Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
- DET -1, O/U 53.5
- Vikings vs. Lions Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- Over their last six games, Minnesota is 11th in neutral pace and tenth in neural passing rate.
- Since Week 8, the Lions are blazing a path, ranking seventh in neutral pace. They remain 17th in neutral passing rate, so while the play volume will help the passing department, this is still a run-balanced offense.
Quarterbacks
Kirk Cousins: While Cousins might be the QB16 in fantasy this year, he’s finished as a QB1 in 50% of his games. Cousins is 14th in PFF passing grade, 11th in passing touchdowns, and sixth in big-time throws. He’s QB12 in expected fantasy points per game. Cousins is a borderline QB1 again this week. Detroit has improved its defense recently. Since Week 10, they are a middle-of-the-road secondary, ranking 17th in success rate per dropback and 17th in passing yards per game while remaining 29th in explosive pass rate allowed. The biggest worry is that Detroit is seventh in pressure rate across their last four games. The Vikings have counteracted this in previous weeks by quickly getting the ball out of Cousins’ hands, which will likely be the plan of attack in Week 14.
Jared Goff: Last week, with the reintegration of Swift, the return of Chark, and the continued domination of St. Brown, Goff found his way to another ceiling game. He concluded Week 13 as the QB4 with 340 passing yards, 8.3 yards per attempt, and two passing scores. That was Goff’s third game this season as a top-eight fantasy quarterback and his sixth with multiple passing touchdowns. Goff is a QB1 this week, facing off against an overrated Vikings pass defense. Since Week 10, Minnesota has been 26th in success rate per dropback, 32nd in passing yards per game, and 32nd in explosive pass rate allowed. The Vikings are 31st in DVOA against short passing while allowing the second-most YAC in the NFL.
Running Backs
Dalvin Cook: Cook is the RB13 in fantasy averaging 18.8 touches and 90.4 total yards. Despite having a solid year, he only has two 100 yards rushing outings and surpassed 25 touches in a game only twice. Cook is fifth in snap and opportunity share, ninth in weighted opportunity, and fourth in red zone touches. Cook is 17th in yards after contact per attempt, 26th in breakaway rate, and 24th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 25 carries). The Lions remain a team that you can run on effectively. Since Week 10, they are 27th in rushing yards per game, 19th in explosive run rate, and 29th in rushing success rate allowed. Cook is an RB1.
Week 13
Player | Rushing attempts | Targets | Routes | Red zone opportunities |
Jamaal Williams | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
D’Andre Swift | 14 | 6 | 22 | 6 |
D’Andre Swift: Well, Swift’s usage last week was a happy surprise. He saw his highest snap percentage since Week 8 (51%) with 18 touches and 111 total yards. Swift led the running back room in red zone work and with a 51.2% route run rate. His per-carry efficiency last week still wasn’t great, as he failed to force any missed tackles with his 14 rushing attempts and finished with 1.79 yards after contact per attempt, but the bump in usage is great to see. Since Week 10, Minnesota has been 11th in rushing success rate, ninth in EPA per rush, and 16th in explosive run rate allowed. On the ground, they have been an above-average defense. The area they have been eaten up by is with running backs in the passing game. Minnesota is 24th in DVOA, giving up the sixth-most receptions, fifth-most receiving yards and eighth-highest yards per reception. Swift is an RB2 with RB1 potential this week.
Jamaal Williams: Williams is the early down banger complement to Swift. He’s averaged 15.7 carries and 64.1 rushing yards as the RB15 in fantasy. Williams has fueled fantasy lineups with the most red zone touches and total touchdowns among running backs. His star does dim if the Week 13 trend of Swift getting the bulk of the red zone usage continues. Williams has not been efficient or explosive, with his work ranking 35th in evaded tackles, 40th in breakaway run rate, and 53rd in yards created per touch. With the Vikings’ strength coming against the run, Williams is a low-end RB2/RB3. If he flops in the endzone, he’ll finish inside the top 24 backs despite an otherwise lackluster stat line.
