ThriveFantasy NBA Best Bets for December 25th, 2022

ThriveFantasy is one of the most intriguing and exciting names in the DFS arena. Instead of the traditional salary cap based offerings, ThriveFantasy offers a variety of attractive prop based contests. They have two exciting DFS contest types to choose from, the Contest Lobby and the Props Lobby.

Their Props Lobby allows DFS players to make an over/under prediction on two to four props to win cash. Two correct selections pay a 3.6x time multiplier, three correct predictions pay a 6.2x multiplier, and four correct picks pay an 11 times multiplier. In these contests, you are competing against yourself, and if all of your predictions hit, you win the corresponding amount.

The Contest Lobby is where things really get intriguing. The Contest Lobby’s prop contests for the NBA involves making predictions on five out of the 10 listed props. You will be required to make two additional picks to ensure fairness just in case one of your players fails to play. These backup picks are called ICE (in case of emergency) picks.

Fantasy sports players, especially DFS players, have an edge when it comes to player prop betting. DFS players set lineups taking into account potential production when weighing competing options against each other. This is most pronounced with the NBA and the NFL DFS players. As such, diving into prop based DFS contests is a smart way to further monetize your knowledge. While the Contest Lobby requires you to select 10 different props, you can still make a return even if you do not get every over/under prediction right.

Instead of providing my full lineup, we will instead be shifting to highlighting some top plays to consider. These are Contest Lobby props that are good enough that they would be strong considerations if offered in the Prop Lobby.

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Top Plays

Jamal Murray (PG – DEN): 18.5 points (110 More/90 Less)
Murray has been struggling this season, managing just 17.5 points per game for the Denver Nuggets. His field goal percentage remains terrible, and he is shooting slightly less now that he is playing point guard full time. Falling back under .450 from the field means that he is going to be inconsistent and, as a result, one of the harder players to peg when it comes to props. As evidenced by the point totals offered, ThriveFantasy believes that the Less will hit. Murray has scored less than seven points in two of his last three games and is averaging less than the posted total. However, Murray has hit more than 19 points in three of his last five and is facing a Phoenix Suns team surrendering 24.04 points per game to the position. Mash the More for Murray for the Christmas Day contest at ThriveFantasy.
Prediction: More (110 points)

Jalen Brunson (PG – NYK): 4.5 assists (80 More/120 Less)
Jalen Brunson has been solid this season for the New York Knicks averaging 20.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. Brunson has to hit just five assists for the More to click on this contest lobby prop, something he has done in four of his last five games. Philadelphia has surrendered 7.97 assists per game to the point guard position, giving Brunson an excellent opportunity to hit the More. This is one of the props with the highest probability of hitting the More, and as the points indicate, ThriveFantasy feels the same. Take the 80 points while looking for a contrarian play or two elsewhere.
Prediction: More (80 points)

LeBron James (SF – LAL): 35.5 points + rebounds (100 More/100 Less)
LeBron is averaging 27.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per game on the season, putting his average in line for the Less. However, if this prop was all about season averages, ThriveFantasy would have more points offered on the Less. LeBron has been heating up lately, piling up 36 or more combined points and rebounds in each of his last five games. LeBron has to shoulder the load if the Lakers want to win games, especially with the roller coaster known as the Anthony Davis experience as his running mate. LeBron is going to have to go head-to-head with Luka to give the Lakers any chance on Christmas Day. Tap the More for 100 points on LeBron.
Prediction: More (100 points)

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