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Wow. How time flies when you’re having fun. We’re now in the home stretch of the fantasy season. With the fantasy playoffs visible in the distance, fantasy managers have slowly begun fine-tuning their juggernaut teams with sneaky handcuffs (i.e., JaMycal Hasty) or trading for players with juicy Week 15-17 schedules like Alvin Kamara (ATL, CLE, PHI) or Miles Sanders (CHI, DAL, NO).

I realize there are still plenty of teams fighting for playoff hopes, like many of my fantasy squads. Every win counts. Every point counts.

“We’re in the end game now.”

Enjoy Week 10, and onto the Primer.

With just a few weeks until most fantasy football trade deadlines, now is the best time to check out Trade Central to make finding and executing trades dead simple. See your league-mates’ top positional needs, and find trades that are the most likely to get accepted.

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SEA vs. TB | MIN vs. BUF | DET vs. CHI | DEN vs. TEN | JAC vs. KC | CLE vs. MIA | HOU vs. NYG | NO vs. PIT | IND vs. LV | DAL vs. GB | ARI vs. LAR | LAC vs. SF | WAS vs. PHI | ATL vs. CAR

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• TB -2.5, O/U 44.5
• Seahawks vs. Buccaneers Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• This is the place to be for overall play volume. This game could eclipse all others in total plays. Tampa Bay is leading the NFL in neutral pace while Seattle also sneaks into the top 12 (11th).
• Tampa Bay, despite their struggles, still loves to pass as they are third in neutral passing rate. Seattle slightly leans to the pass while keeping a balanced approach (14th in neutral passing rate).

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith: Smith keeps chugging along, defying the odds weekly. He’s the QB9 in fantasy points per game with scintillating deeper metrics. Smith is the fourth-highest graded passer per PFF, ranking fourth in passing touchdowns, fourth in big-time throw rate, and seventh in adjusted completion rate (minimum 50 dropbacks). Smith remains a low-end QB1 despite the tough assignment with Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have given up the eighth-highest passing touchdown rate but have shut down passing offenses outside of this. Tampa Bay has yielded the third-lowest yards per attempt, fourth-lowest success rate per drop back, and sixth-lowest EPA per dropback.

Tom Brady: We keep waiting for this Buccaneers’ passing offense to bounce back, but week after week, they keep falling on their collective faces. Brady is the QB22 in fantasy points per game, although his efficiency metrics look like a quarterback that should reside inside the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks. Brady is eighth in PFF passing grade and tenth in big-time throw rate (minimum 50 dropbacks). Seattle is surrendering the 12th-highest yards per attempt and 11th-highest passing touchdown rate overall this season, but they have tightened up the belt recently. Over their last three games, the Seahawks have held quarterbacks to the eighth-lowest passer rating, 14th-lowest completion rate, and the third-fewest yards per attempt. Brady is a QB2.

Running Backs

Kenneth Walker: Walker continues to maul opposing run defenses. Since assuming the lead role, Walker is the RB6 in fantasy points per game, averaging 23.5 touches and 114.5 total yards. Walker is 22nd in yards after contact per attempt, seventh in missed tackles forced, and third in breakaway rate (minimum 20 carries). Walker is also coming off a game where he saw a 12.5% Target share and logged a season-high route run rate (55.3%). The Buccaneers are a team that you can run on as they are 26th in rushing yards per game, 24th in EPA per rush, and 26th in explosive run rate since Week 5. Walker is an every-week RB1.

Week 9

Leonard Fournette: Last week, Fournette played 62% of the snaps handling 14 touches and turning them into 60 total yards. This isn’t a big departure for Fournette from previous weeks. Since Week 4, Fournette has had three games before last week where he’s played 60-62% of the snaps. Fournette still lead the running back room in Target share, route run rate, and he garnered all the red zone work. To be clear, Fournette is still the clear leader in this backfield and last week’s usage wasn’t a departure from anything we haven’t already seen this year. I would be more worried about Fournette losing work down the stretch if he was dealing with a more explosive counterpart. Among 71 running backs with at least 20 carries, Fournette is dragging the depths ranking 67th in yards after contact per attempt, while his teammate, Rachaad White, has been even worse, sitting at 69th. Among the same sample size, Fournette is also 57th in PFF’s elusive rating. Fournette and Joe Mixon are the spiderman gif in that they have survived on touchdowns, inefficient volume, pass game check-downs, and touchdowns. Fournette is 11th in opportunity share, 11th in red zone touches, 11th in total touchdowns, 41st in yards per touch, and third in receptions. Seattle has quickly morphed into a run defense to avoid. Since Week 6, they are seventh in rushing yards per game, first in EPA per rush, and 12th in explosive run rate allowed. Fournette will have to make his money through the air this week. With his 12.8% Target share (12th), that should be possible against a defense that’s 30th in DVOA against receiving backs ranking top-five in most receptions, receiving yards, and yards per reception allowed to the position. Fournette remains an RB1/high-end RB2.

