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Fantasy Football Week 17 and 2022 Season Usage Report

Fantasy Football Week 17 and 2022 Season Usage Report

High-end fantasy football performances and weekly finishes are fueled by high numbers of routes run and high-value targets and touches. The majority of top scorers from Week 17 and during the 2022 fantasy regular season saw healthy doses of red-zone targets, air yards, deep targets and goal-line carries.

Targeting players who run a high percentage of routes is also a good approach for identifying breakout candidates, beatable player props, DFS targets and players to prioritize in the Week 18 fantasy football rankings and for way-too-early 2023 rankings.

This weekly report will look at recent rates of routes run per dropback along with players who commanded a high rate of high-value opportunities compared to larger samples to find sleeper running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who are garnering more or fewer opportunities in the passing game heading into Week 18 and for the 2023 season.

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WIDE RECEIVERS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player Routes % of routes run per dropback Targets Target Share Target Rate Per Route Run
D.J. Moore 491 98% 114 28% 23%
Diontae Johnson 588 97% 137 27% 23%
Davante Adams 575 96% 171 33% 30%
DeVonta Smith 561 96% 128 27% 23%
Justin Jefferson 670 96% 179 29% 27%
Brandon Aiyuk 507 96% 109 22% 21%
Christian Kirk 588 95% 125 23% 21%
CeeDee Lamb 531 95% 149 30% 28%
Adam Thielen 654 94% 104 18% 16%
Mack Hollins 558 93% 91 17% 16%
Michael Pittman 601 93% 136 27% 23%
Terry McLaurin 561 93% 114 23% 20%
A.J. Brown 540 92% 135 28% 25%
Donovan Peoples-Jones 533 92% 92 19% 17%
George Pickens 554 91% 78 16% 14%
Amari Cooper 525 91% 129 27% 25%
DK Metcalf 544 88% 133 25% 24%
Parris Campbell 568 88% 82 15% 14%
Gabe Davis 553 88% 83 18% 15%
Zay Jones 539 87% 115 21% 21%
Drake London 395 87% 109 29% 28%
Robert Woods 430 87% 86 21% 20%
Stefon Diggs 541 86% 144 27% 27%
Garrett Wilson 564 86% 130 24% 23%
Mike Evans 626 84% 127 20% 20%
Tyreek Hill 508 84% 165 31% 32%
Chase Claypool 401 84% 73 17% 18%
Tyler Boyd 522 82% 75 14% 14%
Curtis Samuel 494 82% 91 18% 18%
Jaylen Waddle 493 81% 112 21% 23%
Tyler Lockett 499 81% 110 22% 22%
K.J. Osborn 564 81% 84 13% 15%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 397 80% 49 12% 12%
Courtland Sutton 506 80% 102 22% 20%
Allen Lazard 461 80% 94 20% 20%
Josh Palmer 580 79% 101 17% 17%
Tee Higgins 494 78% 102 22% 21%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 532 77% 75 13% 14%
Chris Godwin 567 76% 135 22% 24%
Chris Olave 409 76% 107 25% 26%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 448 76% 137 28% 31%
Noah Brown 421 75% 68 15% 16%
Ja’Marr Chase 475 75% 121 29% 25%
Olamide Zaccheaus 338 74% 54 16% 16%
Marvin Jones 452 73% 75 14% 17%
JuJu Smith-Schuster 504 73% 99 18% 20%
Elijah Moore 470 72% 64 13% 14%
Ben Skowronek 411 70% 61 14% 15%
Alec Pierce 448 69% 74 15% 17%
Jakobi Meyers 386 69% 89 23% 23%
Michael Gallup 386 69% 68 17% 18%
Darius Slayton 402 69% 71 19% 18%
Devin Duvernay 353 68% 49 13% 14%
Chris Moore 400 67% 68 16% 17%
Deebo Samuel 352 66% 91 25% 26%
Jerry Jeudy 420 66% 94 21% 22%
Brandin Cooks 388 65% 87 22% 22%
Darnell Mooney 312 65% 61 27% 20%
Quez Watkins 378 65% 47 10% 12%
Marquise Brown 466 64% 103 24% 22%
DeAndre Carter 469 64% 60 10% 13%
Demarcus Robinson 326 63% 66 16% 20%
Allen Robinson 364 62% 52 16% 14%
Trent Sherfield 377 62% 51 10% 14%
Josh Reynolds 365 62% 57 15% 16%
Terrace Marshall 307 61% 44 14% 14%
Mike Williams 447 61% 88 19% 20%
Shi Smith 305 61% 40 11% 13%
Dante Pettis 284 59% 35 12% 12%
Richie James 344 59% 70 18% 20%
Jahan Dotson 354 58% 57 15% 16%
Cooper Kupp 338 58% 98 31% 29%
Equanimeous St. Brown 276 58% 38 15% 14%
Isaiah McKenzie 357 57% 62 12% 17%
Corey Davis 368 56% 61 14% 17%
Jauan Jennings 288 54% 54 12% 19%
Tyquan Thornton 303 54% 43 13% 14%
D.J. Chark 313 53% 48 13% 15%
Nelson Agholor 294 53% 52 13% 18%
Romeo Doubs 300 52% 65 16% 22%
Kalif Raymond 306 52% 58 13% 19%
David Bell 291 50% 33 8% 11%
DeAndre Hopkins 362 50% 96 30% 27%
DeVante Parker 280 50% 40 12% 14%
Marquise Goodwin 299 49% 42 10% 14%
Kendrick Bourne 271 48% 43 9% 16%
Phillip Dorsett 288 48% 40 9% 14%
Nico Collins 286 48% 66 19% 23%
Russell Gage 353 47% 64 13% 18%
A.J. Green 341 47% 42 9% 12%
Van Jefferson 268 46% 37 16% 14%
Kendall Hinton 286 45% 33 9% 12%
Greg Dortch 324 45% 60 14% 19%
Isaiah Hodgins 262 45% 48 17% 18%
Robby Anderson 323 45% 44 12% 14%
Treylon Burks 221 44% 47 16% 21%
Keenan Allen 317 43% 78 23% 25%
Hunter Renfrow 258 43% 43 15% 17%
Christian Watson 242 42% 60 16% 25%
Randall Cobb 236 41% 48 12% 20%
Justin Watson 277 40% 32 6% 12%
Keelan Cole 235 39% 19 7% 8%
Rondale Moore 281 39% 56 23% 20%
Jarvis Landry 207 38% 39 14% 19%
Marquez Callaway 187 35% 31 11% 17%
Damiere Byrd 154 34% 22 8% 14%
Sammy Watkins 175 34% 23 10% 13%
Julio Jones 245 33% 43 10% 18%
Tre’Quan Smith 175 32% 26 10% 15%
Ray-Ray McCloud 166 31% 25 6% 15%
Rashid Shaheed 163 30% 30 13% 18%
Mecole Hardman 200 29% 34 10% 17%
Cam Sims 174 29% 17 5% 10%
Byron Pringle 137 29% 15 11% 11%
Trenton Irwin 179 28% 21 7% 12%
Braxton Berrios 178 27% 32 7% 18%
Tutu Atwell 149 26% 32 12% 21%
Marcus Johnson 148 25% 16 14% 11%
Zach Pascal 147 25% 19 5% 13%
Denzel Mims 162 25% 25 10% 15%
K.J. Hamler 156 25% 14 7% 9%
Skyy Moore 167 24% 33 8% 20%
Scott Miller 173 23% 38 9% 22%
Rashod Bateman 120 23% 28 19% 23%
Steven Sims 139 23% 23 9% 17%
Cedrick Wilson 137 23% 18 6% 13%
Amari Rodgers 132 22% 21 9% 16%
Wan’Dale Robinson 129 22% 31 17% 24%
David Sills 126 22% 17 9% 13%
Tom Kennedy 125 21% 15 11% 12%
Khalil Shakir 132 21% 18 6% 14%
Brandon Powell 120 21% 29 8% 24%
James Proche 107 21% 14 8% 13%
Brandon Johnson 125 20% 14 11% 11%
Michael Bandy 144 20% 21 7% 15%
Michael Thomas 104 19% 22 20% 21%
Mike Thomas 116 18% 10 6% 9%
Kenny Golladay 106 18% 10 8% 9%
Laviska Shenault 90 18% 31 12% 34%
Ashton Dulin 111 17% 22 9% 20%
Sterling Shepard 99 17% 24 27% 24%
Breshad Perriman 115 15% 17 7% 15%
D’Wayne Eskridge 93 15% 13 6% 14%
KhaDarel Hodge 68 15% 20 9% 29%
Chris Conley 74 15% 7 7% 9%
DeSean Jackson 75 14% 17 10% 23%
Dyami Brown 85 14% 14 6% 16%
N’Keal Harry 67 14% 7 6% 10%
Kevin White 75 14% 5 4% 7%
Velus Jones 66 14% 12 9% 18%
Samori Toure 79 14% 10 8% 13%
Jamal Agnew 82 13% 29 7% 35%
River Cracraft 80 13% 13 5% 16%
Mike Woods 76 13% 9 6% 12%
Gunner Olszewski 76 12% 7 6% 9%
Trent Taylor 79 12% 10 6% 13%
Laquon Treadwell 72 12% 10 9% 14%
Mike Strachan 75 12% 9 5% 12%
Jeff Smith 75 11% 11 5% 15%
Bryan Edwards 52 11% 5 5% 10%
Jamison Crowder 71 11% 13 9% 18%
Kadarius Toney 77 11% 18 7% 23%
Anthony Schwartz 62 11% 10 5% 16%
Keith Kirkwood 57 11% 4 7% 7%
Cody Hollister 49 10% 5 8% 10%
Kyle Philips 48 10% 13 12% 27%
Tim Jones 59 10% 4 4% 7%
Andre Baccellia 69 10% 9 5% 13%
Andy Isabella 48 9% 5 6% 10%
Dennis Houston 48 9% 6 8% 13%
Jake Kumerow 53 8% 7 5% 13%
Freddie Swain 53 8% 3 5% 6%
Montrell Washington 52 8% 9 5% 17%
Lil’Jordan Humphrey 44 8% 4 5% 9%
Racey McMath 37 7% 8 8% 22%
Jalen Tolbert 40 7% 3 5% 8%
Jalen Virgil 43 7% 5 4% 12%
Jaelon Darden 39 7% 2 2% 5%
Tyrie Cleveland 40 6% 7 7% 18%
Jalen Reagor 43 6% 11 3% 26%
Dax Milne 35 6% 7 3% 20%
Tylan Wallace 30 6% 6 5% 20%
Jameson Williams 31 5% 8 5% 26%
Danny Gray 27 5% 7 6% 26%
Lance McCutcheon 28 5% 5 11% 18%
Jason Moore 35 5% 2 4% 6%
Austin Trammell 27 5% 4 7% 15%
Juwann Winfree 26 4% 4 4% 15%
KaVontae Turpin 25 4% 2 2% 8%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette 30 4% 4 6% 13%
Miles Boykin 26 4% 3 3% 12%
Simi Fehoko 23 4% 4 5% 17%
Quintez Cephus 21 4% 3 8% 14%
T.Y. Hilton 19 3% 6 8% 32%
Penny Hart 20 3% 4 3% 20%
Cole Beasley 20 3% 7 5% 35%
Braylon Sanders 19 3% 3 5% 16%
Tyron Johnson 18 3% 1 5% 6%
Deonte Harty 16 3% 2 3% 13%
Cade Johnson 16 3% 2 7% 13%
Jalen Guyton 19 3% 4 5% 21%
Dezmon Patmon 15 2% 6 21% 40%
Jalen Nailor 16 2% 8 6% 50%
Stanley Morgan 14 2% 1 3% 7%
C.J. Board 10 2% 1 4% 10%
Ty Montgomery 11 2% 4 13% 36%
Tanner Conner 11 2% 3 4% 27%
Mason Kinsey 9 2% 1 5% 11%
Josh Gordon 9 2% 1 4% 11%
Tanner Gentry 11 2% 1 3% 9%
James Washington 9 2% 1 3% 11%
Deven Thompkins 11 1% 1 2% 9%
Nsimba Webster 7 1% 3 14% 43%
D.J. Turner 8 1% 1 5% 13%
Jalen Camp 7 1% 1 5% 14%
Daylen Baldwin 5 1% 2 8% 40%
Maurice Alexander 5 1% 1 3% 20%
John Brown 5 1% 1 4% 20%
Pharoh Cooper 3 0% 0 NA 0%
Jacob Harris 2 0% 1 4% 50%
Keke Coutee 2 0% 1 4% 50%
Cody White 1 0% 1 4% 100%

Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN)

Interestingly enough, Ja’Marr Chase actually led the league in red-zone targets per game, commanding 22 in 11 games played (two per game). Should Chase push his former LSU teammate Justin Jefferson for fantasy WR1 status supremacy in 2023, red-zone usage would be his path to success.

