Fantasy Football Week 17 and 2022 Season Usage Report

High-end fantasy football performances and weekly finishes are fueled by high numbers of routes run and high-value targets and touches. The majority of top scorers from Week 17 and during the 2022 fantasy regular season saw healthy doses of red-zone targets, air yards, deep targets and goal-line carries.

Targeting players who run a high percentage of routes is also a good approach for identifying breakout candidates, beatable player props, DFS targets and players to prioritize in the Week 18 fantasy football rankings and for way-too-early 2023 rankings.

This weekly report will look at recent rates of routes run per dropback along with players who commanded a high rate of high-value opportunities compared to larger samples to find sleeper running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who are garnering more or fewer opportunities in the passing game heading into Week 18 and for the 2023 season.

Check out the rest of our weekly fantasy football advice

WIDE RECEIVERS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player	Routes	% of routes run per dropback	Targets	Target Share	Target Rate Per Route Run
D.J. Moore	491	98%	114	28%	23%
Diontae Johnson	588	97%	137	27%	23%
Davante Adams	575	96%	171	33%	30%
DeVonta Smith	561	96%	128	27%	23%
Justin Jefferson	670	96%	179	29%	27%
Brandon Aiyuk	507	96%	109	22%	21%
Christian Kirk	588	95%	125	23%	21%
CeeDee Lamb	531	95%	149	30%	28%
Adam Thielen	654	94%	104	18%	16%
Mack Hollins	558	93%	91	17%	16%
Michael Pittman	601	93%	136	27%	23%
Terry McLaurin	561	93%	114	23%	20%
A.J. Brown	540	92%	135	28%	25%
Donovan Peoples-Jones	533	92%	92	19%	17%
George Pickens	554	91%	78	16%	14%
Amari Cooper	525	91%	129	27%	25%
DK Metcalf	544	88%	133	25%	24%
Parris Campbell	568	88%	82	15%	14%
Gabe Davis	553	88%	83	18%	15%
Zay Jones	539	87%	115	21%	21%
Drake London	395	87%	109	29%	28%
Robert Woods	430	87%	86	21%	20%
Stefon Diggs	541	86%	144	27%	27%
Garrett Wilson	564	86%	130	24%	23%
Mike Evans	626	84%	127	20%	20%
Tyreek Hill	508	84%	165	31%	32%
Chase Claypool	401	84%	73	17%	18%
Tyler Boyd	522	82%	75	14%	14%
Curtis Samuel	494	82%	91	18%	18%
Jaylen Waddle	493	81%	112	21%	23%
Tyler Lockett	499	81%	110	22%	22%
K.J. Osborn	564	81%	84	13%	15%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	397	80%	49	12%	12%
Courtland Sutton	506	80%	102	22%	20%
Allen Lazard	461	80%	94	20%	20%
Josh Palmer	580	79%	101	17%	17%
Tee Higgins	494	78%	102	22%	21%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	532	77%	75	13%	14%
Chris Godwin	567	76%	135	22%	24%
Chris Olave	409	76%	107	25%	26%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	448	76%	137	28%	31%
Noah Brown	421	75%	68	15%	16%
Ja’Marr Chase	475	75%	121	29%	25%
Olamide Zaccheaus	338	74%	54	16%	16%
Marvin Jones	452	73%	75	14%	17%
JuJu Smith-Schuster	504	73%	99	18%	20%
Elijah Moore	470	72%	64	13%	14%
Ben Skowronek	411	70%	61	14%	15%
Alec Pierce	448	69%	74	15%	17%
Jakobi Meyers	386	69%	89	23%	23%
Michael Gallup	386	69%	68	17%	18%
Darius Slayton	402	69%	71	19%	18%
Devin Duvernay	353	68%	49	13%	14%
Chris Moore	400	67%	68	16%	17%
Deebo Samuel	352	66%	91	25%	26%
Jerry Jeudy	420	66%	94	21%	22%
Brandin Cooks	388	65%	87	22%	22%
Darnell Mooney	312	65%	61	27%	20%
Quez Watkins	378	65%	47	10%	12%
Marquise Brown	466	64%	103	24%	22%
DeAndre Carter	469	64%	60	10%	13%
Demarcus Robinson	326	63%	66	16%	20%
Allen Robinson	364	62%	52	16%	14%
Trent Sherfield	377	62%	51	10%	14%
Josh Reynolds	365	62%	57	15%	16%
Terrace Marshall	307	61%	44	14%	14%
Mike Williams	447	61%	88	19%	20%
Shi Smith	305	61%	40	11%	13%
Dante Pettis	284	59%	35	12%	12%
Richie James	344	59%	70	18%	20%
Jahan Dotson	354	58%	57	15%	16%
Cooper Kupp	338	58%	98	31%	29%
Equanimeous St. Brown	276	58%	38	15%	14%
Isaiah McKenzie	357	57%	62	12%	17%
Corey Davis	368	56%	61	14%	17%
Jauan Jennings	288	54%	54	12%	19%
Tyquan Thornton	303	54%	43	13%	14%
D.J. Chark	313	53%	48	13%	15%
Nelson Agholor	294	53%	52	13%	18%
Romeo Doubs	300	52%	65	16%	22%
Kalif Raymond	306	52%	58	13%	19%
David Bell	291	50%	33	8%	11%
DeAndre Hopkins	362	50%	96	30%	27%
DeVante Parker	280	50%	40	12%	14%
Marquise Goodwin	299	49%	42	10%	14%
Kendrick Bourne	271	48%	43	9%	16%
Phillip Dorsett	288	48%	40	9%	14%
Nico Collins	286	48%	66	19%	23%
Russell Gage	353	47%	64	13%	18%
A.J. Green	341	47%	42	9%	12%
Van Jefferson	268	46%	37	16%	14%
Kendall Hinton	286	45%	33	9%	12%
Greg Dortch	324	45%	60	14%	19%
Isaiah Hodgins	262	45%	48	17%	18%
Robby Anderson	323	45%	44	12%	14%
Treylon Burks	221	44%	47	16%	21%
Keenan Allen	317	43%	78	23%	25%
Hunter Renfrow	258	43%	43	15%	17%
Christian Watson	242	42%	60	16%	25%
Randall Cobb	236	41%	48	12%	20%
Justin Watson	277	40%	32	6%	12%
Keelan Cole	235	39%	19	7%	8%
Rondale Moore	281	39%	56	23%	20%
Jarvis Landry	207	38%	39	14%	19%
Marquez Callaway	187	35%	31	11%	17%
Damiere Byrd	154	34%	22	8%	14%
Sammy Watkins	175	34%	23	10%	13%
Julio Jones	245	33%	43	10%	18%
Tre’Quan Smith	175	32%	26	10%	15%
Ray-Ray McCloud	166	31%	25	6%	15%
Rashid Shaheed	163	30%	30	13%	18%
Mecole Hardman	200	29%	34	10%	17%
Cam Sims	174	29%	17	5%	10%
Byron Pringle	137	29%	15	11%	11%
Trenton Irwin	179	28%	21	7%	12%
Braxton Berrios	178	27%	32	7%	18%
Tutu Atwell	149	26%	32	12%	21%
Marcus Johnson	148	25%	16	14%	11%
Zach Pascal	147	25%	19	5%	13%
Denzel Mims	162	25%	25	10%	15%
K.J. Hamler	156	25%	14	7%	9%
Skyy Moore	167	24%	33	8%	20%
Scott Miller	173	23%	38	9%	22%
Rashod Bateman	120	23%	28	19%	23%
Steven Sims	139	23%	23	9%	17%
Cedrick Wilson	137	23%	18	6%	13%
Amari Rodgers	132	22%	21	9%	16%
Wan’Dale Robinson	129	22%	31	17%	24%
David Sills	126	22%	17	9%	13%
Tom Kennedy	125	21%	15	11%	12%
Khalil Shakir	132	21%	18	6%	14%
Brandon Powell	120	21%	29	8%	24%
James Proche	107	21%	14	8%	13%
Brandon Johnson	125	20%	14	11%	11%
Michael Bandy	144	20%	21	7%	15%
Michael Thomas	104	19%	22	20%	21%
Mike Thomas	116	18%	10	6%	9%
Kenny Golladay	106	18%	10	8%	9%
Laviska Shenault	90	18%	31	12%	34%
Ashton Dulin	111	17%	22	9%	20%
Sterling Shepard	99	17%	24	27%	24%
Breshad Perriman	115	15%	17	7%	15%
D’Wayne Eskridge	93	15%	13	6%	14%
KhaDarel Hodge	68	15%	20	9%	29%
Chris Conley	74	15%	7	7%	9%
DeSean Jackson	75	14%	17	10%	23%
Dyami Brown	85	14%	14	6%	16%
N’Keal Harry	67	14%	7	6%	10%
Kevin White	75	14%	5	4%	7%
Velus Jones	66	14%	12	9%	18%
Samori Toure	79	14%	10	8%	13%
Jamal Agnew	82	13%	29	7%	35%
River Cracraft	80	13%	13	5%	16%
Mike Woods	76	13%	9	6%	12%
Gunner Olszewski	76	12%	7	6%	9%
Trent Taylor	79	12%	10	6%	13%
Laquon Treadwell	72	12%	10	9%	14%
Mike Strachan	75	12%	9	5%	12%
Jeff Smith	75	11%	11	5%	15%
Bryan Edwards	52	11%	5	5%	10%
Jamison Crowder	71	11%	13	9%	18%
Kadarius Toney	77	11%	18	7%	23%
Anthony Schwartz	62	11%	10	5%	16%
Keith Kirkwood	57	11%	4	7%	7%
Cody Hollister	49	10%	5	8%	10%
Kyle Philips	48	10%	13	12%	27%
Tim Jones	59	10%	4	4%	7%
Andre Baccellia	69	10%	9	5%	13%
Andy Isabella	48	9%	5	6%	10%
Dennis Houston	48	9%	6	8%	13%
Jake Kumerow	53	8%	7	5%	13%
Freddie Swain	53	8%	3	5%	6%
Montrell Washington	52	8%	9	5%	17%
Lil’Jordan Humphrey	44	8%	4	5%	9%
Racey McMath	37	7%	8	8%	22%
Jalen Tolbert	40	7%	3	5%	8%
Jalen Virgil	43	7%	5	4%	12%
Jaelon Darden	39	7%	2	2%	5%
Tyrie Cleveland	40	6%	7	7%	18%
Jalen Reagor	43	6%	11	3%	26%
Dax Milne	35	6%	7	3%	20%
Tylan Wallace	30	6%	6	5%	20%
Jameson Williams	31	5%	8	5%	26%
Danny Gray	27	5%	7	6%	26%
Lance McCutcheon	28	5%	5	11%	18%
Jason Moore	35	5%	2	4%	6%
Austin Trammell	27	5%	4	7%	15%
Juwann Winfree	26	4%	4	4%	15%
KaVontae Turpin	25	4%	2	2%	8%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	30	4%	4	6%	13%
Miles Boykin	26	4%	3	3%	12%
Simi Fehoko	23	4%	4	5%	17%
Quintez Cephus	21	4%	3	8%	14%
T.Y. Hilton	19	3%	6	8%	32%
Penny Hart	20	3%	4	3%	20%
Cole Beasley	20	3%	7	5%	35%
Braylon Sanders	19	3%	3	5%	16%
Tyron Johnson	18	3%	1	5%	6%
Deonte Harty	16	3%	2	3%	13%
Cade Johnson	16	3%	2	7%	13%
Jalen Guyton	19	3%	4	5%	21%
Dezmon Patmon	15	2%	6	21%	40%
Jalen Nailor	16	2%	8	6%	50%
Stanley Morgan	14	2%	1	3%	7%
C.J. Board	10	2%	1	4%	10%
Ty Montgomery	11	2%	4	13%	36%
Tanner Conner	11	2%	3	4%	27%
Mason Kinsey	9	2%	1	5%	11%
Josh Gordon	9	2%	1	4%	11%
Tanner Gentry	11	2%	1	3%	9%
James Washington	9	2%	1	3%	11%
Deven Thompkins	11	1%	1	2%	9%
Nsimba Webster	7	1%	3	14%	43%
D.J. Turner	8	1%	1	5%	13%
Jalen Camp	7	1%	1	5%	14%
Daylen Baldwin	5	1%	2	8%	40%
Maurice Alexander	5	1%	1	3%	20%
John Brown	5	1%	1	4%	20%
Pharoh Cooper	3	0%	0	NA	0%
Jacob Harris	2	0%	1	4%	50%
Keke Coutee	2	0%	1	4%	50%
Cody White	1	0%	1	4%	100%

Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN)

