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Let’s take a look at players to buy and sell this week. And be sure to check out our weekly trade value chart with updated values for all players.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Buy
Davante Adams ran a route on 28 of Derek Carr‘s 29 dropbacks (97%), but caught just one pass for three yards on 5 targets. It was a disaster for the Raiders all day on offense. Adams failed to catch any of his 3 targets of 20-plus yards. But a bad game for Adams gives savvy fantasy managers the perfect chance to BUY. Even after a horrible game, Adams ranks 6th in target share (30%), 11th in air yards share (40%) and 8th in weighted opportunity. Not to mention, the Raiders also have a top-5 schedule for fantasy WRs rest of season.
D’Andre Swift finished with just 5 carries for 6 yards, but caught five passes for 27 yards and 1 TD receiving on five targets. However, Swift totaled just 10 touches to Jamaal Williams‘ 13. Williams also scored 2 rushing TDs. But Swift still played more snaps (55%) and ran a route on 54% of dropbacks. Considering the struggles of the Lions defense so far this season – they can’t stop anybody – I’d be a buyer of Swift after a so-so game. It’s not crazy to think he was being eased back after so much time missed. He also has a salivating schedule over the next three weeks against Green Bay, Chicago and New York.
Amon-Ra St. Brown finished with 7catches for 69 yards on a team-high 10 targets (27% target share). As the target hog in the Lions offense, St. Brown remains a screaming buy across all fantasy formats.
Chris Olave had his first “bad” game since Week 2 for the Saints in Week 8, catching just 5 passes for 52 yards on 7 targets (23% target share). However, he was targeted on an elite 28% of his routes. Be all over buying him this week with some fantasy managers likely concerned that Michael Thomas/Jarvis Landry returning will hurt Olave’s status as WR1 in the New Orleans offense. Upcoming schedule versus Baltimore, Pittsburgh and the Rams is ideal for the rookie to go on another tear of production. 25% target share when healthy this season.
Gabriel Davis finally puts up a high-end target share (28% target share) in Week 8 but catches just 2 for 35 yards. Buy-low. No other Bill (besides Stefon Diggs) saw more than 3 targets (Dawson Knox). He also saw almost 100 air yards and combined for three red-zone/deep targets.
Dameon Pierce rushed 15 times for just 35 yards, but saved fantasy managers with a late receiving TD. Totaled 18 touches (5 targets tied for 2nd-most). But most importantly, he carved out a 91% opportunity share as the leader of the Texans backfield. Worth buying low on due to the ridiculous volume he is seeing as Houston’s only threat on offense.
A.J. Brown dominated the production with his 3 TDs and 37% target share, but don’t overlook DeVonta Smith‘s 27% target share. He converted his 8 targets into just 5 catches for 23 yards, which creates a buying window for aggressive fantasy managers. Entering Week 8, Smith and Brown had an equal target share over the last four weeks. He’ll bounce back based on his role in the Eagles offense, which tends to see him run more routes weekly than Brown.
If I am desperate for instant running back production, I am trading for Raheem Mostert. He continues to dominate the touches in the Dolphins backfield over Chase Edmonds – 68% opportunity share in Week 8, 15 to 4 in touches – and the upcoming schedule is JUICY. Bears, Browns and Texans with a bye week thrown in. And for all those same reasons, I am stashing Edmonds on my bench if I can in case the injury-prone Mostert goes down.
Khalil Herbert posted a 16-99-1 rushing line versus David Montgomery‘s 15-53-0. Montgomery added 3 targets and out-snapped Herbert (70% vs 28%). The final touches were at 19 for Montgomery, 16 for Herbert. But we all know how this backfield is trending…with Herbert continuing to be the better, more productive RB.
Over the last three weeks, Herbert has more rushing yards (235 vs 182) on 10 fewer carries (35 vs 45). Buy now ahead of the Bears cakewalk schedule of opposing fantasy matchups that ranks No. 2 per FantasyPros strength of schedule tool.
D’Onta Foreman bellcow szn. 26 carries for 118 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Spencer Brown with just 6 carries for 27 yards. 75% backfield opportunity for Foreman in his first official start. Chuba Hubbard‘s absence may have some looking to cash out on Foreman should the former return from a Week 7 ankle injury, but I think Foreman has shown enough to prove he is the starter moving forward. His schedule is also super favorable over the remainder of the season. So buy high.