HIGH-VALUE TARGETS:

RED-ZONE TARGETS, AIR YARDS AND DEEP TARGETS

Player Air Yards Share Air Yards Deep Targets Deep Catches Red-Zone Targets Red-Zone TDs WOPR (Weighted Opportunity)
D.J. Moore 54% 1417 27 14 10 4 0.80
Amari Cooper 43% 1542 23 9 16 6 0.72
Davante Adams 42% 2010 37 15 21 4 0.79
DeAndre Hopkins 42% 976 13 5 6 1 0.74
Sterling Shepard 41% 225 4 1 0 0 0.70
Justin Jefferson 41% 1815 26 16 26 6 0.72
A.J. Brown 39% 1598 26 12 15 4 0.70
Tyreek Hill 39% 2027 37 19 8 2 0.74
Ja’Marr Chase 39% 1071 14 3 22 5 0.71
Chris Olave 38% 1531 24 7 10 2 0.64
CeeDee Lamb 38% 1487 25 13 11 3 0.71
Darius Slayton 37% 884 11 5 3 0 0.55
Darnell Mooney 37% 731 15 5 6 2 0.66
Mike Evans 37% 1677 30 12 14 3 0.55
Terry McLaurin 36% 1458 24 9 8 2 0.60
Cooper Kupp 36% 704 10 6 11 4 0.71
Mike Williams 36% 1067 18 6 11 4 0.54
DK Metcalf 36% 1475 21 7 26 5 0.63
Marquise Brown 35% 1105 21 6 10 1 0.61
Diontae Johnson 35% 1393 24 4 14 0 0.65
Stefon Diggs 34% 1577 24 11 22 7 0.64
Tee Higgins 33% 1069 15 9 10 4 0.55
Van Jefferson 32% 561 8 4 5 2 0.46
Brandon Aiyuk 32% 1052 12 3 15 6 0.56
Tyler Lockett 31% 1144 17 9 8 2 0.55
Nico Collins 31% 744 12 4 8 2 0.50
Courtland Sutton 31% 1234 17 5 11 1 0.55
DeVonta Smith 31% 1291 19 8 11 5 0.62
Jakobi Meyers 30% 900 16 8 6 2 0.55
Allen Lazard 30% 1187 26 8 16 3 0.51
Brandin Cooks 30% 888 17 7 9 2 0.53
D.J. Chark 30% 767 15 7 3 1 0.41
Gabe Davis 29% 1259 22 9 11 3 0.48
Keenan Allen 29% 673 10 5 12 1 0.55
Dezmon Patmon 29% 73 1 0 0 0 0.51
Michael Pittman 29% 934 5 1 12 3 0.61
Drake London 29% 1073 12 3 14 4 0.64
Amon-Ra St. Brown 29% 882 8 5 21 6 0.62
Rashod Bateman 28% 374 7 2 0 0 0.48
Jaylen Waddle 28% 1385 16 10 8 4 0.51
Garrett Wilson 28% 1353 17 5 19 3 0.55
Alec Pierce 28% 869 15 7 5 1 0.42
Christian Kirk 28% 1098 17 9 21 7 0.54
Terrace Marshall 27% 566 9 5 6 0 0.40
George Pickens 27% 1093 25 14 6 2 0.42
Zay Jones 27% 986 17 5 16 3 0.51
Corey Davis 26% 847 10 5 8 1 0.40
Marvin Jones 26% 981 18 3 10 3 0.39
Jerry Jeudy 26% 993 23 9 10 4 0.49
Donovan Peoples-Jones 26% 1058 19 6 12 3 0.47
Brandon Johnson 26% 180 4 0 2 1 0.34
Tutu Atwell 25% 561 10 2 2 0 0.36
Isaiah Hodgins 25% 435 4 3 6 4 0.43
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 25% 1024 19 10 11 2 0.38
Josh Palmer 25% 894 10 3 8 2 0.43
Treylon Burks 25% 575 12 5 4 0 0.42
Jahan Dotson 24% 793 16 7 7 5 0.40
Adam Thielen 24% 1018 9 4 18 4 0.43
Tyquan Thornton 24% 631 14 3 5 2 0.37
Christian Watson 24% 808 15 3 13 4 0.41
Michael Gallup 23% 753 8 1 11 4 0.42
Allen Robinson 23% 502 4 0 14 3 0.40
Mack Hollins 23% 1153 16 3 11 2 0.42
Robby Anderson 23% 621 10 2 3 0 0.34
DeVante Parker 22% 625 14 7 2 0 0.33
Daylen Baldwin 22% 25 0 0 0 0 0.27
Olamide Zaccheaus 22% 647 10 4 4 2 0.40
Robert Woods 22% 673 4 1 13 2 0.48
Nelson Agholor 22% 634 12 4 2 0 0.35
Lance McCutcheon 22% 71 1 0 0 0 0.32
Josh Reynolds 22% 677 11 3 13 3 0.37
Richie James 21% 509 2 2 7 4 0.41
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 21% 638 8 3 7 2 0.33
Racey McMath 21% 176 6 1 0 0 0.26
Demarcus Robinson 21% 615 11 1 9 2 0.39
Equanimeous St. Brown 21% 494 9 3 2 1 0.38
Noah Brown 20% 710 9 4 11 3 0.38
DeSean Jackson 20% 302 7 2 2 0 0.30
Damiere Byrd 20% 468 9 3 0 0 0.26
Rondale Moore 20% 309 4 1 6 0 0.48
Chase Claypool 20% 676 12 3 6 1 0.39
Julio Jones 20% 593 13 2 6 1 0.29
Byron Pringle 20% 230 5 2 0 0 0.30
Romeo Doubs 20% 607 9 2 8 3 0.38
John Brown 20% 44 1 0 0 0 0.19
Michael Thomas 20% 237 2 0 3 3 0.44
Velus Jones 19% 191 4 1 2 1 0.27
K.J. Hamler 19% 367 8 3 0 0 0.25
T.Y. Hilton 19% 106 2 1 0 0 0.25
Marcus Johnson 19% 137 0 0 3 0 0.34
Elijah Moore 19% 770 11 4 7 0 0.33
Jalen Guyton 18% 115 3 1 0 0 0.21
Dyami Brown 18% 361 7 2 0 0 0.23
Chris Godwin 18% 763 6 2 15 3 0.46
Rashid Shaheed 18% 362 7 6 1 0 0.33
Sammy Watkins 18% 290 6 4 5 0 0.27
JuJu Smith-Schuster 18% 718 2 1 15 1 0.39
Chris Moore 18% 556 12 4 10 2 0.36
Danny Gray 17% 160 3 0 0 0 0.21
Keith Kirkwood 17% 55 2 0 0 0 0.23
Scott Miller 17% 505 10 2 4 0 0.25
Tyler Boyd 17% 682 6 5 10 4 0.32
Cody Hollister 17% 78 1 1 1 0 0.24
Kalif Raymond 16% 572 10 5 8 0 0.30
Randall Cobb 16% 471 7 2 7 1 0.30
Curtis Samuel 16% 618 8 5 9 2 0.38
Denzel Mims 16% 313 6 1 1 0 0.26
Jauan Jennings 15% 454 6 2 3 1 0.29
Ben Skowronek 15% 480 9 4 3 0 0.31
Marquez Callaway 15% 363 6 1 5 1 0.27
Deebo Samuel 15% 411 3 1 12 1 0.48
Parris Campbell 15% 504 4 2 8 2 0.33
Mike Thomas 15% 122 2 0 3 0 0.19
Phillip Dorsett 14% 445 8 4 2 0 0.24
Devin Duvernay 14% 440 11 6 8 2 0.29
Samori Toure 14% 174 4 2 0 0 0.21
Tre’Quan Smith 14% 326 3 1 2 1 0.25
Nsimba Webster 14% 22 0 0 0 0 0.31
Jarvis Landry 14% 374 4 2 6 1 0.31
Marquise Goodwin 14% 442 9 5 4 1 0.25
DeAndre Carter 14% 509 11 5 7 0 0.24
K.J. Osborn 14% 651 9 2 9 4 0.30
Wan’Dale Robinson 14% 192 1 0 2 1 0.35
Ashton Dulin 14% 252 2 1 4 1 0.23
Justin Watson 13% 562 12 4 2 1 0.18
A.J. Green 13% 433 8 0 6 1 0.23
Shi Smith 13% 303 6 4 5 2 0.25
Dante Pettis 13% 326 6 2 4 1 0.27
Tom Kennedy 13% 129 1 0 0 0 0.25
Jameson Williams 13% 136 3 1 0 0 0.16
Isaiah McKenzie 12% 544 9 5 9 4 0.27
Amari Rodgers 12% 217 4 2 0 0 0.22
Kenny Golladay 12% 100 0 0 0 0 0.21
Dennis Houston 12% 79 2 0 0 0 0.20
Keelan Cole 12% 322 7 2 3 0 0.18
Mecole Hardman 12% 275 6 3 10 4 0.24
Hunter Renfrow 12% 306 3 1 4 1 0.30
KhaDarel Hodge 12% 268 5 2 0 0 0.22
Kyle Philips 12% 100 1 1 0 0 0.26
Andy Isabella 12% 70 1 0 0 0 0.17
Breshad Perriman 12% 229 6 2 0 0 0.18
Trenton Irwin 12% 238 3 2 4 2 0.19
Kendrick Bourne 11% 467 9 5 3 1 0.22
Quez Watkins 11% 451 11 4 4 0 0.23
Jamison Crowder 11% 121 3 0 0 0 0.21
Mike Strachan 11% 129 2 1 4 0 0.15
Trent Sherfield 11% 554 8 3 8 1 0.22
Greg Dortch 10% 311 3 2 5 2 0.29
Chris Conley 10% 87 2 1 0 0 0.17
Russell Gage 10% 351 2 2 16 4 0.26
Mike Woods 10% 153 4 0 2 0 0.17
Kendall Hinton 10% 303 3 2 4 0 0.21
Jalen Tolbert 10% 45 1 0 0 0 0.15
Ray-Ray McCloud 10% 295 3 0 1 1 0.16
N’Keal Harry 10% 109 1 1 1 1 0.16
David Sills 10% 133 0 0 2 0 0.20
Juwann Winfree 9% 52 1 0 0 0 0.12
Tyrie Cleveland 9% 99 1 0 0 0 0.17
Michael Bandy 9% 173 4 2 0 0 0.17
Jalen Nailor 9% 98 2 2 1 0 0.15
Kevin White 9% 91 2 0 0 0 0.12
James Proche 9% 106 2 0 2 0 0.18
Cade Johnson 8% 21 0 0 0 0 0.16
Jason Moore 8% 24 1 0 0 0 0.11
Cedrick Wilson 8% 189 2 0 0 0 0.15
Cam Sims 8% 227 3 0 2 0 0.13
Montrell Washington 8% 153 5 0 0 0 0.12
Skyy Moore 8% 261 2 0 0 0 0.17
Simi Fehoko 7% 51 1 0 0 0 0.13
Braylon Sanders 7% 42 1 0 0 0 0.12
Tylan Wallace 7% 87 2 0 0 0 0.13
Keke Coutee 7% 12 0 0 0 0 0.10
Anthony Schwartz 7% 142 2 0 0 0 0.12
Jake Kumerow 7% 90 2 1 0 0 0.12
Laquon Treadwell 7% 52 0 0 2 0 0.19
Andre Baccellia 6% 85 1 0 0 0 0.12
David Bell 6% 223 1 0 1 0 0.16
Josh Gordon 6% 12 0 0 0 0 0.11
Jeff Smith 6% 144 3 1 0 0 0.12
Jamal Agnew 6% 182 4 1 6 3 0.14
Austin Trammell 5% 30 0 0 0 0 0.14
Jalen Reagor 5% 160 3 1 0 0 0.08
Jalen Virgil 5% 70 2 1 0 0 0.09
Khalil Shakir 5% 161 5 2 0 0 0.12
River Cracraft 5% 117 0 0 3 2 0.11
Miles Boykin 5% 46 1 0 0 0 0.08
Braxton Berrios 5% 218 4 1 5 0 0.14
Steven Sims 5% 103 2 1 0 0 0.16
Ihmir Smith-Marsette 5% 28 0 0 0 0 0.12
Ty Montgomery 5% 13 0 0 1 1 0.23
Bryan Edwards 5% 39 1 0 3 0 0.10
Jalen Camp 4% 7 0 0 0 0 0.10
Gunner Olszewski 4% 57 1 1 1 0 0.11
Trent Taylor 4% 45 0 0 0 0 0.12
Penny Hart 4% 31 1 0 0 0 0.08
C.J. Board 4% 6 0 0 0 0 0.09
Zach Pascal 4% 115 0 0 0 0 0.10
Quintez Cephus 4% 14 0 0 0 0 0.14
Kadarius Toney 3% 74 3 3 4 2 0.13
D’Wayne Eskridge 3% 54 0 0 2 0 0.11
Tanner Conner 3% 20 0 0 0 0 0.08
Jacob Harris 3% 4 0 0 0 0 0.08
Jaelon Darden 2% 10 0 0 0 0 0.05
Cole Beasley 2% 26 0 0 0 0 0.09
Mason Kinsey 2% 3 0 0 0 0 0.09
Dax Milne 2% 38 0 0 3 1 0.06
Lil’Jordan Humphrey 2% 27 0 0 0 0 0.09
KaVontae Turpin 2% 13 0 0 0 0 0.05
James Washington 2% 6 0 0 0 0 0.05
Tim Jones 2% 7 0 0 0 0 0.07
Tanner Gentry 2% 7 0 0 0 0 0.05
Deven Thompkins 1% 4 0 0 0 0 0.04
Maurice Alexander 1% 3 0 0 0 0 0.05
Brandon Powell 1% 30 1 0 4 0 0.13
Freddie Swain 1% 11 0 0 0 0 0.08
Deonte Harty 0% 5 0 0 0 0 0.04
Stanley Morgan 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0.04
Cody White 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0.05
Tyron Johnson -1% -2 0 0 0 0 0.06
D.J. Turner -2% -3 0 0 0 0 0.07
Laviska Shenault -2% -21 1 0 2 0 0.16

