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Let’s take a look at players to buy and sell this week. And be sure to check out our weekly trade value chart with updated values for all players.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Buy
Kenneth Walker. Woof. 10 carries for just 17 yards in Week 10. However, he made up for a lack of rushing with work as a receiver: 6 for 55 on 8 targets (24% target share, 73% route participation). He also seized a 100% opportunity share while playing 87% of the snaps. Buy low with him not top of mind after the bye week.
A rare 14 touches for Travis Etienne in Week 10, which translated into just 74 yards (11 carries, 3 targets). He did see all the work though with an 82% opportunity share; No. 2 RB JaMycal Hasty had two touches. With the Jaguars on a bye week, the time to strike a deal for ETN is now. He ranked 8th in rushing yards through the 1st 10 weeks of the year. Also plays the Texans in Week 17. Two words. League-winner.
Alvin Kamara finished second with 5 targets, catching 4 for 47 yards in Week 11. Also rushed 12 times for 42 yards. Handled 16 of 18 RB touches (89% opportunity share). Kamara is a tough player to target in trade with the matchups upcoming versus SF and TB, but his playoff schedule: ATL, CLE and PHI is juicy. If you are locked into a playoff spot, buying Kamara on the cheap is a sharp move.
Rhamondre Stevenson still a bellcow? He still dominated the touches versus Damien Harris (21 vs. 10), but Harris rushed for more yards (8 for 65) with a long 30-yard gainer. Stevenson rushed for just 26 yards on 15 carries but led the way with 6 targets for 6 catches and 56 receiving yards. Stevenson also played 78% of the snaps and ran a route on 79% of dropbacks.
Stevenson leads Pats in targets since Mac Jones has returned as the quarterback.
I’d be a buyer of Stevenson if the manager is concerned there is a committee brewing in New England. Because of usage suggests that’s not the case. Harris’ 24% snap share was the lowest he has seen in a game he was healthy in this season.
Aaron Jones led the Packers backfield with 12 carries for 40 rushing yards on Thursday night adding 6 receptions for 20 yards. His carry volume was half of what it was the week prior, but that’s often the case with a team reducing a player’s workload on a short week. He still operated as the clear No. 1 running back with a 73% opportunity share and 66% snap share. A.J. Dillon was a non-factor as he has been all season, totaling 6 carries for 13 yards. Jones is probably a decent buy-low candidate with plus-matchup coming versus the Eagles and Bears.
Terry McLaurin was Washington’s target leader (7, 30%) but caught just 4 balls for 55 yards in Week 11. Also saw over 100 air air yards (51% air yards share). Down game can happen when your QB completes just 15 passes. However, I would be sending buy-low offers aggressively with TMC taking on Atlanta in Week 12. Since Taylor Heinicke took over as QB1, McLaurin owns a 30% target share, 50% air yards share. Averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game in PPR. 6 catches and 93 receiving yards per game.
Antonio Gibson led the Commanders in carries (18), targets (3) and posted a season-high snap share (68%). 72 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards. Brian Robinson went 15 for 57 on the ground, but did not score, nor was he targeted. Curtis Samuel scored the lone rushing TD.
Because AG did not score, he’s attainable through trade. Buy him now as the Commanders RB1. Atlanta and the New York Giants (x2) are his next 3 matchups.
Allen Lazard ran the most routes (98%) and dominated the opportunities in Week 11. He saw a 30% target share (11) and 165 air yards (46%), the most in Week 11. Based on target volume alone, Lazard is a sharp buy-low target. Eventually TD regression will catch up to Christian Watson, which will flip back into Lazard’s favor as Aaron Rodgers‘ previous No.1 red-zone target. The Packers have a favorable WR schedule after they take on the Eagles in Week 12 featuring the Bears, Bye Week, Rams, Dolphins and Vikings.
Garrett Wilson finished with just 2 grabs for 12 yards despite running a route on 100% of dropbacks. Wilson is an intriguing buy-low target should the Jets decide to make a QB change. His upcoming schedule: Bears, Vikings, Bills, Lions, Jaguars and Seahawks is also ideal.
Josh Palmer stepped up in the absence of Mike Williams (left the game with an ankle injury), catching 8 of 10 targets (34% target share, 48% air yards share) for 106 yards and 2 receiving TDs on a 92% snap share. Trade for Palmer, because I wouldn’t bet on Williams coming back anytime soon after re-injuring his ankle. LA owns a top-10 schedule for WRs per the FantasyPros SOS tool. The next four games include the Chiefs, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins and Titans.
Pat Freiermuth led the Steelers in targets (12, 31% target share, 8-79) followed by George Pickens (4 for 83 on 6 targets plus 1 TD) in Week 11. But Pickens could have had an even bigger production day, considering he earned 122 air yards (4 targets of 20-plus air yards). Trade for him before he really blows up. The usage is trending for him in that direction.
Since Kenny Pickett took over starting QB duties in Week 4, Pickens leads the team in receiving yards (388). And over the last 2 weeks (since Chase Claypool was traded), his target share is the same as Diontae Johnson (15%).
