It’s trade deadline time in America. Time is running out to make that league-winning trade. Luckily, FantasyPros has you covered. Not only is there the ‘Who Should I Trade?’ tool where you can get instant trade feedback but every week in this space, we’ll dig even deeper into players that should be moved. There will be the classic one-for-one deals but also deals where multiple pieces would equate to one piece which will be indicated with a ‘-plus’ next to the players’ name.
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With just a few weeks until most fantasy football trade deadlines, now is the best time to check out Trade Central to make finding and executing trades dead simple. See your league-mates’ top positional needs, and find trades that are the most likely to get accepted.
The Trade: Dak Prescott (QB – DAL) for Deshaun Watson (QB – CLE)
The Reasoning: When Dak Prescott plays, he’s one of the best quarterbacks in the actual NFL and fantasy leagues. He’s thrown for 4,000 yards twice in his career and 30-plus touchdowns twice in his career all while averaging nearly 300 rushing yards in every healthy season. But Prescott hasn’t been healthy in two of the last three seasons including 2022. Two years ago it was an ankle injury that caused him to miss all of five games. This season it was a fractured thumb that took him out of action for more than a month.
The missed time is extremely frustrating as Prescott keeps humming along his career averages when he does play – 67.8% completion percentage compared to his 66.7% career mark; 7.4 yards-per-attempt this season compared to 7.6 YPA for his career, etc. On the season, he’s right on the QB1/QB2 line when it comes to fantasy scoring per-game averages.
Meanwhile, there’s another quarterback that will be hitting the field for the first time in almost two years. Deshaun Watson hasn’t seen game action since 2020 but is due to be available for the Browns in just a few weeks. In his absence, backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett has performed adequately, totaling nearly 2,400 yards in 10 games to go along with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. On the season, he’s been a low-end QB2 in fantasy scoring. Enter Watson who has been a top-five fantasy quarterback most of his career. The offense around him includes Pro Bowlers Nick Chubb and Amari Cooper plus budding star David Njoku at tight end. In short, if Brissett can perform as he did with this supporting cast, Watson should be able to do even better. It’s a risk to trade a known entity in Prescott, albeit an injury risk, for the unknown in Watson but it’s worth it.
The Trade: Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) for David Montgomery (RB – CHI)
The Reasoning: On the surface, it looks like any other season for Saints running back Alvin Kamara. The 99.6 total yards he’s averaging a game this season is nearly identical to his career average of 102.4. But if you look deeper, there are signs of a decline. For example, Kamara has just three total touchdowns this season and is on pace for the lowest season total of his career while his 4.1 yards-per-carry is a half-yard less than his career average. It’s not surprising that Kamara’s efficiency took a hit when Drew Brees retired but the 4.1 YPC Kamara has this year and 3.7 last year look connected to Brees’s departure whether it’s true or not.
In Chicago, David Montgomery is coming through for his fantasy managers just in time for the playoffs. It’s not the first time Montgomery has saved his best for last – in 2020 he had several 100-yard rushing games and multiple multi-touchdown games just in time for the fantasy playoffs. He will have every opportunity to do it again after fellow Bears running back Khalil Herbert was placed on injured reserve. By every measure, Herbert was the running back to have in Chicago this season. He was averaging nearly two more yards-per-carry than Montgomery (6.0-3.9) and had more rushing touchdowns despite seeing 20% fewer carries than Montgomery. But a hip injury suffered in Week 10 has derailed Herbert’s fantastic season and given all the attention back to Montgomery.
When it comes to the rest of the season, Montgomery and the Bears have the third-easiest schedule when it comes to running backs and fantasy points. The only real competition Montgomery will have for carries over the next month is quarterback Justin Fields as current backup Trestan Ebner is no competition in light of his eight yards on six carries this last week.
You can feel confident in firing up Montgomery for the home stretch.
The Trade: Taysom Hill (TE – NO) for Juwan Johnson (TE – NO)
The Reasoning: Shout out to the fantasy managers who have either kept Taysom Hill on their rosters this long and/or used him in a starting lineup. Hill, the jack-of-all-trades but master of none, can be used as a quarterback or tight end in most fantasy leagues. This is even though most of his on-field production has been on the ground. He’s seen just six targets all season and attempted just 13 passes but has 52 rush attempts. On the season he has 396 rushing yards – good for second on the team – and leads the Saints with five rushing touchdowns. But how he got those totals can be like riding a roller coaster. He’s had games with one rushing yard but also had a 100-yard performance.
If you’re more interested in the tortoise approach to fantasy stats rather than the hare, look elsewhere in the Saints’ tight end room at Juwan Johnson. The third-year pro has assumed the role Adam Trautman was slated for and has become the most consistent Saints tight end in the process. Johnson is currently third on the team in targets (47), receptions (31), and receiving yards (349) and leads the team in receiving touchdowns (five). He’s a legitimate low-end TE1 in fantasy scoring this season.
No one would argue that Taysom Hill can get you a home run. But the home runs are few and far between. Johnson is far more likely to get you 40 yards and a touchdown (something he’s done in each of the last three games) than Hill is to top 100 total yards.
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Michael Moore is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Michael, check out his archive and follow him @DLF_Moore.