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RUNNING BACKS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player Routes % of routes run per dropback Targets Target Share Target Rate Per Route Run
Christian McCaffrey 389 73% 105 22% 27%
Saquon Barkley 379 65% 76 17% 20%
Rhamondre Stevenson 326 58% 82 17% 25%
Devin Singletary 361 57% 51 9% 14%
Austin Ekeler 416 57% 123 18% 30%
Dalvin Cook 388 56% 55 10% 14%
David Montgomery 258 54% 40 15% 16%
Alvin Kamara 284 53% 75 19% 26%
Josh Jacobs 314 53% 61 12% 19%
Leonard Fournette 389 52% 82 12% 21%
Aaron Jones 301 52% 68 14% 23%
Travis Etienne 304 49% 43 9% 14%
Jerick McKinnon 330 48% 68 11% 21%
Najee Harris 288 47% 52 11% 18%
Raheem Mostert 284 47% 40 9% 14%
James Conner 332 46% 58 12% 17%
Miles Sanders 257 44% 25 7% 10%
Joe Mixon 279 44% 70 14% 25%
Kareem Hunt 244 42% 40 9% 16%
A.J. Dillon 235 41% 40 9% 17%
Tony Pollard 226 40% 54 12% 24%
Jonathan Taylor 256 40% 40 10% 16%
Antonio Gibson 238 39% 58 12% 24%
Michael Carter 257 39% 51 10% 20%
Nick Chubb 225 39% 31 6% 14%
Jeffery Wilson 233 39% 35 8% 15%
Ezekiel Elliott 215 38% 21 6% 10%
D’Andre Swift 219 37% 63 14% 29%
Tyler Allgeier 167 37% 17 7% 10%
Kenneth Walker 222 36% 34 8% 15%
Eno Benjamin 191 35% 34 9% 18%
Derrick Henry 175 35% 40 12% 23%
Samaje Perine 220 35% 50 9% 23%
Cordarrelle Patterson 157 34% 28 11% 18%
Rachaad White 253 34% 58 9% 23%
Darrell Henderson 200 32% 22 7% 11%
Dameon Pierce 192 32% 39 11% 20%
Kenneth Gainwell 182 31% 28 8% 15%
Rex Burkhead 181 30% 49 11% 27%
Latavius Murray 175 28% 34 9% 19%
Jaylen Warren 162 27% 29 6% 18%
Dontrell Hilliard 130 26% 26 10% 20%
J.D. McKissic 154 25% 40 14% 26%
Kenyan Drake 131 25% 21 8% 16%
Chase Edmonds 155 24% 24 7% 15%
Melvin Gordon 153 24% 32 11% 21%
Cam Akers 136 23% 15 6% 11%
Justice Hill 120 23% 12 6% 10%
D’Onta Foreman 110 22% 9 6% 8%
Alexander Mattison 151 22% 17 5% 11%
Nyheim Hines 134 21% 37 8% 28%
Khalil Herbert 99 21% 10 9% 10%
Ameer Abdullah 121 20% 30 8% 25%
Isiah Pacheco 137 20% 14 5% 10%
Chuba Hubbard 97 19% 16 12% 16%
Jamaal Williams 113 19% 16 5% 14%
Deon Jackson 123 19% 26 10% 21%
DeeJay Dallas 110 18% 18 8% 16%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 124 18% 23 8% 19%
Matt Breida 103 18% 17 5% 17%
JaMycal Hasty 108 18% 25 9% 23%
James Cook 110 17% 30 8% 27%
Breece Hall 109 17% 31 13% 28%
Joshua Kelley 120 16% 21 5% 18%
Justin Jackson 96 16% 18 6% 19%
James Robinson 106 16% 14 5% 13%
Mark Ingram 86 16% 18 7% 21%
Travis Homer 98 16% 18 9% 18%
Avery Williams 67 15% 14 6% 21%
Hassan Haskins 73 15% 10 7% 14%
Damien Harris 81 14% 19 7% 23%
Ty Johnson 90 14% 21 8% 23%
Brian Robinson 83 14% 12 6% 14%
J.K. Dobbins 71 14% 8 8% 11%
Kyren Williams 78 13% 12 7% 15%
Dare Ogunbowale 78 13% 20 7% 26%
Zack Moss 83 13% 10 6% 12%
Boston Scott 72 12% 6 4% 8%
Rashaad Penny 73 12% 5 6% 7%
Mike Boone 73 12% 15 7% 21%
Javonte Williams 69 11% 22 16% 32%
Zonovan Knight 70 11% 14 7% 20%
Brandon Bolden 57 10% 9 6% 16%
Raheem Blackshear 47 9% 12 8% 26%
Craig Reynolds 52 9% 10 5% 19%
Malcolm Brown 50 9% 6 4% 12%
Sony Michel 61 8% 13 5% 21%
Darrel Williams 58 8% 8 5% 14%
Tony Jones 40 7% 8 7% 20%
Caleb Huntley 29 6% 2 5% 7%
Trestan Ebner 30 6% 5 7% 17%
Jonathan Williams 37 6% 8 13% 22%
Keaontay Ingram 43 6% 2 7% 5%
Darrynton Evans 27 6% 1 4% 4%
Gus Edwards 29 6% 2 5% 7%
Marlon Mack 34 5% 10 7% 29%
Tyrion Davis-Price 28 5% 2 4% 7%
Malik Davis 29 5% 7 8% 24%
Gary Brightwell 30 5% 5 8% 17%
David Johnson 26 5% 2 5% 8%
Phillip Lindsay 31 5% 8 7% 26%
Royce Freeman 27 5% 7 6% 26%
Zander Horvath 32 4% 8 3% 25%
Demetric Felton 25 4% 4 4% 16%
Pierre Strong 21 4% 7 8% 33%
Myles Gaskin 22 4% 6 9% 27%
Julius Chestnut 18 4% 3 4% 17%
Spencer Brown 18 4% 4 6% 22%
Elijah Mitchell 19 4% 4 6% 21%
Mike Davis 18 3% 2 4% 11%
D’Ernest Johnson 19 3% 3 4% 16%
Jordan Wilkins 21 3% 8 10% 38%
Tevin Coleman 16 3% 3 10% 19%
Isaiah Spiller 22 3% 3 5% 14%
Corey Clement 21 3% 3 3% 14%
Trayveon Williams 17 3% 3 3% 18%
Ronnie Rivers 13 2% 5 8% 38%
Chris Evans 14 2% 4 3% 29%
Benny Snell 13 2% 2 4% 15%
Dwayne Washington 11 2% 1 4% 9%
Patrick Taylor 11 2% 1 3% 9%
Ronald Jones 13 2% 1 3% 8%
Anthony McFarland 11 2% 2 7% 18%
Salvon Ahmed 10 2% 1 3% 10%
J.J. Taylor 7 1% 1 3% 14%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn 7 1% 2 3% 29%
Devine Ozigbo 5 1% 1 3% 20%
Kene Nwangwu 3 0% 1 4% 33%
Larry Rountree 3 0% 1 3% 33%
Jonathan Ward 1 0% 1 3% 100%
Godwin Igwebuike 1 0% 1 4% 100%

RB Opportunity Share | Weeks 1-17

Goal-line carries (Any carry inside the 10-yard line)

