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Week 8 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Week 8 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Welcome to Week 8, friends. As always, we’re here to provide you with some fantasy football Quick Grades (or Start/Sit Grades, if you prefer) for the week.

We tapped into our consensus projections and rankings and Derek Brown’s weekly Primer to generate this week’s Quick Grades. See below for the results and accompanying notes.

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Week 8 QB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A+ Josh Allen BUF GB
2 A Jalen Hurts PHI PIT
3 A Lamar Jackson BAL TB
4 A Kyler Murray ARI MIN
5 A Tua Tagovailoa MIA DET
6 A Joe Burrow CIN CLE
7 B+ Tom Brady TB BAL
8 B+ Derek Carr LV NO
9 B Kirk Cousins MIN ARI
10 B Dak Prescott DAL CHI
11 B Daniel Jones NYG SEA
12 B Geno Smith SEA NYG
13 B- Jared Goff DET MIA
14 C+ Jimmy Garoppolo SF LAR
15 C Justin Fields CHI DAL
16 C Marcus Mariota ATL CAR
17 C Trevor Lawrence JAC DEN
18 C- Andy Dalton NO LV
19 D+ Matthew Stafford LAR SF
20 D Russell Wilson DEN JAC
21 D Sam Ehlinger IND WAS
22 D- Aaron Rodgers GB BUF
23 F Davis Mills HOU TEN
24 F Jacoby Brissett CLE CIN
25 F PJ Walker CAR ATL
26 F Kenny Pickett PIT PHI
27 F Malik Willis TEN HOU
28 F Mac Jones NE NYJ
29 F Taylor Heinicke WAS IND
30 F Zach Wilson NYJ NE
31 F Bailey Zappe NE NYJ
32 F Brett Rypien DEN JAC
33 F Jameis Winston NO LV
34 F Sam Darnold CAR ATL
35 F Desmond Ridder ATL CAR
36 F Teddy Bridgewater MIA DET
37 F Baker Mayfield CAR ATL
38 F Mitch Trubisky PIT PHI
39 F Sam Howell WAS IND
40 F Jeff Driskel HOU TEN
41 F Cooper Rush DAL CHI
42 F Drew Lock SEA NYG
43 F Joe Flacco NYJ NE
44 F Skylar Thompson MIA DET
45 F Jacob Eason CAR ATL

Notes

Russell Wilson: Wilson looks like he’ll be back in the starting lineup this week. He’s a borderline QB1/2. Wilson has been a QB1 only once this season and top-15 only three times. Stating that Wilson has been dreadful isn’t shocking anyone. He’s 31st in PFF passing grade, 33rd in adjusted completion rate, and 18th in big-time throw rate (minimum 50 dropbacks). The Jaguars have been more pliable since Week 5 through the air, though. Over the last three weeks, they are 21st in passing yards per game, 27th in EPA per drop back, and 20th in explosive pass rate.

Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence is a low-end QB2 in an absolutely brutal matchup. The Broncos are third in pass defense DVOA with the lowest yards per attempt and passing touchdown rates allowed in the NFL. They have yielded the lowest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Lawrence is the QB11 in fantasy points per game this season, but that’s partially due to the dreadful state of the quarterback position and his three rushing touchdowns (second-most among quarterbacks). Lawrence will be under siege during this game. Denver is third in blitz rate and seventh in pressure rate. Among 36 quarterbacks with at least 25 pressured dropbacks, Lawrence is 30th in pressured PFF passing grade, 19th in yards per attempt, and 26th in QBR while pressured.