Check out the rest of our weekly fantasy football advice

WIDE RECEIVERS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player	Routes	% of routes run per dropback	Targets	Target Share	Target Rate Per Route Run
D.J. Moore	491	98%	114	28%	23%
Diontae Johnson	588	97%	137	27%	23%
Davante Adams	575	96%	171	33%	30%
DeVonta Smith	561	96%	128	27%	23%
Justin Jefferson	670	96%	179	29%	27%
Brandon Aiyuk	507	96%	109	22%	21%
Christian Kirk	588	95%	125	23%	21%
CeeDee Lamb	531	95%	149	30%	28%
Adam Thielen	654	94%	104	18%	16%
Mack Hollins	558	93%	91	17%	16%
Michael Pittman	601	93%	136	27%	23%
Terry McLaurin	561	93%	114	23%	20%
A.J. Brown	540	92%	135	28%	25%
Donovan Peoples-Jones	533	92%	92	19%	17%
George Pickens	554	91%	78	16%	14%
Amari Cooper	525	91%	129	27%	25%
DK Metcalf	544	88%	133	25%	24%
Parris Campbell	568	88%	82	15%	14%
Gabe Davis	553	88%	83	18%	15%
Zay Jones	539	87%	115	21%	21%
Drake London	395	87%	109	29%	28%
Robert Woods	430	87%	86	21%	20%
Stefon Diggs	541	86%	144	27%	27%
Garrett Wilson	564	86%	130	24%	23%
Mike Evans	626	84%	127	20%	20%
Tyreek Hill	508	84%	165	31%	32%
Chase Claypool	401	84%	73	17%	18%
Tyler Boyd	522	82%	75	14%	14%
Curtis Samuel	494	82%	91	18%	18%
Jaylen Waddle	493	81%	112	21%	23%
Tyler Lockett	499	81%	110	22%	22%
K.J. Osborn	564	81%	84	13%	15%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	397	80%	49	12%	12%
Courtland Sutton	506	80%	102	22%	20%
Allen Lazard	461	80%	94	20%	20%
Josh Palmer	580	79%	101	17%	17%
Tee Higgins	494	78%	102	22%	21%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	532	77%	75	13%	14%
Chris Godwin	567	76%	135	22%	24%
Chris Olave	409	76%	107	25%	26%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	448	76%	137	28%	31%
Noah Brown	421	75%	68	15%	16%
Ja’Marr Chase	475	75%	121	29%	25%
Olamide Zaccheaus	338	74%	54	16%	16%
Marvin Jones	452	73%	75	14%	17%
JuJu Smith-Schuster	504	73%	99	18%	20%
Elijah Moore	470	72%	64	13%	14%
Ben Skowronek	411	70%	61	14%	15%
Alec Pierce	448	69%	74	15%	17%
Jakobi Meyers	386	69%	89	23%	23%
Michael Gallup	386	69%	68	17%	18%
Darius Slayton	402	69%	71	19%	18%
Devin Duvernay	353	68%	49	13%	14%
Chris Moore	400	67%	68	16%	17%
Deebo Samuel	352	66%	91	25%	26%
Jerry Jeudy	420	66%	94	21%	22%
Brandin Cooks	388	65%	87	22%	22%
Darnell Mooney	312	65%	61	27%	20%
Quez Watkins	378	65%	47	10%	12%
Marquise Brown	466	64%	103	24%	22%
DeAndre Carter	469	64%	60	10%	13%
Demarcus Robinson	326	63%	66	16%	20%
Allen Robinson	364	62%	52	16%	14%
Trent Sherfield	377	62%	51	10%	14%
Josh Reynolds	365	62%	57	15%	16%
Terrace Marshall	307	61%	44	14%	14%
Mike Williams	447	61%	88	19%	20%
Shi Smith	305	61%	40	11%	13%
Dante Pettis	284	59%	35	12%	12%
Richie James	344	59%	70	18%	20%
Jahan Dotson	354	58%	57	15%	16%
Cooper Kupp	338	58%	98	31%	29%
Equanimeous St. Brown	276	58%	38	15%	14%
Isaiah McKenzie	357	57%	62	12%	17%
Corey Davis	368	56%	61	14%	17%
Jauan Jennings	288	54%	54	12%	19%
Tyquan Thornton	303	54%	43	13%	14%
D.J. Chark	313	53%	48	13%	15%
Nelson Agholor	294	53%	52	13%	18%
Romeo Doubs	300	52%	65	16%	22%
Kalif Raymond	306	52%	58	13%	19%
David Bell	291	50%	33	8%	11%
DeAndre Hopkins	362	50%	96	30%	27%
DeVante Parker	280	50%	40	12%	14%
Marquise Goodwin	299	49%	42	10%	14%
Kendrick Bourne	271	48%	43	9%	16%
Phillip Dorsett	288	48%	40	9%	14%
Nico Collins	286	48%	66	19%	23%
Russell Gage	353	47%	64	13%	18%
A.J. Green	341	47%	42	9%	12%
Van Jefferson	268	46%	37	16%	14%
Kendall Hinton	286	45%	33	9%	12%
Greg Dortch	324	45%	60	14%	19%
Isaiah Hodgins	262	45%	48	17%	18%
Robby Anderson	323	45%	44	12%	14%
Treylon Burks	221	44%	47	16%	21%
Keenan Allen	317	43%	78	23%	25%
Hunter Renfrow	258	43%	43	15%	17%
Christian Watson	242	42%	60	16%	25%
Randall Cobb	236	41%	48	12%	20%
Justin Watson	277	40%	32	6%	12%
Keelan Cole	235	39%	19	7%	8%
Rondale Moore	281	39%	56	23%	20%
Jarvis Landry	207	38%	39	14%	19%
Marquez Callaway	187	35%	31	11%	17%
Damiere Byrd	154	34%	22	8%	14%
Sammy Watkins	175	34%	23	10%	13%
Julio Jones	245	33%	43	10%	18%
Tre’Quan Smith	175	32%	26	10%	15%
Ray-Ray McCloud	166	31%	25	6%	15%
Rashid Shaheed	163	30%	30	13%	18%
Mecole Hardman	200	29%	34	10%	17%
Cam Sims	174	29%	17	5%	10%
Byron Pringle	137	29%	15	11%	11%
Trenton Irwin	179	28%	21	7%	12%
Braxton Berrios	178	27%	32	7%	18%
Tutu Atwell	149	26%	32	12%	21%
Marcus Johnson	148	25%	16	14%	11%
Zach Pascal	147	25%	19	5%	13%
Denzel Mims	162	25%	25	10%	15%
K.J. Hamler	156	25%	14	7%	9%
Skyy Moore	167	24%	33	8%	20%
Scott Miller	173	23%	38	9%	22%
Rashod Bateman	120	23%	28	19%	23%
Steven Sims	139	23%	23	9%	17%
Cedrick Wilson	137	23%	18	6%	13%
Amari Rodgers	132	22%	21	9%	16%
Wan’Dale Robinson	129	22%	31	17%	24%
David Sills	126	22%	17	9%	13%
Tom Kennedy	125	21%	15	11%	12%
Khalil Shakir	132	21%	18	6%	14%
Brandon Powell	120	21%	29	8%	24%
James Proche	107	21%	14	8%	13%
Brandon Johnson	125	20%	14	11%	11%
Michael Bandy	144	20%	21	7%	15%
Michael Thomas	104	19%	22	20%	21%
Mike Thomas	116	18%	10	6%	9%
Kenny Golladay	106	18%	10	8%	9%
Laviska Shenault	90	18%	31	12%	34%
Ashton Dulin	111	17%	22	9%	20%
Sterling Shepard	99	17%	24	27%	24%
Breshad Perriman	115	15%	17	7%	15%
D’Wayne Eskridge	93	15%	13	6%	14%
KhaDarel Hodge	68	15%	20	9%	29%
Chris Conley	74	15%	7	7%	9%
DeSean Jackson	75	14%	17	10%	23%
Dyami Brown	85	14%	14	6%	16%
N’Keal Harry	67	14%	7	6%	10%
Kevin White	75	14%	5	4%	7%
Velus Jones	66	14%	12	9%	18%
Samori Toure	79	14%	10	8%	13%
Jamal Agnew	82	13%	29	7%	35%
River Cracraft	80	13%	13	5%	16%
Mike Woods	76	13%	9	6%	12%
Gunner Olszewski	76	12%	7	6%	9%
Trent Taylor	79	12%	10	6%	13%
Laquon Treadwell	72	12%	10	9%	14%
Mike Strachan	75	12%	9	5%	12%
Jeff Smith	75	11%	11	5%	15%
Bryan Edwards	52	11%	5	5%	10%
Jamison Crowder	71	11%	13	9%	18%
Kadarius Toney	77	11%	18	7%	23%
Anthony Schwartz	62	11%	10	5%	16%
Keith Kirkwood	57	11%	4	7%	7%
Cody Hollister	49	10%	5	8%	10%
Kyle Philips	48	10%	13	12%	27%
Tim Jones	59	10%	4	4%	7%
Andre Baccellia	69	10%	9	5%	13%
Andy Isabella	48	9%	5	6%	10%
Dennis Houston	48	9%	6	8%	13%
Jake Kumerow	53	8%	7	5%	13%
Freddie Swain	53	8%	3	5%	6%
Montrell Washington	52	8%	9	5%	17%
Lil’Jordan Humphrey	44	8%	4	5%	9%
Racey McMath	37	7%	8	8%	22%
Jalen Tolbert	40	7%	3	5%	8%
Jalen Virgil	43	7%	5	4%	12%
Jaelon Darden	39	7%	2	2%	5%
Tyrie Cleveland	40	6%	7	7%	18%
Jalen Reagor	43	6%	11	3%	26%
Dax Milne	35	6%	7	3%	20%
Tylan Wallace	30	6%	6	5%	20%
Jameson Williams	31	5%	8	5%	26%
Danny Gray	27	5%	7	6%	26%
Lance McCutcheon	28	5%	5	11%	18%
Jason Moore	35	5%	2	4%	6%
Austin Trammell	27	5%	4	7%	15%
Juwann Winfree	26	4%	4	4%	15%
KaVontae Turpin	25	4%	2	2%	8%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	30	4%	4	6%	13%
Miles Boykin	26	4%	3	3%	12%
Simi Fehoko	23	4%	4	5%	17%
Quintez Cephus	21	4%	3	8%	14%
T.Y. Hilton	19	3%	6	8%	32%
Penny Hart	20	3%	4	3%	20%
Cole Beasley	20	3%	7	5%	35%
Braylon Sanders	19	3%	3	5%	16%
Tyron Johnson	18	3%	1	5%	6%
Deonte Harty	16	3%	2	3%	13%
Cade Johnson	16	3%	2	7%	13%
Jalen Guyton	19	3%	4	5%	21%
Dezmon Patmon	15	2%	6	21%	40%
Jalen Nailor	16	2%	8	6%	50%
Stanley Morgan	14	2%	1	3%	7%
C.J. Board	10	2%	1	4%	10%
Ty Montgomery	11	2%	4	13%	36%
Tanner Conner	11	2%	3	4%	27%
Mason Kinsey	9	2%	1	5%	11%
Josh Gordon	9	2%	1	4%	11%
Tanner Gentry	11	2%	1	3%	9%
James Washington	9	2%	1	3%	11%
Deven Thompkins	11	1%	1	2%	9%
Nsimba Webster	7	1%	3	14%	43%
D.J. Turner	8	1%	1	5%	13%
Jalen Camp	7	1%	1	5%	14%
Daylen Baldwin	5	1%	2	8%	40%
Maurice Alexander	5	1%	1	3%	20%
John Brown	5	1%	1	4%	20%
Pharoh Cooper	3	0%	0	NA	0%
Jacob Harris	2	0%	1	4%	50%
Keke Coutee	2	0%	1	4%	50%
Cody White	1	0%	1	4%	100%

Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN)

Interestingly enough, Ja’Marr Chase actually led the league in red-zone targets per game, commanding 22 in 11 games played (two per game). Should Chase push his former LSU teammate Justin Jefferson for fantasy WR1 status supremacy in 2023, red-zone usage would be his path to success.