Wide Receivers
Justin Jefferson: Jefferson continues his monster season this week. He is the WR5 in fantasy with a 29.7% target share (seventh-best) and 39.6% air-yard share (sixth-best). He is a top-five wide receiver in receptions, receiving yards, YAC, and touchdowns. Jefferson is sixth in PFF receiving grade and eighth in yards per route run (minimum 25 targets). He remains an elite WR1 that will run about 72% of his routes against Jeffrey Okudah (64.6% catch rate, 98.2 passer rating) and Jerry Jacobs (53.6% catch rate, 73.2 passer rating). During their last meeting, he was held to six targets, three receptions, and 14 receiving yards, with Okudah following him on 78% of his routes. We’ll see if Detroit lets Okudah shadow again and if they can keep Jefferson quiet in Week 14. In Week 3, Detroit rolled out man coverage on 66-77% of their snaps. Jefferson began the year slowly against man coverage, but he’s now ranked 18th in PFF receiving grade and ninth in yards per route run against the coverage type (minimum 15 man coverage targets).
Adam Thielen: If Detroit deploys man coverage as much as they did in Week 3, Thielen is in big trouble. Thielen’s efficiency overall has slid down the hill this year, so it’s not surprising that his stats against man have also bottomed out. Thielen is 45th in PFF receiving grade and 55th in yards per route run against man coverage (minimum 15 man coverage targets). Thielen is the WR39 in fantasy with a 19.4% target share and 15 red zone targets (seventh-best). In Week 3, Thielen secured six of his eight targets for 61 yards and a score (WR16). We’ll see if he can buck his season-long stats against man coverage if the Lions use as much as they did previously. Thielen is a WR3/4.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Bow down to the Sun God, or he will burn you. St. Brown is a monster. He’s the WR8 in fantasy with a 28.7% target share (eighth-best), 33.8% target per route run rate (second-highest), and 13 red zone targets (11th). St. Brown is seventh in YAC and fourth in yards per route run. With Chark back on the field in a full-time role, St. Brown has seen his snaps increase in the slot since Week 12 (52.8%, 65.9%). He’ll destroy Chandon Sullivan (77.6% catch rate, 109.6 passer rating) in the slot this week. The Vikings have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers.
D.J. Chark: Since Week 12 Chark has a 14.9% target share, a 50% end zone target share, a 34.3% air yard share, and 1.58 yards per route run. He secured five of six targets last week for 98 receiving yards (WR23). Chark has been the field stretcher with a 17.0 aDOT over the last two weeks. Minnesota has faced the fifth-most deep attempts this season, allowing the seventh-highest deep completion rate and third-most deep passing yards. Chark is a WR3 that will run about 78% of his routes against Patrick Peterson (60% catch rate, 70.9 passer rating), Akayleb Evans (68.2% catch rate, 119.9 passer rating), and Duke Shelley (56.3% catch rate, 82.3 passer rating).
Jameson Williams: Williams only played eight snaps last week, garnering one target while running two routes. His playing time has to increase before he is a viable fantasy play. That could be this week, but I expect the Lions to work him in slowly.
Tight Ends
T.J. Hockenson: Since arriving in Minnesota, Hockenson has a 21% target share, 23.3% end zone target share, 78.9% route run rate, and a 23% target per route run rate. Since Week 9, he’s 19th in PFF receiving grade and 21st in yards per route run (minimum eight targets). Despite his inefficiencies, Hockenson has finished as a TE1 (TE5, TE7, TE11, TE5) in four of his six games as a Viking just because of the volume. Hockenson is a TE1 against his former team that has conceded the eighth-highest yards per reception and ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
LV vs. LAR | NYJ vs. BUF | CLE vs. CIN | HOU vs. DAL | MIN vs. DET | JAC vs. TEN | PHI vs. NYG | BAL vs. PIT | KC vs. DEN | TB vs. SF | CAR vs. SEA | MIA vs. LAC | NE vs. ARI
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
- TEN -3.5, O/U 41.5
- Jaguars vs. Titans Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- Since Week 9, the Jaguars have been ranked tenth and 15th in neutral pace and passing rate.
- Over the same span, the Titans have picked up the pace some while throwing the ball more. They are 19th in neutral script pace and 18th in neutral passing rate. While these are not insane numbers, they are a sizable shift for this offense.
