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Mark Andrews (TE – BAL)

Video from Week 8 suggests an AC joint sprain (shoulder), which would most commonly cost 2-4 weeks for TEs. With Andrews now at 3, he has an excellent chance to play without much performance impact expected.

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)

True game-time decision, but QB hamstring timelines + his practice progression compared to historical data give him a ~60% chance to play. If you’re planning to start him, you need to snag Colt McCoy or Jimmy Garoppolo as well since they’re going to be the only backup options available by the time Murray tests his hamstring out in pre-game warmups.

DeAndre Hopkins (WR – ARI)

Another game-time decision for the Cardinals. The SportsMedAnalytics algorithm actually gives Hopkins a slightly <50% chance of playing, but his quick timeline to return to practice suggests a relatively mild injury. Add in the fact that he historically has played through a number of “questionable” designations, and we’d actually lean towards Hopkins playing with only a mild (~10%) performance hit.

Marquise Brown (WR – ARI)

The average return for WRs takes five weeks, which is right where Brown is now. If he’s active, he’d typically see a moderate (~15%) performance hit during his first two games back.

Davante Adams (WR – LV)

Adams is likely dealing with a core muscle strain, which WRs most commonly would be able to play through without missing game action. There is an elevated re-aggravation risk here, but minimal performance impact is expected.

D’Andre Swift (RB – DET)

Typical ramp-ups for RBs coming off of serious in-season injuries take at least four weeks, and Swift has only had three. We’d be avoiding him through at least Week 11 and starting Jamaal Williams confidently for at least 1 more game.

Gus Edwards (RB – BAL)

Edwards is probably ready to play, but he’s a high-risk start for Week 11. Healthy hamstrings protect his newly reconstructed ACL, so we’d most commonly see a committee approach to the RB position this soon after a strain.

Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)

He’s been out sick but not injured. Expect him to play in Week 11.

Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN)

Don’t let reports of Chase being on crutches scare you. That was completely expected for the first 4 weeks of this injury recovery. He has an outside chance to return in Week 12, but we wouldn’t expect the stud performances to return immediately. By Weeks 13-14, we will likely see him back at his pre-injury levels.

David Njoku (TE – CLE)

He’s four weeks into recovery from an injury that averages 4-5 for TEs. Lean toward playing this week, but most players would see a moderate (~15%) production hit through the fifth week.

Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL)

Most likely playing this week. These average 3-4 weeks for RBs, and he’s now had four. Expect close to the full-strength player on a per-play basis, but don’t be surprised if Pollard still sees more touches than normal in Week 11.

Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN)

Video from Week 10 suggested a high ankle sprain. Even mild versions average 2-3 weeks. Jeudy has an outside chance to play in Week 12, but the more likely outcome is a return in Week 13.

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC)

It looks like Allen is finally ready to return, but we’d avoid starting him before seeing him make it through a full game. Re-injury risks for hamstring strains that have already been re-aggravated in-season are very high, and a production hit of ~20% is typical of WRs in their first game back.

Mike Williams (WR – LAC)

Williams also looks poised to return this week. We would anticipate at least a 10-15% dip in his explosiveness at four weeks off of what looked like a severe high ankle sprain. Over the next two weeks, we’d expect him to progress quickly back to normal.

Chase Young (DE – WAS)

While Young has a chance to return in Week 11, reporting out of Washington suggests he’s not quite ready to return just yet. Twelve months removed from ACL surgery means his knee is likely close to fully healed, but mental readiness is also critical. We’d be surprised to see a losing team rush their stud young player back early, so we would lean toward a Week 12 return.

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