Matthew Freedman’s Fantasy Football Week 11 Rankings & Start/Sit Lineup Advice (2022)

Here are my fantasy football rankings for Week 11. You can find our expert consensus fantasy football rankings for the week here. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings, and analysis. You can check out all of my favorite players of the week here.

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Fantasy Football Week 11 Rankings

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyProsECR (TM) – Expert Consensus Rankings

Aaron Rodgers (GB) vs. TEN: Packers -3 | 42 O/U

After ranking No. 1 in composite EPA + CPOE (0.198) in his back-to-back 2020-21 MVP campaigns, Rodgers has struggled this year (0.056, No. 22), but he’s coming off his best performance of the season (14.2 AY/A, 224-3-0 passing) against a tough Cowboys defense.
The Titans are No. 4 in most fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (20.2 FPPG) and last week were without CB Kristian Fulton (hamstring) and S Amani Hooker (shoulder).
Rodgers is 67-36-3 ATS at home and 37-24-2 ATS in primetime (per Action Network).

“We’re not dead.”

– Aaron Rodgers

??? #GoPackGo pic.twitter.com/wl67GXUnEb

— GBP Daily (@GBPdaily) November 14, 2022

Check out my Week 11 early betting breakdown on Packers vs. Titans.

Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) vs. ARI (in Mexico): 49ers -8 | 43.5 O/U

Since joining the 49ers in 2017, Garoppolo is No. 5 in composite EPA + CPOE (0.137) — behind only Patrick Mahomes (0.177), Drew Brees (0.166), Deshaun Watson (0.144) and Joe Burrow (0.139).
Against the Cardinals last year, Garoppolo had one of the best performances of his season with 326-2-1 passing on a 70% completion rate.
The Cardinals are No. 32 in defensive dropback SR (52.8%) and last week were without No. 1 CB Byron Murphy (back).

David Montgomery (CHI) at Falcons: Bears +3 | 50 O/U

No. 2 RB Khalil Herbert (hip, IR) exited Week 10 early with an injury and is out for Week 11.
Even with QB Justin Fields and Herbert getting carries, Montgomery still has double-digit opportunities in every complete game this year.
The Falcons are No. 29 in defensive rush SR (46.1%).

Antonio Gibson (WAS) at HOU: Commanders -3 | 40.5 O/U

The debut of rookie RB Brian Robinson pushed Gibson to the No. 3 role in Weeks 5-6, but since then he has reemerged as a key committee contributor with 42-158-1 rushing and 15-101-2 receiving on 17 targets over the past month.
Without pass-catching RB J.D. McKissic (neck), Gibson has led the Commanders backfield with a 52.1% snap rate over the past two games (per our Snap Count Analysis Report).
The Texans are No. 1 in most fantasy points allowed to running backs (30.2 FPPG).

Imagine Fading Antonio Gibson.

— ᴄᴏᴅʏ ᴄᴀʀᴘᴇɴᴛɪᴇʀ (@CarpentierNFL) November 15, 2022

Brian Robinson (WAS) at HOU: Commanders -3 | 40.5 O/U

Last week, Robinson hit career-high marks with 26 carries, 86 yards rushing and a 52% snap rate, and he has had 15-plus opportunities in each of the past two games without rotational RB J.D. McKissic (neck).
The Texans are No. 31 in defensive rush SR (46.3%) and rush DVOA (9.3%).

Gus Edwards (BAL) vs. CAR: Ravens -12 | 43.5 O/U

Edwards (hamstring) exited Week 8 early and missed Week 9, but he should be healthy out of the Week 10 bye.
Edwards has played in just two games this year, but in his limited action he has 27-131-2 rushing and leads the position with a 72% utilization rate.
The Ravens could have an extremely run-based offense as heavy home favorites (-700 at PointsBet).
If Edwards is unable to play, backup RB Kenyan Drake will move aggressively up my rankings.
The Panthers are No. 5 in most fantasy points allowed to running backs (24.1 FPPG).
The Ravens have a week-high 28-point implied total in our Week 11 DFS cheat sheet.

Check out our DFS lineup optimizer, which is just one of our many FantasyPros DFS tools.

Isiah Pacheco (KC) at LAC: Chiefs -7 | 50 O/U

Last week, Pacheco had a career-best 16 carries, 82 yards rushing and 56% snap rate in his first game as the leader of the Chiefs backfield committee.
The Chargers are No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to running backs (27.4 FPPG).

Ok. we've arrived here.

Isiah Pacheco is a brewing league winner.

— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) November 14, 2022

Courtland Sutton (DEN) vs. LV: Broncos -2.5 | 41.5 O/U

Andrew Erickson might finally get to see Sutton SZN: WRs Jerry Jeudy (ankle) and K.J. Hamler (hamstring) are uncertain for Week 11, and in their absence last week Sutton led the Broncos with 48 routes, 11 targets, six receptions, 66 yards receiving and 120 air yards.
The Raiders are No. 31 in defensive dropback SR (52.6%).

