Fantasy Football Week 10 Rankings & Start/Sit Lineup Advice (2022)

Check out my updated rankings for Week 10 along with my favorite fantasy football players of the week.

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Fantasy Football Week 10 Rankings

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyProsECR (TM) – Expert Consensus Rankings

Fantasy Football Week 10 Rankings & Start/Sit Lineup Advice

Marcus Mariota (ATL) at CAR: Falcons -3 | 44 O/U

Mariota isn’t exciting, but he’s top-12 in AY/A (7.4), ESPN’s QBR (59.7) and EPA + CPOE (0.094) and No. 6 at the position in carries (60).
Against the Panthers in Week 8, Mariota was the No. 6 fantasy quarterback with 20-of-28 for 253-3-2 passing and 6-43-0 rushing.
The Panthers are No. 28 in defensive pass DVOA (18.8%).

Andy Dalton (NO) at PIT: Saints -2.5 | 40.5 O/U

After a mediocre Monday Night Football performance (210 yards, one touchdown passing), it’s not a given that Dalton will start in Week 10, but’s still top-12 in AY/A (7.2) and EPA + CPOE (0.098).
The Steelers are No. 4 in most fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (21.2 FPPG, per our Fantasy Points Allowed Report).

Jacoby Brissett (CLE) at MIA: Browns +3.5 | 48.5 O/U

Brissett has been serviceable this year (61.5 QBR, No. 7), and he had his best performance of the year (278-1-0 passing, 6-12-1 rushing, No. 10 fantasy quarterback) just before the Week 9 bye.
The Dolphins are No. 1 in most fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (22.7 FPPG).

Jacoby Brissett earned a 95 NGS passing score in Week 8, the highest by any QB in a game this season.

Brissett completed 9 of 11 passes vs the blitz for 177 yards & a TD despite facing a 50.0% pressure rate when blitzed.#CINvsCLE | Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/VxGcMjnHyP

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 1, 2022

D’Onta Foreman (CAR) vs. ATL: Panthers +3 | 44 O/U

RB Chuba Hubbard (ankle) practiced fully on Tuesday and should return to action on Thursday Night Football, but I expect him to play in a limited roll given that he has missed multiple games.
In his eight games since last year with 12-plus opportunities, Foreman has averaged 18.3 yards (per FTN).
Against the Falcons in just Week 8, he had 118 yards and three touchdowns on 26 carries and a target.
The Falcons defense is No. 30 in rush SR (46.3%).

ANGRY RUN TD from the one and only @ceeflashpee84

? FOX || NFL+ pic.twitter.com/uI2d6xOGaU

— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) November 6, 2022

David Montgomery (CHI) vs. DET: Bears -2.5 | 48.5 O/U

Even with QB Justin Fields and No. 2 RB Khalil Herbert getting carries, Montgomery still has 15-plus opportunities in every complete game this year.
The Lions defense is No. 28 in rush EPA per play (0.033) and SR (45.4%).

Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) at CAR: Falcons -3 | 44 O/U

In his return to action last week, Patterson led the Falcons backfield with 24 snaps and 13 carries — three of which were inside the five-yard line.
Patterson has been a top-six fantasy back in three of his five games this year.
The Panthers are No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to running backs (25.7 FPPG).

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) at GB: Cowboys -5 | 43 O/U

I expect Elliott (knee) to return to action after sitting out Week 8 and getting the bye in Week 9.
Aside from a tough Week 1 matchup against the Buccaneers, Elliott has 14-plus opportunities in every game played this year.
The Packers defense is No. 29 in rush SR (46.0%).

Jeff Wilson (MIA) vs. CLE: Dolphins -3.5 | 48.5 O/U

In his first game with the Dolphins, Wilson last week out-snapped (28 vs. 27 ), out-opportunitied (12 vs. 11) and out-produced (72 yards, one touchdown vs. 26 yards, one touchdown) once-and-future teammate Raheem Mostert.
The Browns defense is No. 32 in rush EPA per play (0.120).
The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS at home with QB Tua Tagovailoa.

Michael Pittman (IND) at LV: Colts +6.5 | 42.5 O/U

Pittman had season-low marks last week in targets (6), receptions (3) and yards (22) — but before that he had 528 yards on 70 targets in seven games.
The Raiders defense is No. 30 in dropback SR (52.2%), No. 31 in dropback EPA per play (0.233) and No. 32 in pass DVOA (30.8%).

Diontae Johnson (PIT) vs. NO: Steelers +2.5 | 40.5 O/U

The production has underwhelmed (394 yards, zero touchdowns from scrimmage), but Johnson has 76 targets this year (plus five carries) and exactly 10.0 targets per game since 2020.
Johnson could see more targets without No. 3 WR Chase Claypool (traded), and the Saints could be without No. 1 CB Marshon Lattimore (abdomen), who has been out since Week 6.
The Steelers are 15-3-3 ATS as home underdogs under HC Mike Tomlin.
At some point, targets and receptions turn into yards and touchdowns.