Courtland Sutton finished with just one catch on 4 targets for 13 yards in Week 8. But with favorable matchups coming up after bye week versus Titans and Raiders, I still think Sutton is worth sending a low-ball offer for. He may even get dropped.
Antonio Gibson finished second on the Commanders with seven targets catching all 7 for 58 yards and 1 TD (23% target share). Brian Robinson totaled just 8 carries for 20 yards and zero TDs. Only 1 more carry and rushing yard than Gibson. Week 8 was also the first time since Robinson’s return that Gibson out-touched and out-snapped the rookie RB (36% vs 25%). 48% opportunity share for AG. He has an 18% target share and over 200 yards from scrimmage in his last 3 games. Chasing the snaps and Gibson’s efficient play should be the move for fantasy managers this week with Washington’s upcoming schedule favorable for RBs. Top-10 per FantasyPros strength of schedule tool.
I’d buy low on Wan’Dale Robinson. He went just 2 for 15 on 3 targets in Week 8, but saw his route participation increase from 78% to 85% from the week prior.
Jimmy G ranks fourth in passing EPA this season. And he also boasts the No. 1 SOS (strength of schedule) remaining for fantasy QBs. Make sure he’s not on waivers.
No. 2 SOS (strength of schedule) remaining for fantasy QBs. That gives Russell Wilson a chance to turn his fantasy season around in the second half.
CeeDee Lamb went 5-77-1 on 7 targets on Sunday, but tight end Dalton Schultz also saw seven targets turning out 6 for 75 (27% target share). He’s back on the TE1 radar with Dak Prescott under center. No less than 49 receiving yards and 5 catches for Schultz in his 3 starts with Prescott this season. Buy on the bye week.
Players to Sell
Jonathan Taylor rushed 16 times for 76 yards in Week 8, but did re-injure his ankle. He also commanded just 1 target with Sam Ehlinger at QB. Ehlinger rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries. The lack of receiving was to be expected with Ehlinger at QB, but the lack of juice overall in the Colts offense is holding JT back. As is a nagging ankle injury that seems like it will be a bother for the rest of 2022. With the third-most difficult schedule for RBs remaining, I’d do my best to get out of the Taylor business while he still has his name cache attached to his value. Only a 68% opportunity share for Taylor in Week 8, which ranked outside the top-10.
Michael Pittman led the Colts with 9 targets catching 7 for 53 yards (39% target share) in Sam Ehlinger‘s first start. His 39% target share was the second-highest mark in Week 8 (pending MNF). He also almost scored a rushing TD. The performance is encouraging for Pittman for the remainder of the season, as his new QB is dead set on hyper-targeting him. However, we have seen before how volatile fringy QBs can be supporting WRs especially when they only throw 23 times like Ehlinger did in Week 8. I’d see if I can sell high on Pittman based on his target share alone if possible. He’s got the Patriots and Eagles in 2 of his next 3 matchups.
Leonard Fournette scored on Thursday night, but it’s hardly a reason for celebration. He has seen 12 or fewer touches for two straight games, while rookie Rachaad White has seen 7 touches for three straight weeks. Fournette rushed just 9 times for 24 yards (2.7 yards per carry). Each running back saw three targets despite Fournette running a route on 73% of dropbacks. Fournette remains a sell-high candidate amid his efficiency woes and White imposing his will as a threat to Lenny’s workload.
Isiah Pacheco earned just a 40% opportunity share in the Chiefs backfield after being named the starter in Week 7. He led the team in carries (8) and rushing yards (43), but Clyde Edwards-Helaire scored on 1 of his 6 carries. Pacheco also totaled half of his carries in the second half. Neither caught any passes. Jerick McKinnon caught 2-of-3 targets for 36 yards. It’s clear this backfield is a three-headed mess with each guy carving out a niche role. Pacheco is the best pure rusher, CEH has a nose for the end zone and McKinnon is the preferred pass-catching specialist. Ergo, none of them are going to be reliable week-to-week in an offense that would rather just let Patrick Mahomes sling the rock. So sell CEH or really any of these Chiefs RBs. Edwards-Helaire played just 27% of the snaps and had just 6 touches.
Rookie Romeo Doubs played the most snaps among the Packers WRs and led the team with 7 targets (4-62-1). 24% target share. Tight end Robert Tonyan finished second with 6 targets. But keep in mind his TD score game without Allen Lazard in the lineup. Considering how inconsistent Doubs has been this season, I’d view his nice prime time showing as a perfect opportunity to sell high.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