Quarterbacks
Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence didn’t practice on Wednesday and Thursday before a limited practice on Friday. He’s been listed as questionable with his ailing toe. His status is up in the air. He’s stated that he will play if he can. Lawrence is the QB11 in fantasy points per game with top 12 weeks in five of his last seven games. Since Week 6, Lawrence is ninth in adjusted completion rate, 13th in passing yards, and tenth in big-time throws (minimum 100 dropbacks). Since Week 10, Tennessee has been 29th in passing yards per game and 27th in EPA per dropback. If Lawrence is active, he’s a QB1.
Ryan Tannehill: Since returning in Week 10, Tannehill has been playing inspired football. He ranks 12th in PFF passing grade, fifth in yards per attempt, and 15th in big-time throw rate (minimum 25 dropbacks). In two of his last four games, Tannehill has been a QB1 (QB9, QB12). Tannehill is a sneaky streamer and dark horse QB1 this week. Since Week 10, Jacksonville is 32nd in success rate per dropback, 31st in passing yards per game, and 23rd in explosive pass rate allowed.
Running Backs
Travis Etienne: Etienne returned last week, playing 88% of the snaps with 15 touches and 66 total yards. After seeing that type of snap count in Week 13, we should consider Etienne good to go unless we get more news or some missed practices. Etienne is 26th in yards after contact per attempt, eighth in breakaway rate, and 14th in PFF’s elusive rating, immediately behind Tony Pollard (minimum 50 carries). The Titans’ run defense eats running backs for breakfast. Since Week 10, they are eighth in rushing success rate, third in rushing yards per game, and fifth in explosive run rate allowed. Etienne is an RB2.
Derrick Henry: The Jaguars arrive on Henry’s schedule in the nick of time to cure Henry of his woeful fantasy streak. Henry hasn’t cracked 100 rushing yards since Week 9. He has only once rushed for more than 60 yards over his last four games. Since Week 10, the big fella’s efficiency numbers have been quite poor. Among 51 running backs with at least 15 carries since Week 10, Henry is 31st in yards after contact per attempt and PFF’s elusive rating. He’s 11th in missed tackles forced, but he hasn’t managed one breakaway run in his last four games. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has been 19th in rushing success rate, 23rd in rushing yards per game, and 26th in explosive run rate allowed. Henry’s last month is extremely concerning, but he remains an RB1 this week.
Wide Receivers
Christian Kirk: Kirk is the WR14 in fantasy with a 24.5% target share and 28.1% air yard share. He’s been Lawrence’s snuggy in the red zone with the fifth-most targets inside the 20 among wide receivers. Kirk is 21st in PFF receiving grade and 27th in yards per route run (minimum 25 targets). Kirk is facing a secondary that’s allowed the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. Kirk will run about 77% of his routes against Roger McCreary (73.1% catch rate, 113.9 passer rating). Kirk is a WR2.
Zay Jones: Zay Jones has finished as a WR3 or better in five games. He’s the WR35 in fantasy points per game with a 22.6% target share and 22.4% air-yard share. Zay Jones is the WR27 in expected fantasy points per game. He has only one touchdown this season despite ten red zone targets, and four red zone looks in the last three games. Zay Jones will run about 65% of his routes against McCreary, Tre Avery (54.2% catch rate, 106.3 passer rating), and Kristian Fulton (55.6% catch rate, 104.0 passer rating).
Marvin Jones: Jones hasn’t managed more than six targets or 50 receiving yards since Week 7, despite plus matchups littering his schedule. Marvin Jones isn’t playable unless there’s an injury to this wide receiver room.
Treylon Burks: Burks has been ruled out (concussion).
Robert Woods: Woods has been a fantasy ghost for most of the season. He has only two games as a WR3 or better with at least 50 receiving yards this season. With Burks out, Tannehill could lean on Woods this week. He has a 21.3% target share (5.1 targets per game) and has ten red zone targets (24th among receivers). Woods is a WR4 with upside that will run about 68% of his routes against Tyson Campbell (since Week 9: 70% catch rate, 128.8 passer rating) and Darious Williams (since Week 9: 58.8% catch rate, 103.6 passer rating).