P.J. Walker: Time to give credit where credit is due. Walker has played well in his small run as the Panthers’ starter. Among 43 quarterbacks with at least 25 dropbacks, he’s 43rd in aDOT but also fourth in PFF passing grade, first in big-time throw rate, and 14th in adjusted completion rate. He has finished as the QB30 and QB14 in weekly fantasy scoring. Walker is a mid-QB2 this week. The Falcons’ pass defense has thrown up the white flag in submission this year. After brief flashes as an above-average pass defense in the early going, they have cratered into mediocrity. Atlanta is 32nd in pass defense DVOA, 32nd in passing yards per game, and 27th in explosive pass rate while giving up the second-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Marcus Mariota: The Falcons are desperately trying to cover up Mariota as much as possible. Since Week 3, he’s thrown the ball more than 24 times once. Mariota has three top-12 fantasy finishes this year, all fueled by his rushing. In each of those games, he rushed for at least 50 yards, with rushing touchdowns in two of them. Among the same 43 quarterback sample as Walker, Mariota is 23rd in PFF passing grade, 26th in big-time throw rate, and 38th in adjusted completion rate. Mariota is the QB19 in fantasy points per game. That’s how he should be valued weekly as a mid to low-end QB2 who can hop into the top 12 if his rushing equity hits the high water mark. Carolina has allowed the seventh-lowest yards per attempt and tenth-lowest passing touchdown rate. They might rank 22nd in pressure rate but also 11th in blitz rate. If the blitz gets home, Mariota is in trouble. Mariota is 30th in adjusted completion rate and 33rd in yards per attempt against the blitz (minimum 20 blitzed dropbacks).

Justin Fields: Since Week 4, Fields is the QB9 in fantasy points per game. Much of this is related to his 67.3 rushing yards per game over this span. Over his last four games, he’s been volatile, but he’s pushing the ball downfield. He ranks 29th in PFF passing grade and 32nd in adjusted completion rate (ouch) but he’s also 12th in big-time throw rate, fourth in aDOT, and eighth in yards per attempt. Since Week 4 he’s ninth in EPA per play and 13th in EPA + CPOE composite. Dallas has a strong secondary holding opposing quarterbacks to the third-lowest success rate per dropback, fourth-fewest passing yards per game, and seventh-lowest explosive pass rate. Fields is a QB2 that will again have to get it done with this rushing. That’s possible though against a defense that is 24th in explosive run rate allowed.

Derek Carr: Carr is a low-end QB1/high-end QB2. He’s managed three top-12 performances this season (QB6, QB11, QB11), with his other three games finishing as the QB16 or lower. The Saints’ pass defense is battered and bruised. Since Week 4, they are 22nd in pass defense, DVOA ranking 22nd in passing yards per game, 31st in EPA per drop back, and 26th in explosive pass rate allowed. New Orleans is only 28th in pressure rate. That should help Carr, who has been struggling this season, even from a clean pocket. Among quarterbacks with at least 25 dropbacks from a clean pocket, Carr is 31st in PFF passing grade, 22nd in yards per attempt, and 27th in adjusted completion rate.

Andy Dalton: Dalton looks to remain the Saints’ starter. News flash. He’s playing better than most would like to admit. He’s second in PFF passing grade, 16th in yards per attempt, 17th in adjusted completion rate, and 13th in big-time throw rate (minimum 50 dropbacks). He finished as the QB2 in fantasy last week, exploding for 361 passing yards and four passing scores. Dalton is a strong QB2 that could easily find himself in the top 12 again this week. The Raiders have allowed the sixth-highest success rate per dropback while ranking 27th in passing yards per game and 26th in explosive pass rate.