Player Carries Receptions Goal-Line Carries Goal-line TDs Touches Overall Opportunites Overall Opportunity Share
Josh Jacobs 323 51 21 8 374 384 83%
Saquon Barkley 295 57 23 7 352 371 80%
Derrick Henry 319 32 17 10 351 359 79%
Dalvin Cook 253 38 22 6 291 308 78%
Christian McCaffrey 234 82 19 5 316 339 77%
Najee Harris 249 40 18 5 289 301 70%
Alvin Kamara 200 56 8 2 256 275 69%
Miles Sanders 248 20 23 8 268 273 68%
Rhamondre Stevenson 204 64 19 3 268 286 64%
Nick Chubb 290 22 20 7 312 321 64%
Austin Ekeler 193 103 22 10 296 316 64%
Joe Mixon 199 55 28 5 254 269 64%
Dameon Pierce 220 30 15 3 250 259 60%
Travis Etienne 213 33 23 4 246 256 60%
Devin Singletary 170 37 16 4 207 221 59%
James Conner 183 46 15 6 229 241 59%
Leonard Fournette 189 72 19 3 261 271 58%
Kenneth Walker 199 26 12 2 225 233 58%
David Montgomery 194 34 16 5 228 234 57%
Raheem Mostert 170 29 8 1 199 210 54%
Aaron Jones 201 56 8 0 257 269 54%
Jamaal Williams 246 12 41 13 258 262 51%
Cam Akers 167 10 14 6 177 182 51%
Jeffery Wilson 160 20 0 0 180 195 50%
Jonathan Taylor 192 28 16 3 220 232 50%
Ezekiel Elliott 223 17 26 11 240 244 47%
Tony Pollard 186 39 12 3 225 240 46%
A.J. Dillon 177 28 0 0 205 217 44%
D’Onta Foreman 191 5 16 3 196 200 43%
Isiah Pacheco 162 13 19 4 175 176 42%
Tyler Allgeier 186 16 14 3 202 203 42%
Brian Robinson 205 9 14 2 214 217 42%
Latavius Murray 156 26 9 5 182 190 41%
Antonio Gibson 149 46 16 3 195 207 40%
Rachaad White 125 50 5 1 175 183 39%
Michael Carter 111 39 8 3 150 162 37%
Cordarrelle Patterson 139 19 10 5 158 167 35%
Jerick McKinnon 70 54 7 0 124 138 33%
Samaje Perine 89 37 6 2 126 139 33%
Kareem Hunt 119 32 12 2 151 159 32%
Khalil Herbert 119 8 8 2 127 129 32%
Kenyan Drake 93 15 4 2 108 114 31%
D’Andre Swift 93 41 11 4 134 156 31%
James Cook 80 19 4 0 99 110 29%
James Robinson 110 11 10 0 121 124 28%
J.K. Dobbins 92 7 7 2 99 100 28%
Eno Benjamin 75 25 5 1 100 109 27%
Melvin Gordon 90 25 10 2 115 122 26%
Darrell Henderson 70 17 7 3 87 92 26%
Breece Hall 80 19 9 2 99 111 25%
Damien Harris 93 16 6 3 109 112 25%
Gus Edwards 83 0 7 3 83 85 23%
Jaylen Warren 71 25 3 1 96 100 23%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 71 17 5 2 88 94 23%
Alexander Mattison 64 14 7 2 78 81 21%
Mark Ingram 62 16 3 1 78 80 20%
Zonovan Knight 73 13 4 0 86 87 20%
Chuba Hubbard 74 14 3 1 88 90 19%
Kenneth Gainwell 48 22 11 4 70 76 19%
Deon Jackson 60 24 1 1 84 86 18%
Zack Moss 75 8 3 0 83 85 18%
Chase Edmonds 59 16 2 2 75 83 18%
Rex Burkhead 26 36 3 0 62 75 17%
Joshua Kelley 64 13 7 2 77 85 17%
Nyheim Hines 24 30 5 1 54 61 16%
Caleb Huntley 76 2 8 1 78 78 16%
JaMycal Hasty 43 20 4 1 63 68 16%
Rashaad Penny 57 4 1 0 61 62 15%
Javonte Williams 47 16 4 0 63 69 15%
Justice Hill 42 12 1 0 54 54 15%
Matt Breida 50 13 4 1 63 67 14%
Kyren Williams 35 9 0 0 44 47 13%
DeeJay Dallas 33 16 0 0 49 51 13%
Boston Scott 45 5 3 2 50 51 13%
J.D. McKissic 22 27 0 0 49 62 12%
Dare Ogunbowale 31 15 4 1 46 51 12%
Justin Jackson 41 11 2 0 52 59 12%
Dontrell Hilliard 22 21 0 0 43 48 11%
Ty Johnson 25 10 0 0 35 46 11%
Elijah Mitchell 40 3 5 0 43 44 10%
Sony Michel 36 9 2 0 45 49 10%
Royce Freeman 34 5 3 0 39 41 10%
Travis Homer 19 16 2 0 35 37 9%
Mike Boone 24 9 0 0 33 39 8%
Jordan Mason 35 0 1 0 35 35 8%
Malik Davis 33 6 1 0 39 40 8%
Ameer Abdullah 4 24 1 0 28 34 7%
Raheem Blackshear 22 10 4 3 32 34 7%
Hassan Haskins 23 9 0 0 32 33 7%
Trestan Ebner 24 1 4 0 25 29 7%
Darrel Williams 21 4 1 1 25 29 7%
Malcolm Brown 18 5 3 0 23 24 7%
Avery Williams 18 13 1 1 31 32 7%
Craig Reynolds 23 9 0 0 32 33 6%
Tyrion Davis-Price 26 0 3 0 26 28 6%
Keaontay Ingram 24 2 2 1 26 26 6%
Jonathan Williams 23 5 0 0 28 31 6%
Brandon Bolden 17 9 2 0 26 26 6%
Marlon Mack 16 8 1 1 24 26 6%
Gary Brightwell 20 4 2 1 24 25 5%
Benny Snell 20 2 1 1 22 22 5%
Phillip Lindsay 15 6 0 0 21 23 5%
Tony Jones 10 5 0 0 15 18 4%
Jordan Wilkins 13 6 0 0 19 21 4%
Isaiah Spiller 18 3 0 0 21 21 4%
Myles Gaskin 10 4 0 0 14 16 4%
Kevin Harris 18 0 1 0 18 18 4%
Ronnie Rivers 9 5 0 0 14 14 4%
Pierre Strong 10 7 1 1 17 17 4%
Darrynton Evans 14 1 0 0 15 15 4%
David Johnson 12 2 0 0 14 14 3%
Zamir White 16 0 0 0 16 16 3%
Tevin Coleman 12 3 2 1 15 15 3%
Salvon Ahmed 11 1 0 0 12 12 3%
Dwayne Washington 11 1 0 0 12 12 3%
Snoop Conner 12 0 1 1 12 12 3%
Spencer Brown 9 2 2 0 11 13 3%
Mike Davis 8 2 2 0 10 10 3%
Julius Chestnut 9 3 0 0 12 12 3%
J.J. Taylor 10 1 1 0 11 11 2%
Corey Clement 7 2 0 0 9 10 2%
Zander Horvath 4 5 1 0 9 12 2%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn 9 1 0 0 10 11 2%
Larry Rountree 10 1 0 0 11 11 2%
Patrick Taylor 10 1 1 0 11 11 2%
Trayveon Williams 6 2 0 0 8 9 2%
Ronald Jones 7 1 0 0 8 8 2%
Anthony McFarland 6 2 1 0 8 8 2%
Jerome Ford 8 0 0 0 8 8 2%
D’Ernest Johnson 4 3 0 0 7 7 1%
Kene Nwangwu 4 1 0 0 5 5 1%
Jonathan Ward 4 1 0 0 5 5 1%
Demetric Felton 1 2 0 0 3 5 1%
Godwin Igwebuike 3 1 0 0 4 4 1%
Chris Evans 0 3 0 0 3 4 1%
Devine Ozigbo 3 1 0 0 4 4 1%
Duke Johnson 2 0 0 0 2 2 1%
Trey Sermon 2 0 0 0 2 2 0%
Damien Williams 2 0 0 0 2 2 0%
Jordan Howard 1 0 0 0 1 1 0%
Giovani Bernard 1 0 0 0 1 1 0%
Kylin Hill 1 0 0 0 1 1 0%

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TIGHT ENDS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player Routes % of routes run per dropback Targets Target Share Target Rate Per Route Run
Cole Kmet 402 84% 64 19% 16%
Mark Andrews 435 84% 113 29% 26%
Travis Kelce 573 83% 145 25% 25%
Evan Engram 495 80% 94 17% 19%
T.J. Hockenson 558 80% 128 21% 23%
George Kittle 419 79% 80 19% 19%
Tyler Higbee 413 71% 101 21% 24%
Dawson Knox 446 71% 63 14% 14%
Tyler Conklin 460 70% 83 15% 18%
Hunter Henry 383 68% 52 12% 14%
Pat Freiermuth 416 68% 96 21% 23%
Dalton Schultz 380 68% 80 17% 21%
Juwan Johnson 347 64% 64 15% 18%
David Njoku 365 63% 75 19% 21%
Cade Otton 457 61% 64 11% 14%
Austin Hooper 301 61% 56 14% 19%
Robert Tonyan 348 60% 64 12% 18%
Dallas Goedert 349 60% 62 20% 18%
Gerald Everett 427 58% 82 14% 19%
Logan Thomas 346 57% 58 15% 17%
Hayden Hurst 355 56% 63 14% 18%
Foster Moreau 332 56% 53 12% 16%
Mike Gesicki 332 55% 46 8% 14%
Noah Fant 325 53% 59 12% 18%
Zach Ertz 375 52% 69 18% 18%
Greg Dulcich 316 50% 55 18% 17%
Daniel Bellinger 279 48% 35 12% 13%
Tommy Tremble 237 47% 31 9% 13%
Kyle Pitts 211 46% 59 28% 28%
Jordan Akins 272 46% 46 10% 17%
Isaiah Likely 227 44% 47 14% 21%
Will Dissly 254 41% 38 8% 15%
Harrison Bryant 239 41% 40 10% 17%
Trey McBride 292 40% 36 12% 12%
Mo Alie-Cox 260 40% 27 6% 10%
Noah Gray 268 39% 33 6% 12%
Jack Stoll 211 36% 14 5% 7%
Kylen Granson 231 36% 40 9% 17%
Darren Waller 209 35% 37 15% 18%
C.J. Uzomah 225 34% 27 7% 12%
Ian Thomas 170 34% 30 9% 18%
Chigoziem Okonkwo 161 32% 42 13% 26%
Mitchell Wilcox 196 31% 18 5% 9%
Jonnu Smith 171 31% 38 10% 22%
Colby Parkinson 185 30% 31 7% 17%
Cameron Brate 220 30% 38 10% 17%
Eric Saubert 181 29% 24 7% 13%
Jelani Woods 184 29% 36 10% 20%
Tanner Hudson 165 28% 15 11% 9%
Josh Oliver 144 28% 24 9% 17%
Zach Gentry 168 28% 22 5% 13%
Tre’ McKitty 200 27% 17 7% 9%
Parker Hesse 124 27% 10 5% 8%
Brock Wright 156 26% 23 6% 15%
Adam Trautman 132 24% 21 7% 16%
Durham Smythe 147 24% 15 5% 10%
Irv Smith 166 24% 33 13% 20%
Brevin Jordan 141 24% 28 9% 20%
Quintin Morris 138 22% 11 5% 8%
Geoff Swaim 108 22% 15 5% 14%
Taysom Hill 115 21% 12 5% 10%
O.J. Howard 124 21% 23 7% 19%
Johnny Mundt 142 20% 21 5% 15%
John Bates 122 20% 22 8% 18%
Shane Zylstra 118 20% 14 6% 12%
Peyton Hendershot 111 20% 16 6% 14%
Pharaoh Brown 110 19% 20 8% 18%
Anthony Firkser 86 19% 12 7% 14%
Albert Okwuegbunam 119 19% 17 9% 14%
Marcedes Lewis 108 19% 7 4% 6%
Jake Ferguson 101 18% 21 7% 21%
Teagan Quitoriano 105 18% 10 5% 10%
Josiah Deguara 98 17% 15 5% 15%
Joe Fortson 104 15% 13 4% 13%
MyCole Pruitt 65 14% 16 8% 25%
Eric Tomlinson 90 14% 12 5% 13%
Stephen Sullivan 71 14% 6 5% 8%
Brycen Hopkins 78 13% 10 6% 13%
Grant Calcaterra 76 13% 9 6% 12%
Chris Manhertz 80 13% 8 4% 10%
James Mitchell 73 12% 10 5% 14%
Giovanni Ricci 62 12% 9 5% 15%
Chris Myarick 72 12% 8 4% 11%
Lawrence Cager 69 12% 9 6% 13%
Connor Heyward 71 12% 13 6% 18%
Cole Turner 70 12% 9 6% 13%
Tyler Kroft 56 11% 5 4% 9%
Dan Arnold 64 10% 13 4% 20%
Armani Rogers 61 10% 6 6% 10%
Ryan Griffin 43 9% 8 6% 19%
Ross Dwelley 47 9% 5 5% 11%
Nick Vannett 50 9% 5 4% 10%
Ko Kieft 60 8% 10 3% 17%
Tyler Davis 46 8% 7 4% 15%
Trevon Wesco 34 7% 4 5% 12%
Andrew Beck 42 7% 9 4% 21%
Charlie Woerner 35 7% 2 3% 6%
Donald Parham 46 6% 10 5% 22%
Devin Asiasi 40 6% 4 4% 10%
Stephen Anderson 44 6% 7 3% 16%
Stone Smartt 41 6% 5 4% 12%
Maxx Williams 39 5% 3 4% 8%
Feleipe Franks 23 5% 2 8% 9%
Kyle Rudolph 37 5% 4 2% 11%
Jesper Horsted 26 4% 4 7% 15%
Mason Schreck 23 4% 2 4% 9%
Richard Rodgers 26 4% 4 3% 15%
Tommy Sweeney 21 3% 1 3% 5%
Sean McKeon 18 3% 3 4% 17%
Luke Farrell 15 2% 3 4% 20%
Drew Sample 12 2% 2 2% 17%
Kendall Blanton 9 2% 2 3% 22%
Jeremy Ruckert 7 1% 1 2% 14%
Blake Bell 6 1% 1 2% 17%
Ben Ellefson 6 1% 3 4% 50%
Jake Tonges 3 1% 1 6% 33%
Noah Togiai 2 0% 1 3% 50%
Tyler Mabry 2 0% 1 4% 50%

