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The fantasy playoffs are here. Shout. Scream. Enjoy. The off-season research, one million mock drafts this summer, the late-night waiver bids, savvy in-season trades, and more have brought you here. Now, it’s time to bring home the bacon.

It’s win or go home. Whether you squeaked into your league’s last playoff spot or earned a bye doesn’t matter. Once in the fantasy playoffs, anything can happen. All bets are off. David can knock off Goliath. It’s also possible that steamroller squads will continue bludgeoning the competition. The first step towards greatness begins in Week 15. Good luck.

“The future is not set. There is no fate but what we make for ourselves.”
– John Connor

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IND vs. MIN | BAL vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | ATL vs. NO | PHI vs. CHI | DET vs. NYJ | PIT vs. CAR | DAL vs. JAC | KC vs. HOU | ARI vs. DEN | NE vs. LV | TEN vs. LAC | CIN vs. TB | NYG vs. WAS | LAR vs. GB | SF vs. SEA

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings

• MIN -4, O/U 47.5
• Colts vs. Vikings Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 10, the Colts have sped back up and are 11th in neutral script pace. Over the same span, they are 12th in neutral rushing rate.
• Over their last five games, the Vikings have slowed the pace down (17th) while they remain pass-heavy (ninth in neutral passing rate) in close games.

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan: Ryan hasn’t managed a QB1 performance since Week 10, but this is a perfect opportunity to break his current streak of mediocrity. Overall he’s the QB24 in fantasy points per game, sitting at 34th in fantasy points per dropback and QB19 in expected fantasy points per game. He’s still extremely accurate, ranking sixth in true completion rate, fifth in completion rate from a clean pocket, and second in deep ball completion rate. The problem is he’s been too frightened to push the ball downfield, as he ranks 32nd in deep ball attempts and 35th in air yards per attempt. Ryan’s propensity to take the short completions could play to his advantage this week. Minnesota is 29th in DVOA against short passing, allowing the third-most YAC. Since Week 10, they are 28th in success rate per dropback and 28th in EPA per dropback. Overall this season, they have given up the most passing yards in the NFL and the seventh-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Ryan is a surprisingly strong QB2 this week with QB1 upside.

Kirk Cousins: Cousins is the QB16 this season, with seven QB1 performances under his belt. Cousins has been playing better as the season has rolled along. He’s ninth in PFF passing grade, 11th in adjusted completion rate, and sixth in big-time throw rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). The Colts have been a tough draw for fantasy quarterbacks. Since Week 10, they are 13th in success rate per dropback and 13th in EPA per dropback allowed. Overall this season, they are 12th in yards per attempt and 14th in passing touchdown rate allowed. Cousins is a QB2 this week, as Minnesota could lean on their ground game to get another win.

Running Backs

Jonathan Taylor: Since Week 10, Taylor has averaged 24.1 touches, and 114.6 total yards with at least 75% of the snaps played in each game. Over his last four games, Taylor has finally looked healthy, ranking 13th in yards after contact per attempt, 20th in breakaway rate, and 26th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 20 carries). Since Week 10, Taylor has had a 12.1% target share and 66.4% route run rate, which is fantastic and adds to his floor and ceiling weekly. Since Week 10, Minnesota has been ninth in rushing success rate, 11th in EPA per rush, and 15th in explosive run rate allowed. Taylor is a locked-in RB1 set for 20 touches at least weekly.

Dalvin Cook: Cook has hit a wall recently. He’s only cleared 80 rushing yards once over his last four games and hasn’t managed 100 rushing yards since Week 10. Since Week 11, Cook has the 16th-lowest yards before contact per carry, which indicates some of his performance has been related to his offensive line (minimum 20 rushing attempts). When we zoom in further, the onus is absolutely on Cook, as he has the lowest yards after contact per carry among the running backs sampled. Cook hasn’t broken the 2.00 yards after contact per attempt barrier, which is a low mark to hit since Week 11. Over this stretch, he’s still averaged 18.8 touches but only 61.8 total yards. The Colts could be the “get right elixir” Cook needs. Since Week 10, they are 27th in rushing success rate, 28th in rushing yards per game, 28th in EPA per rush, and 22nd in explosive run rate allowed. Cook remains an RB1 despite his recent struggles.