HIGH-VALUE TARGETS:

RED-ZONE TARGETS, AIR YARDS AND DEEP TARGETS

Player	Air Yards Share	Air Yards	Deep Targets	Deep Catches	Red-Zone Targets	Red-Zone TDs	WOPR (Weighted Opportunity)
D.J. Moore	54%	1417	27	14	10	4	0.80
Amari Cooper	43%	1542	23	9	16	6	0.72
Davante Adams	42%	2010	37	15	21	4	0.79
DeAndre Hopkins	42%	976	13	5	6	1	0.74
Sterling Shepard	41%	225	4	1	0	0	0.70
Justin Jefferson	41%	1815	26	16	26	6	0.72
A.J. Brown	39%	1598	26	12	15	4	0.70
Tyreek Hill	39%	2027	37	19	8	2	0.74
Ja’Marr Chase	39%	1071	14	3	22	5	0.71
Chris Olave	38%	1531	24	7	10	2	0.64
CeeDee Lamb	38%	1487	25	13	11	3	0.71
Darius Slayton	37%	884	11	5	3	0	0.55
Darnell Mooney	37%	731	15	5	6	2	0.66
Mike Evans	37%	1677	30	12	14	3	0.55
Terry McLaurin	36%	1458	24	9	8	2	0.60
Cooper Kupp	36%	704	10	6	11	4	0.71
Mike Williams	36%	1067	18	6	11	4	0.54
DK Metcalf	36%	1475	21	7	26	5	0.63
Marquise Brown	35%	1105	21	6	10	1	0.61
Diontae Johnson	35%	1393	24	4	14	0	0.65
Stefon Diggs	34%	1577	24	11	22	7	0.64
Tee Higgins	33%	1069	15	9	10	4	0.55
Van Jefferson	32%	561	8	4	5	2	0.46
Brandon Aiyuk	32%	1052	12	3	15	6	0.56
Tyler Lockett	31%	1144	17	9	8	2	0.55
Nico Collins	31%	744	12	4	8	2	0.50
Courtland Sutton	31%	1234	17	5	11	1	0.55
DeVonta Smith	31%	1291	19	8	11	5	0.62
Jakobi Meyers	30%	900	16	8	6	2	0.55
Allen Lazard	30%	1187	26	8	16	3	0.51
Brandin Cooks	30%	888	17	7	9	2	0.53
D.J. Chark	30%	767	15	7	3	1	0.41
Gabe Davis	29%	1259	22	9	11	3	0.48
Keenan Allen	29%	673	10	5	12	1	0.55
Dezmon Patmon	29%	73	1	0	0	0	0.51
Michael Pittman	29%	934	5	1	12	3	0.61
Drake London	29%	1073	12	3	14	4	0.64
Amon-Ra St. Brown	29%	882	8	5	21	6	0.62
Rashod Bateman	28%	374	7	2	0	0	0.48
Jaylen Waddle	28%	1385	16	10	8	4	0.51
Garrett Wilson	28%	1353	17	5	19	3	0.55
Alec Pierce	28%	869	15	7	5	1	0.42
Christian Kirk	28%	1098	17	9	21	7	0.54
Terrace Marshall	27%	566	9	5	6	0	0.40
George Pickens	27%	1093	25	14	6	2	0.42
Zay Jones	27%	986	17	5	16	3	0.51
Corey Davis	26%	847	10	5	8	1	0.40
Marvin Jones	26%	981	18	3	10	3	0.39
Jerry Jeudy	26%	993	23	9	10	4	0.49
Donovan Peoples-Jones	26%	1058	19	6	12	3	0.47
Brandon Johnson	26%	180	4	0	2	1	0.34
Tutu Atwell	25%	561	10	2	2	0	0.36
Isaiah Hodgins	25%	435	4	3	6	4	0.43
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	25%	1024	19	10	11	2	0.38
Josh Palmer	25%	894	10	3	8	2	0.43
Treylon Burks	25%	575	12	5	4	0	0.42
Jahan Dotson	24%	793	16	7	7	5	0.40
Adam Thielen	24%	1018	9	4	18	4	0.43
Tyquan Thornton	24%	631	14	3	5	2	0.37
Christian Watson	24%	808	15	3	13	4	0.41
Michael Gallup	23%	753	8	1	11	4	0.42
Allen Robinson	23%	502	4	0	14	3	0.40
Mack Hollins	23%	1153	16	3	11	2	0.42
Robby Anderson	23%	621	10	2	3	0	0.34
DeVante Parker	22%	625	14	7	2	0	0.33
Daylen Baldwin	22%	25	0	0	0	0	0.27
Olamide Zaccheaus	22%	647	10	4	4	2	0.40
Robert Woods	22%	673	4	1	13	2	0.48
Nelson Agholor	22%	634	12	4	2	0	0.35
Lance McCutcheon	22%	71	1	0	0	0	0.32
Josh Reynolds	22%	677	11	3	13	3	0.37
Richie James	21%	509	2	2	7	4	0.41
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	21%	638	8	3	7	2	0.33
Racey McMath	21%	176	6	1	0	0	0.26
Demarcus Robinson	21%	615	11	1	9	2	0.39
Equanimeous St. Brown	21%	494	9	3	2	1	0.38
Noah Brown	20%	710	9	4	11	3	0.38
DeSean Jackson	20%	302	7	2	2	0	0.30
Damiere Byrd	20%	468	9	3	0	0	0.26
Rondale Moore	20%	309	4	1	6	0	0.48
Chase Claypool	20%	676	12	3	6	1	0.39
Julio Jones	20%	593	13	2	6	1	0.29
Byron Pringle	20%	230	5	2	0	0	0.30
Romeo Doubs	20%	607	9	2	8	3	0.38
John Brown	20%	44	1	0	0	0	0.19
Michael Thomas	20%	237	2	0	3	3	0.44
Velus Jones	19%	191	4	1	2	1	0.27
K.J. Hamler	19%	367	8	3	0	0	0.25
T.Y. Hilton	19%	106	2	1	0	0	0.25
Marcus Johnson	19%	137	0	0	3	0	0.34
Elijah Moore	19%	770	11	4	7	0	0.33
Jalen Guyton	18%	115	3	1	0	0	0.21
Dyami Brown	18%	361	7	2	0	0	0.23
Chris Godwin	18%	763	6	2	15	3	0.46
Rashid Shaheed	18%	362	7	6	1	0	0.33
Sammy Watkins	18%	290	6	4	5	0	0.27
JuJu Smith-Schuster	18%	718	2	1	15	1	0.39
Chris Moore	18%	556	12	4	10	2	0.36
Danny Gray	17%	160	3	0	0	0	0.21
Keith Kirkwood	17%	55	2	0	0	0	0.23
Scott Miller	17%	505	10	2	4	0	0.25
Tyler Boyd	17%	682	6	5	10	4	0.32
Cody Hollister	17%	78	1	1	1	0	0.24
Kalif Raymond	16%	572	10	5	8	0	0.30
Randall Cobb	16%	471	7	2	7	1	0.30
Curtis Samuel	16%	618	8	5	9	2	0.38
Denzel Mims	16%	313	6	1	1	0	0.26
Jauan Jennings	15%	454	6	2	3	1	0.29
Ben Skowronek	15%	480	9	4	3	0	0.31
Marquez Callaway	15%	363	6	1	5	1	0.27
Deebo Samuel	15%	411	3	1	12	1	0.48
Parris Campbell	15%	504	4	2	8	2	0.33
Mike Thomas	15%	122	2	0	3	0	0.19
Phillip Dorsett	14%	445	8	4	2	0	0.24
Devin Duvernay	14%	440	11	6	8	2	0.29
Samori Toure	14%	174	4	2	0	0	0.21
Tre’Quan Smith	14%	326	3	1	2	1	0.25
Nsimba Webster	14%	22	0	0	0	0	0.31
Jarvis Landry	14%	374	4	2	6	1	0.31
Marquise Goodwin	14%	442	9	5	4	1	0.25
DeAndre Carter	14%	509	11	5	7	0	0.24
K.J. Osborn	14%	651	9	2	9	4	0.30
Wan’Dale Robinson	14%	192	1	0	2	1	0.35
Ashton Dulin	14%	252	2	1	4	1	0.23
Justin Watson	13%	562	12	4	2	1	0.18
A.J. Green	13%	433	8	0	6	1	0.23
Shi Smith	13%	303	6	4	5	2	0.25
Dante Pettis	13%	326	6	2	4	1	0.27
Tom Kennedy	13%	129	1	0	0	0	0.25
Jameson Williams	13%	136	3	1	0	0	0.16
Isaiah McKenzie	12%	544	9	5	9	4	0.27
Amari Rodgers	12%	217	4	2	0	0	0.22
Kenny Golladay	12%	100	0	0	0	0	0.21
Dennis Houston	12%	79	2	0	0	0	0.20
Keelan Cole	12%	322	7	2	3	0	0.18
Mecole Hardman	12%	275	6	3	10	4	0.24
Hunter Renfrow	12%	306	3	1	4	1	0.30
KhaDarel Hodge	12%	268	5	2	0	0	0.22
Kyle Philips	12%	100	1	1	0	0	0.26
Andy Isabella	12%	70	1	0	0	0	0.17
Breshad Perriman	12%	229	6	2	0	0	0.18
Trenton Irwin	12%	238	3	2	4	2	0.19
Kendrick Bourne	11%	467	9	5	3	1	0.22
Quez Watkins	11%	451	11	4	4	0	0.23
Jamison Crowder	11%	121	3	0	0	0	0.21
Mike Strachan	11%	129	2	1	4	0	0.15
Trent Sherfield	11%	554	8	3	8	1	0.22
Greg Dortch	10%	311	3	2	5	2	0.29
Chris Conley	10%	87	2	1	0	0	0.17
Russell Gage	10%	351	2	2	16	4	0.26
Mike Woods	10%	153	4	0	2	0	0.17
Kendall Hinton	10%	303	3	2	4	0	0.21
Jalen Tolbert	10%	45	1	0	0	0	0.15
Ray-Ray McCloud	10%	295	3	0	1	1	0.16
N’Keal Harry	10%	109	1	1	1	1	0.16
David Sills	10%	133	0	0	2	0	0.20
Juwann Winfree	9%	52	1	0	0	0	0.12
Tyrie Cleveland	9%	99	1	0	0	0	0.17
Michael Bandy	9%	173	4	2	0	0	0.17
Jalen Nailor	9%	98	2	2	1	0	0.15
Kevin White	9%	91	2	0	0	0	0.12
James Proche	9%	106	2	0	2	0	0.18
Cade Johnson	8%	21	0	0	0	0	0.16
Jason Moore	8%	24	1	0	0	0	0.11
Cedrick Wilson	8%	189	2	0	0	0	0.15
Cam Sims	8%	227	3	0	2	0	0.13
Montrell Washington	8%	153	5	0	0	0	0.12
Skyy Moore	8%	261	2	0	0	0	0.17
Simi Fehoko	7%	51	1	0	0	0	0.13
Braylon Sanders	7%	42	1	0	0	0	0.12
Tylan Wallace	7%	87	2	0	0	0	0.13
Keke Coutee	7%	12	0	0	0	0	0.10
Anthony Schwartz	7%	142	2	0	0	0	0.12
Jake Kumerow	7%	90	2	1	0	0	0.12
Laquon Treadwell	7%	52	0	0	2	0	0.19
Andre Baccellia	6%	85	1	0	0	0	0.12
David Bell	6%	223	1	0	1	0	0.16
Josh Gordon	6%	12	0	0	0	0	0.11
Jeff Smith	6%	144	3	1	0	0	0.12
Jamal Agnew	6%	182	4	1	6	3	0.14
Austin Trammell	5%	30	0	0	0	0	0.14
Jalen Reagor	5%	160	3	1	0	0	0.08
Jalen Virgil	5%	70	2	1	0	0	0.09
Khalil Shakir	5%	161	5	2	0	0	0.12
River Cracraft	5%	117	0	0	3	2	0.11
Miles Boykin	5%	46	1	0	0	0	0.08
Braxton Berrios	5%	218	4	1	5	0	0.14
Steven Sims	5%	103	2	1	0	0	0.16
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	5%	28	0	0	0	0	0.12
Ty Montgomery	5%	13	0	0	1	1	0.23
Bryan Edwards	5%	39	1	0	3	0	0.10
Jalen Camp	4%	7	0	0	0	0	0.10
Gunner Olszewski	4%	57	1	1	1	0	0.11
Trent Taylor	4%	45	0	0	0	0	0.12
Penny Hart	4%	31	1	0	0	0	0.08
C.J. Board	4%	6	0	0	0	0	0.09
Zach Pascal	4%	115	0	0	0	0	0.10
Quintez Cephus	4%	14	0	0	0	0	0.14
Kadarius Toney	3%	74	3	3	4	2	0.13
D’Wayne Eskridge	3%	54	0	0	2	0	0.11
Tanner Conner	3%	20	0	0	0	0	0.08
Jacob Harris	3%	4	0	0	0	0	0.08
Jaelon Darden	2%	10	0	0	0	0	0.05
Cole Beasley	2%	26	0	0	0	0	0.09
Mason Kinsey	2%	3	0	0	0	0	0.09
Dax Milne	2%	38	0	0	3	1	0.06
Lil’Jordan Humphrey	2%	27	0	0	0	0	0.09
KaVontae Turpin	2%	13	0	0	0	0	0.05
James Washington	2%	6	0	0	0	0	0.05
Tim Jones	2%	7	0	0	0	0	0.07
Tanner Gentry	2%	7	0	0	0	0	0.05
Deven Thompkins	1%	4	0	0	0	0	0.04
Maurice Alexander	1%	3	0	0	0	0	0.05
Brandon Powell	1%	30	1	0	4	0	0.13
Freddie Swain	1%	11	0	0	0	0	0.08
Deonte Harty	0%	5	0	0	0	0	0.04
Stanley Morgan	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0.04
Cody White	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0.05
Tyron Johnson	-1%	-2	0	0	0	0	0.06
D.J. Turner	-2%	-3	0	0	0	0	0.07
Laviska Shenault	-2%	-21	1	0	2	0	0.16

TEs/WRs that saw multiple deep targets in Week 17 that failed to haul them include Christian Watson, Brandin Cooks, Garrett Wilson, Byron Pringle, Diontae Johnson, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mike Williams and George Kittle.
TEs/WRs that are prime candidates for positive deep targets/receptions in 2023 include Allen Lazard, Diontae Johnson, Chris Olave, Marquise Brown, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Mike Williams, Garrett Wilson, Zay Jones, Courtland Sutton, Mack Hollins, Christian Watson, Ja’Marr Chase and Kyle Pitts.
WRs that saw multiple red-zone targets that did not register a receiving red-zone score in Week 17 include…..Kadarius Toney, Allen Lazard and Marvin Jones.
WRs/TEs/RBs that are due for positive red-zone scoring regression in 2023 include…Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams, Garrett Wilson, David Njoku, Zay Jones, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, Courtland Sutton and Marquise Brown.