Rachaad White: Since Week 5, White has been averaging eight touches and 34.8 total yards with only one game inside the top 36 running backs in fantasy (Week 9, RB30). Despite only five red zone touches (63rd) in this matchup, White is a low-end flex play. His main value comes via the passing game, and this is a glorious matchup for a back specializing in pass-catching. Since Week 5, White has had a 6.9% Target share with 1.1 yards per route run and three red zone targets.

Wide Receivers

D.K. Metcalf: Metcalf is the WR28 in fantasy seeing a 24.8% Target share (21st) and 36.6% air yard share (13th). He’s 16th in weighted opportunity as he’s gobbled up deep targets (13, 10th) and red zone looks (13, third) from Chef Geno. After shaking off a slow start, he’s 17th in PFF receiving grade and 16th in yards per route run since Week 3 (minimum 15 targets). He’ll run about 65% of his routes against Jamel Dean (48.6% catch rate, 50.6 passer rating). Metcalf is a low-end WR2.

Tyler Lockett: Lockett has been stellar this season as the WR18 in fantasy. He’s handled a 24.1% Target share (23rd) and 34.8% (18th) of the team’s air yards. He’s eighth in deep targets (14) while seeing his red zone usage tick up, with four of his targets inside the 20-yard line coming in the last four games. Lockett is 23rd in PFF receiving grade and 15th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Lockett should spearhead Seattle’s passing attack this week against a secondary whose starting corner trio operates in zone coverage on 63-67% of their snaps. Lockett has seen 58% of his target volume against zone, ranking 10th in PFF receiving grade (minimum 10 zone targets) and 12th in yards per route run. Lockett will run about 80% of his routes against Carlton Davis (59.6% catch rate, 93.6 passer rating) and Sean Murphy-Burning (2021: 67.2% catch rate, 110.4 passer rating). Lockett is a high-end WR2/low-end WR1 this week.

Mike Evans: Despite the Buccaneers’ issues on offense, Evans is the WR10 in fantasy with a 20.3% Target share (38th) which is more fruitful than it sounds because of Tampa Bay’s high pass rate as that has equated to the 12th-most targets among wideouts. Evans is 25th in weighted opportunity ranking third in deep targets (17) and 11th in red zone targets (ten). While Evans hasn’t flashed a crazy ceiling to this point, he’s had an incredibly high floor with four of his eight games a WR2 or better and six games as at least a WR3. Evans will run about 72% of his routes against Tariq Woolen (56.4% catch rate, 56.7 passer rating) and Michael Jackson (55.3% catch rate, 75.0 passer rating). Evans is a WR2 with a tough matchup incoming.

Chris Godwin: Godwin is a screaming regression candidate and has been for the last few games. He’s the WR33 in fantasy points per game but the WR13 in expected fantasy points per game. Despite seven red zone targets and a 24.3% Target share (11.4 targets per game) when healthy, Godwin has yet to spike the football in the end zone. I don’t want to miss out on the A.J. Brown-Esque touchdown avalanche when it hits Godwin. Godwin is dragging at 41st in PFF receiving grade and 59th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Godwin will run about 75% of his routes against Coby Bryant (71.1% catch rate, 107.9 passer rating). Godwin is a strong WR2 with WR1 upside this week.

Russell Gage: Gage has been ruled out (hamstring).

Julio Jones: Jones was a part-time player last week. He only saw a 9.1% Target share with a 36.2% route run rate. Until at least his routes come up, Jones is unplayable.