Alexander Mattison: Mattison remains a handcuff-only type. Since Week 11, he’s averaged 3.3 touches and nine total yards.

Wide Receivers

Michael Pittman: Pittman has a 24.9% target share, 23.5% end zone target share, and 26.9% air yard share. Ryan’s reluctance to throw deep and his role have nerfed his weekly ceiling. Pittman’s 6.4 aDOT has crushed his upside as he’s basically Indy’s Diontae Johnson. A wide receiver who garners a ton of volume weekly but is crushed by shoddy quarterback play and low-calorie targets. Pittman hasn’t surpassed 80 receiving yards since Week 6. He’s surviving as the WR23 in fantasy on volume alone with the sixth-most targets among wide receivers. He’s only seen two deep targets this season and three red zone looks over his last nine games. Pittman is a WR3 in a glorious matchup. He’ll run about 75% of his routes against Patrick Peterson (61.8% catch rate, 74.3 passer rating) and Cameron Dantzler (79.2% catch rate, 125.7 passer rating).

Parris Campbell: Since Week 6, with Matt Ryan under center, Campbell has a 20.8% target share and 22.2% end zone target share, with 1.5 yards per route run. Campbell has six red zone targets over his last eight games. Per ESPN analytics, among 88 wide receivers with at least 34 targets, Campbell ranks 80th in open rate and 13th in YAC rating. Campbell is 21st in YAC per reception, tied with Terry McLaurin (minimum 25 targets). His YAC skills will come in handy against this secondary which struggles to defend receivers after the catch. He’s a WR3/4 that will run about 81% of his routes against Chandon Sullivan (77.1% catch rate, 108.4 passer rating). Minnesota has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers.

Alec Pierce: Since Week 11, he has had an 18.2% target share (six targets per game) and a 72.4% route participation rate. Pierce could pop off a long touchdown if Ryan decides to chuck it deep. Pierce leads the team in deep targets and has a 12.8 aDOT. While Minnesota has had problems with short passes, that doesn’t mean they have done well guarding against deep shots. Minnesota has permitted the seventh-highest deep completion rate and third-most deep passing yards this season. Pierce is a WR4/5 with a ceiling for more this week. He’ll run about 93% of his routes against Peterson and Dantzler.

Justin Jefferson: Jefferson is unreal. He’s fifth in target share (30%), first in receiving yards per game (115.4), sixth in end zone targets per game (1.1), and second in yards per route run behind only Tyreek Hill (minimum 25 targets). Jefferson has eight 100-yard receiving weeks and four games with at least 150 receiving yards. Jefferson will run about 68% of his routes against Stephon Gilmore (60.3% catch rate, 70.0 passer rating) and Isaiah Rodgers (82.4% catch rate, 111.5 passer rating). Jefferson is in play for the WR1 overall weekly.

Adam Thielen: Thielen has a 19.6% target share and 25.4% air yard share as he’s lived off his red zone role (16 red zone targets). The Colts have deployed their corners in zone on 63-66% of his coverage snaps this season. Thielen has seen 49.4% of his target volume against zone this season, ranking 47th in PFF receiving grade and 55th in yards per route run against the coverage type. His yards per reception have increased from 8.6 to 10.4 against zone coverage compared to man coverage. Thielen is a WR3/4 that will run about 67% of his routes against Gilmore and Rodgers.

Tight Ends

T.J. Hockenson: Since becoming a Viking, Hockenson has a 20.8% target share (7.8 targets per game) and a 21.4% end zone target share. He has averaged 47.5 receiving yards with an 80.2% route run rate (1.38 yards per route run). Over this stretch, he’s the TE7 in fantasy points per game. Hockenson is a weekly mid-range TE1. Indy is 28th in DVOA, allowing the fifth-highest catch rate and ninth-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to tight ends.

IND vs. MIN | BAL vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | ATL vs. NO | PHI vs. CHI | DET vs. NYJ | PIT vs. CAR | DAL vs. JAC | KC vs. HOU | ARI vs. DEN | NE vs. LV | TEN vs. LAC | CIN vs. TB | NYG vs. WAS | LAR vs. GB | SF vs. SEA

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns

• CLE -3, O/U 37.5
• Ravens vs. Browns Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• With Tyler Huntley as the Ravens’ starter, Baltimore is 24th in neutral pace with the fourth-highest neutral rushing rate.
• In Deshaun Watson‘s two starts, the Browns have ranked 22nd in neutral pace and third in neutral rushing rate.

