“He was a bold man that first ate an oyster.”
-Jonathan Swift
It’s time for weekly bold predictions.
The point here is that if you follow the consensus, you’re probably going to have a good team. But in order to go from good to great, you have to take some chances. You have to do your homework and figure out where you can zig when the rest of your league (or at least your opponent this week) zags. In short, you need to know how and when to be bold.
We asked our analysts to provide a bold prediction for Week 10. Their answers and justifications are below.
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Week 10 Bold Predictions
Courtland Sutton SZN. The Broncos WR finds the end zone twice in Week 10 versus the Titans
The Broncos No. 1 WR ranks as the WR22 in expected fantasy points per game and 7th in expected receiving TDs (4.5). He leads the Broncos with 9 red-zone targets but has scored just once. Positive touchdown regression should be coming against the Titans, who have allowed the highest passing TD rate this season (4th-most to WRs) in addition to allowing the third-most fantasy points to WRs overall and to the perimeter.
– Andrew Erickson
Saquon Barkley will surpass 200 all-purpose yards against the Texans
We all know the Houston Texans are the worst run defense in the league. However, when you couple that with Saquon Barkley fresh off a bye and the Texans’ lack of will to tackle smaller backs, this could be a historic Sunday total for Saquon.
– Joe Pisapia
Marvin Jones will have 100 receiving yards and two scores
Marvin Jones is the Jaguars’ deep threat, ranking 12th in aDOT and 20th in deep targets (11). Deep shots account for 23.4% of Jones’ target volume. The Chiefs are eighth in deep completion rate and ninth in deep receiving yards allowed. Since Week 5, Jones has run nearly half of his routes as the RWR, which will pit him against Joshua Williams (60% catch rate, 102.8 passer rating per PFF).
– Derek Brown
George Pickens will have 100+ yards and a touchdown
With Chase Claypool out of the picture, it’s wheels up for Pickens, who’s flashed star potential over the first half of his rookie season and now has an enhanced target outlook with one fewer pass catcher vying for targets in Pittsburgh. After being shut out by the Eagles in Week 8 prior to the Steelers’ Week 9 bye, Pickens is going to erupt this week against a Saints defense likely to be without ace CB Marshon Lattimore, who’s missed time with an abdominal injury.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott combine for at least 200 yards and two touchdowns from scrimmage
I expect Elliott (knee) to return to action after sitting out Week 8 and getting the bye in Week 9, so he and Pollard should split the work. On just 15 carries and one target, Pollard had 147 yards and three touchdowns in Week 8, and he should be fresh off the bye. Of all backs with 10-plus carries, Pollard is No. 1 with 3.6 yards after contact per attempt (per our Advanced RB Stats Report). As for Elliott, he has 14-plus opportunities in every game played this year except for Week 1 against the Buccaneers. Collectively, Pollard and Elliott have the talent and the volume to go off. And they have the matchup: The Packers defense is 30 in rush success rate (46.3%) and No. 31 in rush DVOA (8.2%).
– Matthew Freedman
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