If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Week 8 WR Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A+ Cooper Kupp LAR SF
2 A+ Tyreek Hill MIA DET
3 A+ Justin Jefferson MIN ARI
4 A+ Stefon Diggs BUF GB
5 A+ Davante Adams LV NO
6 A DeAndre Hopkins ARI MIN
7 A Tee Higgins CIN CLE
8 A CeeDee Lamb DAL CHI
9 A Amon-Ra St. Brown DET MIA
10 A A.J. Brown PHI PIT
11 A Chris Godwin TB BAL
12 A Jaylen Waddle MIA DET
13 A Mike Evans TB BAL
14 A- Chris Olave NO LV
15 A- Gabe Davis BUF GB
16 A- Amari Cooper CLE CIN
17 A- Tyler Lockett SEA NYG
18 A- DJ Moore CAR ATL
19 B+ Tyler Boyd CIN CLE
20 B+ Michael Pittman Jr. IND WAS
21 B+ DeVonta Smith PHI PIT
22 B Brandon Aiyuk SF LAR
23 B Christian Kirk JAC DEN
24 B Courtland Sutton DEN JAC
25 B Jakobi Meyers NE NYJ
26 B Terry McLaurin WAS IND
27 B Brandin Cooks HOU TEN
28 B Adam Thielen MIN ARI
29 B Jerry Jeudy DEN JAC
30 B- Diontae Johnson PIT PHI
31 B- Curtis Samuel WAS IND
32 B- George Pickens PIT PHI
33 B- Wan’Dale Robinson NYG SEA
34 B Rashod Bateman BAL TB
35 C+ Drake London ATL CAR
36 C+ Darnell Mooney CHI DAL
37 C+ Rondale Moore ARI MIN
38 C+ Michael Gallup DAL CHI
39 C+ Robert Woods TEN HOU
40 C+ Hunter Renfrow LV NO
41 C Garrett Wilson NYJ NE
42 C Romeo Doubs GB BUF
43 C Alec Pierce IND WAS
44 C Chase Claypool PIT PHI
45 C Isaiah McKenzie BUF GB
46 C Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE CIN
47 C Zay Jones JAC DEN
48 C Devin Duvernay BAL TB
49 C Josh Reynolds DET MIA
50 C- Mack Hollins LV NO
51 C- Allen Robinson II LAR SF
52 C- Marquise Goodwin SEA NYG
53 C- DeVante Parker NE NYJ
54 C- Kalif Raymond DET MIA
55 C- Parris Campbell IND WAS
56 D+ Tyquan Thornton NE NYJ
57 D Darius Slayton NYG SEA
58 D+ Elijah Moore NYJ NE
59 D Terrace Marshall Jr. CAR ATL
60 D Noah Brown DAL CHI
61 D+ Marquez Callaway NO LV
62 D+ K.J. Osborn MIN ARI
63 D Marvin Jones Jr. JAC DEN
64 D Sammy Watkins GB BUF
65 D- Tre’Quan Smith NO LV
66 D- Julio Jones TB BAL
67 D- Phillip Dorsett II HOU TEN
68 D- Robbie Anderson ARI MIN
69 F Olamide Zaccheaus ATL CAR
70 D- Braxton Berrios NYJ NE
71 F Jauan Jennings SF LAR
72 F Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN HOU
73 F Mike Thomas CIN CLE
74 F K.J. Hamler DEN JAC
75 F Dante Pettis CHI DAL
76 F Equanimeous St. Brown CHI DAL
77 F Van Jefferson LAR SF
78 F Ben Skowronek LAR SF
79 F Shi Smith CAR ATL
80 F Marcus Johnson NYG SEA
81 F Dee Eskridge SEA NYG
82 F Demarcus Robinson BAL TB
83 F Trent Sherfield MIA DET
84 F Richie James Jr. NYG SEA
85 F Scotty Miller TB BAL
86 F Ray-Ray McCloud SF LAR
87 F David Bell CLE CIN
88 F Chris Moore HOU TEN
89 F Greg Dortch ARI MIN
90 F Amari Rodgers GB BUF
91 F Khalil Shakir BUF GB
92 F Tom Kennedy DET MIA
93 F David Sills V NYG SEA
94 F Damiere Byrd ATL CAR
95 F Cam Sims WAS IND
96 F Laviska Shenault Jr. CAR ATL
97 F Kendrick Bourne NE NYJ
98 F A.J. Green ARI MIN
99 F Quez Watkins PHI PIT
100 F KhaDarel Hodge ATL CAR
101 F Velus Jones Jr. CHI DAL
102 F DK Metcalf SEA NYG
103 F Cedrick Wilson Jr. MIA DET
104 F Cody Hollister TEN HOU
105 F James Proche II BAL TB
106 F Samori Toure GB BUF
107 F Tim Jones JAC DEN
108 F Christian Watson GB BUF
109 F Dyami Brown WAS IND
110 F Rashid Shaheed NO LV
111 F Nico Collins HOU TEN
112 F Denzel Mims NYJ NE
113 F Bryan Edwards ATL CAR
114 F Danny Gray SF LAR
115 F Breshad Perriman TB BAL
116 F Brandon Powell LAR SF
117 F Jaelon Darden TB BAL
118 F Kendall Hinton DEN JAC
119 F N’Keal Harry CHI DAL
120 F Mike Strachan IND WAS
121 F KaVontae Turpin DAL CHI
122 F River Cracraft MIA DET
123 F Zach Pascal PHI PIT
124 F Kevin White NO LV
125 F Tutu Atwell LAR SF
126 F Jalen Tolbert DAL CHI
127 F Rashard Higgins CAR ATL
128 F Jeff Smith NYJ NE
129 F Tyron Johnson HOU TEN
130 F Jalen Reagor MIN ARI
131 F DJ Turner LV NO
132 F Montrell Washington DEN JAC
133 F Trent Taylor CIN CLE
134 F Dax Milne WAS IND
135 F Nelson Agholor NE NYJ
136 F Jamal Agnew JAC DEN
137 F Chris Conley TEN HOU
138 F Anthony Schwartz CLE CIN
139 F Lil’Jordan Humphrey NE NYJ
140 F Michael Woods II CLE CIN
141 F Dareke Young SEA NYG
142 F Miles Boykin PIT PHI
143 F Jake Kumerow BUF GB
144 F Mason Kinsey TEN HOU
145 F Juwann Winfree GB BUF
146 F Keith Kirkwood NO LV
147 F Steven Sims Jr. PIT PHI
148 F Jalen Nailor MIN ARI
149 F Isaiah Hodgins BUF GB
150 F Keelan Cole Sr. LV NO
151 F Tanner Conner MIA DET
152 F Willie Snead IV SF LAR
153 F Gunner Olszewski PIT PHI
154 F Erik Ezukanma MIA DET
155 F Dezmon Patmon IND WAS
156 F Maurice Alexander DET MIA
157 F Stanley Berryhill III DET MIA
158 F Dez Fitzpatrick TEN HOU
159 F Chester Rogers CLE CIN
160 F Kyric McGowan WAS IND
161 F Cade Johnson SEA NYG