Have a day Isiah Pacheco! The Chiefs starting running back posted his first 100-yard rushing game of the season, rushing for 107 yards on 15 carries while playing 42% of the snaps. He was not targeted but earned a 63% opportunity share.
Trade for him. KC boasts the No. 2 playoff schedule for RBs. Texans, Seahawks and Broncos. Wheels up for Pacheco.
The Jets backfield was split as Michael Carter (8 carries for 19 yards) and James Robinson (7 carries for 10 yards) in Week 11. Ty Johnson also tallied 4 carries.
Carter who drew the start, led with a 45% opportunity share, 50% snap share and 38% route participation. He’s an easy buy-low target with the Bears up next. Not to mention, Gang Green has a juicy playoff schedule featuring the Lions, Jaguars and Seahawks.
Cam Akers back from the dead? 14 carries for 61 yards. Led team in rushes (56% opportunity share) over Kyren Williams (7 for 36) and Darrell Henderson (2 for 9). However, Akers was not targeted running a route on just 19% of dropbacks. Williams was the only RB with targets (2) running a route on an impressive 64% of dropbacks.
Rest of season, you want Williams over Akers. You want the pass-catching back versus an early down rusher behind a bad offensive line. Besides, Williams led the team in snaps (55%) in just his second NFL game. Also showed more burst averaging 5.1 yards per carry versus Akers’ 4.3.
The Rams take on the Chiefs in Week 12, who rank dead last in nearly every category against receiving RBs.
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Players to Sell
Cordarrelle Patterson (RB – ATL)
Cordarelle Patterson. That boy FAST. Not only did he lead the Falcons backfield in carries (10 for 52) but he scored a kick return TD, breaking the record previously held by Josh Cribbs. C-Patt totaled 12 touches (2 targets, 49% snap share) to Tyler Allgeier‘s 9 (1 target, 55% snap share).
However, Patterson’s opportunity share of 52% and 42% route participation (same as Allgeier) wasn’t great so I’d strongly consider selling high because his efficient play without backed-up volume will give him a dangerously low fantasy floor. Marcus Mariota is always a threat to take TDs in the red zone, making Patterson that much tougher to rely on weekly. The next matchup versus Washington is also horrible.
Rookie Rachaad White went OVER 100 rushing yards after drawing the start for the Buccaneers in Week 10. He officially finished with 22 carries for 105 yards but was not targeted. He ran a route on 48% of the dropbacks, played 64% of the snaps and earned two carries inside the 10-yard line. 11 of White’s carries came after Leonard Fournette threw an interception in the late 3rd quarter. Fournette finished with 14 carries for 57 rushing yards, but scored. Also was targeted once in the passing game. But he left the game with a hip injury. In this game, the Buccaneers were rotating their RBs every other drive. And although reports have been optimistic about Fournette’s hip injury post-bye-week, I’d still be looking to acquire White with the team returning to game action in Week 12. We are already seeing the usage shift more in his favor.
Devin Singletary totaled 18 carries for 86 yards and scored while adding in two catches in Week 11. 57% opportunity share. 80% route participation. 72% snap share. Over the past two weeks, he has 7 carries inside the 10-yard line (4 in Week 11) and 3 rushing TDs. Josh Allen has zero carries inside the 10-yard line. It’s clear that Singletary is still viewed as the team’s RB1 and the increased looks inside the red zone have expanded his fantasy ceiling. He’s in another great spot this week versus the Detroit Lions, but be warned that their defense has not been the same pushover it’s been to start the season. Over the last 3 weeks, the Lions have limited RB fantasy production to the Bears, Packers and Giants. That puts Singletary firmly in the sell high conversation, with the Patriots, Jets and Dolphins rounding out his next month of matchups.
Jeff Wilson Jr. szn. The former 49ers running back rushed 17 times for 119 yards and 1 rushing TD in Week 10 completely cementing himself as the team’s locked-and-loaded RB1. He was targeted 5 times (59% opportunity share, 19 touches) and played 61% of the snaps.
Raheem Mostert carried the ball 8 times for 65 yards and also scored a rushing TD (28% snap share). Mostert also caught all four of his targets for 22 yards. However, Wilson ran more routes (53%) making him the frontrunner for more receiving usage moving forward. Because he has scored in back-to-back weeks, he still might have some fantasy value to others that are RB-needy. With Wilson taking over this backfield, the time is now to sell before Mostert totally bottoms out.
Terry McLaurin was the target leader (7, 30%) but just 4 for 55 in Week 11. Happens when your QB completes just 15 passes. Curtis Samuel earned just 2 targets and caught 1 pass for 10 yards in Week 11. But he scored a rushing TD.
But be aware that Jahan Dotson leap-frogged him in snaps and routes run. Sell Samuel. In his last four games, he is averaging 3.5 targets.
Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Trade Analyzer – which allows you to instantly find out if a trade offer benefits you or your opponent – to our Trade Finder – which suggests trades that will help you improve your team – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
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