HIGH-VALUE TARGETS:

RED-ZONE TARGETS, AIR YARDS AND DEEP TARGETS

Player Air Yards Share Air Yards Deep Catches Deep Targets Red-Zone Targets Red-Zone TDs
Mark Andrews 33% 1105 3 12 17 5
Kyle Pitts 32% 816 1 14 5 2
Feleipe Franks 26% 56 0 1 0 0
Travis Kelce 25% 1053 3 11 28 10
Darren Waller 23% 494 7 13 8 1
Greg Dulcich 23% 624 5 13 2 1
Zach Ertz 21% 548 1 5 15 4
Pat Freiermuth 21% 797 4 7 9 2
T.J. Hockenson 19% 976 3 10 18 5
Dallas Goedert 18% 397 1 3 6 2
George Kittle 18% 525 4 7 13 3
Juwan Johnson 17% 574 1 3 11 5
Evan Engram 16% 606 4 9 8 2
Jelani Woods 16% 372 0 4 4 3
Dalton Schultz 16% 556 2 4 16 5
David Njoku 15% 489 4 9 19 3
Cole Kmet 15% 449 3 10 9 5
Austin Hooper 15% 439 2 4 6 2
Chigoziem Okonkwo 14% 313 1 4 6 2
Tyler Conklin 14% 553 0 7 4 3
Hunter Henry 14% 402 5 6 7 0
Gerald Everett 13% 482 1 5 14 3
Stephen Sullivan 13% 87 0 2 0 0
Hayden Hurst 13% 333 0 2 7 2
Dawson Knox 13% 504 3 5 8 4
Logan Thomas 12% 420 0 2 6 0
Brycen Hopkins 12% 98 1 1 1 0
Noah Fant 12% 389 3 6 8 4
Charlie Woerner 11% 43 0 2 0 0
Foster Moreau 11% 434 1 3 5 2
Tanner Hudson 11% 110 0 0 0 0
Isaiah Likely 11% 289 1 4 9 2
O.J. Howard 10% 253 2 3 3 1
Cameron Brate 10% 265 0 0 4 0
Tyler Higbee 10% 319 0 1 15 3
Irv Smith 9% 155 0 2 5 2
Trey McBride 9% 224 0 1 0 0
Ross Dwelley 9% 69 1 1 0 0
Jake Tonges 9% 13 0 0 0 0
Tommy Tremble 9% 247 1 4 7 2
Tyler Kroft 9% 70 0 1 0 0
Kylen Granson 9% 259 0 0 3 0
Devin Asiasi 9% 59 0 2 0 0
Brevin Jordan 9% 198 0 1 2 0
Jordan Akins 9% 277 2 3 9 2
Cade Otton 8% 315 2 2 14 2
Daniel Bellinger 8% 140 0 0 6 2
Mike Gesicki 8% 429 4 7 11 5
Robert Tonyan 8% 364 2 5 5 0
Josh Oliver 8% 203 1 4 10 2
Albert Okwuegbunam 8% 72 1 1 0 0
Eric Saubert 8% 202 1 3 3 0
Donald Parham 8% 99 1 2 2 1
Colby Parkinson 7% 241 2 3 5 1
Cole Turner 7% 68 0 0 0 0
Teagan Quitoriano 7% 109 0 1 5 2
Harrison Bryant 7% 221 1 3 8 1
Pharaoh Brown 6% 128 0 2 2 0
John Bates 6% 114 0 2 2 1
C.J. Uzomah 5% 196 2 2 0 0
Shane Zylstra 5% 75 0 0 4 4
Will Dissly 5% 206 1 1 6 2
Anthony Firkser 5% 86 0 0 0 0
Mo Alie-Cox 5% 147 0 1 3 2
Ryan Griffin 5% 53 0 1 2 0
MyCole Pruitt 5% 74 0 0 6 3
Taysom Hill 5% 77 1 2 3 1
Peyton Hendershot 5% 109 1 1 0 0
Adam Trautman 4% 113 0 0 3 0
Lawrence Cager 4% 68 0 1 1 1
Jesper Horsted 4% 26 0 0 0 0
Dan Arnold 4% 82 0 1 2 0
Grant Calcaterra 4% 81 0 1 2 0
Jack Stoll 4% 90 0 1 0 0
Blake Bell 4% 12 0 0 1 1
Parker Hesse 4% 67 0 0 2 0
Noah Gray 4% 173 2 2 4 1
Tre’ McKitty 4% 54 0 1 3 0
Jonnu Smith 4% 116 0 1 4 0
Joe Fortson 4% 88 1 1 0 0
Mitchell Wilcox 4% 81 0 0 1 1
Quintin Morris 4% 82 0 1 2 1
Connor Heyward 3% 59 1 1 1 1
Eric Tomlinson 3% 56 0 0 3 1
Marcedes Lewis 3% 58 1 1 2 2
James Mitchell 3% 44 0 0 0 0
Giovanni Ricci 3% 49 1 1 0 0
Noah Togiai 3% 4 0 0 0 0
Andrew Beck 3% 52 1 2 0 0
Trevon Wesco 3% 23 0 0 2 0
Kyle Rudolph 3% 30 0 0 0 0
Armani Rogers 3% 13 0 0 0 0
Stephen Anderson 3% 36 0 1 0 0
Jake Ferguson 3% 74 0 0 3 2
Kendall Blanton 3% 12 0 0 0 0
Ben Ellefson 3% 15 0 0 0 0
Stone Smartt 2% 23 0 0 0 0
Maxx Williams 2% 12 0 0 0 0
Miller Forristall 2% 5 0 0 0 0
Brock Wright 2% 62 0 0 5 3
Ko Kieft 2% 57 0 0 1 1
Nick Vannett 2% 16 0 0 0 0
Tyler Mabry 2% 6 0 0 1 1
Tyler Davis 2% 27 0 0 0 0
Mason Schreck 2% 6 0 0 0 0
Josiah Deguara 2% 49 1 1 1 0
Durham Smythe 2% 49 0 0 3 1
Geoff Swaim 2% 29 0 0 5 1
Chris Myarick 1% 23 0 0 2 1
Chris Manhertz 1% 21 0 0 0 0
Johnny Mundt 1% 29 0 0 3 1
Zach Gentry 1% 49 0 1 2 0
Ian Thomas 1% 69 1 2 2 0
Sean McKeon 0% 1 0 0 0 0
Luke Farrell 0% 3 0 0 0 0
Jeremy Ruckert 0% 0 0 0 0 0
Tommy Sweeney 0% -1 0 0 0 0
Richard Rodgers -1% -4 0 0 2 0
Drew Sample -1% -2 0 0 0 0

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TOP TAKEAWAYS

Tennessee Titans (Week 18 @ Jacksonville Jaguars)

Titans and Jaguars playing for AFC South Title (Saturday night)

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo drew the start but played behind Austin Hooper for the majority of Thursday night. Hooper drew 6 targets and ran a route on 67% of dropbacks. But he caught just one pass for 6 yards. Hooper and Geoff Swaim are free agents in 2023.
  • Okonkwo was more efficient per usual, catching 3 of 4 targets (50% target rate per route run) for 24 yards while running a route on just 19% of dropbacks. He is a candidate to take a major step forward in 2023 if Hooper does not return. The rookie’s 26% target rate ranked 2nd among all tight ends with at least 40 targets in 2022.
  • Joshua Dobbs started for the Titans in Week 17 and gave Tennessee’s passing game new life. He threw for 232 passing yards on 39 attempts (20 completions). Malik Willis has not thrown for 100 yards in any game he started this season.
  • Robert Woods was the team’s target leader, catching 5 of 9 targets (24%) for 39 yards and 1 TD. Treylon Burks finished second with 8 targets catching four for 66 yards. Burks also ran a route 76% of dropbacks (2nd to Woods) and commanded a whopping 122 air yards. He should be back on the WR3 radar with a plus-matchup versus the Jaguars in Week 18.
  • Nobody has done less with more than Woods this season, as the ex-Rams WR has played a full-time role in the Titans with a 87% route participation. But no player has scored fewer fantasy points than Woods with a route participation of at least 80% (Nick Westbrook Ihkine, 80%). Needless to say, Burks should easily ascend to the WR1 chair in 2023.
  • Hassan Haskins started for the Titans with Derrick Henry ruled out with a hip injury. The rookie carried the ball 12 times for 40 yards and added 2 catches for 13 yards on 3 targets. He totaled 15 backfield opportunities for a 60% backfield opportunity share – 66% snap share played – and ran a route on 45% of the dropbacks.
  • The box score suggests that Julius Chestnut and Jonathan Ward split No. 2 backfield duties evenly, with both seeing 5 backfield opportunities. Chestnut got first crack in the middle of the 2nd quarter but was not effective as a rusher, totaling 4 carries for -1 yards. He did catch one pass for 33 yards. Ward didn’t see his first touch until the 3rd quarter, and all 4 of his carries came on the final drive as the time expired.
  • Dontrell Hilliard is a free agent in 2023, suggesting Haskins has a chance to be the clear RB2 behind Henry next season.