Notes

D.J. Moore: Moore showed signs of life last week. He absorbed a 45% target share (nine targets), finishing with seven grabs, 69 receiving yards, and one score as the WR9. Moore has suffered through wretched quarterback play all year. Walker has at least the distinction of a 79.1% on-target rate, which is worlds away from Baker Mayfield‘s 64.1%. Moore has a 27.8% target share (11th) this season with a 39.4% air yard share (fourth). With A.J. Terrell on the shelf with a shoulder injury and Casey Hayward on the IR, Moore will run about 73% of his routes against Cornell Armstrong (62.5% catch rate, 137.0 passer rating) and Darren Hall (76.9% catch rate, 120.4 passer rating). Moore is a WR2.

Drake London: London is a saddening case. He is a ridiculous talent held back by a run-obsessed head coach. Seems to be a theme with Atlanta, right? London hasn’t finished inside the top 36 wide receivers in weekly scoring since Week 3. Since Week 4 among wide receivers with at least ten targets, London has run the sixth-fewest routes per game (19.2) while recording an 85.6% route run rate. Thank you, Arthur Smith, for muting not one but two elite talents into the abyss. London is fifth in PFF receiving grade and 22nd in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). London will run about 87% of his routes against Donte Jackson (78.4% catch rate, 95.2 passer rating), Keith Taylor (85.7% catch rate, 110.1 passer rating), and C.J. Henderson (70% catch rate, 96.9 passer rating) (if Jaycee Horn isn’t back). London is a WR4.