Tight Ends
Evan Engram: Engram has a 14.6% target share and 72.1% route participation while ranking sixth in deep targets among tight ends. Last week, he managed a touchdown (his second of the season) with two red zone targets. Those were his first targets inside the 20 since Week 9. The Titans have been a mixed bag against tight ends this year, ranking 13th in DVOA against the position holding them to the seventh-lowest catch rate, but Tennessee is also allowing the fifth-highest yards per reception and fourth-most receiving yards per game. Engram is a TE2 that could get enough volume to sneak inside the top 12 this week.
LV vs. LAR | NYJ vs. BUF | CLE vs. CIN | HOU vs. DAL | MIN vs. DET | JAC vs. TEN | PHI vs. NYG | BAL vs. PIT | KC vs. DEN | TB vs. SF | CAR vs. SEA | MIA vs. LAC | NE vs. ARI
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
- PHI -7, O/U 45.5
- Eagles vs. Giants Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- The play volume in this game will surprise. Since Week 8, Philadelphia is seventh in neutral script pace, immediately behind the Giants, who are sixth.
- Each team still relies on their run game heavily. Over the same period, the Giants are 20th in neutral passing rate while Philly is 24th.
Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts: Hurts is blazing a trail as the QB2 in fantasy. Hurts is coming off an amazing two-game stretch where he chewed up 157 yards on the ground in one contest only to turn around and throw for 380 yards the next week. Hurts is fifth in PFF passing grade, seventh in passing touchdowns, and second in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). This is in addition to him ranking first in carries per game, red zone carries per game, and rushing touchdowns. Hurts is unstoppable. The Giants pose very little threat of slowing him down. Since Week 10, they are 18th in success rate per dropback, 23rd in passing yards per game, and 27th in explosive pass rate allowed. The Giants are first in blitz rate, which shouldn’t be a problem for Hurts to handle. Hurts is ninth in PFF passing grade, eighth in pressure-adjusted completion rate, and eighth in passing touchdowns against the blitz (minimum 50 blitzed dropbacks). Hurts is a top-three QB option.
Daniel Jones: Jones is a QB2 that faces an uphill climb this week. Jones has four QB1 outings this season. I doubt he adds a fifth to that total this week. Jones is 11th in fantasy points per dropback, second in true completion rate, and seventh in accuracy rating. His rushing ability has aided his weekly floor and ceiling. Jones is fifth in carries per game, fifth in rushing yards per game, and third in red zone carries. Since Week 10, the Eagles are sixth in success rate per dropback, fifth in passing yards per game, and eighth in EPA per dropback allowed.
Running Backs
Miles Sanders: Sanders is the RB17 averaging 17 touches and 83.2 rushing yards per game. Sanders is 17th in yards after contact per attempt, tenth in missed tackles forced, and 22nd in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 50 carries). Sanders is tenth in red zone touches and seventh in total touchdowns. His value relies on his rushing output, with only a 5.9% target share to help him out. Since Week 10, New York has been 18th in rushing success rate, 26th in rushing yards per game, and 31st in explosive run rate allowed. The Eagles have leaned heavily on specific weekly offensive philosophies, i.e., leaning the run against a soft matchup. Sanders could get fed this week in a cake matchup. Sanders is an RB1.
Saquon Barkley (neck) looking fine at practice.
Again, would be surprised if he didn’t play. #giants #eagles pic.twitter.com/jEaZrMoNjN
— Jordan Raanan (@JordanRaanan) December 9, 2022
Saquon Barkley: Last week’s outing against the Commanders didn’t help my worries about Barkley. He could only drum up 2.17 yards after contact per attempt and force two missed tackles on 18 carries. Since Week 8 among 49 running backs with at least 25 carries, Barkley ranks 47th in yards after contact per attempt, 26th in breakaway rate, and 47th in PFF’s elusive rating immediately ahead of Chuba Hubbard. These are scary numbers. Barkley is first in opportunity share, second in weighted opportunities, and tenth in red zone touches. Volume and touchdown equity are helping him weather this storm. Last week Jordan Davis returned to the lineup playing 11% of the snaps. That number could climb this week which would be great because the Eagles need the help against the run. Since Week 10, they are 16th in rushing success rate, 14th in rushing yards per game, and 16th in EPA per rush. Barkley is a low-end RB1. Barkley was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday with a neck ailment. He’s been listed as questionable. The reports from beat writers have been positive, as many expect him to suit up.