Check out the rest of our weekly fantasy football advice

RUNNING BACKS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player	Routes	% of routes run per dropback	Targets	Target Share	Target Rate Per Route Run
Christian McCaffrey	389	73%	105	22%	27%
Saquon Barkley	379	65%	76	17%	20%
Rhamondre Stevenson	326	58%	82	17%	25%
Devin Singletary	361	57%	51	9%	14%
Austin Ekeler	416	57%	123	18%	30%
Dalvin Cook	388	56%	55	10%	14%
David Montgomery	258	54%	40	15%	16%
Alvin Kamara	284	53%	75	19%	26%
Josh Jacobs	314	53%	61	12%	19%
Leonard Fournette	389	52%	82	12%	21%
Aaron Jones	301	52%	68	14%	23%
Travis Etienne	304	49%	43	9%	14%
Jerick McKinnon	330	48%	68	11%	21%
Najee Harris	288	47%	52	11%	18%
Raheem Mostert	284	47%	40	9%	14%
James Conner	332	46%	58	12%	17%
Miles Sanders	257	44%	25	7%	10%
Joe Mixon	279	44%	70	14%	25%
Kareem Hunt	244	42%	40	9%	16%
A.J. Dillon	235	41%	40	9%	17%
Tony Pollard	226	40%	54	12%	24%
Jonathan Taylor	256	40%	40	10%	16%
Antonio Gibson	238	39%	58	12%	24%
Michael Carter	257	39%	51	10%	20%
Nick Chubb	225	39%	31	6%	14%
Jeffery Wilson	233	39%	35	8%	15%
Ezekiel Elliott	215	38%	21	6%	10%
D’Andre Swift	219	37%	63	14%	29%
Tyler Allgeier	167	37%	17	7%	10%
Kenneth Walker	222	36%	34	8%	15%
Eno Benjamin	191	35%	34	9%	18%
Derrick Henry	175	35%	40	12%	23%
Samaje Perine	220	35%	50	9%	23%
Cordarrelle Patterson	157	34%	28	11%	18%
Rachaad White	253	34%	58	9%	23%
Darrell Henderson	200	32%	22	7%	11%
Dameon Pierce	192	32%	39	11%	20%
Kenneth Gainwell	182	31%	28	8%	15%
Rex Burkhead	181	30%	49	11%	27%
Latavius Murray	175	28%	34	9%	19%
Jaylen Warren	162	27%	29	6%	18%
Dontrell Hilliard	130	26%	26	10%	20%
J.D. McKissic	154	25%	40	14%	26%
Kenyan Drake	131	25%	21	8%	16%
Chase Edmonds	155	24%	24	7%	15%
Melvin Gordon	153	24%	32	11%	21%
Cam Akers	136	23%	15	6%	11%
Justice Hill	120	23%	12	6%	10%
D’Onta Foreman	110	22%	9	6%	8%
Alexander Mattison	151	22%	17	5%	11%
Nyheim Hines	134	21%	37	8%	28%
Khalil Herbert	99	21%	10	9%	10%
Ameer Abdullah	121	20%	30	8%	25%
Isiah Pacheco	137	20%	14	5%	10%
Chuba Hubbard	97	19%	16	12%	16%
Jamaal Williams	113	19%	16	5%	14%
Deon Jackson	123	19%	26	10%	21%
DeeJay Dallas	110	18%	18	8%	16%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	124	18%	23	8%	19%
Matt Breida	103	18%	17	5%	17%
JaMycal Hasty	108	18%	25	9%	23%
James Cook	110	17%	30	8%	27%
Breece Hall	109	17%	31	13%	28%
Joshua Kelley	120	16%	21	5%	18%
Justin Jackson	96	16%	18	6%	19%
James Robinson	106	16%	14	5%	13%
Mark Ingram	86	16%	18	7%	21%
Travis Homer	98	16%	18	9%	18%
Avery Williams	67	15%	14	6%	21%
Hassan Haskins	73	15%	10	7%	14%
Damien Harris	81	14%	19	7%	23%
Ty Johnson	90	14%	21	8%	23%
Brian Robinson	83	14%	12	6%	14%
J.K. Dobbins	71	14%	8	8%	11%
Kyren Williams	78	13%	12	7%	15%
Dare Ogunbowale	78	13%	20	7%	26%
Zack Moss	83	13%	10	6%	12%
Boston Scott	72	12%	6	4%	8%
Rashaad Penny	73	12%	5	6%	7%
Mike Boone	73	12%	15	7%	21%
Javonte Williams	69	11%	22	16%	32%
Zonovan Knight	70	11%	14	7%	20%
Brandon Bolden	57	10%	9	6%	16%
Raheem Blackshear	47	9%	12	8%	26%
Craig Reynolds	52	9%	10	5%	19%
Malcolm Brown	50	9%	6	4%	12%
Sony Michel	61	8%	13	5%	21%
Darrel Williams	58	8%	8	5%	14%
Tony Jones	40	7%	8	7%	20%
Caleb Huntley	29	6%	2	5%	7%
Trestan Ebner	30	6%	5	7%	17%
Jonathan Williams	37	6%	8	13%	22%
Keaontay Ingram	43	6%	2	7%	5%
Darrynton Evans	27	6%	1	4%	4%
Gus Edwards	29	6%	2	5%	7%
Marlon Mack	34	5%	10	7%	29%
Tyrion Davis-Price	28	5%	2	4%	7%
Malik Davis	29	5%	7	8%	24%
Gary Brightwell	30	5%	5	8%	17%
David Johnson	26	5%	2	5%	8%
Phillip Lindsay	31	5%	8	7%	26%
Royce Freeman	27	5%	7	6%	26%
Zander Horvath	32	4%	8	3%	25%
Demetric Felton	25	4%	4	4%	16%
Pierre Strong	21	4%	7	8%	33%
Myles Gaskin	22	4%	6	9%	27%
Julius Chestnut	18	4%	3	4%	17%
Spencer Brown	18	4%	4	6%	22%
Elijah Mitchell	19	4%	4	6%	21%
Mike Davis	18	3%	2	4%	11%
D’Ernest Johnson	19	3%	3	4%	16%
Jordan Wilkins	21	3%	8	10%	38%
Tevin Coleman	16	3%	3	10%	19%
Isaiah Spiller	22	3%	3	5%	14%
Corey Clement	21	3%	3	3%	14%
Trayveon Williams	17	3%	3	3%	18%
Ronnie Rivers	13	2%	5	8%	38%
Chris Evans	14	2%	4	3%	29%
Benny Snell	13	2%	2	4%	15%
Dwayne Washington	11	2%	1	4%	9%
Patrick Taylor	11	2%	1	3%	9%
Ronald Jones	13	2%	1	3%	8%
Anthony McFarland	11	2%	2	7%	18%
Salvon Ahmed	10	2%	1	3%	10%
J.J. Taylor	7	1%	1	3%	14%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn	7	1%	2	3%	29%
Devine Ozigbo	5	1%	1	3%	20%
Kene Nwangwu	3	0%	1	4%	33%
Larry Rountree	3	0%	1	3%	33%
Jonathan Ward	1	0%	1	3%	100%
Godwin Igwebuike	1	0%	1	4%	100%

RBs that saw multiple carries inside the 10-yard line that did not score in Week 17 include: Kenneth Walker, Leonard Fournette, Brandon Bolden, Brian Robinson, Cam Akers, Najee Harris, Raheem Mostert, Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, Matt Breida and Christian McCaffrey.
RBs that are due for positive TD regression based on their total carries inside the 10-yard line in 2022 include: Joe Mixon, Travis Etienne, Leonard Fournette, Rhamondre Stevenson, Jeffery Wilson, Dameon Pierce, Ken Walker and Brian Robinson.

RB Opportunity Share | Weeks 1-17

Goal-line carries (Any carry inside the 10-yard line)

Player	Carries	Receptions	Goal-Line Carries	Goal-line TDs	Touches	Overall Opportunites	Overall Opportunity Share
Josh Jacobs	323	51	21	8	374	384	83%
Saquon Barkley	295	57	23	7	352	371	80%
Derrick Henry	319	32	17	10	351	359	79%
Dalvin Cook	253	38	22	6	291	308	78%
Christian McCaffrey	234	82	19	5	316	339	77%
Najee Harris	249	40	18	5	289	301	70%
Alvin Kamara	200	56	8	2	256	275	69%
Miles Sanders	248	20	23	8	268	273	68%
Rhamondre Stevenson	204	64	19	3	268	286	64%
Nick Chubb	290	22	20	7	312	321	64%
Austin Ekeler	193	103	22	10	296	316	64%
Joe Mixon	199	55	28	5	254	269	64%
Dameon Pierce	220	30	15	3	250	259	60%
Travis Etienne	213	33	23	4	246	256	60%
Devin Singletary	170	37	16	4	207	221	59%
James Conner	183	46	15	6	229	241	59%
Leonard Fournette	189	72	19	3	261	271	58%
Kenneth Walker	199	26	12	2	225	233	58%
David Montgomery	194	34	16	5	228	234	57%
Raheem Mostert	170	29	8	1	199	210	54%
Aaron Jones	201	56	8	0	257	269	54%
Jamaal Williams	246	12	41	13	258	262	51%
Cam Akers	167	10	14	6	177	182	51%
Jeffery Wilson	160	20	0	0	180	195	50%
Jonathan Taylor	192	28	16	3	220	232	50%
Ezekiel Elliott	223	17	26	11	240	244	47%
Tony Pollard	186	39	12	3	225	240	46%
A.J. Dillon	177	28	0	0	205	217	44%
D’Onta Foreman	191	5	16	3	196	200	43%
Isiah Pacheco	162	13	19	4	175	176	42%
Tyler Allgeier	186	16	14	3	202	203	42%
Brian Robinson	205	9	14	2	214	217	42%
Latavius Murray	156	26	9	5	182	190	41%
Antonio Gibson	149	46	16	3	195	207	40%
Rachaad White	125	50	5	1	175	183	39%
Michael Carter	111	39	8	3	150	162	37%
Cordarrelle Patterson	139	19	10	5	158	167	35%
Jerick McKinnon	70	54	7	0	124	138	33%
Samaje Perine	89	37	6	2	126	139	33%
Kareem Hunt	119	32	12	2	151	159	32%
Khalil Herbert	119	8	8	2	127	129	32%
Kenyan Drake	93	15	4	2	108	114	31%
D’Andre Swift	93	41	11	4	134	156	31%
James Cook	80	19	4	0	99	110	29%
James Robinson	110	11	10	0	121	124	28%
J.K. Dobbins	92	7	7	2	99	100	28%
Eno Benjamin	75	25	5	1	100	109	27%
Melvin Gordon	90	25	10	2	115	122	26%
Darrell Henderson	70	17	7	3	87	92	26%
Breece Hall	80	19	9	2	99	111	25%
Damien Harris	93	16	6	3	109	112	25%
Gus Edwards	83	0	7	3	83	85	23%
Jaylen Warren	71	25	3	1	96	100	23%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	71	17	5	2	88	94	23%
Alexander Mattison	64	14	7	2	78	81	21%
Mark Ingram	62	16	3	1	78	80	20%
Zonovan Knight	73	13	4	0	86	87	20%
Chuba Hubbard	74	14	3	1	88	90	19%
Kenneth Gainwell	48	22	11	4	70	76	19%
Deon Jackson	60	24	1	1	84	86	18%
Zack Moss	75	8	3	0	83	85	18%
Chase Edmonds	59	16	2	2	75	83	18%
Rex Burkhead	26	36	3	0	62	75	17%
Joshua Kelley	64	13	7	2	77	85	17%
Nyheim Hines	24	30	5	1	54	61	16%
Caleb Huntley	76	2	8	1	78	78	16%
JaMycal Hasty	43	20	4	1	63	68	16%
Rashaad Penny	57	4	1	0	61	62	15%
Javonte Williams	47	16	4	0	63	69	15%
Justice Hill	42	12	1	0	54	54	15%
Matt Breida	50	13	4	1	63	67	14%
Kyren Williams	35	9	0	0	44	47	13%
DeeJay Dallas	33	16	0	0	49	51	13%
Boston Scott	45	5	3	2	50	51	13%
J.D. McKissic	22	27	0	0	49	62	12%
Dare Ogunbowale	31	15	4	1	46	51	12%
Justin Jackson	41	11	2	0	52	59	12%
Dontrell Hilliard	22	21	0	0	43	48	11%
Ty Johnson	25	10	0	0	35	46	11%
Elijah Mitchell	40	3	5	0	43	44	10%
Sony Michel	36	9	2	0	45	49	10%
Royce Freeman	34	5	3	0	39	41	10%
Travis Homer	19	16	2	0	35	37	9%
Mike Boone	24	9	0	0	33	39	8%
Jordan Mason	35	0	1	0	35	35	8%
Malik Davis	33	6	1	0	39	40	8%
Ameer Abdullah	4	24	1	0	28	34	7%
Raheem Blackshear	22	10	4	3	32	34	7%
Hassan Haskins	23	9	0	0	32	33	7%
Trestan Ebner	24	1	4	0	25	29	7%
Darrel Williams	21	4	1	1	25	29	7%
Malcolm Brown	18	5	3	0	23	24	7%
Avery Williams	18	13	1	1	31	32	7%
Craig Reynolds	23	9	0	0	32	33	6%
Tyrion Davis-Price	26	0	3	0	26	28	6%
Keaontay Ingram	24	2	2	1	26	26	6%
Jonathan Williams	23	5	0	0	28	31	6%
Brandon Bolden	17	9	2	0	26	26	6%
Marlon Mack	16	8	1	1	24	26	6%
Gary Brightwell	20	4	2	1	24	25	5%
Benny Snell	20	2	1	1	22	22	5%
Phillip Lindsay	15	6	0	0	21	23	5%
Tony Jones	10	5	0	0	15	18	4%
Jordan Wilkins	13	6	0	0	19	21	4%
Isaiah Spiller	18	3	0	0	21	21	4%
Myles Gaskin	10	4	0	0	14	16	4%
Kevin Harris	18	0	1	0	18	18	4%
Ronnie Rivers	9	5	0	0	14	14	4%
Pierre Strong	10	7	1	1	17	17	4%
Darrynton Evans	14	1	0	0	15	15	4%
David Johnson	12	2	0	0	14	14	3%
Zamir White	16	0	0	0	16	16	3%
Tevin Coleman	12	3	2	1	15	15	3%
Salvon Ahmed	11	1	0	0	12	12	3%
Dwayne Washington	11	1	0	0	12	12	3%
Snoop Conner	12	0	1	1	12	12	3%
Spencer Brown	9	2	2	0	11	13	3%
Mike Davis	8	2	2	0	10	10	3%
Julius Chestnut	9	3	0	0	12	12	3%
J.J. Taylor	10	1	1	0	11	11	2%
Corey Clement	7	2	0	0	9	10	2%
Zander Horvath	4	5	1	0	9	12	2%
Ke’Shawn Vaughn	9	1	0	0	10	11	2%
Larry Rountree	10	1	0	0	11	11	2%
Patrick Taylor	10	1	1	0	11	11	2%
Trayveon Williams	6	2	0	0	8	9	2%
Ronald Jones	7	1	0	0	8	8	2%
Anthony McFarland	6	2	1	0	8	8	2%
Jerome Ford	8	0	0	0	8	8	2%
D’Ernest Johnson	4	3	0	0	7	7	1%
Kene Nwangwu	4	1	0	0	5	5	1%
Jonathan Ward	4	1	0	0	5	5	1%
Demetric Felton	1	2	0	0	3	5	1%
Godwin Igwebuike	3	1	0	0	4	4	1%
Chris Evans	0	3	0	0	3	4	1%
Devine Ozigbo	3	1	0	0	4	4	1%
Duke Johnson	2	0	0	0	2	2	1%
Trey Sermon	2	0	0	0	2	2	0%
Damien Williams	2	0	0	0	2	2	0%
Jordan Howard	1	0	0	0	1	1	0%
Giovani Bernard	1	0	0	0	1	1	0%
Kylin Hill	1	0	0	0	1	1	0%