Darnell Mooney: Since Week 4, Mooney has come back to life. He’s the WR29 over that span, with at least 50 receiving yards and five targets in each game. Since Week 4, he’s 27th in raw target volume, 23rd in PFF receiving grade, and 14th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Over the last four games, Mooney is fourth in target share (31.5%) and first in air yard share (52.2%). Mooney will run about 61% of his routes against DaRon Bland (84.6% catch rate, 71.5 passer rating) with Jourdan Lewis on the IR. Mooney is a sneaky upside WR3. Bland is a fifth-round rookie who runs a 4.53 forty. Mooney should be able to torch him.

CeeDee Lamb: Lamb is the WR22 in fantasy, drawing a 32.2% target share (third) and 32.4% target per route run rate (fourth). He’s fifth in air yard share (39.0%) while leading the team with ten deep targets (13th). Lamb is 22nd in PFF receiving grade and 14th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He’ll run about 59% of his routes in the slot against Kyler Gordon (79.5% catch rate, 112.9 passer rating). Gordon’s play has improved, but since Week 3, he’s still 23rd in yards per snap allowed (minimum 25 slot coverage snaps). If Prescott takes advantage of the Bears’ deep passing issues, Lamb will be the beneficiary. He’s a WR1.

Chris Olave: Olave has been a mega-producer and arguably the best rookie wide receiver in the NFL when he’s been active. In his full games played, he’s seen a 27.4% target share with 42.6% of the team’s air yards. He has stacked a 77.9 PFF receiving grade and 2.38 yards per route run in those weeks. This season, those would rank 15th and 11th-best among wide receivers (minimum 15 targets). Olave leads the NFL in deep targets, and now he faces a pass defense ranked 26th in DVOA against deep passing. Olave is a WR2 that will run about 74% of his routes against Rock Ya-Sin (47.8% catch rate, 66.4 passer rating) and Anthony Averett (80% catch rate, 158.3 passer rating).

Jakobi Meyers: With the churning uncertainty of quarterback, Meyers saw only two targets last week. Luckily, he secured one for a touchdown to finish as the WR33 in fantasy. Meyers is the WR17 in fantasy points per game with top 36 finishes in three of five games. Meyers is quietly turning in a fantastic season, ranking 14th in PFF receiving grade and 11th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). His biggest issue remains the lack of red zone usage, with zero red zone targets this season. Meyers has a 22.9% target share and 30.9% air yard share (24th). Meyers should be the focal point of the Pats passing attack this week against the only decent cornerback matchup. He’ll run about 70% of his routes against Michael Carter (73.3% catch rate, 95.0 passer rating). Meyers is a low-end WR2/high-end WR3.

DeVonta Smith: Don’t look now, but Jalen Hurts…the much-maligned, pitiful passer (per social media), is supporting two top 24 wide receivers. Smith is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, with top-25 finishes in four of his last five games. He has quietly been a stud, ranking 17th in PFF receiving grade and 26th in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). He only has four red zone targets (42nd) this season, but he leads the team in deep targets (six, Brown five). Smith is a WR2. He’ll match up with Witherspoon and Pierre on 79% of his routes.

Terry McLaurin: Despite Jaire Alexander shadowing McLaurin on 69% of his routes, he saw his highest target share (25%) and second-highest target total of the season. McLaurin could be primed for another shadow matchup with week against Stephon Gilmore. Gilmore has shadowed twice this year following Brandin Cooks and Courtland Sutton on 57-84% of their routes, limiting them to four receptions (11 targets) and 33 receiving yards (zero touchdowns). McLaurin is 43rd in PFF receiving grade and 52nd in yards per route run this season (minimum 15 targets) with a 17.4% target share. If Heinicke will force him the ball weekly, McLaurin is a WR3.