Tight Ends

Noah Fant: It finally happened. Fant distanced himself handily from Will Dissly in Week 9. Fant saw an 18.8% Target share (Dissly, 12.5%) with a 63.2% route run rate (Dissly, 36.8%). Overall, Fant has a 12.4% Target share with four red zone targets and one deep look. The Buccaneers are a streamer-worthy matchup for Fant that could land him inside the top-12 tight ends for the week. Tampa Bay has surrendered the seventh-highest catch rate and ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends. The Bucs have also yielded the second-most fantasy points to tight ends from the slot. Last week Fant ran a season-high 50% of his routes from the slot.

Cameron Brate: Brate practiced in full all week (neck). He’s been listed as questionable. He likely makes it back this week, tossing a wrench into the gears for anyone looking at Cade Otton as a possible streamer. In his five games this season, Brate has an 11.6% Target share with a 61% route participation clip. If active, Brate falls into the deep league tight-end streamer bucket. He only has three red zone targets this season, but each came in his last three games. As a touchdown-or-bust matchup-based streamer, Brate has a strong chance of getting into the end zone this week. Brady and Brate’s red zone rapport was stout last year as he was fourth among tight ends in red zone targets (19). Seattle is 29th in DVOA against the position allowing the second-most receiving yards, highest yards per reception, and fourth-most receiving touchdowns (tied).

SEA vs. TB | MIN vs. BUF | DET vs. CHI | DEN vs. TEN | JAC vs. KC | CLE vs. MIA | HOU vs. NYG | NO vs. PIT | IND vs. LV | DAL vs. GB | ARI vs. LAR | LAC vs. SF | WAS vs. PHI | ATL vs. CAR

Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills

• BUF -3, O/U 43
• Vikings vs. Bills Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• A passing attempt bonanza is incoming. Buffalo ranks fourth in neutral passing, while the Vikings are also inside the top ten (seventh).
• The Vikings lead the way in neutral pace, though ranking sixth, while the Bills find themselves right outside the top 12 (13th).

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins: There’s no denying this week will be an uphill climb for Cousins against the Bills, but Cousins could be up to the task. Cousins has been an underrated fantasy asset this year. To be honest that could be an evergreen slogan. Cousins has been solid for multiple seasons and is the QB10 this season. Buffalo is well equipped to make his life difficult Sunday. The Bills have conceded the third-fewest fantasy points per game, fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, and the sixth-lowest yards per attempt. Buffalo’s only middle of the road pass rush (18th in pressure rate) and allergy to blitzing (31st in blitz rate) could be Cousins saving grace. From a clean pocket, Cousins has been surgical ranking seventh in clean pocket passing grade and second in clean pocket adjusted completion rate. Cousins remains a low-end QB1.

Josh Allen:  Allen snuck in a limited practice on Friday, but I think he will sit out this week. He’s been listed as questionable. I would ensure that you have a streaming option available as his status might not be updated until Saturday night or Sunday am. If Allen plays, you’re likely starting him as a QB1 unless you’re lucky enough to have snagged Tua Tagovailoa or Justin Fields off the waiver wire early in the season. Allen is the QB1 in fantasy, ranking fourth in yards per attempt, ninth in accuracy rating, and top-ten in most production metrics. The Vikings are a basement-level pass defense, ranking 27th in passing yards per game and 30th in explosive pass rate, coughing up the ninth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Even if his deep passing and rushing upside are muted this week, Allen can still post top-12 numbers if he plays.

Case Keenum: The last time we saw Keenum get a significant run as a starter was in 2019. He managed two games with 300 or more passing yards in his five full games as a starter, four weeks with multiple passing touchdowns, and two top-12 fantasy quarterback weeks. With the skill players in position around him, a highly successful offensive system, and a leaky pass defense he’s staring down, Keenum isn’t the craziest streaming option if (or when) Allen is ruled out. In 2019, Keenum was 37th in PFF passing grade, 25th in yards per attempt, and 19th in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). If Keenum gets the start, he’s a mid QB2 with the upside to sneak into the top 12. The Bills will be forced to take to the air even with Keenum because the Vikings’ defense is strong against the run.

Running Backs

Dalvin Cook: Cook is in a quiet smash spot against the once mighty Bills’ run defense. Since Week 4, this run defense has seen its star dim considerably. Since then, they are 19th in rushing yards per game, 21st in EPA per rush, and 30th in explosive run rate. Over their last five games, Buffalo is seventh in rush success rate allowed. Cook should chew up ground this week. He’s the RB12 in fantasy averaging 18.8 touches and 90.9 total yards. After a sluggish start to the season, Cook has picked it up (since Week 4), ranking 13th in yards after contact per attempt, 16th in breakaway rate, and 21st in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 15 carries). Cook is a top-five running back for the week and should be the focal point of the Vikings’ attack.