Most targets this season without a touchdown:

Diontae Johnson (76)
Chris Godwin (65)
Tyler Higbee (57)

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 8, 2022

Jerry Jeudy (DEN) at TEN: Broncos +3 | 39 O/U

I hate the Broncos offense — but at least Jeudy has 19-266-1 receiving on 33 targets over his past four games, and maybe the offense will be sharper out of the Week 9 bye.
The Titans are No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers (33.4 FPPG).

Darnell Mooney (CHI) vs. DET: Bears -2.5 | 48.5 O/U

Since Week 4, when the Bears starting passing more, Mooney has 28-380-1 receiving on 41 targets in six games.
In two games against the Lions last year, Mooney had 10-248-0 receiving on 15 targets.
The Lions defense is No. 32 in dropback EPA per play (0.234).

Rondale Moore (ARI) at LAR: Cardinals +3 | 43.5 O/U

In his four games this year playing primarily in the slot, Moore has 28-278-1 receiving on 36 targets.
I’m skeptical that slot CB Troy Hill has the athleticism (4.55-second 40-yard dash) to keep up with Moore (4.29-second 40).

At least Kliff has figured out 5'7/180 Rondale Moore can't play outside.

Last two games, Rondale 86 slot slaps vs. 46 wide. Resulted in 15-161-1.

— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) November 7, 2022

Wan’Dale Robinson (NYG) vs. HOU: Giants -6.5 | 40.5 O/U

No. 1 WR Kadarius Toney (traded) is gone, No. 2 WR Kenny Golladay (knee) last played in Week 4, No. 3 WR Sterling Shepard (knee, IR) is out and No. 1 TE Daniel Bellinger (eye) is dealing with a serious injury: In their absence, Robinson has a shot to be the de facto No. 1 wide receiver.
Robinson has had a nice career-high 69% snap rate in each of his past two games, and he might be in line for a post-bye bump.
The Texans are No. 31 in defensive pass DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers (25.6%).

I’m betting over 8.5 points for Robinson in the Week 10 No House Advantage Over/Under Challenge.

Terrace Marshall (CAR) vs. ATL: Panthers +3 | 44 O/U

Since the Panthers traded WR Robbie Anderson in Week 7, Marshall has stepped up as the team’s new No. 2 pass catcher with a non-horrible 9-171-1 receiving on 18 targets.
For the Falcons, No. 1 CB A.J. Terrell (hamstring) is uncertain after missing Weeks 8-9, and No. 2 CB Casey Hayward (shoulder, IR) is out.
The Falcons defense is No. 31 in dropback SR (52.3%).

Terrace Marshall Jr. had 3 end zone targets last week, just caught a touchdown. He's their best red zone weapon in the passing game

I'd add him if he's still out there in your leagues

— Michael F. Florio (@MichaelFFlorio) November 6, 2022

Chase Claypool (CHI) vs. DET: Bears -2.5 | 48.5 O/U

In his first game with the Bears last week, Claypool played just 26 snaps, but he should see more this week — and he still had six targets and a carry.
The Lions are No. 4 in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers (31.9 FPPG).

Kyle Pitts (ATL) at CAR: Falcons -3 | 44 O/U

“Someday, somehow, I’m gonna make it alright, but not right now. I know you’re wondering when.”
Say whatever you want, but there aren’t that many tight ends with 16 targets over their past two games.
The Panthers are No. 28 in defensive pass DVOA against tight ends (22.9%).

Kyle Pitts in Week 9 (PFF)

Receiving yards: 27
Air yards: 202

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 7, 2022

Cade Otton (TB) vs. SEA (in Munich): Buccaneers -2.5 | 44.5 O/U

No. 1 TE Cameron Brate (neck) is uncertain to play, and in Otton’s four games without him he has 17-190-1 receiving on 23 targets.
The Seahawks are No. 1 in most fantasy points allowed to tight ends (17.6 FPPG).

Cole Kmet (CHI) vs. DET: Bears -2.5 | 48.5 O/U

Relative to Weeks 1-3, Kmet has seen roughly double the per-game usage (3.5 targets vs. 1.7) and production (26.7 yards, 0.5 touchdowns vs. 13.3 yards, zero touchdowns) in Weeks 4-9 as the Bears offense has improved.
The Lions are No. 3 in most fantasy points allowed to tight ends (12.8 FPPG).

Cole Kmet TDs

2021: 0
Weeks 1-7: 0
Weeks 8-9: 3 ?
pic.twitter.com/TueI8VJVTM

— Mojo Markets (@mojo) November 7, 2022

Noah Fant (SEA) vs. TB (in Munich): Seahawks +2.5 | 44.5 O/U

In Weeks 1-4, Fant was in a pure committee with teammates Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson, but since Week 5 he has distinguished himself with 9.4 yards per target on a 15.9% target share (per our Advanced TE Stats Report).
The Buccaneers are without S Logan Ryan (foot, IR) and might be without S Antoine Winfield (concussion).

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