Fantas Football Start-Sit Assistant

Week 8 RB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A+ Derrick Henry TEN HOU
2 A+ Saquon Barkley NYG SEA
3 A+ Tony Pollard DAL CHI
4 A Kenneth Walker III SEA NYG
5 A Josh Jacobs LV NO
6 A Christian McCaffrey SF LAR
7 A Nick Chubb CLE CIN
8 A Alvin Kamara NO LV
9 A Joe Mixon CIN CLE
10 A Jonathan Taylor IND WAS
11 A Dalvin Cook MIN ARI
12 A- Travis Etienne Jr. JAC DEN
13 A- Leonard Fournette TB BAL
14 A- Rhamondre Stevenson NE NYJ
15 A- Dameon Pierce HOU TEN
16 B+ Raheem Mostert MIA DET
17 B Aaron Jones GB BUF
18 B D’Andre Swift DET MIA
19 B Miles Sanders PHI PIT
20 B D’Onta Foreman CAR ATL
21 B- Eno Benjamin ARI MIN
22 B- Devin Singletary BUF GB
23 C+ Najee Harris PIT PHI
24 C+ Michael Carter NYJ NE
25 C+ Brian Robinson Jr. WAS IND
26 C+ David Montgomery CHI DAL
27 C+ Darrell Henderson Jr. LAR SF
28 C Tyler Allgeier ATL CAR
29 C Melvin Gordon III DEN JAC
30 C Kareem Hunt CLE CIN
31 C Jamaal Williams DET MIA
32 C Gus Edwards BAL TB
33 C- Khalil Herbert CHI DAL
34 C- Latavius Murray DEN JAC
35 C- Antonio Gibson WAS IND
36 C- AJ Dillon GB BUF
37 C- Damien Harris NE NYJ
38 D+ Caleb Huntley ATL CAR
39 D+ Rachaad White TB BAL
40 D James Robinson NYJ NE
41 D Alexander Mattison MIN ARI
42 D Chase Edmonds MIA DET
43 D Jeff Wilson Jr. SF LAR
44 D- Nyheim Hines IND WAS
45 D- Mark Ingram II NO LV
46 D- Rex Burkhead HOU TEN
47 F Dontrell Hilliard TEN HOU
48 F DeeJay Dallas SEA NYG
49 F Jaylen Warren PIT PHI
50 F J.D. McKissic WAS IND
51 F Kenneth Gainwell PHI PIT
52 F Raheem Blackshear CAR ATL
53 F Keaontay Ingram ARI MIN
54 F Kenyan Drake BAL TB
55 F Samaje Perine CIN CLE
56 F Justice Hill BAL TB
57 F James Cook BUF GB
58 F JaMycal Hasty JAC DEN
59 F Malcolm Brown LAR SF
60 F Matt Breida NYG SEA
61 F Craig Reynolds DET MIA
62 F Boston Scott PHI PIT
63 F Zamir White LV NO
64 F Ty Johnson NYJ NE
65 F Deon Jackson IND WAS
66 F Avery Williams ATL CAR
67 F Ameer Abdullah LV NO
68 F Hassan Haskins TEN HOU
69 F Ronnie Rivers LAR SF
70 F Tyrion Davis-Price SF LAR
71 F Malik Davis DAL CHI
72 F Zack Moss BUF GB
73 F Brandon Bolden LV NO
74 F Trestan Ebner CHI DAL
75 F Snoop Conner JAC DEN
76 F Chris Evans CIN CLE
77 F Dare Ogunbowale HOU TEN
78 F Myles Gaskin MIA DET
79 F Gary Brightwell NYG SEA
80 F Pierre Strong Jr. NE NYJ
81 F Justin Jackson DET MIA
82 F Darrel Williams ARI MIN
83 F Ezekiel Elliott DAL CHI
84 F D’Ernest Johnson CLE CIN
85 F Travis Homer SEA NYG
86 F Patrick Ricard BAL TB
87 F Corey Clement ARI MIN
88 F Alec Ingold MIA DET
89 F C.J. Ham MIN ARI
90 F Tevin Coleman SF LAR
91 F Marlon Mack DEN JAC
92 F Reggie Gilliam BUF GB
93 F Dwayne Washington NO LV
94 F Kevin Harris NE NYJ
95 F Tony Jones Jr. SEA NYG
96 F Ke’Shawn Vaughn TB BAL
97 F Phillip Lindsay IND WAS
98 F Jordan Mason SF LAR
99 F Zonovan Knight NYJ NE
100 F Keith Smith ATL CAR
101 F Benny Snell Jr. PIT PHI
102 F Jakob Johnson LV NO
103 F Tyler Badie BAL TB
104 F Patrick Taylor Jr. GB BUF
105 F Darrynton Evans CHI DAL
106 F Khari Blasingame CHI DAL
107 F Qadree Ollison DAL CHI
108 F Spencer Brown CAR ATL
109 F Demetric Felton Jr. CLE CIN
110 F Trey Sermon PHI PIT
111 F Derek Watt PIT PHI
112 F Salvon Ahmed MIA DET
113 F Kene Nwangwu MIN ARI
114 F Devine Ozigbo DEN JAC
115 F Alex Armah Jr. WAS IND
116 F Adam Prentice NO LV