TIGHT ENDS (WEEKS 1-17)

Player	Routes	% of routes run per dropback	Targets	Target Share	Target Rate Per Route Run
Cole Kmet	402	84%	64	19%	16%
Mark Andrews	435	84%	113	29%	26%
Travis Kelce	573	83%	145	25%	25%
Evan Engram	495	80%	94	17%	19%
T.J. Hockenson	558	80%	128	21%	23%
George Kittle	419	79%	80	19%	19%
Tyler Higbee	413	71%	101	21%	24%
Dawson Knox	446	71%	63	14%	14%
Tyler Conklin	460	70%	83	15%	18%
Hunter Henry	383	68%	52	12%	14%
Pat Freiermuth	416	68%	96	21%	23%
Dalton Schultz	380	68%	80	17%	21%
Juwan Johnson	347	64%	64	15%	18%
David Njoku	365	63%	75	19%	21%
Cade Otton	457	61%	64	11%	14%
Austin Hooper	301	61%	56	14%	19%
Robert Tonyan	348	60%	64	12%	18%
Dallas Goedert	349	60%	62	20%	18%
Gerald Everett	427	58%	82	14%	19%
Logan Thomas	346	57%	58	15%	17%
Hayden Hurst	355	56%	63	14%	18%
Foster Moreau	332	56%	53	12%	16%
Mike Gesicki	332	55%	46	8%	14%
Noah Fant	325	53%	59	12%	18%
Zach Ertz	375	52%	69	18%	18%
Greg Dulcich	316	50%	55	18%	17%
Daniel Bellinger	279	48%	35	12%	13%
Tommy Tremble	237	47%	31	9%	13%
Kyle Pitts	211	46%	59	28%	28%
Jordan Akins	272	46%	46	10%	17%
Isaiah Likely	227	44%	47	14%	21%
Will Dissly	254	41%	38	8%	15%
Harrison Bryant	239	41%	40	10%	17%
Trey McBride	292	40%	36	12%	12%
Mo Alie-Cox	260	40%	27	6%	10%
Noah Gray	268	39%	33	6%	12%
Jack Stoll	211	36%	14	5%	7%
Kylen Granson	231	36%	40	9%	17%
Darren Waller	209	35%	37	15%	18%
C.J. Uzomah	225	34%	27	7%	12%
Ian Thomas	170	34%	30	9%	18%
Chigoziem Okonkwo	161	32%	42	13%	26%
Mitchell Wilcox	196	31%	18	5%	9%
Jonnu Smith	171	31%	38	10%	22%
Colby Parkinson	185	30%	31	7%	17%
Cameron Brate	220	30%	38	10%	17%
Eric Saubert	181	29%	24	7%	13%
Jelani Woods	184	29%	36	10%	20%
Tanner Hudson	165	28%	15	11%	9%
Josh Oliver	144	28%	24	9%	17%
Zach Gentry	168	28%	22	5%	13%
Tre’ McKitty	200	27%	17	7%	9%
Parker Hesse	124	27%	10	5%	8%
Brock Wright	156	26%	23	6%	15%
Adam Trautman	132	24%	21	7%	16%
Durham Smythe	147	24%	15	5%	10%
Irv Smith	166	24%	33	13%	20%
Brevin Jordan	141	24%	28	9%	20%
Quintin Morris	138	22%	11	5%	8%
Geoff Swaim	108	22%	15	5%	14%
Taysom Hill	115	21%	12	5%	10%
O.J. Howard	124	21%	23	7%	19%
Johnny Mundt	142	20%	21	5%	15%
John Bates	122	20%	22	8%	18%
Shane Zylstra	118	20%	14	6%	12%
Peyton Hendershot	111	20%	16	6%	14%
Pharaoh Brown	110	19%	20	8%	18%
Anthony Firkser	86	19%	12	7%	14%
Albert Okwuegbunam	119	19%	17	9%	14%
Marcedes Lewis	108	19%	7	4%	6%
Jake Ferguson	101	18%	21	7%	21%
Teagan Quitoriano	105	18%	10	5%	10%
Josiah Deguara	98	17%	15	5%	15%
Joe Fortson	104	15%	13	4%	13%
MyCole Pruitt	65	14%	16	8%	25%
Eric Tomlinson	90	14%	12	5%	13%
Stephen Sullivan	71	14%	6	5%	8%
Brycen Hopkins	78	13%	10	6%	13%
Grant Calcaterra	76	13%	9	6%	12%
Chris Manhertz	80	13%	8	4%	10%
James Mitchell	73	12%	10	5%	14%
Giovanni Ricci	62	12%	9	5%	15%
Chris Myarick	72	12%	8	4%	11%
Lawrence Cager	69	12%	9	6%	13%
Connor Heyward	71	12%	13	6%	18%
Cole Turner	70	12%	9	6%	13%
Tyler Kroft	56	11%	5	4%	9%
Dan Arnold	64	10%	13	4%	20%
Armani Rogers	61	10%	6	6%	10%
Ryan Griffin	43	9%	8	6%	19%
Ross Dwelley	47	9%	5	5%	11%
Nick Vannett	50	9%	5	4%	10%
Ko Kieft	60	8%	10	3%	17%
Tyler Davis	46	8%	7	4%	15%
Trevon Wesco	34	7%	4	5%	12%
Andrew Beck	42	7%	9	4%	21%
Charlie Woerner	35	7%	2	3%	6%
Donald Parham	46	6%	10	5%	22%
Devin Asiasi	40	6%	4	4%	10%
Stephen Anderson	44	6%	7	3%	16%
Stone Smartt	41	6%	5	4%	12%
Maxx Williams	39	5%	3	4%	8%
Feleipe Franks	23	5%	2	8%	9%
Kyle Rudolph	37	5%	4	2%	11%
Jesper Horsted	26	4%	4	7%	15%
Mason Schreck	23	4%	2	4%	9%
Richard Rodgers	26	4%	4	3%	15%
Tommy Sweeney	21	3%	1	3%	5%
Sean McKeon	18	3%	3	4%	17%
Luke Farrell	15	2%	3	4%	20%
Drew Sample	12	2%	2	2%	17%
Kendall Blanton	9	2%	2	3%	22%
Jeremy Ruckert	7	1%	1	2%	14%
Blake Bell	6	1%	1	2%	17%
Ben Ellefson	6	1%	3	4%	50%
Jake Tonges	3	1%	1	6%	33%
Noah Togiai	2	0%	1	3%	50%
Tyler Mabry	2	0%	1	4%	50%

HIGH-VALUE TARGETS:

RED-ZONE TARGETS, AIR YARDS AND DEEP TARGETS

Player	Air Yards Share	Air Yards	Deep Catches	Deep Targets	Red-Zone Targets	Red-Zone TDs
Mark Andrews	33%	1105	3	12	17	5
Kyle Pitts	32%	816	1	14	5	2
Feleipe Franks	26%	56	0	1	0	0
Travis Kelce	25%	1053	3	11	28	10
Darren Waller	23%	494	7	13	8	1
Greg Dulcich	23%	624	5	13	2	1
Zach Ertz	21%	548	1	5	15	4
Pat Freiermuth	21%	797	4	7	9	2
T.J. Hockenson	19%	976	3	10	18	5
Dallas Goedert	18%	397	1	3	6	2
George Kittle	18%	525	4	7	13	3
Juwan Johnson	17%	574	1	3	11	5
Evan Engram	16%	606	4	9	8	2
Jelani Woods	16%	372	0	4	4	3
Dalton Schultz	16%	556	2	4	16	5
David Njoku	15%	489	4	9	19	3
Cole Kmet	15%	449	3	10	9	5
Austin Hooper	15%	439	2	4	6	2
Chigoziem Okonkwo	14%	313	1	4	6	2
Tyler Conklin	14%	553	0	7	4	3
Hunter Henry	14%	402	5	6	7	0
Gerald Everett	13%	482	1	5	14	3
Stephen Sullivan	13%	87	0	2	0	0
Hayden Hurst	13%	333	0	2	7	2
Dawson Knox	13%	504	3	5	8	4
Logan Thomas	12%	420	0	2	6	0
Brycen Hopkins	12%	98	1	1	1	0
Noah Fant	12%	389	3	6	8	4
Charlie Woerner	11%	43	0	2	0	0
Foster Moreau	11%	434	1	3	5	2
Tanner Hudson	11%	110	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Likely	11%	289	1	4	9	2
O.J. Howard	10%	253	2	3	3	1
Cameron Brate	10%	265	0	0	4	0
Tyler Higbee	10%	319	0	1	15	3
Irv Smith	9%	155	0	2	5	2
Trey McBride	9%	224	0	1	0	0
Ross Dwelley	9%	69	1	1	0	0
Jake Tonges	9%	13	0	0	0	0
Tommy Tremble	9%	247	1	4	7	2
Tyler Kroft	9%	70	0	1	0	0
Kylen Granson	9%	259	0	0	3	0
Devin Asiasi	9%	59	0	2	0	0
Brevin Jordan	9%	198	0	1	2	0
Jordan Akins	9%	277	2	3	9	2
Cade Otton	8%	315	2	2	14	2
Daniel Bellinger	8%	140	0	0	6	2
Mike Gesicki	8%	429	4	7	11	5
Robert Tonyan	8%	364	2	5	5	0
Josh Oliver	8%	203	1	4	10	2
Albert Okwuegbunam	8%	72	1	1	0	0
Eric Saubert	8%	202	1	3	3	0
Donald Parham	8%	99	1	2	2	1
Colby Parkinson	7%	241	2	3	5	1
Cole Turner	7%	68	0	0	0	0
Teagan Quitoriano	7%	109	0	1	5	2
Harrison Bryant	7%	221	1	3	8	1
Pharaoh Brown	6%	128	0	2	2	0
John Bates	6%	114	0	2	2	1
C.J. Uzomah	5%	196	2	2	0	0
Shane Zylstra	5%	75	0	0	4	4
Will Dissly	5%	206	1	1	6	2
Anthony Firkser	5%	86	0	0	0	0
Mo Alie-Cox	5%	147	0	1	3	2
Ryan Griffin	5%	53	0	1	2	0
MyCole Pruitt	5%	74	0	0	6	3
Taysom Hill	5%	77	1	2	3	1
Peyton Hendershot	5%	109	1	1	0	0
Adam Trautman	4%	113	0	0	3	0
Lawrence Cager	4%	68	0	1	1	1
Jesper Horsted	4%	26	0	0	0	0
Dan Arnold	4%	82	0	1	2	0
Grant Calcaterra	4%	81	0	1	2	0
Jack Stoll	4%	90	0	1	0	0
Blake Bell	4%	12	0	0	1	1
Parker Hesse	4%	67	0	0	2	0
Noah Gray	4%	173	2	2	4	1
Tre’ McKitty	4%	54	0	1	3	0
Jonnu Smith	4%	116	0	1	4	0
Joe Fortson	4%	88	1	1	0	0
Mitchell Wilcox	4%	81	0	0	1	1
Quintin Morris	4%	82	0	1	2	1
Connor Heyward	3%	59	1	1	1	1
Eric Tomlinson	3%	56	0	0	3	1
Marcedes Lewis	3%	58	1	1	2	2
James Mitchell	3%	44	0	0	0	0
Giovanni Ricci	3%	49	1	1	0	0
Noah Togiai	3%	4	0	0	0	0
Andrew Beck	3%	52	1	2	0	0
Trevon Wesco	3%	23	0	0	2	0
Kyle Rudolph	3%	30	0	0	0	0
Armani Rogers	3%	13	0	0	0	0
Stephen Anderson	3%	36	0	1	0	0
Jake Ferguson	3%	74	0	0	3	2
Kendall Blanton	3%	12	0	0	0	0
Ben Ellefson	3%	15	0	0	0	0
Stone Smartt	2%	23	0	0	0	0
Maxx Williams	2%	12	0	0	0	0
Miller Forristall	2%	5	0	0	0	0
Brock Wright	2%	62	0	0	5	3
Ko Kieft	2%	57	0	0	1	1
Nick Vannett	2%	16	0	0	0	0
Tyler Mabry	2%	6	0	0	1	1
Tyler Davis	2%	27	0	0	0	0
Mason Schreck	2%	6	0	0	0	0
Josiah Deguara	2%	49	1	1	1	0
Durham Smythe	2%	49	0	0	3	1
Geoff Swaim	2%	29	0	0	5	1
Chris Myarick	1%	23	0	0	2	1
Chris Manhertz	1%	21	0	0	0	0
Johnny Mundt	1%	29	0	0	3	1
Zach Gentry	1%	49	0	1	2	0
Ian Thomas	1%	69	1	2	2	0
Sean McKeon	0%	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Farrell	0%	3	0	0	0	0
Jeremy Ruckert	0%	0	0	0	0	0
Tommy Sweeney	0%	-1	0	0	0	0
Richard Rodgers	-1%	-4	0	0	2	0
Drew Sample	-1%	-2	0	0	0	0

TOP TAKEAWAYS

Tennessee Titans (Week 18 @ Jacksonville Jaguars)

Titans and Jaguars playing for AFC South Title (Saturday night)

Chigoziem Okonkwo drew the start but played behind Austin Hooper for the majority of Thursday night. Hooper drew 6 targets and ran a route on 67% of dropbacks. But he caught just one pass for 6 yards. Hooper and Geoff Swaim are free agents in 2023.
Okonkwo was more efficient per usual, catching 3 of 4 targets (50% target rate per route run) for 24 yards while running a route on just 19% of dropbacks. He is a candidate to take a major step forward in 2023 if Hooper does not return. The rookie’s 26% target rate ranked 2nd among all tight ends with at least 40 targets in 2022.
Joshua Dobbs started for the Titans in Week 17 and gave Tennessee’s passing game new life. He threw for 232 passing yards on 39 attempts (20 completions). Malik Willis has not thrown for 100 yards in any game he started this season.
Robert Woods was the team’s target leader, catching 5 of 9 targets (24%) for 39 yards and 1 TD. Treylon Burks finished second with 8 targets catching four for 66 yards. Burks also ran a route 76% of dropbacks (2nd to Woods) and commanded a whopping 122 air yards. He should be back on the WR3 radar with a plus-matchup versus the Jaguars in Week 18.
Nobody has done less with more than Woods this season, as the ex-Rams WR has played a full-time role in the Titans with a 87% route participation. But no player has scored fewer fantasy points than Woods with a route participation of at least 80% (Nick Westbrook Ihkine, 80%). Needless to say, Burks should easily ascend to the WR1 chair in 2023.
Hassan Haskins started for the Titans with Derrick Henry ruled out with a hip injury. The rookie carried the ball 12 times for 40 yards and added 2 catches for 13 yards on 3 targets. He totaled 15 backfield opportunities for a 60% backfield opportunity share – 66% snap share played – and ran a route on 45% of the dropbacks.
The box score suggests that Julius Chestnut and Jonathan Ward split No. 2 backfield duties evenly, with both seeing 5 backfield opportunities. Chestnut got first crack in the middle of the 2nd quarter but was not effective as a rusher, totaling 4 carries for -1 yards. He did catch one pass for 33 yards. Ward didn’t see his first touch until the 3rd quarter, and all 4 of his carries came on the final drive as the time expired.
Dontrell Hilliard is a free agent in 2023, suggesting Haskins has a chance to be the clear RB2 behind Henry next season.

Dallas Cowboys (Week 18 @ Washington Commanders)

Cowboys playing for playoff seeding combined with losses by 49ers and Eagles, Washington eliminated from postseason

2023 free agent Tony Pollard sat out this contest due to a thigh injury, putting Ezekiel Elliott into the RB1 role. Zeke totaled 19 carries for 37 yards and 1 rushing TD (61% opportunity share, 66% snap share, 59% route participation).
He was not targeted and did not see a full-blown bellcow role with Malik Davis operating as the RB2. Davis had more rushing yards (39) on fewer carries (10) and also out-targeted Elliott (2 targets).
Davis basically took on a lesser version of the Pollard role (primary receiver and change-of-pace back).
CeeDee Lamb commanded a whopping 14 targets (34% target share) versus the Titans horrible secondary. Lamb finished with 11 catches for 100 yards (130 air yards). Lamb’s season-long 30% target share ranked 4th in 2022.
Tight end Dalton Schultz feasted without Pollard soaking up underneath targets, going for 56 yards and 2 scores on 7 catches (10 targets). Ran a route on 86% of dropbacks.
Stock up for T.Y. Hilton, stock down for Michael Gallup and Noah Brown.
Hilton saw more targets (5) than both Gallup and Brown (4 each) despite running a route on just 32% of dropbacks. 36% target rate per route run for Hilton.
And Hilton was efficient catching four of 5 targets (12% target share) for 50 yards. 3 of his targets came in the 1st half.
Gallup’s snaps didn’t decrease – 93% route participation – but Brown’s did – 57% route participation. It was 80% in Week 16.

Arizona Cardinals (Week 18 @ San Francisco 49ers)

Cardinals playing for nothing, 49ers are playing for a chance at No. 1 seed.

James Conner saw his snaps decrease massively from his usual 90 percent-plus snap share after exiting the game early with a shin injury. He played just 55% of the snaps. Corey Clement was the next man up, playing 43% of the snaps in a close contest. Keaontay Ingram played one snap. They are all under contract in 2023.
Without DeAndre Hopkins, Greg Dortch (2023 free agent) and Trey McBride each commanded 10 targets (26% target share). Dortch only amassed 4 catches for 15 yards but continued his streak of double-digit targets when starting (84% route participation).
McBride converted his elite usage – 96% snap share, 89% route participation – into 7 catches for 78 yards and 1 TD.
McBride has strung together a strong finish to his rookie year, playing over 84% of the snaps Weeks 15-17 to go along with a 16.5% target share and 14 catches for 150 receiving yards. He’s likely the Week 1 starter in 2023 with Zach Ertz coming off a November torn ACL.
Marquise Brown finished with 9 targets, hauling in 6 for 61 (121 air yards, 33%).
Andre Baccellia played ahead of both A.J. Green (2023 free agent) and Robbie Anderson.

Atlanta Falcons (Week 18 versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Tampa Bay likely resting starters to some extent with No. 4 seed locked, Falcons playing for nothing

Tyler Allgeier dominated the touches yet again for the Falcons, tallying 20 carries for 83 rushing yards and 1 TD in Week 17. The rookie saw 3 carries inside the 10-yard line. Cordarrelle Patterson also carried the ball 9 times for 42 yards and 1 TD, but was the much more involved receiver, commanding a whopping 8 targets (32% share, same as Drake London) for 6 catches and 42 receiving yards. Patterson ran a route on 62% of the dropbacks (second-most on the team).
Since Week 13 (last four games), Allgeier has averaged 87 rushing yards and 16 carries per game as the team’s RB1.
On the year, Allgeier ranks 5th in total rushing EPA (+11.42).
Kyle Pitts has not played since Week 11, but don’t forget the usage he was seeing prior to his injury. Pitts commanded 14 targets of 20-plus air yards, but only caught one. Upgraded quarterback play will go a long way in ensuring that Pitts is a fantasy factor in 2023. 28% target share (2nd among all TEs) for Pitts in 2022.
Drake London commanded a 29% target share as a 21-year-old rookie WR. Madness. Ridiculousness. His potential is through the roof if/when Atlanta can figure out their play under center.

Detroit Lions (Week 18 @ Green Bay Packers)

Lions and Packers both playing for playoff berths. However, Lions will be eliminated if Seahawks win earlier on Sunday.

Instead of promoting Craig Reynolds to the No. 3 running back with Justin Jackson inactive, the Lions chose to operate from a two-man backfield. Jamaal Williams rushed 22 times for 144 yards and 1 TD, while D’Andre Swift carried the ball 11 times for 78 yards and 1 TD. Swift also added 4 catches for 15 yards and another score as a receiver. Reynolds played just 18% of the snaps.
Jackson and Williams are both free agents in 2023.
2023 free agent tight end Brock Wright scored 2 red-zone TDs, a week after Shane Zylstra scored 3. Although their overall playing time and usage remained unchanged.
Rookie Jameson Williams remained buried on the depth chart as the WR5, but he will undoubtedly be a starter in the DJ Chark (2023 free agent) role next season. Chark led the team in air yard share (30%) when healthy and in total deep targets (15).
Don’t let Amon-Ra St. Brown slide past you in 2023 fantasy drafts. His 31% target rate per route run trailed only Tyreek Hill in 2022.

Chicago Bears (Week 18 versus Minnesota Vikings)

Vikings will either be No. 2 or No. 3 seed depending on outcome of the 49ers game and if they win over the Bears.

Basically zero offensive production for the Bears sans Justin Fields rushing. The Bears QB rushed for 132 yards on 10 carries. However, he won’t get a chance to break the record after being ruled out of Week 18’s game versus the Vikings.
Soon-to-be 2023 free agent David Montgomery (6-for-24, 64% opportunity share) and potential future Bears starting RB Khalil Herbert (5-for-31) were not effective versus an improved Lions run defense.
Tight end Cole Kmet led the Bears in routes (81%) and receiving yards (2 catches for 27 yards). His 84% season-long route participation tied Mark Andrews for No. 1 at the position in 2022.
Chase Claypool returned to the starting lineup but played just 37% of the snaps and ran a route on 47% of dropbacks. Byron Pringle operated as WR1 with 4 targets (zero catches), followed by Equanimeous St. Brown and then N’Keal Harry. Those three, along with Dante Pettis, are all free agents in 2023.
Claypool, Velus Jones and Darnell Mooney round out the projected Chicago receiving corps heading into 2023.
Mooney ranked 12th in air yards share (37%) and 15th in target share (27%) in his 11 healthy games played in 2022.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 18 versus Tennessee Titans)

Titans and Jaguars playing for AFC South Title (Saturday night)

The Jaguars blew the doors off the Texans in Week 17. Trevor Lawrence came out in the middle of the 3rd quarter as did many of the other starters. Aside from his goal-line rush on 3rd down to open the game, JaMycal Hasty was clearly behind Travis Etienne in the backfield pecking order. Just 3 touches for Hasty in the entire 1st half. 80% opportunity share for Etienne in the first half, which is very close to his weekly average in a post-James Robinson offense.
ETN finished the 2022 fantasy regular season tied for 5th in carries inside the 10-yard line (23), but he only scored 4 touchdowns on those carries. He’s primed to see his TD number climb with the backfield all but his from the get-go in 2023.
I’d also anticipate him taking a large leap as a receiver as he ran a route on nearly half the dropbacks in 2022 (49%).
Marvin Jones‘ usage can provide us an idea of how the Jaguars will deploy their three top WRs in 2023, between Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley.
Marvin Jones ran a route on 73% of the dropbacks and led the Jaguars in deep targets (18) in 2022. He only caught three of them. All 3 players will be full-time starters in 3-WR sets, with Ridley providing a much-improved upgrade as a deep/red-zone threat.
Evan Engram‘s return to his rookie year form has so much to do with his role in the Jags offense: 80% route participation (4th) and 3rd in routes run (495).