Dallas Cowboys (Week 18 @ Washington Commanders)

Cowboys playing for playoff seeding combined with losses by 49ers and Eagles, Washington eliminated from postseason

  • 2023 free agent Tony Pollard sat out this contest due to a thigh injury, putting Ezekiel Elliott into the RB1 role. Zeke totaled 19 carries for 37 yards and 1 rushing TD (61% opportunity share, 66% snap share, 59% route participation).
  • He was not targeted and did not see a full-blown bellcow role with Malik Davis operating as the RB2. Davis had more rushing yards (39) on fewer carries (10) and also out-targeted Elliott (2 targets).
  • Davis basically took on a lesser version of the Pollard role (primary receiver and change-of-pace back).
  • CeeDee Lamb commanded a whopping 14 targets (34% target share) versus the Titans horrible secondary. Lamb finished with 11 catches for 100 yards (130 air yards). Lamb’s season-long 30% target share ranked 4th in 2022.
  • Tight end Dalton Schultz feasted without Pollard soaking up underneath targets, going for 56 yards and 2 scores on 7 catches (10 targets). Ran a route on 86% of dropbacks.
  • Stock up for T.Y. Hilton, stock down for Michael Gallup and Noah Brown.
  • Hilton saw more targets (5) than both Gallup and Brown (4 each) despite running a route on just 32% of dropbacks. 36% target rate per route run for Hilton.
  • And Hilton was efficient catching four of 5 targets (12% target share) for 50 yards. 3 of his targets came in the 1st half.
  • Gallup’s snaps didn’t decrease – 93% route participation – but Brown’s did – 57% route participation. It was 80% in Week 16.

Arizona Cardinals (Week 18 @ San Francisco 49ers)

Cardinals playing for nothing, 49ers are playing for a chance at No. 1 seed.

  • James Conner saw his snaps decrease massively from his usual 90 percent-plus snap share after exiting the game early with a shin injury. He played just 55% of the snaps. Corey Clement was the next man up, playing 43% of the snaps in a close contest. Keaontay Ingram played one snap. They are all under contract in 2023.
  • Without DeAndre Hopkins, Greg Dortch (2023 free agent) and Trey McBride each commanded 10 targets (26% target share). Dortch only amassed 4 catches for 15 yards but continued his streak of double-digit targets when starting (84% route participation).
  • McBride converted his elite usage – 96% snap share, 89% route participation – into 7 catches for 78 yards and 1 TD.
  • McBride has strung together a strong finish to his rookie year, playing over 84% of the snaps Weeks 15-17 to go along with a 16.5% target share and 14 catches for 150 receiving yards. He’s likely the Week 1 starter in 2023 with Zach Ertz coming off a November torn ACL.
  • Marquise Brown finished with 9 targets, hauling in 6 for 61 (121 air yards, 33%).
  • Andre Baccellia played ahead of both A.J. Green (2023 free agent) and Robbie Anderson.

Atlanta Falcons (Week 18 versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Tampa Bay likely resting starters to some extent with No. 4 seed locked, Falcons playing for nothing

  • Tyler Allgeier dominated the touches yet again for the Falcons, tallying 20 carries for 83 rushing yards and 1 TD in Week 17. The rookie saw 3 carries inside the 10-yard line. Cordarrelle Patterson also carried the ball 9 times for 42 yards and 1 TD, but was the much more involved receiver, commanding a whopping 8 targets (32% share, same as Drake London) for 6 catches and 42 receiving yards. Patterson ran a route on 62% of the dropbacks (second-most on the team).
  • Since Week 13 (last four games), Allgeier has averaged 87 rushing yards and 16 carries per game as the team’s RB1.
  • On the year, Allgeier ranks 5th in total rushing EPA (+11.42).
  • Kyle Pitts has not played since Week 11, but don’t forget the usage he was seeing prior to his injury. Pitts commanded 14 targets of 20-plus air yards, but only caught one. Upgraded quarterback play will go a long way in ensuring that Pitts is a fantasy factor in 2023. 28% target share (2nd among all TEs) for Pitts in 2022.
  • Drake London commanded a 29% target share as a 21-year-old rookie WR. Madness. Ridiculousness. His potential is through the roof if/when Atlanta can figure out their play under center.

Detroit Lions (Week 18 @ Green Bay Packers)

Lions and Packers both playing for playoff berths. However, Lions will be eliminated if Seahawks win earlier on Sunday.

  • Instead of promoting Craig Reynolds to the No. 3 running back with Justin Jackson inactive, the Lions chose to operate from a two-man backfield. Jamaal Williams rushed 22 times for 144 yards and 1 TD, while D’Andre Swift carried the ball 11 times for 78 yards and 1 TD. Swift also added 4 catches for 15 yards and another score as a receiver. Reynolds played just 18% of the snaps.
  • Jackson and Williams are both free agents in 2023.
  • 2023 free agent tight end Brock Wright scored 2 red-zone TDs, a week after Shane Zylstra scored 3. Although their overall playing time and usage remained unchanged.
  • Rookie Jameson Williams remained buried on the depth chart as the WR5, but he will undoubtedly be a starter in the DJ Chark (2023 free agent) role next season. Chark led the team in air yard share (30%) when healthy and in total deep targets (15).
  • Don’t let Amon-Ra St. Brown slide past you in 2023 fantasy drafts. His 31% target rate per route run trailed only Tyreek Hill in 2022.

Chicago Bears (Week 18 versus Minnesota Vikings)

Vikings will either be No. 2 or No. 3 seed depending on outcome of the 49ers game and if they win over the Bears.

  • Basically zero offensive production for the Bears sans Justin Fields rushing. The Bears QB rushed for 132 yards on 10 carries. However, he won’t get a chance to break the record after being ruled out of Week 18’s game versus the Vikings.
  • Soon-to-be 2023 free agent David Montgomery (6-for-24, 64% opportunity share) and potential future Bears starting RB Khalil Herbert (5-for-31) were not effective versus an improved Lions run defense.
  • Tight end Cole Kmet led the Bears in routes (81%) and receiving yards (2 catches for 27 yards). His 84% season-long route participation tied Mark Andrews for No. 1 at the position in 2022.
  • Chase Claypool returned to the starting lineup but played just 37% of the snaps and ran a route on 47% of dropbacks. Byron Pringle operated as WR1 with 4 targets (zero catches), followed by Equanimeous St. Brown and then N’Keal Harry. Those three, along with Dante Pettis, are all free agents in 2023.
  • Claypool, Velus Jones and Darnell Mooney round out the projected Chicago receiving corps heading into 2023.
  • Mooney ranked 12th in air yards share (37%) and 15th in target share (27%) in his 11 healthy games played in 2022.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 18 versus Tennessee Titans)

Titans and Jaguars playing for AFC South Title (Saturday night)

  • The Jaguars blew the doors off the Texans in Week 17. Trevor Lawrence came out in the middle of the 3rd quarter as did many of the other starters. Aside from his goal-line rush on 3rd down to open the game, JaMycal Hasty was clearly behind Travis Etienne in the backfield pecking order. Just 3 touches for Hasty in the entire 1st half. 80% opportunity share for Etienne in the first half, which is very close to his weekly average in a post-James Robinson offense.
  • ETN finished the 2022 fantasy regular season tied for 5th in carries inside the 10-yard line (23), but he only scored 4 touchdowns on those carries. He’s primed to see his TD number climb with the backfield all but his from the get-go in 2023.
  • I’d also anticipate him taking a large leap as a receiver as he ran a route on nearly half the dropbacks in 2022 (49%).
  • Marvin Jones‘ usage can provide us an idea of how the Jaguars will deploy their three top WRs in 2023, between Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley.
  • Marvin Jones ran a route on 73% of the dropbacks and led the Jaguars in deep targets (18) in 2022. He only caught three of them. All 3 players will be full-time starters in 3-WR sets, with Ridley providing a much-improved upgrade as a deep/red-zone threat.
  • Evan Engram‘s return to his rookie year form has so much to do with his role in the Jags offense: 80% route participation (4th) and 3rd in routes run (495).

Houston Texans (Week 18 @ Indianapolis Colts)

Both Texans and Colts have nothing to play for (pride I guess).

  • Royce Freeman and Dare Ogunbowale split usage in Week 17, with both RBs totaling 7 carries. Freeman saw more targets (5 vs. 3) and played more snaps (43% vs. 37%). Freeman and Rex Burkhead are both free agents in 2023, so currently Ogunbowale will be the only threat to Dameon Pierce in 2023.
  • Brandin Cooks led the Texans with 7 targets, catching four for 39 yards. He earned over 100 air yards on three targets of 20-plus air yards.
  • Chris Moore also ran the most routes but caught just 3-of-5 targets for 21 yards. Jordan Akins played ahead of Brevin Jordan, running a route on 67% of dropbacks. Not a great outlook for Jordan’s long-term value as he enters Year 3. Will be curious to see if the Texans re-sign Akins and/or Howard this offseason.
  • Nico Collins led the Texans in air yards share this season and in target rate per route run (23%). The big-bodied wideout seems like the only legitimate pass-catching option that will sniff fantasy football rosters in 2023 from the Texans, with the disgruntled Cooks likely on his way out.

Kansas City Chiefs (Week 18 @ Las Vegas Raiders)

The Chiefs are still in the running for the No. 1 seed. Clinch No. 1 seed with win and if CIN-BUF is not replayed.

  • Similar split specialized backfield usage for the Chiefs that we have seen in recent weeks. Essentially a 50/50 split with Isiah Pacheco (55% opportunity share, 9 carries for 31 yards and 1 TD) and 2023 free agent Jerick McKinnon (40% opportunity share, 5 catches for 52 yards and 2 TDs).
  • From Weeks 10-17, both KC running backs were top-21 half-point scorers.
  • McKinnon: RB7 points per game, third in RB receptions at 35, and 7 receiving TDs.
  • Pacheco: RB21 points per game, 6th in rushing yards at 569.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran the most routes for KC on Sunday (87%), followed by JuJu Smith-Schuster (71%), Kadarius Toney (33%) and Justin Watson (33%).
  • MVS saw over 100 air yards but caught just 2 passes for 26 yards.
  • Smith-Schuster ranks second on the team with 15 red-zone targets this season but has caught just one for a TD.
  • Rookie Skyy Moore was targeted on 36% of his routes (25% snap share, 4 targets). Toney’s target rate per route run finished at 27%. The ex-Giants WR’s target rate per route run (23%) ranks first among all Chiefs WRs this season.
  • After Tyreek Hill left the Chiefs, there was a massive hole in the team’s red zone offense. Travis Kelce fully took over that role. He not only led the Chiefs in red-zone targets, he led the entire NFL in that category with 28 red-zone targets. He also finished 1st in red-zone TDs (10). DK Metcalf and Justin Jefferson tied for 2nd with 26 each.
  • Interestingly enough, Ja’Marr Chase actually led the league in red-zone targets per game, commanding 22 in 11 games played (two per game). Should Chase push his former LSU teammate for fantasy WR1 status in 2023, red-zone usage would be his path to success.

Denver Broncos (Week 18 versus Los Angeles Chargers)

LA is playing starters even though they have clinched a playoff spot. Although they clinch the No. 5 seed if the Ravens lose at 1 pm, giving them absolutely nothing to play for during their game.