Darnell Mooney (CHI) at ATL: Bears +3 | 50 O/U

Since Week 4, when the Bears started passing more, Mooney has 32-437-1 receiving on 45 targets in seven games.
The Falcons are No. 1 in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers (36.2 FPPG).

An absolute dime ?

?: #MIAvsCHI on CBS pic.twitter.com/lVNjTbRYh2

— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 6, 2022

Drake London (ATL) vs. CHI: Falcons -3 | 50 O/U

“I hurt myself today to see if I still feel. I focus on the pain, the only thing that’s real.”
The Bears are No. 30 in defensive pass DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers (29.6%) — and Drake is ostensibly a No. 1 pass catcher given that he leads the Falcons with 38-407-3 receiving and 62 targets.

Christian Watson (GB) vs. TEN: Packers -3 | 42 O/U

In the absence of fellow rookie WR Romeo Doubs (ankle), Watson went off last week with 4-107-3 receiving on a team-high eight targets, and Doubs is unlikely to be ready for Thursday Night Football.
The Titans are No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers (33.2 FPPG) and last week were without CB Kristian Fulton (hamstring) and S Amani Hooker (shoulder).

From two drops on the first drive to three TDs.

Christian Watson didn't let a tough start get him down in Week 10. @ChristianW2017 #TENvsGB — Thursday 8:15pm ET on Prime Video
Also available on NFL+ https://t.co/fK7vaWAizI pic.twitter.com/dPnkTB631A

— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2022

Mike Williams (LAC) vs. KC: Chargers +7 | 50 O/U

Williams (ankle) last played in Week 7, but he’s slated to return to practice this week, so he has a shot to play — and if he does he could be without WR Keenan Allen (hamstring), who has played just 23 snaps since suffering an injury in the season opener.
In his five games with QB Justin Herbert against the division rival Chiefs, Williams has 26-406-4 receiving on 39 targets.
The Chiefs are No. 32 in defensive pass DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers (37.2%), and Williams — not Allen — is the real No. 1 pass catcher for the Chargers.

Kadarius Toney (KC) at LAC: Chiefs -7 | 50 O/U

Toney (28 snaps, 17 routes) played behind Marquez Valdes-Scantling (53, 34) and Justin Watson (46, 29) last week, but he also outproduced them with 4-57-1 receiving and 2-33-0 receiving.
With No. 1 WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) uncertain for Week 11, Toney might see an expanded role.
The Chargers are No. 30 in defensive pass DVOA against supplementary wide receivers (45.1%) and are without No. 1 CB J.C. Jackson (knee, IR).

George Kittle (SF) vs. ARI (in Mexico): 49ers -8 | 43.5 O/U

Kittle had season-low marks last week with two targets, one reception and 21 yards receiving: This feels like a “keep him happy” bounceback spot.
In his one game against the Cardinals last year, Kittle had 6-101-1 receiving on eight targets.
The Cardinals are No. 31 in defensive pass DVOA against tight ends (28.2%).

Tyler Higbee (LAR) at NO: Rams +3 | 39 O/U

No. 1 WR Cooper Kupp (ankle, IR) is out, No. 2 WR Allen Robinson is an objective underperformer (6.2 yards per target last year, 6.2 this year) and No. 3 WR Ben Skowronek is a moonlighting fullback.
Higbee is No. 3 at the position with 65 targets and 44 receptions, and last week he led the Rams in targets (8), receptions (8) and yards receiving (73).

Due to a lack of pocket time, Stafford has been forced to hit short-field safety blankets at a high rate

Tyler Higbee has been a major benefactor; second in targets with a 20.6% target share on an EXTREMELY low 3.5 aDOT

Now with no Kupp, Higbee's PPR floor is ?

— Aidan Maher (@Aidan_Maher17) November 15, 2022

Greg Dulcich (DEN) vs. LV: Broncos -2.5 | 41.5 O/U

Dulcich has 13-193-1 receiving on 21 targets in four games since making his NFL debut in Week 6, and last week — without WRs Jerry Jeudy (ankle) and K.J. Hamler (hamstring) — Dulcich hit career highs with 71 snaps and 40 routes.
Jeudy and Hamler are uncertain for Week 11, so Dulcich could see a boost in target volume.
The Raiders are No. 5 in most fantasy points allowed to tight ends (12.2 FPPG).

Jack Stoll (PHI) at IND: Eagles -7 | 44.5 O/U

No. 1 TE Dallas Goedert (shoulder) is out, so Stoll — the No. 2 tight end for the Eagles in terms of snaps (244) and routes (79) — will (theoretically attempt to) replace him.
The Colts are No. 28 in defensive pass DVOA against tight ends (25.0%).

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