This has been a strange week. I actually had one of my worst slates of the season on Tuesday, but it looks like everyone struggled to put in a decent lineup. That has me motivated to bounce back and have a big day here because I need to make up some of those losses. This slate should be much easier because we have a massive player pool to break down. We also have some big-name players sitting, and we’re definitely going to capitalize on some of those absences here!
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Schedule and Odds
- MIN at ORL (MIN -5.5) O/U: 223
- OKC at WAS (WAS -4.5) O/U: 225.5
- IND at CHA (CHA -2.5) O/U: 231
- BOS at ATL (BOS -2) O/U: 232
- MIA at TOR (MIA -1.5) O/U: 215.5
- CHI at NOP (NOP -3.5) O/U: 226.5
- CLE at MIL (MIL -3.5) O/U: 219
- HOU at DAL (DAL -10.5) O/U: 220.5
- NYK at DEN (DEN -9) O/U: 232.5
- GSW at PHX (PHX -1.5) O/U: 226
Check out our consensus game odds as well as the odds from each sportsbook at BettingPros
This has been a strange week. I actually had one of my worst slates of the season on Tuesday, but it looks like everyone struggled to put in a decent lineup. That has me motivated to bounce back and have a big day here because I need to make up some of those losses. This slate should be much easier because we have a massive player pool to break down. We also have some big-name players sitting, and we’re definitely going to capitalize on some of those absences here!
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Schedule and Odds
- MIN at ORL (MIN -5.5) O/U: 223
- OKC at WAS (WAS -4.5) O/U: 225.5
- IND at CHA (CHA -2.5) O/U: 231
- BOS at ATL (BOS -2) O/U: 232
- MIA at TOR (MIA -1.5) O/U: 215.5
- CHI at NOP (NOP -3.5) O/U: 226.5
- CLE at MIL (MIL -3.5) O/U: 219
- HOU at DAL (DAL -10.5) O/U: 220.5
- NYK at DEN (DEN -9) O/U: 232.5
- GSW at PHX (PHX -1.5) O/U: 226
Check out our consensus game odds as well as the odds from each sportsbook at BettingPros
Injury Report
Core Plays
Luka Doncic (PG – GSW): $12,700 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel
Doncic has been the safest pick on every slate, and he’s impossible to fade here. Luka has scored at least 52 DraftKings points in all but one game this season, leading the league with a 64-point average. That makes him a worthy option against anyone, but we love that he faces a Houston team surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing point guards. In their two meetings last season, Doncic scored at least 60 DK points in both of them.
Stephen Curry (PG – GSW): $10,500 DraftKings, $10,300 FanDuel
Chef Curry has been cooking all season. The former MVP has scored at least 45 DraftKings points in all but one game, generating a 53-point average. That’s the sharpshooter we’ve become accustomed to, and it’s surprising he’s not $1,000 more on each site. Despite being limited in his last matchup with Phoenix, Curry collected 45 DK points in fewer than 30 minutes of play. Look for him to get closer to 40 minutes here!
Myles Turner (C – IND): $6,900 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel
We might be amid the Turner breakout. This talented center has been tasked with a much bigger role in Indiana, stepping up in the absence of Domantas Sabonis. That has skyrocketed his minutes, shot attempts, and usage, scoring at least 38 fantasy points in three straight. He also had a 55-point masterpiece just a few weeks back, and these sites are clearly undervaluing his upside. Not to mention, Charlotte is surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Cash Game Considerations
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG/SG – OKC): $9,400 DraftKings, $10,400 FanDuel
SGA gets lost in the mix playing in Oklahoma City, but this is one of the best players in the NBA. This young guard has scored at least 53 DraftKings points in four of his last five games, generating a 52-point average for the year. This is one of the few times we expect OKC to play a close game, and it’s not like we’re worried about this average Washington defense.
Devin Booker (SG – PHX): $9,200 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel
Booker is always a safe bet for 40 fantasy points, but that looks like his floor with Chris Paul sidelined. Missing the Point God has forced Booker into a playmaking role, averaging 49 fantasy points per game across his last three outings. A game like that seems likely against Golden State, ranked 29th in points allowed this season. In their one matchup, Devin dropped 53 fantasy points in his second-best game of the year.