  • The interim head coach kept things pretty simple with the Broncos offense, carrying over what little worked before into Week 17. Latavius Murray operated as the RB1, but Chase Edmonds was also very involved, especially on passing downs. Edmonds ran more routes than Murray, but the latter saw more targets (6 vs. 3). Snaps were a near dead-even split in favor of Murray (60% vs. 59%).
  • Murray is a free agent in 2023 (as is Mike Boone) so Edmonds is definitely showcasing for a potential role/job alongside a healthy Javonte Williams next year.
  • Marlon Mack was placed on after suffering a hamstring injury.
  • Jerry Jeudy led Denver with a 22% target share, catching 7 passes for 38 yards in Week 17. Hard to not view Jeudy as the clear-cut No. 1 Denver WR based on his high command of targets when healthy in 2022.
  • No player scored more fantasy points in PPR with a sub-75% overall route participation than Jeudy in 2022.
  • Courtland Sutton ties a bow in 2022 with just 11 red-zone targets, catching only 1 TD. Woof.
  • FREE Albert Okwuegbunam. The highly-touted draft pick from fall fantasy drafts drew the start in Week 17 with Greg Dulcich out due to a hamstring injury. He ran a route on 60% of the dropbacks catching 3 of 6 targets for a team-leading 45 receiving yards and 1 TD. YTLSI.

Miami Dolphins (Week 18 versus New York Jets)

Miami is playing for the playoffs, while the Jets have been eliminated from postseason contention.

  • Raheem Mostert drew the start in Week 17, but Jeff Wilson edged him out in snaps (65% vs. 42%), carries (15 for 45 vs. 9 for 29) and backfield opportunities (22 vs. 17). Both RBs were heavily targeted in the passing game (7-plus targets), but Wilson ran the majority of routes (58% vs. 38%). It was pretty similar to last week, but the gap in touches/volume favored Wilson more than Mostert, despite the latter scoring more fantasy points due to receptions and TDs.
  • Who Miami targets at running back this offseason will be important to track for fantasy purposes, as their explosive offense lends itself to a friendly fantasy-scoring environment. Mostert, Wilson, and Myles Gaskin are all unrestricted free agents, while Salvon Ahmed is a restricted free agent.
  • Tyreek Hill tied Davante Adams with the most targets of 20-plus air yards this season (37), but stood alone with the most receptions on those throws (19). The Cheetah also led the entire NFL in air yards (2,027).
  • Mike Gesicki posted a meager 8% target share in an offense that has no use for him. Would hope he finds himself in a more favorable situation in 2023 where his receiving abilities can be taken full advantage of. Perhaps 2023’s version of this year’s Evan Engram is in Gesicki’s future.

New England Patriots (Week 18 @ Buffalo Bills)

The Patriots get into the playoffs with a win.

  • Damien Harris finally made his return to the Patriots starting lineup in Week 17, playing 48% of the snaps while carrying the ball 9 times for 32 yards. His return put a massive damper into the Rhamondre Stevenson usage, who played just 57% of the snaps with 12 backfield opportunities (identical to Harris).
  • However, Harris is an impending free agent, which suggests that Stevenson’s role/production in 2023 will be more of what we saw from Weeks 5-16 when Harris was either not active or not 100% when playing. Even when Harris played alongside Stevenson, the Patriots RB finished third in route participation (58%) and targets (82) among running backs.
  • And remember Stevenson’s strong 2022 campaign was not fueled by touchdowns. In fact, Stevenson was one of the worst RBs converting from inside the 10-yard line as he scored just thrice despite 19 goal-line carries. Harris has also scored thrice from inside the 10 this year – on just 6 carries.
  • Rookie Tyquan Thornton also seems to have carved out the No. 2 role for the Patriots moving forward. He commanded a 22% target share and 55% air yards share (5 targets of 20-plus air yards) in Week 17, going 3-60-1 on 7 targets. He also tied Jakobi Meyers in routes run. Both Meyers and Nelson Agholor are impending free agents.

Indianapolis Colts (Week 18 versus Houston Texans)

Both Texans and Colts have nothing to play for (pride…maybe?)

  • Zack Moss remained the Colts starting running back in Week 17 (58% opportunity share, 15 carries for 74 yards), but he also saw zero targets despite running the most RB routes. Moss seems like he’s in the driver’s seat to be Jonathan Taylor‘s direct backup in 2023 with both Deon Jackson and Jordan Wilkins slated to hit free agency.
  • Michael Pittman kept on being a true alpha – 30% target share, 6-41-1 – and also scored.
  • 2023 free agent Parris Campbell finished second in targets (6, 22%) and led the team in receiving yards (52) in Week 17.
  • Pittman will be an interesting buy-low candidate after he failed to deliver on his Round 3 ADP. Still commanded an elite 27% target share, but the yardage and TDs just weren’t there in the Colts anemic offense.
  • Rookie Jelani Woods remained in the TE1 chair, playing ahead of Mo Alie-Cox with Kylen Granson inactive. Woods ran a route on 50% of dropbacks and played 60% of the snaps. Also caught 3-of-4 targets for 19 yards. It’s too bad all 3 tight ends are under contract with the Colts in 2023.

New York Giants (Week 18 @ Philadelphia Eagles)

The Giants have clinched the wild card spot and will likely rest starters while the Eagles need to win to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs.

  • Since Week 13, Darius Slayton has been more of a number 2 than true No. 1, actually trailing both Isaiah Hodgins (22%) and Richie James Jr. (23%) in target share, receptions and fantasy points scored.
  • That trend continued in Week 17, when Slayton caught just 2 passes for 14 yards on 3 targets. Hodgins commanded a 22% target share and caught 4 passes for 42 yards and one TD. James Jr. took advantage of the favorable matchup in the slot versus Indianapolis and caught all 7 of his targets (30%) for 76 yards and 1 touchdown.
  • Hodgins is the only Giants WR of their top-3 under contract in 2023.
  • However, they will get rookie Wan’Dale Robinson back from injury at some point, and he could benefit greatly from taking on the James role from the slot. Robinson earned a 24% target rate per route run when healthy this season, playing 81% of his snaps from the slot.

Philadelphia Eagles (Week 18 versus the New York Giants)

The Giants have clinched the wild card spot and will likely rest starters while the Eagles need to win to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs.

  • Miles Sanders dominated the Eagles backfield with a 71% opportunity share in Week 17. Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell combined for two carries and three targets. Sanders was not targeted.
  • Scott and Sanders are free agents in 2023.
  • Over the last 2 weeks, DeVonta Smith has earned a 38% target share and 114 receiving yards per game. Dallas Goedert‘s return has not had a negative impact on Smith’s production.
  • Smith’s impressive second-year stint can be tied back to his elite usage, as he finished 4th in route participation (96%) ahead of teammate A.J. Brown (92%). The Slim Reaper scored just 8 fewer fantasy points in PPR than former Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle.

New Orleans Saints (Week 18 versus Carolina Panthers)

Saints and Panthers have both been eliminated from playoff contention.

  • Alvin Kamara rushed 16 times for 74 rushing yards but finished with just one reception on 1 target in Week 17. Kamara has not caught more than 2 passes in a single game since Week 12. Weeks 5-12, he never caught fewer than 3 balls in any contest. His target share has dipped from 22% to 12%.
  • Taysom Hill almost totaled Kamara’s exact volume, earning 14 carries for 46 yards and 1 rushing TD to go along with 1 catch for 9 yards. Hill doubled Kamara’s carries inside the 10-yard line (4 vs. 2).
  • Hill finished second behind only Kelce in total touches among players with TE status this season (99).
  • Juwan Johnson led the Saints with a 30% target share catching 5 balls for 62 yards in Week 17.
  • Rookie Rashid Shaheed out-targeted Chris Olave (again, 6 vs. 4) and led the team with 79 receiving yards. Shaheed owns a 22.6% target share since Week 13. He also ranks 3rd among WRs with at least 30 targets in yards per route run (2.79)
  • However, Olave ends his rookie season 8th in total air yards (1,531) while commanding a 25% target share.
  • Shaheed seems like a guarantee to be a part of the Saints starting WR room next year with Deonte Harty, Jarvis Landry and Marquez Callaway all free agents.
  • Eno Benjamin played ahead of David Johnson as the No. 2 running back. Worth stashing Benjamin as he is the only RB under contract next year for the Saints not-named Kamara – who may face a suspension for legal reasons.

Carolina Panthers (Week 18 @ New Orleans Saints)

Saints and Panthers have both been eliminated from playoff contention.

  • D’Onta Foreman led the Panthers backfield with the start and 13 carries for 35 yards in Week 17. Zero targets which has been the case most of the season. Teammate Chuba Hubbard rushed just thrice for 12 yards and caught 3 targets for 53 yards. Foreman is a free agent in 2023, but Hubbard is still under contract.
  • D.J. Moore did what he usually does: 32% target share, 117 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. In 5 games with Sam Darnold at quarterback this season, Moore owns a 30% target share and is averaging over 75 receiving yards per game.
  • Moore’s 2022 campaign was full of ups and downs (as to be expected with a rotating QB carousel), but the fact remains true that he is an uber-talented wide receiver. His 54% team air yards share ranks first among all players in 2023 and is 11% points higher than the next closest player (43%, Amari Cooper).
  • DJM also finished No. 1 in WOPR (weighted opportunity), which further solidifies his sheer dominance in the Panthers passing attack. His 98% route participation also ranked the highest among all players.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Week 18 @ Atlanta Falcons)

Tampa Bay likely resting starters to some extent with No. 4 seed locked, Falcons playing for nothing

  • Rachaad White and Leonard Fournette split backfield touches nearly 50/50 in Week 17, with the rookie slightly edging out the veteran in touches (16 vs. 14) and snaps played. He also started and ran more routes. However, Lenny bogarted 3 carries inside the 10-yard line but just failed to score a TD. Neither were efficient as rushers or receivers; as both were held under 30 receiving yards and 30 rushing yards.
  • Mike Evans cashed in on his pent-up touchdown regression catching 3 TDs on 10 catches for 207 receiving yards (29% target share). His 30 deep targets in 2022 ranked 3rd among all players, but he caught just 12 of them.
  • Rookie tight end Cade Otton ran a route on 85% of dropbacks (elite) and commanded 3 red-zone targets on 6 total targets but did not score. Cameron Brate was a healthy scratch which put Otton into a full-time role.

Cleveland Browns (Week 18 @ Pittsburgh Steelers)

The Steelers are playing for playoff spot.

  • Kareem Hunt‘s usage finally hit rock bottom on Sunday, with him taking a backseat to rookie Jerome Ford. Ford compiled 5 carries for 9 yards, while Hunt was limited to 2 carries for zero yards (one carry inside the 10-yard line) and 1 catch for -1 yards.
  • Hunt’s underwhelming usage throughout the entire 2022 season has been extremely bizarre, and it strongly suggests that the 2023 free agent will almost certainly be on another team next season as he enters his age 28-season.
  • D’Ernest Johnson is also a free agent, but he has seen almost zero playing time all season.
  • Amari Cooper only caught 3 passes but finished with 105 yards and two TDs. I’d be excited about the future of not just Cooper, but all the full-time players in this offense with Deshaun Watson next season. Both Donovan Peoples-Jones – typically runs more routes every week than Cooper, 92% route participation through all of 2022 – and David Njoku – top-10 route participation among tight ends – are under contract in 2023.
  • Njoku could absolutely explode in 2023, considering his 2022 usage as a full-time player that the Browns have committed to. He finished second among TEs in red-zone targets (19, 10th overall) but only converted 3 into touchdowns.