Quarterbacks

Tyler Huntley: Lamar Jackson has been ruled out (knee). Huntley has cleared the concussion protocol and will be starting this week for Baltimore. Huntley was the QB15 in fantasy in Week 13 in relief of Jackson. In his last two games, he has managed at least 30 rushing yards in two abbreviated outings, so the rushing equity is substantial enough to put him in the mid-range QB2 conversation without even discussing what he does as a passer. Huntley is 38th in PFF passing grade, 43rd in yards per attempt, and 47th in aDOT (minimum 50 dropbacks). He faces a Browns pass defense that’s 23rd in success rate per dropback, 18th in passing yards per game, and 20th in explosive pass rate allowed since Week 8. Keep your expectations in check with his passing ability. If he can manage a score or two through the air with his ground equity, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Huntley sneaks in as a low-end QB1 this week, although he’s best viewed as a QB2.

Deshaun Watson: Watson didn’t look like he was fully back last week, but his play improved. He was 20th in yards per attempt, tenth in adjusted completion rate, and 13th in aDOT as the QB14 in fantasy. Watson has added some equity with his legs weekly, averaging 6.5 rushing attempts and 27 yards on the ground. This week, Watson is a dark horse QB1 facing a formidable Ravens’ pass defense. Baltimore is a strong defense, but not insurmountable. Since Week 10, they are 18th in success rate per dropback, 19th in passing yards per game, and 21st in explosive pass rate allowed. Watson should also have success with play-action passing against this secondary. Since his return, Watson is 12th in play-action dropbacks, tenth in play-action yards per attempt, and has the tenth-highest completion rate difference on play-action throws. Baltimore has yielded the fourth-highest completion rate when defending play-action passes.

Running Backs

Week 13

J.K. Dobbins: The Ravens wasted no time taking the training wheels off Dobbins in his first game back. He played 43% of the snaps finishing with 15 carries for 120 rushing yards (one score). Dobbins was the backfield’s clear leader, leading the group in rushing attempts, routes, and red zone work. Dobbins concluded the week with a strong 3.13 yards after contact per attempt and three runs of ten or more yards. Dobbins is an RB2 this week with smash upside. Since Week 10, Cleveland is 27th in rushing success rate, 23rd in rushing yards per game, and 28th in explosive run rate allowed.

Gus Edwards: Edwards played his usual 1B role with 34% of the snaps and 13 carries for 66 rushing yards. When healthy, Edwards has also been effective as a rusher. He ranks 17th in yards after contact per attempt and 22nd in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 25 carries). Baltimore could lean on their ground game this week, considering the matchup and their quarterback situation. Edwards is an RB3 that has RB2 upside. He could easily walk away with 15-17 carries this week and a rushing score.

Nick Chubb: Chubb has hit a dry spot after starting the season on fire. Over his last five games he only has one 100 yards rushing outing and has been beneath 70 rushing yards three times. During this stretch Chubb hasn’t been an elite tackle breaker, but he hasn’t been terrible either. He’s 18th in yards after contact per attempt, second in breakaway rate, and sixth in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 25 carries). Since Week 10 he’s averaging 18.4 touches and 82.8 total yards with a nice surprise of 20.4 receiving yards per game. It might not sound like much but that passing down work helps pad his floor and ceiling. Chubb has three receptions in three of his last five games. Chubb remains a low-end RB1 despite a brutal matchup with Baltimore this week. Since Week 10, the Ravens are first in rushing yards per game, first in EPA per rush, and third in explosive run rate allowed.

Kareem Hunt: Since Week 6, Hunt has averaged 7.7 touches and 34 total yards with only one touchdown. Over those last eight games, he’s failed to top 30 total yards five times. Hunt has nine red zone opportunities over that stretch, but with a tough defense inbound, he’s reduced to a touchdown-or-bust low-end RB3/RB4.