Wide Receivers
A.J. Brown: Brown remains a top-end WR1 as the WR9 in fantasy. Brown is ninth in target share and target per route run rate while also seventh in air yard share. Brown is 17th in deep targets and 11th in red zone targets among wide receivers. Brown is eighth in PFF receiving grade and ninth in yards per route run. The Giants have deployed their corners in man coverage on a little over half of their coverage snaps this season. Against man coverage, Brown is fifth in PFF receiving grade (40% of his target volume) and sixth in yards per route run (minimum ten man coverage targets). Brown will run about 75% of his routes against Nick McCloud (65% catch rate, 102.9 passer rating) and Fabian Moreau (54.7% catch rate, 95.2 passer rating).
DeVonta Smith: Smith has been the Eagles’ zone beater, but that doesn’t mean he’s terrible against man coverage. Smith is 23rd in PFF receiving grade and 42nd in yards per route run against man coverage (minimum ten man coverage targets). Smith is the WR27 in fantasy with a 25.7% target share (19th) and 29.0% air yard share. His red zone usage has been spotty at best, with only four red zone targets over his last six games. Smith is a WR3 that will run about 78% of his routes against McCloud and Moreau.
Darius Slayton: Over his last six games, Slayton has finished as a WR3 or better five times (WR19, WR36, WR15, WR21, WR22). In that stretch, Slayton is 22nd in PFF receiving grade and 13th in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets). Since Week 7, Slayton has a 22.9% target share and 43.2% air yard share. He’s been playing fantastic football. The problem is his touchdown equity weekly. He’s scored two touchdowns this season and has only three red zone targets (none since Week 6). Slayton is a WR3 that will run about 65% of his routes against Darius Slay (50.9% catch rate, 53.2 passer rating) and James Bradberry (44.4% catch rate, 43.2 passer rating).
Tight Ends
There are no fantasy-relevant tight ends in this game.
LV vs. LAR | NYJ vs. BUF | CLE vs. CIN | HOU vs. DAL | MIN vs. DET | JAC vs. TEN | PHI vs. NYG | BAL vs. PIT | KC vs. DEN | TB vs. SF | CAR vs. SEA | MIA vs. LAC | NE vs. ARI
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- PIT -2, O/U 37.5
- Ravens vs. Steelers Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- This game will be slow. Since Week 8, Pittsburgh has slowed to 19th in neutral script pace while Baltimore is sitting at 25th. The Ravens have shifted to a run-balanced offense (16th in neutral passing rate) over that span. The Steelers have gone run-heavy, ranking eighth in neutral rushing rate.
Quarterbacks
Tyler Huntley: Lamar Jackson has been listed as doubtful. Huntley likely draws the start this week. Last week among 36 quarterbacks, Huntley was 26th in PFF passing grade, 25th in yards per attempt, and eighth in adjusted completion rate. Last year in five starts, he finished as a QB1 only once, but he did rush for at least 40 yards in every game. That’s the ticket for Huntley. His rushing upside. He’s a QB2 with upside depending on what he does with his legs. Since Week 10, the Steelers are 14th in success rate per dropback, 11th in passing yards per game, and 11th in EPA per dropback. The optimistic side of me also has to mention over the same period, they are 22nd in explosive pass rate allowed.
Kenny Pickett: Even after completing the gauntlet of pass defenses to begin his career, Pickett’s play hasn’t improved much, and now the Steelers are running the ball more to protect him. Pickett has averaged only 28 passing attempts over the last two games. Since Week 11, he’s 28th in adjusted completion rate and 27th in yards per attempt. Pickett is a QB2. Since Week 10, Baltimore has been ninth in success rate per dropback, 14th in passing yards per game, and ninth in EPA per dropback.
Running Backs
Week 12-13
Player | Rushing attempts | Targets | Routes | Red zone opportunities |
Gus Edwards | 22 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Kenyan Drake | 9 | 4 | 20 | 2 |
Gus Edwards: Over the last two weeks, Edwards has averaged 37% of the snaps played with 11 rushing attempts and 32 rushing yards while seeing the bulk of the red zone work. Edwards is 21st in yards per contact per attempt and 16th in PFF’s elusive rating. With all his fantasy value tied to his rushing, Edwards is a low-end RB3 this week. Since Week 10, the Steelers are ninth in rushing success rate, fifth in rushing yards per game, and eighth in explosive run rate allowed.