Washington Commanders (Week 18 versus Dallas Cowboys)

Cowboys playing for playoff seeding combined with losses by 49ers and Eagles, Washington eliminated from postseason

  • Brian Robinson Jr. got fed without Antonio Gibson, carrying the ball 24 times for 87 rushing yards (64% opportunity share). Although he went 0-for-2 at the goal line and was vulture by his QB. And the team replaced AG’s role as a receiver with Jonathan Williams who commanded 5 targets and 3 catches in addition to 9 carries for 30 yards. Williams also ran a route on 66% of dropbacks.
  • Robinson finishes the fantasy regular season 13th in carries, but with just 2 rushing TDs.
  • Terry McLaurin suffered at the hands of Carson Wentz, seeing just 5 targets (18%) and catching 2 for 25 yards in Week 17. Woof.
  • Tight end Logan Thomas was Wentz’s go-to target for the second straight game commanding a 25% target share (6-56-0). He ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks.
  • Rookie Jahan Dotson also saw 7 targets and commanded 112 air yards. He also led the team in routes run.

San Francisco 49ers (Week 18 versus Arizona Cardinals)

Cardinals playing for nothing, 49ers are playing for a chance at No. 1 seed.

  • Christian McCaffrey does it ALL. 19 carries for 121 yards and 1 rushing TD while playing 85% of the snaps in Week 17. 88% of the backfield opportunities. No other RB for the 49ers got more than 2 touches.
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 9-101-1 on a team-high 12 targets (35% target share). Aiyuk was just one of six players this season to run a route on at least 96% of team dropbacks.
  • George Kittle scores AGAIN: 4-23-1 on 8 targets.
  • Aiyuk and Kittle combined for 61% of the team’s targets.
  • Jauan Jennings operated as WR2 running a route on 89% of dropbacks in Week 17.

Las Vegas Raiders (Week 18 versus Kansas City Chiefs)

The Chiefs are still in the running for the No. 1 seed. Clinch No. 1 seed with win and if CIN-BUF is not replayed.

  • Davante Adams brought his A-Game with Jarrett Stidham under center. The Raiders WR1 caught 7 balls for 153 yards and 2 TDs on a team-high 11 targets (35% target share).
  • His 33% target share ranks first among all receivers in 2022.
  • Josh Jacobs role seemed a bit lighter than usual, with Brandon Bolden totaling 8 carries for 34 yards. The 2023 free agent still got his – 17 for 69 and 1 rushing TD, 5 targets – so I wouldn’t be overly concerned about his usage in Week 18.
  • Jacobs’ 83% opportunity share led all RBs in 2022.
  • Darren Waller ran the same number of routes as Foster Moreau (61%), which continues his lackluster usage. However, there’s no doubt Waller is being hyper-targeted when he does run routes, as he was targeted on 5 routes for 72 receiving yards and 1 TD. 4 of his 5 targets were on 20-plus air yard throws.

New York Jets (Week 18 @ Miami Dolphins)

Miami is playing for the playoffs, while the Jets have been eliminated from postseason contention.

  • The matchup was present for Zonovan Knight to be productive, but the negative game flow put him in a tough spot. Knight was only able to muster 8 carries for 27 yards and 2 catches for 10 yards.
  • Ty Johnson was the Jets most involved RB drawing the start and totaling 13 opportunities (46% opportunity share) on a team-high 47% snap share. Michael Carter was not involved, totaling just 3 touches. Seeing Johnson be the clear favorite over Carter was definitely different usage from what we have seen in the past with this coaching staff when both guys are healthy.
  • Garrett Wilson got the targets (11, 24%) but the poor defensive matchup and lack of “effective” Mike White limited him to 3 catches for 18 yards. His 127 air yards led to little real yardage. Still, Wilson concludes his rookie year with a 24% target share and a 86% route participation despite not being a full-time player until Week 8.

Seattle Seahawks (Week 18 versus Los Angeles Rams)

The Seahawks are playing for a playoff berth.

  • Ken Walker got FED. 23 carries for 133 rushing yards. He also commanded all 4 carries inside the 10-yard line. However, DeeJay Dallas reared his ugly head with 7 carries for 43 yards of his own and 4 targets for 55 receiving yards. Dallas also ran just one fewer route than Walker (14 vs. 15). At times this season we have seen Walker earn a large number of targets and ran a surplus of routes.
  • Heading into 2023, I would hardly view Dallas as a reason to “fade” Walker for fear that he won’t be used as much in the receiving game. But he will likely be a decent handcuff option as he seems primed to take on the No. 2 role with Travis Homer and Rashaad Penny slated for free agency.
  • Tight end Colby Parkinson was the main benefactor of the Will Dissly injury. He played 81% of the snaps, ran a route on 77% of dropbacks and commanded a team-high 25% target share. All superior usage metrics to Noah Fant.
  • Tyler Lockett got banged-up in Week 17 as well, playing just 32% of the snaps.

Los Angeles Rams (Week 18 @ Seattle Seahawks)

The Seahawks are playing for a playoff berth.

  • Consider me back in on Cam Akers come 2023 fantasy football drafts. The three-down bellcow role in the Rams offense has been all Akers for the past month, and the usage didn’t stop in Week 17. He carried the ball 19 times for 123 yards earning a 91% opportunity share on a 78% snap share and 58% route participation in Week 17. Kyren Williams and Malcolm Brown have been regulated to one-two touches per week. From Weeks 15-17, Akers is the RB5 in points per game and the RB12 in expected points per game.
  • Don’t forget about Cooper Kupp next year. Obviously, it was disappointing due to injury, but he still ranked second in target share (31%, tied with Tyreek Hill) in the games he did participate in.

Los Angeles Chargers (Week 18 @ Denver Broncos)

LA is playing starters even though they have clinched a playoff spot. Although they clinch the No. 5 seed if the Ravens lose at 1 pm, giving them absolutely nothing to play for during their game.

  • In Week 17, Mike Williams led the way with a 32% target share commanding 94 receiving yards on 7 catches (10 targets).
  • Most of the Chargers’ usage metrics are down on account of them pulling starters early in the 4th quarter. Hence. Larry Rountree‘s random 10 carries for an atrocious 15 yards.
  • If the Chargers do decide to rest their starters at some point in Week 18, will we see more of WR DeAndre Carter. He has a contract incentive that awards him $250,000 with two receptions.

Green Bay Packers (Week 18 versus Detroit Lions)

Lions and Packers both playing for playoff berths. However, Lions will be eliminated if Seahawks win earlier on Sunday.

  • Don’t necessarily be fooled by Romeo Doubs‘ 4 target number in Week 17, as three of his targets came on the final drive from Jordan Love.
  • Allen Lazard was the true target leader with 6 targets coming from Aaron Rodgers (25%). Two of his targets came in the red zone.
  • Lazard has been low-key used aggressively downfield this season, ranking 5th in deep targets (26). However he only caught 8 of them.
  • Aaron Jones (14 for 111) and A.J. Dillon (12 for 41 and 1 TD) split touches as they often do. Although it’s worth noting that Dillon played more snaps and ran more routes (38% vs. 35%), albeit Jones caught more passes (2).
  • Christian Watson still was heavily involved – 5 targets, 29% target rate and 65% route participation – but he was not productive. The rookie caught just one pass for 11 yards despite seizing 131 air yards (49% air yards share).
  • Be aggressive drafting Watson in 2023. His 25% target rate per route run is nothing but impressive. 14th among all WRs with at least 60 targets. If he takes over the downfield looks in 2023 that Lazard earned, prepare for a massive second-year leap.

Minnesota Vikings (Week 18 @ Chicago Bears)

Vikings will either be No. 2 or No. 3 seed depending on outcome of the 49ers game and if they win over the Bears.

  • Minnesota got blown out by the Packers in Week 17, so there are no major takeaways from a usage standpoint. Everyone reprised their same roles.
  • Although it is worth mentioning that Adam Thielen continues to struggle so much that he is being out-produced by T.J. Hockenson (34% target share in Week 17) and No. 3 WR K.J. Osborn.
  • Thielen has just a 11% target share in the last 3 games. 7 catches for 90 yards total.
  • The Vikings have an out in Thielen’s contract in 2023. Needless to say, they would be wise to spend aggressively in either free agency or the draft to gain a new No. 2 to operate alongside Jefferson.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 18 versus Cleveland Browns)

The Steelers are playing for playoff spot.

  • Najee Harris (22 for 111 rushing) and Jaylen Warren (12 for 76 rushing) combined for 40 total backfield opportunities in Week 17 versus the Ravens. Both saw 3 targets. Harris played the most snaps (64% vs. 40%).
  • And despite all Harris’ ups-and-downs in 2022, he still operated as a pseudo-workhorse ranking 6th in opportunity share (70%) and 8th in total touches.
  • Diontae Johnson led the way with 7 targets (26%) but struggled with Kenny Pickett again, catching just 2 passes for 35 yards. Johnson has underwhelmed with Pickett all season; he has not topped more than 65 receiving yards or a weekly finish better than WR37.
  • But that’s par for the course with a rookie QB under center, so I’d expect a major bounce back for Johnson with Pickett entering Year 2. Johnson’s ability to command targets – 27% target share and 137 targets (7th) in 2022 – suggests he is a prime candidate for positive regression in many facets.
  • He scored zero TDs from Weeks 1-17, despite commanding 14 red-zone targets. Johnson also suffered horribly when targeted downfield, as he captured just four of his 24 targets of 20-plus air yards. His combined downfield targets and red-zone targets were the most of any player to not score in 2022. Those trends don’t tend to carry over from year-to-year. Buy-low on Johnson.
  • Pat Freiermuth finished 2nd with 6 targets for a team-high 36 receiving yards. More importantly, he retained his elite role, running a route on 93% of dropbacks. Pat Freiermuth has the chance to jump into the elite tier of tight ends in 2023, after finishing his 2nd season 6th in target share (21%) and 5th in target rate per route run (24%).
  • George Pickens‘ role also remained elite, with him running a route on 97% of dropbacks in Week 17. And although I am bullish on Johnson in 2023, Pickens is equally appealing. He commanded one more deep target than Johnson (25) and was, more importantly, more efficient, catching 14 deep balls – tied for 4th among all WRs.
  • Pickens was also just one of 16 players to run a route on at least 90% of his team’s dropbacks this season (91%).

Baltimore Ravens (Week 18 @ Cincinnati Bengals)

Ravens/Bengals playing for playoff seeding. Baltimore could get No. 5 seed if they win and Chargers lose. Baltimore plays before Los Angeles.

  • When the chips are on the line, the Ravens are turning to their RB1, J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins was by far the most involved running back on Sunday night, carrying the ball 17 times for 93 yards. 85% opportunity share and matched season-high 50% snap share. Gus Edwards had just 3 carries.
  • Mark Andrews finally had a good game with Tyler Huntley at QB: 9-100-0 on a 45% target share. Isaiah Likely came away with the TD, while running the 3rd-most routes on the team. Both Andrews and Likely earned 36% target rates.
  • This team desperately needs Rashod Bateman back in the fold in 2023. From Demarcus Robinson to Devin Duvernay, the Baltimore Ravens WR room boasts some of the worst WR efficiency metrics as a group. Bateman is the one glimmer of hope as he averaged a 23% target rate and 2.38 yards per route run in a truncated 2022 campaign.

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FantasyPros Fantasy Football Over/Under Challenge: Week 11 (2024)

Next Up - FantasyPros Fantasy Football Over/Under Challenge: Week 11 (2024)

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