Wide Receivers

Demarcus Robinson: Since Week 11, Robinson has stepped forward as Baltimore’s leading wide receiver with a 23.5% target share (6.8 targets per game), 30% air yard share, and 2.29 yards per route run. Robinson leads the Baltimore wide receiver room with eight red zone targets (five in his last six games). Robinson has finished as a top-40 fantasy wideout (WR6, WR37, WR38) in three of the last four games. Robinson is a WR4 that will run about 92% of his routes against Martin Emerson (55.8% catch rate, 89.4 passer rating) and Denzel Ward (64% catch rate, 106.9 passer rating).

Amari Cooper: Cooper is the WR15 this season with a 26.6% target share (12th) and 38.4% air yard share (seventh). Cooper has been volatile recently, with three finishes outside the top 50 fantasy wideouts in his last five games. Despite his recent struggles, he remains top 20 in deep targets (11th), red zone targets (12th), and yards per route run (19th) among receivers. Cooper will face Marlon Humphrey (64.9% catch rate, 66.4 passer rating) in addition to Marcus Peters (71.7% catch rate, 118.3 passer rating) on 75% of his routes. Humphrey won’t shadow him. He hasn’t shadowed all season. The bigger question for Cooper is, can he overcome the Raven’s zone coverage? Since Week 11, Humphrey and Peters have spent 64-65% of their snaps in zone. Cooper has been better against man coverage this season as he ranks 44th in yards per route run against zone (minimum ten zone targets). Cooper is a WR2.

Donovan Peoples-Jones: Peoples-Jones is a strong WR3 this week. He has commanded a 19.5% target share and 26.3% air yard share. He is 18th among wide receivers in deep targets, but he’s only drawn eight red zone targets all year (three in his last five games). Peoples-Jones’ touchdown upside weekly is capped unless he breaks off multiple big plays, which is reflected in his one receiving touchdown this season. Peoples-Jones has fared slightly better against zone coverage, with 50% of his target volume against the coverage. He ranks 32nd in yards per route run against zone (minimum ten zone targets). Peoples-Jones will run about 71% of his routes against Humphrey and Peters.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews: Andrews remains the TE2 in fantasy despite not getting in the end zone since Week 6. In his five (full) games played since then, he’s finished as the TE50, TE7, TE10, and TE23. This isn’t the same level of consistency we saw from Andrews earlier this year when he was the TE3 or better in four of his first six games. Is the Raven’s quarterback situation a concern? Sure. Does that mean that you’re not starting Andrews in this pivotal week? No. Andrews still ranks first in target share, route participation, and air yards among tight ends. His red zone involvement has dropped with five targets inside the 20 in his last six games, but in the overall scope of the tight end position, this is still solid usage. Andrews does have a difficult matchup this week against a Cleveland defense that’s held tight ends to the second-lowest catch rate, fourth-fewest receiving touchdowns, and the fifth-lowest fantasy points per game.

David Njoku: In his first game with Watson under center, Njoku drew a 23.1% target share, finishing with seven grabs, 59 receiving yards (one touchdown), and a 93.6% route run rate. Njoku was the TE2 for the week. Njoku ranks third in PFF receiving grade, sixth in yards per route run, and 15th in YAC per reception as the TE6 in fantasy (minimum 15 targets). Njoku ranks ninth in deep targets and sixth in red zone targets among tight ends. Njoku is a strong TE1 against a Baltimore defense that is giving up the seventh-highest catch rate and fifth-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.

IND vs. MIN | BAL vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | ATL vs. NO | PHI vs. CHI | DET vs. NYJ | PIT vs. CAR | DAL vs. JAC | KC vs. HOU | ARI vs. DEN | NE vs. LV | TEN vs. LAC | CIN vs. TB | NYG vs. WAS | LAR vs. GB | SF vs. SEA

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

• BUF -7.5, O/U 42
• Dolphins vs. Bills Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 8, the Bills are still eighth in neutral pace, but they have dropped to 13th in neutral passing rate.
• Over the same span, the Dolphins continue to operate at a league-average pace (15th) in close games while rocking the fifth-highest neutral passing rate.