Houston Texans (Week 18 @ Indianapolis Colts)

Both Texans and Colts have nothing to play for (pride I guess).

Royce Freeman and Dare Ogunbowale split usage in Week 17, with both RBs totaling 7 carries. Freeman saw more targets (5 vs. 3) and played more snaps (43% vs. 37%). Freeman and Rex Burkhead are both free agents in 2023, so currently Ogunbowale will be the only threat to Dameon Pierce in 2023.
Brandin Cooks led the Texans with 7 targets, catching four for 39 yards. He earned over 100 air yards on three targets of 20-plus air yards.
Chris Moore also ran the most routes but caught just 3-of-5 targets for 21 yards. Jordan Akins played ahead of Brevin Jordan, running a route on 67% of dropbacks. Not a great outlook for Jordan’s long-term value as he enters Year 3. Will be curious to see if the Texans re-sign Akins and/or Howard this offseason.
Nico Collins led the Texans in air yards share this season and in target rate per route run (23%). The big-bodied wideout seems like the only legitimate pass-catching option that will sniff fantasy football rosters in 2023 from the Texans, with the disgruntled Cooks likely on his way out.

Kansas City Chiefs (Week 18 @ Las Vegas Raiders)

The Chiefs are still in the running for the No. 1 seed. Clinch No. 1 seed with win and if CIN-BUF is not replayed.

Similar split specialized backfield usage for the Chiefs that we have seen in recent weeks. Essentially a 50/50 split with Isiah Pacheco (55% opportunity share, 9 carries for 31 yards and 1 TD) and 2023 free agent Jerick McKinnon (40% opportunity share, 5 catches for 52 yards and 2 TDs).
From Weeks 10-17, both KC running backs were top-21 half-point scorers.
McKinnon: RB7 points per game, third in RB receptions at 35, and 7 receiving TDs.
Pacheco: RB21 points per game, 6th in rushing yards at 569.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran the most routes for KC on Sunday (87%), followed by JuJu Smith-Schuster (71%), Kadarius Toney (33%) and Justin Watson (33%).
MVS saw over 100 air yards but caught just 2 passes for 26 yards.
Smith-Schuster ranks second on the team with 15 red-zone targets this season but has caught just one for a TD.
Rookie Skyy Moore was targeted on 36% of his routes (25% snap share, 4 targets). Toney’s target rate per route run finished at 27%. The ex-Giants WR’s target rate per route run (23%) ranks first among all Chiefs WRs this season.
After Tyreek Hill left the Chiefs, there was a massive hole in the team’s red zone offense. Travis Kelce fully took over that role. He not only led the Chiefs in red-zone targets, he led the entire NFL in that category with 28 red-zone targets. He also finished 1st in red-zone TDs (10). DK Metcalf and Justin Jefferson tied for 2nd with 26 each.
Interestingly enough, Ja’Marr Chase actually led the league in red-zone targets per game, commanding 22 in 11 games played (two per game). Should Chase push his former LSU teammate for fantasy WR1 status in 2023, red-zone usage would be his path to success.

Denver Broncos (Week 18 versus Los Angeles Chargers)

LA is playing starters even though they have clinched a playoff spot. Although they clinch the No. 5 seed if the Ravens lose at 1 pm, giving them absolutely nothing to play for during their game.

The interim head coach kept things pretty simple with the Broncos offense, carrying over what little worked before into Week 17. Latavius Murray operated as the RB1, but Chase Edmonds was also very involved, especially on passing downs. Edmonds ran more routes than Murray, but the latter saw more targets (6 vs. 3). Snaps were a near dead-even split in favor of Murray (60% vs. 59%).
Murray is a free agent in 2023 (as is Mike Boone) so Edmonds is definitely showcasing for a potential role/job alongside a healthy Javonte Williams next year.
Marlon Mack was placed on after suffering a hamstring injury.
Jerry Jeudy led Denver with a 22% target share, catching 7 passes for 38 yards in Week 17. Hard to not view Jeudy as the clear-cut No. 1 Denver WR based on his high command of targets when healthy in 2022.
No player scored more fantasy points in PPR with a sub-75% overall route participation than Jeudy in 2022.
Courtland Sutton ties a bow in 2022 with just 11 red-zone targets, catching only 1 TD. Woof.
FREE Albert Okwuegbunam. The highly-touted draft pick from fall fantasy drafts drew the start in Week 17 with Greg Dulcich out due to a hamstring injury. He ran a route on 60% of the dropbacks catching 3 of 6 targets for a team-leading 45 receiving yards and 1 TD. YTLSI.

Miami Dolphins (Week 18 versus New York Jets)

Miami is playing for the playoffs, while the Jets have been eliminated from postseason contention.

Raheem Mostert drew the start in Week 17, but Jeff Wilson edged him out in snaps (65% vs. 42%), carries (15 for 45 vs. 9 for 29) and backfield opportunities (22 vs. 17). Both RBs were heavily targeted in the passing game (7-plus targets), but Wilson ran the majority of routes (58% vs. 38%). It was pretty similar to last week, but the gap in touches/volume favored Wilson more than Mostert, despite the latter scoring more fantasy points due to receptions and TDs.
Who Miami targets at running back this offseason will be important to track for fantasy purposes, as their explosive offense lends itself to a friendly fantasy-scoring environment. Mostert, Wilson, and Myles Gaskin are all unrestricted free agents, while Salvon Ahmed is a restricted free agent.
Tyreek Hill tied Davante Adams with the most targets of 20-plus air yards this season (37), but stood alone with the most receptions on those throws (19). The Cheetah also led the entire NFL in air yards (2,027).
Mike Gesicki posted a meager 8% target share in an offense that has no use for him. Would hope he finds himself in a more favorable situation in 2023 where his receiving abilities can be taken full advantage of. Perhaps 2023’s version of this year’s Evan Engram is in Gesicki’s future.

New England Patriots (Week 18 @ Buffalo Bills)

The Patriots get into the playoffs with a win.

Damien Harris finally made his return to the Patriots starting lineup in Week 17, playing 48% of the snaps while carrying the ball 9 times for 32 yards. His return put a massive damper into the Rhamondre Stevenson usage, who played just 57% of the snaps with 12 backfield opportunities (identical to Harris).
However, Harris is an impending free agent, which suggests that Stevenson’s role/production in 2023 will be more of what we saw from Weeks 5-16 when Harris was either not active or not 100% when playing. Even when Harris played alongside Stevenson, the Patriots RB finished third in route participation (58%) and targets (82) among running backs.
And remember Stevenson’s strong 2022 campaign was not fueled by touchdowns. In fact, Stevenson was one of the worst RBs converting from inside the 10-yard line as he scored just thrice despite 19 goal-line carries. Harris has also scored thrice from inside the 10 this year – on just 6 carries.
Rookie Tyquan Thornton also seems to have carved out the No. 2 role for the Patriots moving forward. He commanded a 22% target share and 55% air yards share (5 targets of 20-plus air yards) in Week 17, going 3-60-1 on 7 targets. He also tied Jakobi Meyers in routes run. Both Meyers and Nelson Agholor are impending free agents.

Indianapolis Colts (Week 18 versus Houston Texans)

Both Texans and Colts have nothing to play for (pride…maybe?)

Zack Moss remained the Colts starting running back in Week 17 (58% opportunity share, 15 carries for 74 yards), but he also saw zero targets despite running the most RB routes. Moss seems like he’s in the driver’s seat to be Jonathan Taylor‘s direct backup in 2023 with both Deon Jackson and Jordan Wilkins slated to hit free agency.
Michael Pittman kept on being a true alpha – 30% target share, 6-41-1 – and also scored.
2023 free agent Parris Campbell finished second in targets (6, 22%) and led the team in receiving yards (52) in Week 17.
Pittman will be an interesting buy-low candidate after he failed to deliver on his Round 3 ADP. Still commanded an elite 27% target share, but the yardage and TDs just weren’t there in the Colts anemic offense.
Rookie Jelani Woods remained in the TE1 chair, playing ahead of Mo Alie-Cox with Kylen Granson inactive. Woods ran a route on 50% of dropbacks and played 60% of the snaps. Also caught 3-of-4 targets for 19 yards. It’s too bad all 3 tight ends are under contract with the Colts in 2023.

New York Giants (Week 18 @ Philadelphia Eagles)

The Giants have clinched the wild card spot and will likely rest starters while the Eagles need to win to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs.

Since Week 13, Darius Slayton has been more of a number 2 than true No. 1, actually trailing both Isaiah Hodgins (22%) and Richie James Jr. (23%) in target share, receptions and fantasy points scored.
That trend continued in Week 17, when Slayton caught just 2 passes for 14 yards on 3 targets. Hodgins commanded a 22% target share and caught 4 passes for 42 yards and one TD. James Jr. took advantage of the favorable matchup in the slot versus Indianapolis and caught all 7 of his targets (30%) for 76 yards and 1 touchdown.
Hodgins is the only Giants WR of their top-3 under contract in 2023.
However, they will get rookie Wan’Dale Robinson back from injury at some point, and he could benefit greatly from taking on the James role from the slot. Robinson earned a 24% target rate per route run when healthy this season, playing 81% of his snaps from the slot.

Philadelphia Eagles (Week 18 versus the New York Giants)

The Giants have clinched the wild card spot and will likely rest starters while the Eagles need to win to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoffs.

Miles Sanders dominated the Eagles backfield with a 71% opportunity share in Week 17. Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell combined for two carries and three targets. Sanders was not targeted.
Scott and Sanders are free agents in 2023.
Over the last 2 weeks, DeVonta Smith has earned a 38% target share and 114 receiving yards per game. Dallas Goedert‘s return has not had a negative impact on Smith’s production.
Smith’s impressive second-year stint can be tied back to his elite usage, as he finished 4th in route participation (96%) ahead of teammate A.J. Brown (92%). The Slim Reaper scored just 8 fewer fantasy points in PPR than former Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle.

New Orleans Saints (Week 18 versus Carolina Panthers)

Saints and Panthers have both been eliminated from playoff contention.

Alvin Kamara rushed 16 times for 74 rushing yards but finished with just one reception on 1 target in Week 17. Kamara has not caught more than 2 passes in a single game since Week 12. Weeks 5-12, he never caught fewer than 3 balls in any contest. His target share has dipped from 22% to 12%.
Taysom Hill almost totaled Kamara’s exact volume, earning 14 carries for 46 yards and 1 rushing TD to go along with 1 catch for 9 yards. Hill doubled Kamara’s carries inside the 10-yard line (4 vs. 2).
Hill finished second behind only Kelce in total touches among players with TE status this season (99).
Juwan Johnson led the Saints with a 30% target share catching 5 balls for 62 yards in Week 17.
Rookie Rashid Shaheed out-targeted Chris Olave (again, 6 vs. 4) and led the team with 79 receiving yards. Shaheed owns a 22.6% target share since Week 13. He also ranks 3rd among WRs with at least 30 targets in yards per route run (2.79)
However, Olave ends his rookie season 8th in total air yards (1,531) while commanding a 25% target share.
Shaheed seems like a guarantee to be a part of the Saints starting WR room next year with Deonte Harty, Jarvis Landry and Marquez Callaway all free agents.
Eno Benjamin played ahead of David Johnson as the No. 2 running back. Worth stashing Benjamin as he is the only RB under contract next year for the Saints not-named Kamara – who may face a suspension for legal reasons.

Carolina Panthers (Week 18 @ New Orleans Saints)

Saints and Panthers have both been eliminated from playoff contention.

D’Onta Foreman led the Panthers backfield with the start and 13 carries for 35 yards in Week 17. Zero targets which has been the case most of the season. Teammate Chuba Hubbard rushed just thrice for 12 yards and caught 3 targets for 53 yards. Foreman is a free agent in 2023, but Hubbard is still under contract.
D.J. Moore did what he usually does: 32% target share, 117 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. In 5 games with Sam Darnold at quarterback this season, Moore owns a 30% target share and is averaging over 75 receiving yards per game.
Moore’s 2022 campaign was full of ups and downs (as to be expected with a rotating QB carousel), but the fact remains true that he is an uber-talented wide receiver. His 54% team air yards share ranks first among all players in 2023 and is 11% points higher than the next closest player (43%, Amari Cooper).
DJM also finished No. 1 in WOPR (weighted opportunity), which further solidifies his sheer dominance in the Panthers passing attack. His 98% route participation also ranked the highest among all players.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Week 18 @ Atlanta Falcons)

Tampa Bay likely resting starters to some extent with No. 4 seed locked, Falcons playing for nothing

Rachaad White and Leonard Fournette split backfield touches nearly 50/50 in Week 17, with the rookie slightly edging out the veteran in touches (16 vs. 14) and snaps played. He also started and ran more routes. However, Lenny bogarted 3 carries inside the 10-yard line but just failed to score a TD. Neither were efficient as rushers or receivers; as both were held under 30 receiving yards and 30 rushing yards.
Mike Evans cashed in on his pent-up touchdown regression catching 3 TDs on 10 catches for 207 receiving yards (29% target share). His 30 deep targets in 2022 ranked 3rd among all players, but he caught just 12 of them.
Rookie tight end Cade Otton ran a route on 85% of dropbacks (elite) and commanded 3 red-zone targets on 6 total targets but did not score. Cameron Brate was a healthy scratch which put Otton into a full-time role.