J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins looks like he’ll be activated off the IR. This further muddies an already gross Baltimore backfield. The work for this rushing attack could easily be split into three ways between Dobbins, Edwards, and Drake, with a coin flip for red zone totes. In Weeks 3-5, Dobbins played 40-50% of the snaps averaging 11.3 touches and 49 total yards. In a tough matchup and with his workload up in the air, Dobbins is a low-end RB3/RB4 this week.
Kenyan Drake: Last week, Drake received more work, with 47% of the snaps played with nine touches and 46 total yards. Drake is unplayable, though, because he only managed three opportunities, and 25% of the snaps played the week prior. This backfield is in flux, and that could easily happen this week.
Najee Harris: Harris didn’t practice on Wednesday (oblique) but was upgraded to limited practices on Thursday and Friday. He doesn’t carry an injury designation into this game, so he should be ready to rock. Harris has shown some life since Week 10, averaging 18.3 touches and 86.5 total yards. He has rushed for at least 86 yards in three of his last four games. Since Week 10, Harris is 19th in yards after contact per attempt, fifth in missed tackles forced, and 13th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 15 carries). Harris is a volume-based RB2 facing a wretched matchup. Over the last four weeks, Baltimore is first in rushing success rate, first in EPA per rush, and fourth in explosive run rate allowed.
Wide Receivers
BAL WRs: The Baltimore wide receiver room has been a wasteland since the loss of Rashod Bateman. Devin Duvernay and Demarcus Robinson have been rollercoaster rides their entire careers. Many weeks instead of the rush and excitement, you’re left with nausea and that sinking feeling in your stomach from starting them. These trap plays don’t need to come anywhere close to your lineups.
George Pickens: Pickens is the WR54 in fantasy with a 15.5% target share and 25.7% air yard share. If drawing targets is a skill, Pickens needs to work on this desperately with his 16.1% target per route run rate (84th). Pickens is 78th in PFF receiving grade and 82nd in yards per route run (minimum 25 targets). Pickens has managed five games as a WR3 or higher (WR18, WR21, WR12, WR26, WR11). He’s a boom-or-bust player with six weeks outside the top 50 fantasy wide receivers. Pickens is a WR3/4 that will run about 86% of his routes against Marlon Humphrey (66% catch rate, 59.2 passer rating) and Marcus Peters (70.4% catch rate, 120.8 passer rating).
Diontae Johnson: Johnson has been listed as questionable (hip) after two limited practices and a DNP this week. Johnson has been the model of hollow volume this season. He is 16th in target share and 26th in air yard share, yet he’s 73rd in fantasy points per route run and 97th in fantasy points per target. The Steelers have force-fed him volume for weeks with nothing to show for it. Johnson is 14th in deep targets and ninth in red zone targets among wide receivers. He’ll run about 88% of his routes against Humphrey and Peters as a WR4.
Tight Ends
Mark Andrews: Last year, in the five games started by Huntley, Andrews had a gargantuan 28% target share (11.2 targets per game), 42.9% endzone target share, and 38.6% air yard share. He was targeted on 27% of his routes with 2.38 yards per route run. Andrews is having another stellar season ranking seventh in PFF receiving grade and fourth in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He’s fourth in deep targets and second in red zone targets among tight ends. Andrews has averaged 12.5 targets and 67.5 receiving yards in his last two games against Pittsburgh (zero touchdowns). Andrews is still a top-two tight end play. Pittsburgh is 16th in catch rate and 19th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth: Without Chase Claypool, Freiermuth has a 23.3% target share, 22.2% end zone target share, and 27.6% air yard share. Freiermuth has been awesome this year as the TE8 in fantasy, ranking third in PFF receiving grade and sixth in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets). Freiermuth is a high-end TE1 facing a Baltimore defense that’s 22nd in DVOA against tight ends allowing the fourth-highest catch rate.
LV vs. LAR | NYJ vs. BUF | CLE vs. CIN | HOU vs. DAL | MIN vs. DET | JAC vs. TEN | PHI vs. NYG | BAL vs. PIT | KC vs. DEN | TB vs. SF | CAR vs. SEA | MIA vs. LAC | NE vs. ARI