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa: Last week, the Dolphins’ passing attack struggled, with Tagovailoa posting a 35.7% completion rate and 5.1 yards per attempt. The Chargers consistently took away the middle of the field for Miami, with their corners getting inside leverage on the Dolphins’ receivers. Tagovailoa has peppered the middle of the field, with 41.7% of his passing attempts coming 20 yards or less downfield and in between the numbers. After weeks of coasting and crushing opposing secondaries, we now see if Miami can counterpunch. Despite last week’s horrendous game, Tagovailoa remains first in PFF passing grade, first in yards per attempt, and second in passer rating (minimum 100 dropbacks). Since Week 10, the Bills’ pass defense has displayed that they, too, can be beaten. Since then, they are 19th in success rate per dropback, 29th in passing yards per game, and 23rd in explosive pass rate allowed. Tagovailoa remains a QB1.

Josh Allen: Since we’re discussing falls from grace, we must discuss Allen’s recent performances. Since Week 11, he is 12th in adjusted completion rate, 16th in passing yards, and 30th in yards per attempt (minimum 25 dropbacks). Over his last four games, he’s finished as QB18, QB1, QB14, and QB9. While these aren’t horrible fantasy games, this isn’t the weekly fantasy monster we have come to expect. Whether this is due to Allen’s injury or the Bills’ offense hitting a wall is up for debate. In either case, this isn’t the same dumpster fire pass defense that opposing quarterbacks shredded earlier this season. Since Week 10, Miami has been fifth in success rate per dropback, sixth in EPA per dropback, and ninth in explosive pass rate allowed. Over this same timeframe, Miami is 12th in fantasy points per game given up to quarterbacks. Allen is a QB1 that will have to use his legs to hit a massive ceiling this week.

Running Backs

Week 14

Jeff Wilson: Wilson has been listed as questionable after DNPs on Tuesday and Wednesday. He managed a limited practice on Friday. Wilson’s workload has been all over the map recently, with only one carry and 37% of the snaps played in Week 13. Last week he managed four carries before departing with a hip ailment. Wilson is difficult to trust as anything more than a low-end RB3 or RB4. It wouldn’t shock me if he got only a handful of touches this week or came out and managed 10-15 touches. The wide range of results for his playing time this week makes him nearly impossible to trust in your lineup this week unless you are truly out of other options.

Raheem Mostert: Last week, with Wilson sidelined, Mostert took over the workhorse role playing 73% of the snaps with 12 touches and 44 total yards. He only managed one target through the air, but he dominated the routes from the backfield. Mostert’s per-carry efficiency has slipped throughout the season. He is ranked 32nd in evaded tackles, 38th in juke rate, 25th in breakaway run rate, and 49th in yards created per touch. Buffalo’s run defense has followed the pass defense in displaying some holes since Week 10. From that point, they are 15th in rushing success rate, 16th in yards per carry, and 18th in explosive run rate allowed. Mostert files in as an RB3, with Wilson likely to be active. If Wilson is a late inactive, then Mostert bumps up to a borderline RB2.

Week 14

Devin Singletary: If I weren’t already bald, I would be yanking my hair out by the handfuls after trying to predict this backfield week-to-week. Last week Singletary played 49% of the snaps with nine touches and 43 total yards. He handled most of the early down work while splitting routes with Cook. The division of labor among these backs feels like a fluid situation week to week where the coaching staff draws names out of a hat. With that being the case, Singletary is a risky RB3. Singletary’s efficiency has improved as the year has worn on. He’s 22nd in evaded tackles, 16th in breakaway run rate, and 23rd in yards per touch. Miami will make him work for every yard he gains. Since Week 10, they are eighth in rushing success rate, fourth in rushing yards per game, and tenth in explosive run rate allowed. If Singletary doesn’t get in the endzone this week, you’ll likely be disappointed that you played him.

James Cook: After logging 20 touches and 105 total yards (43% of snaps) in Week 13, Cook played 41% of the snaps last week with only five touches and 15 total yards. That volatility makes him unplayable in crunch time this week, even as a flex. While he could easily finish the week with 15 plus touches, the possible near goose egg is equally possible. When it’s win or go home, you can’t trust a player with this wide range of outcomes in your lineup, especially in a putrid matchup.