BETTLE MATCHUP OF THE WEEK

Each week, we’ll pick a matchup of the week, presented by Bettle. For Week 10, Dalvin Cook is our Bettle Matchup of the Week.

Alexander Mattison: Mattison has returned to handcuff status only. Since Week 6, he’s averaged only three touches and 14 total yards per game without eclipsing 24% of the snaps in any game.

Week 9

Devin Singletary: Last week was business as usual for Singletary. He played 74% of the snaps leading the team in rushing attempts, Target share, route run rate, and red zone chances. Singletary finished the day with 12 touches and 48 total yards. The bigger question is how much does Hines factor in this week with more time to digest the playbook? This renders Singletary no more than a low-end RB3. Singletary is the RB29 in fantasy points per game, averaging 13.3 touches and 69.3 total yards. With only one touchdown this season and 16 red zone touches (29th), his pass-game role has kept him afloat. Singletary is 13th in Target share (12.7%), ranking tenth in receptions and receiving yards among running backs. The main bloodline to his value is what Hines threatens. Since Week 5, the Vikings have been an impenetrable wall ranking third in rushing yards per game, third in EPA per rush, and first in explosive run rate allowed.

Nyheim Hines: Hines only played four snaps last week, soaking up one target. He’s a must-sit until we see at least a glimpse of his role with Buffalo.

Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson: Jefferson is an alpha supreme. He’s sitting at WR4 in fantasy points per game with a 30% Target share (7th) and 37.7% air-yard share (10th). Jefferson leads all wide receivers with 14 red zone targets while also seeing nine downfield looks (26th). He’s sixth in PFF receiving grade and fifth in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Jefferson will run about 66% of his routes against Dane Jackson (62.5% catch rate, 65.5 passer rating) and Christian Benford (57.1% catch rate, 88.4 passer rating) if Kaiir Elam (ankle, listed as doubtful) isn’t able to suit up. Jefferson is an unquestioned WR1 weekly.

Adam Thielen: Adam Thielen remains a WR3 (WR34 in fantasy points per game) with his strong touchdown equity in this offense. Thielen has a 20.4% Target share and ten red zone targets (11th). His 69.8 PFF receiving grade is his lowest since 2015, and his 1.32 yards per route run is the lowest mark of his career. He’ll run about 66% of his routes against Jackson and Benford.

Stefon Diggs: The Bills’ alpha wide receiver makes a return trip to his former stomping grounds. Diggs is still firmly in his prime as the WR2 in fantasy. Diggs is tenth in Target share (28.9%) and 15th in air yard share (35.7%). He’s also fifth in deep targets and third in red zone looks among wide receivers. He’s second in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run behind only Tyreek Hill (minimum 15 targets). Diggs will run about 62% of his routes against Chandon Sullivan (81.8% catch rate, 118.8 passer rating) and rookie Akaleb Evans (75% catch rate, 96.4 passer rating). Diggs is a top-three wide receiver.

Gabriel Davis: Davis has been a spike week star. As the Bills’ field stretcher, he’s logged three top 20 fantasy receiver weeks but also finished outside the top 40 wide receivers in the other four games (WR66, WR87, WR61, WR45). Yes, injuries have played a part in that, but a fully healthy Davis hasn’t been higher than a WR4 over the last two games. Davis has a 15.3% Target share and 27.3% air yard share with ten deep targets (20th) and only two red zone targets. Davis is a downfield threat taking on a secondary that’s fifth in DVOA against deep passing, so temper your expectations this week, but the injury Camerson Dantzler does help Davis some (ankle). Davis will run about 90% of his routes against Patrick Peterson (51.4% catch rate, 81.0 passer rating) and Evans. Davis is a WR3.