Michael Porter Jr.(SF/PF – DEN): $5,900 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel
We couldn’t get too far without recommending some Nuggets. Denver will be without Nikola Jokic, meaning this team needs to make up 25 points, 13 rebounds, and 10 assists. Porter will be happy to fire up more shots in his absence, averaging over 13 shots a game with Joker in the lineup. We believe he’s in line for 15-25 shots here, which is fantastic since he’s got at least 31 DK points in three of his last four games.
GPP Targets
Jamal Murray (PG – DEN): $6,500 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel
Murray is my favorite play of the day. We have to include him in the GPP section because of his volatility, but he’s the best per-dollar play on the board. With Jokic off the floor this season, Murray has an absurd 39 percent usage rate. That’s on par with Luka Doncic, and we know his usage, shot attempts, and ball-handling duties will blow up with Joker sitting on the sidelines. He also appears to be getting into form, scoring at least 33 fantasy points in six of his last seven games. Not to mention, the Knicks own a 26th OPRK against opposing point guards.
Klay Thompson (SG/SF – GSW): $5,700 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel
Thompson has been volatile with his shot all year, but he is still one of the best shooters in the NBA. It’s strange to see him sitting below $6K, but we know he’ll be closer to $7,000 in no time. He’s showing flashes of doing just that, scoring at least 29 fantasy points in four of his last five games. That’s all he needs to be a good value, and we have to assume that’ll be his floor the more acclimated he gets with his new ACL and Achilles.
Aleksej Pokusevski (PF – OKC): $5,300 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel
This guy has some unicorn skills. The versatile forward averaged 30 fantasy points per game in the final month of last season and is starting to play like that this year. He’s scored at least 23 DK points in six straight outings, dropping 38 or more fantasy points in half of those. That’s a ridiculous ceiling from such an affordable player, and he’s only scratching the surface of what he could become.
Value Plays
Al Horford (PF/C – ATL): $5,700 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel
Big Al is too good to be this cheap. He averaged nearly 40 fantasy points per game when Robert Williams was out last year, and he’s slowly returning to that player now. Big Al has scored at least 26 fantasy points in six straight outings, scoring 34 or more in four of those. You can’t ask for any more from a sub-$6K player, and Boston needs him to play big minutes to oppose Clint Capela. That looks even better with Atlanta owning a 25th OPRK against opposing centers.
Monte Morris (PG/SG – WAS): $5,200 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel
We don’t think Morris will ever go off for 50 fantasy points, but he’s one of the safest bets to reach 5X value. This is still the starting point guard in Washington, averaging over 23 DraftKings points per game. He’s been even better recently, scoring at least 28 DK points in back-to-back games. It’s not like we’re worried about him facing OKC, who have one of the worst rosters in the NBA.
Mason Plumlee (C – CHA): $5,900 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel
Plumlee has quietly had a lovely season in Charlotte. The big man has his season average up to 29 DK points per game, scoring at least 39 fantasy points in three of his last four. That’s impossible to find from a $6K player, but it’s no surprise since there’s no center depth on this roster. Indiana is an incredible matchup, too, ranked 26th in points allowed and 27th in defensive efficiency.
Advantageous Pricing
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG/SG – OKC): $9,400 DraftKings, $10,400 FanDuel
- Wendell Carter (PF/C – ORL): $7,800 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel
- Rudy Gobert (C – MIN): $7,000 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel
- Jaden McDaniels (SF/PF – MIN): $4,700 DraftKings, $5,600 FanDuel
- Jordan Goodwin (PG/SG – WAS): $4,600 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel
- Fred VanVleet (PG/SG – TOR): $8,900 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel
- OG Anunoby (SF – TOR): $7,200 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel
- Dalano Banton (SF – TOR): $5,100 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel
- Marcus Smart (PG/SG – BOS): $6,000 DraftKings, $6,800 FanDuel
- Darius Garland (PG/SG – CLE): $9,000 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel
- Bobby Portis (PF/C – MIL): $7,200 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel
- Kevin Love (PF/C – CLE): $5,600 DraftKings, $4,900 FanDuel
- Deandre Ayton (C – PHX): $6,100 DraftKings, $6,800 FanDuel
- Immanuel Quickley (PG/SG – NYK): $4,200 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.