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill: Hill began the week with a limited practice after injuring his ankle in last week’s game. That’s hopefully a good sign for his Week 15 availability. Hill has dominated at every turn this season. He has finished as a top-25 wide receiver in every game this season except for one. Hill is second in target share (32.9%), first in target per route run rate (35.5%), and sixth in air yard share (39.1%). He is also top-three among receivers in receptions, receiving yards, and YAC. He leads the NFL in deep targets while drawing seven of his eight red zone targets this season in his last five games. Hill is a weekly top-five receiver option that will run about half his routes against Taron Johnson (72.5% catch rate, 107.2 passer rating) in the slot.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle has had a rough time over the last four games. He hasn’t been a top 24 wide receiver since Week 9 despite still ranking as the WR14 in fantasy points per game for the season. Waddle may be dealing with some nagging bumps and bruises as he popped up on the injury report last week and has seen his route run rate decline to 71.8% since Week 12 (81.7% in Weeks 1-11). Since Week 12, he has had a 19.8% target share (6.3 targets per game), as Hill has dominated the passing game (34.4% over the same period). Waddle only has one red zone target and 1.68 yards per route run over his last four games. Waddle is a WR2 that will run about 76% of his routes against Dane Jackson (60.6% catch rate, 85.7 passer rating) and Tre’Davious White (64.3% catch rate, 84.5 passer rating).

Stefon Diggs: Diggs may get shadow coverage from Xavien Howard this week. In Week 3, Howard followed him on 49% of his routes, allowing three receptions and 47 receiving yards on five targets. Howard has shadowed in five other games this season, following DeVante Parker, Rashod Bateman, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, and Amari Cooper on 56-96% of their routes. Howard’s results have been a rollercoaster this season, as he was dinged up and playing below his usual standards early in the season. Since Week 10, Howard has bounced back with a 66.7% catch rate and 77.8 passer rating allowed. Diggs is the WR5 this season with a 29.4% target share and 35.1% air yard share. He is eighth in deep targets and third in red zone targets among receivers. Despite the tough matchup, Diggs is a must-start WR1 weekly.

Gabriel Davis: If Howard follows Diggs, this could be a bounce-back game for Davis. Kader Kohou covers the perimeter when teams are in two wide receiver sets and moves into the slot when teams go three wide. Since Week 10, Buffalo utilizes three wide receiver sets on 71% of their plays, meaning that Davis should be paired up with the Dolphins’ weakest corner, Keion Crossen (63.2% catch rate, 131.5 passer rating), for most of the game. Davis is the WR35 this season, with a 16.9% target share and 27.4% air-yard share as the team’s downfield receiver. He’s 15th in deep targets with six red zone targets over his last five games. Davis is a WR3 with huge upside.

Isaiah McKenzie: McKenzie is tough to trust this week. Since Week 12, he has had a 20.2% target share, 70.8% route run rate, and 1.89 yards per route run, but the recent signing of Cole Beasley could crush those usage metrics. Could McKenzie remain a full-time player this week? Sure. Could Beasley and McKenzie split the slot duties with each eating into the other’s floor and ceiling? Yep. That could easily happen. The Bills, until recently, were reluctant to utilize McKenzie in a full-time role. The signing of Beasley could signal that the team isn’t satisfied with McKenzie as Allen’s full-time security blanket from the slot.

Tight Ends

Mike Gesicki: Gesicki is a ghost. Since Week 10, he has had a 5.4% target share and a 45.7% route run rate. Gesicki shouldn’t be on your roster by now, but if he is, cut him loose to the waiver wire. The Bills have been a horrible matchup for even full-time tight ends. They are ninth in receiving yards per game, second in yards per reception, and ninth in fantasy points per game allowed to the position since Week 8.

Dawson Knox: Since Week 6, Knox has resumed his every-down role for the Bills with a 12.7% target share, 75.3% route run rate, and 22.2% end zone target share (0.5 end zone targets per game). Over his last eight games, Knox is 35th in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Knox is a replacement-level TE2 in most weeks, but this week he faces the Dolphins, who can’t cover tight ends at all. Miami is 29th in DVOA against the position. Since Week 8, they have allowed the sixth-highest catch rate, seventh-most receiving yards per game, and fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Knox is a TE1.

IND vs. MIN | BAL vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | ATL vs. NO | PHI vs. CHI | DET vs. NYJ | PIT vs. CAR | DAL vs. JAC | KC vs. HOU | ARI vs. DEN | NE vs. LV | TEN vs. LAC | CIN vs. TB | NYG vs. WAS | LAR vs. GB | SF vs. SEA