Tight Ends

T.J. Hockenson: Well, Minnesota was telling the truth about Hockenson playing a major role from the jump. In his first game with the Vikings, he played 91% of the snaps drawing a 23.1% Target share with nine receptions and 70 receiving yards (1.94 yards per route run). Hockenson also drew three red zone targets and finished as the TE5 in Week 9. Buffalo has been rough on tight ends, ranking third in DVOA with the fourth-lowest yards per reception and zero touchdowns allowed. Only the Bills and Jets remain the only teams yet to allow a touchdown to a tight end. Hockenson is a TE1 based on volume alone.

Dawson Knox: Last week was only the second time this season Knox has eclipsed a 70% route run rate. Overall, Knox has a 10.9% Target share while seeing four red zone targets. Three of his red zone looks have come in the last four games. Knox is on the matchup-based streamer radar with the route rate trending up and his red zone usage having a pulse. The Vikings are 22nd in DVOA against tight ends allowing the eighth-highest catch rate, tenth-highest yards per reception, and the ninth-most receiving touchdowns (tied).

SEA vs. TB | MIN vs. BUF | DET vs. CHI | DEN vs. TEN | JAC vs. KC | CLE vs. MIA | HOU vs. NYG | NO vs. PIT | IND vs. LV | DAL vs. GB | ARI vs. LAR | LAC vs. SF | WAS vs. PHI | ATL vs. CAR

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

• CHI -2.5, O/U 48.5
• Lions vs. Bears Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• At this point, the Lions are a known entity as an above-average play volume team (14th in neutral pace) with a run-balanced (22nd in neutral passing rate) approach.
• The Bears, however, have been changing things up. While they have remained run-centric since Week 6 (third in neutral rushing rate), they are also 12th in neutral pace over this span. This game will surprise in pace, considering this turn of events.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff: The Chicago Bears aren’t an imposing pass defense. Opposing teams have had so much success running the ball that the Bears haven’t had to deal with high-volume passing against them. On a per-drop-back basis, this secondary is mediocre at best, allowing the sixth-highest success rate per dropback and fifth-highest yards per attempt. Goff can possibly reverse his recent skid against Chicago. He hasn’t finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback since Week 4, with his best showing as QB14 in Week 8. The Lions have displayed the ability to hold their own when dropped into shootouts, and as last week’s game against the Dolphins showed, the Bears can keep up. Goff is a dark horse QB1 this week.

Justin Fields: Since Week 5, only Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have averaged more fantasy points per game at the quarterback position. Let that sink in. Justin Fields has been an elite fantasy quarterback over the last five weeks. Fields is 11th in rushing yards in the NFL, immediately behind Davlin Cook. In that same period, Fields has shown growth as a passer, ranking 16th in yards per attempt, 12th in big-time throw rate, and tenth in deep passer rating (minimum 50 dropbacks and ten deep attempts). Fields gets to build upon last week’s immaculate performance against a defense that has conceded the fourth-highest success rate per dropback, highest EPA per dropback, and the third-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Fields is a top-five fantasy quarterback in Week 10.

Running Backs

Week 9

Jamaal Williams: Williams played a season-high 61% of snaps last week, with all of his production coming via the ground game. Williams had 24 carries with 81 rushing yards (zero targets). Williams handled most of the red zone work while finding himself at the bottom of the heap in routes. With the early down role and red zone work sown up, Williams is a low-end RB2 this week. He’s averaged 16.9 touches and 75.2 total yards this season as the RB16 in fantasy. Williams is fifth in red-zone touches, propelling his fantasy value with eight touchdowns (fourth). He’s a plodder regarding efficiency numbers ranking 50th in juke rate, 41st in evaded tackles, and 40th in breakaway run rate. The Bears have improved their run defense to an intermediate state of being. Since Week 5, they are 13th in rushing yards per game, 26th in EPA per rush, and 17th in explosive run rate.

D’Andre Swift: Swift is a difficult RB3 to trust. Last week he saw five touches which he turned into 50 scoreless yards. Swift accomplished this in only ten snaps. Producing with insane efficiency and touchdown luck weekly is an impossible tightrope to walk weekly. Swift has stated that he probably won’t be 100% for the rest of the season, so expecting more work weekly is well-wishing. The rosy picture for Swift includes the Bears’ defense against pass-catching backs. Chicago is 21st in DVOA against receiving backs with the tenth-highest yards per reception allowed.