Cleveland Browns (Week 18 @ Pittsburgh Steelers)

The Steelers are playing for playoff spot.

Kareem Hunt‘s usage finally hit rock bottom on Sunday, with him taking a backseat to rookie Jerome Ford. Ford compiled 5 carries for 9 yards, while Hunt was limited to 2 carries for zero yards (one carry inside the 10-yard line) and 1 catch for -1 yards.
Hunt’s underwhelming usage throughout the entire 2022 season has been extremely bizarre, and it strongly suggests that the 2023 free agent will almost certainly be on another team next season as he enters his age 28-season.
D’Ernest Johnson is also a free agent, but he has seen almost zero playing time all season.
Amari Cooper only caught 3 passes but finished with 105 yards and two TDs. I’d be excited about the future of not just Cooper, but all the full-time players in this offense with Deshaun Watson next season. Both Donovan Peoples-Jones – typically runs more routes every week than Cooper, 92% route participation through all of 2022 – and David Njoku – top-10 route participation among tight ends – are under contract in 2023.
Njoku could absolutely explode in 2023, considering his 2022 usage as a full-time player that the Browns have committed to. He finished second among TEs in red-zone targets (19, 10th overall) but only converted 3 into touchdowns.

Washington Commanders (Week 18 versus Dallas Cowboys)

Cowboys playing for playoff seeding combined with losses by 49ers and Eagles, Washington eliminated from postseason

Brian Robinson Jr. got fed without Antonio Gibson, carrying the ball 24 times for 87 rushing yards (64% opportunity share). Although he went 0-for-2 at the goal line and was vulture by his QB. And the team replaced AG’s role as a receiver with Jonathan Williams who commanded 5 targets and 3 catches in addition to 9 carries for 30 yards. Williams also ran a route on 66% of dropbacks.
Robinson finishes the fantasy regular season 13th in carries, but with just 2 rushing TDs.
Terry McLaurin suffered at the hands of Carson Wentz, seeing just 5 targets (18%) and catching 2 for 25 yards in Week 17. Woof.
Tight end Logan Thomas was Wentz’s go-to target for the second straight game commanding a 25% target share (6-56-0). He ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks.
Rookie Jahan Dotson also saw 7 targets and commanded 112 air yards. He also led the team in routes run.

San Francisco 49ers (Week 18 versus Arizona Cardinals)

Cardinals playing for nothing, 49ers are playing for a chance at No. 1 seed.

Christian McCaffrey does it ALL. 19 carries for 121 yards and 1 rushing TD while playing 85% of the snaps in Week 17. 88% of the backfield opportunities. No other RB for the 49ers got more than 2 touches.
Brandon Aiyuk: 9-101-1 on a team-high 12 targets (35% target share). Aiyuk was just one of six players this season to run a route on at least 96% of team dropbacks.
George Kittle scores AGAIN: 4-23-1 on 8 targets.
Aiyuk and Kittle combined for 61% of the team’s targets.
Jauan Jennings operated as WR2 running a route on 89% of dropbacks in Week 17.

Las Vegas Raiders (Week 18 versus Kansas City Chiefs)

The Chiefs are still in the running for the No. 1 seed. Clinch No. 1 seed with win and if CIN-BUF is not replayed.

Davante Adams brought his A-Game with Jarrett Stidham under center. The Raiders WR1 caught 7 balls for 153 yards and 2 TDs on a team-high 11 targets (35% target share).
His 33% target share ranks first among all receivers in 2022.
Josh Jacobs‘ role seemed a bit lighter than usual, with Brandon Bolden totaling 8 carries for 34 yards. The 2023 free agent still got his – 17 for 69 and 1 rushing TD, 5 targets – so I wouldn’t be overly concerned about his usage in Week 18.
Jacobs’ 83% opportunity share led all RBs in 2022.
Darren Waller ran the same number of routes as Foster Moreau (61%), which continues his lackluster usage. However, there’s no doubt Waller is being hyper-targeted when he does run routes, as he was targeted on 5 routes for 72 receiving yards and 1 TD. 4 of his 5 targets were on 20-plus air yard throws.

New York Jets (Week 18 @ Miami Dolphins)

Miami is playing for the playoffs, while the Jets have been eliminated from postseason contention.

The matchup was present for Zonovan Knight to be productive, but the negative game flow put him in a tough spot. Knight was only able to muster 8 carries for 27 yards and 2 catches for 10 yards.
Ty Johnson was the Jets most involved RB drawing the start and totaling 13 opportunities (46% opportunity share) on a team-high 47% snap share. Michael Carter was not involved, totaling just 3 touches. Seeing Johnson be the clear favorite over Carter was definitely different usage from what we have seen in the past with this coaching staff when both guys are healthy.
Garrett Wilson got the targets (11, 24%) but the poor defensive matchup and lack of “effective” Mike White limited him to 3 catches for 18 yards. His 127 air yards led to little real yardage. Still, Wilson concludes his rookie year with a 24% target share and a 86% route participation despite not being a full-time player until Week 8.

Seattle Seahawks (Week 18 versus Los Angeles Rams)

The Seahawks are playing for a playoff berth.

Ken Walker got FED. 23 carries for 133 rushing yards. He also commanded all 4 carries inside the 10-yard line. However, DeeJay Dallas reared his ugly head with 7 carries for 43 yards of his own and 4 targets for 55 receiving yards. Dallas also ran just one fewer route than Walker (14 vs. 15). At times this season we have seen Walker earn a large number of targets and ran a surplus of routes.
Heading into 2023, I would hardly view Dallas as a reason to “fade” Walker for fear that he won’t be used as much in the receiving game. But he will likely be a decent handcuff option as he seems primed to take on the No. 2 role with Travis Homer and Rashaad Penny slated for free agency.
Tight end Colby Parkinson was the main benefactor of the Will Dissly injury. He played 81% of the snaps, ran a route on 77% of dropbacks and commanded a team-high 25% target share. All superior usage metrics to Noah Fant.
Tyler Lockett got banged-up in Week 17 as well, playing just 32% of the snaps.

Los Angeles Rams (Week 18 @ Seattle Seahawks)

The Seahawks are playing for a playoff berth.

Consider me back in on Cam Akers come 2023 fantasy football drafts. The three-down bellcow role in the Rams offense has been all Akers for the past month, and the usage didn’t stop in Week 17. He carried the ball 19 times for 123 yards earning a 91% opportunity share on a 78% snap share and 58% route participation in Week 17. Kyren Williams and Malcolm Brown have been regulated to one-two touches per week. From Weeks 15-17, Akers is the RB5 in points per game and the RB12 in expected points per game.
Don’t forget about Cooper Kupp next year. Obviously, it was disappointing due to injury, but he still ranked second in target share (31%, tied with Tyreek Hill) in the games he did participate in.

Los Angeles Chargers (Week 18 @ Denver Broncos)

LA is playing starters even though they have clinched a playoff spot. Although they clinch the No. 5 seed if the Ravens lose at 1 pm, giving them absolutely nothing to play for during their game.

In Week 17, Mike Williams led the way with a 32% target share commanding 94 receiving yards on 7 catches (10 targets).
Most of the Chargers’ usage metrics are down on account of them pulling starters early in the 4th quarter. Hence. Larry Rountree‘s random 10 carries for an atrocious 15 yards.
If the Chargers do decide to rest their starters at some point in Week 18, will we see more of WR DeAndre Carter. He has a contract incentive that awards him $250,000 with two receptions.

Green Bay Packers (Week 18 versus Detroit Lions)

Lions and Packers both playing for playoff berths. However, Lions will be eliminated if Seahawks win earlier on Sunday.

Don’t necessarily be fooled by Romeo Doubs‘ 4 target number in Week 17, as three of his targets came on the final drive from Jordan Love.
Allen Lazard was the true target leader with 6 targets coming from Aaron Rodgers (25%). Two of his targets came in the red zone.
Lazard has been low-key used aggressively downfield this season, ranking 5th in deep targets (26). However he only caught 8 of them.
Aaron Jones (14 for 111) and A.J. Dillon (12 for 41 and 1 TD) split touches as they often do. Although it’s worth noting that Dillon played more snaps and ran more routes (38% vs. 35%), albeit Jones caught more passes (2).
Christian Watson still was heavily involved – 5 targets, 29% target rate and 65% route participation – but he was not productive. The rookie caught just one pass for 11 yards despite seizing 131 air yards (49% air yards share).
Be aggressive drafting Watson in 2023. His 25% target rate per route run is nothing but impressive. 14th among all WRs with at least 60 targets. If he takes over the downfield looks in 2023 that Lazard earned, prepare for a massive second-year leap.

Minnesota Vikings (Week 18 @ Chicago Bears)

Vikings will either be No. 2 or No. 3 seed depending on outcome of the 49ers game and if they win over the Bears.

Minnesota got blown out by the Packers in Week 17, so there are no major takeaways from a usage standpoint. Everyone reprised their same roles.
Although it is worth mentioning that Adam Thielen continues to struggle so much that he is being out-produced by T.J. Hockenson (34% target share in Week 17) and No. 3 WR K.J. Osborn.
Thielen has just a 11% target share in the last 3 games. 7 catches for 90 yards total.
The Vikings have an out in Thielen’s contract in 2023. Needless to say, they would be wise to spend aggressively in either free agency or the draft to gain a new No. 2 to operate alongside Jefferson.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 18 versus Cleveland Browns)

The Steelers are playing for playoff spot.

Najee Harris (22 for 111 rushing) and Jaylen Warren (12 for 76 rushing) combined for 40 total backfield opportunities in Week 17 versus the Ravens. Both saw 3 targets. Harris played the most snaps (64% vs. 40%).
And despite all Harris’ ups-and-downs in 2022, he still operated as a pseudo-workhorse ranking 6th in opportunity share (70%) and 8th in total touches.
Diontae Johnson led the way with 7 targets (26%) but struggled with Kenny Pickett again, catching just 2 passes for 35 yards. Johnson has underwhelmed with Pickett all season; he has not topped more than 65 receiving yards or a weekly finish better than WR37.
But that’s par for the course with a rookie QB under center, so I’d expect a major bounce back for Johnson with Pickett entering Year 2. Johnson’s ability to command targets – 27% target share and 137 targets (7th) in 2022 – suggests he is a prime candidate for positive regression in many facets.
He scored zero TDs from Weeks 1-17, despite commanding 14 red-zone targets. Johnson also suffered horribly when targeted downfield, as he captured just four of his 24 targets of 20-plus air yards. His combined downfield targets and red-zone targets were the most of any player to not score in 2022. Those trends don’t tend to carry over from year-to-year. Buy-low on Johnson.
Pat Freiermuth finished 2nd with 6 targets for a team-high 36 receiving yards. More importantly, he retained his elite role, running a route on 93% of dropbacks. Pat Freiermuth has the chance to jump into the elite tier of tight ends in 2023, after finishing his 2nd season 6th in target share (21%) and 5th in target rate per route run (24%).
George Pickens‘ role also remained elite, with him running a route on 97% of dropbacks in Week 17. And although I am bullish on Johnson in 2023, Pickens is equally appealing. He commanded one more deep target than Johnson (25) and was, more importantly, more efficient, catching 14 deep balls – tied for 4th among all WRs.
Pickens was also just one of 16 players to run a route on at least 90% of his team’s dropbacks this season (91%).

Baltimore Ravens (Week 18 @ Cincinnati Bengals)

Ravens/Bengals playing for playoff seeding. Baltimore could get No. 5 seed if they win and Chargers lose. Baltimore plays before Los Angeles.

When the chips are on the line, the Ravens are turning to their RB1, J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins was by far the most involved running back on Sunday night, carrying the ball 17 times for 93 yards. 85% opportunity share and matched season-high 50% snap share. Gus Edwards had just 3 carries.
Mark Andrews finally had a good game with Tyler Huntley at QB: 9-100-0 on a 45% target share. Isaiah Likely came away with the TD, while running the 3rd-most routes on the team. Both Andrews and Likely earned 36% target rates.
This team desperately needs Rashod Bateman back in the fold in 2023. From Demarcus Robinson to Devin Duvernay, the Baltimore Ravens WR room boasts some of the worst WR efficiency metrics as a group. Bateman is the one glimmer of hope as he averaged a 23% target rate and 2.38 yards per route run in a truncated 2022 campaign.

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