Weeks 7-9

David Montgomery: Despite the assertions of the coaching staff that this Herbert could earn more work or that they’ll go with “the hot hand,” this remains Montgomery’s backfield. In Week 7, he played 56% of the snaps, but in the last two weeks, he’s stacked back-to-back games with 70% of snaps played. Over the last three games, Montgomery has averaged 16 touches and 60.3 total yards while owning the red zone work and most of the passing game. Montgomery is 11th in juke rate and evaded tackles while sitting with only one breakaway run this year. He has no home run gear but can be expected to break chunk gains and tough yards weekly. Since Week 5, the Lions have toughened up some, but they remain a team that you can run the ball effectively against. Since Week 5, Detroit has been 22nd in rushing yards per game, tenth in EPA per rush, and 19th in explosive run rate. Montgomery is a low-end RB2.

Khalil Herbert: Herbert has been shoved back into a complementary role. Over the last two games, he’s played 28% of the snaps averaging 11.5 rushing attempts (zero targets) and 61 rushing yards. Herbert is a wild card flex play that you’re praying for a home run with. Herbert has the long gain gear ranking 12th in yards after contact per attempt, 13th in runs of 15-plus yards, and 20th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 15 carries). With zero pass game involvement and a median projection of about 8-10 touches, the hope is he breaks one for a long touchdown. You’re likely sad you stuck him into your flex spot if he doesn’t.

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown: In the five games St. Brown has played full-time snaps, he’s seen a 30.5% Target share (10.2 targets per game) with 25.7% of the air yards and 2.36 yards per route run. In that five-game sample, St. Brown has been a WR1 twice and a top 36 wide receiver in every game. St. Brown has scored three touchdowns this season, but he hasn’t sniffed a red zone target since Week 5 and hasn’t gotten in the endzone since Week 2. St. Brown is due for a blowup game. St. Brown is a WR1 who will run about 58% of his routes against Kyler Gordon (79.6% catch rate, 113.8 passer rating).

Kalif Raymond: Raymond has been a full-time player since Week 5 with a 17.2% Target share, 22.2% air yard share, and 1.69 yards per route run. Raymond has been exclusively used downfield with eight deep targets (32nd) and only two red zone targets. He’s finished as a WR4 or lower in three of his last four games. Raymond will run about 56% of his routes against Kindle Vildor (62.5% catch rate, 84.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Johnson (61.9% catch rate, 105.7 passer rating) as a WR4/5.

Josh Reynolds: Reynolds has been ruled out (back).

Darnell Mooney: Since Week 4, Mooney has come alive as this passing game has trended upward. Over the last six games, he’s commanded a 28.6% Target share (seven targets per game) with 38.7% of the team’s air yards. Over that span, Mooney has been 23rd in PFF receiving grade and 18th in yards per route run as the WR23 in fantasy. Mooney will run about 62% of his routes against Will Harris (68.4% catch rate, 88.9 passer rating). The Lions have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to slot receivers this season. Mooney is a WR2/3.

Chase Claypool: In Claypool’s first game as a Bear, he saw a 17.6% Target share with a 7.7 aDOT and a 42.1% route run rate. Claypool ran 88.2% of his routes on the perimeter with a deep target. Claypool is a WR4/5 that will run most of his routes against Detroit’s outside trio of Jeffrey Okudah (73.7% catch rate, 116.2 passer rating), Mike Hughes (73.1% catch rate, 118.1 passer rating), and Jerry Jacobs (2021: 64.3% catch rate, 98.0 passer rating).

Tight Ends

Cole Kmet: A rising tide raises all boats. Hello Cole Kmet. Welcome to the 2022 fantasy season. Last week Kmet secured five of his six targets with 41 receiving yards and a pair of scores as the TE2 for the week. That was Kmet’s first top-12 finish of the season. Kmet is 30th in PFF receiving grade, 36th in yards per route run, and 14th in red zone targets (five). Kmet is a low-end TE1/high-end TE2 this week. Detroit is a wonderful matchup for him to stack back-to-back solid fantasy games. The Lions are 24th in DVOA, giving up the third-highest catch rate, ninth-highest yards per reception, and fourth-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.

SEA vs. TB | MIN vs. BUF | DET vs. CHI | DEN vs. TEN | JAC vs. KC | CLE vs. MIA | HOU vs. NYG | NO vs. PIT | IND vs. LV | DAL vs. GB | ARI vs. LAR | LAC vs. SF | WAS vs. PHI | ATL vs. CAR