Notes

Christian McCaffrey: With little time to learn the playbook, McCaffrey played 28% of the snaps with ten touches for 62 total yards. Expect all of these numbers to trend upward this week. It’s impossible to project his workload this week, but expecting him to take the lion’s share of the work should be the baseline. McCaffrey should have the opportunity to show off his skills. He ranks 15th in evaded tackles, fourth in yards per route run, and 14th in breakaway runs. Since Week 4, the Rams’ strong run defense has relented some, ranking 18th in rushing yards per game. They remained 11th in EPA per rush and fifth in explosive run rate. McCaffrey should be able to make the most of his targets against a defense that’s quietly allowed the seventh-highest yards per reception to backs. With the uncertainties around his usage, McCaffrey is a low-end RB1.

Darrell Henderson: Henderson opened the week missing practice dealing with an illness. He looks good to go this week, though. In Week 6, returning to the starting gig, he played 71% of the snaps with 14 touches and 52 total yards. Behind a struggling Rams offensive line, Henderson is 46th in juke rate, 30th in yards created per touch, and 33rd in breakaway run rate. He faces a 49er run defense that’s permitted the sixth-lowest rush success rate, second-fewest rushing yards per game, and is first in explosive run rate. Henderson is an RB3.

Aaron Jones: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Matt LaFleur. Finally, Jones has taken the backfield over. This should have happened much earlier in the season, but I’m glad that it is happening now for the Packers’ sake. Since Week 5, Jones has averaged 14.7 touches and 66.7 total yards. Jones is the RB12 in fantasy points per game. He’s ninth in yards per touch, top-ten in breakaway runs and breakaway run rate, and 15th in yards created per touch. Since Week 4, Buffalo has been fourth in rush defense DVOA, third in rushing yards per game, eighth in EPA per rush, and 20th in explosive run rate. Jones is an RB2 in this brutal matchup, but the hope is he can find a crease and break off a long run against a defense that has given up some.

A.J. Dillon: No, I don’t hate Dillon, in case you’re wondering, but his play this season hasn’t matched last year’s. He is 48th in yards per touch, 45th in yards created per touch, and has one breakaway run this season. Since Week 5, he has averaged eight touches and 33.7 total yards. He has been an RB2 or better in only two games this season. The offense desperately needs to start making plays, which hasn’t happened with Dillon playing an equal role in this backfield. Dillon is a touchdown-or-bust RB4.

Travis Etienne: It’s wheels up for Etienne. The runway was cleared last week, but now with James Robinson shipped off, there’s no one looming behind Etienne. Last week he saw RB1 usage. Etienne played 80% of the snaps with 15 touches that he turned into 119 total yards. Etienne also saw an 11.6% target share while absorbing a 45.5% route rate which could continue to climb. Since Week 4, Etienne is 12th in yards after contact per attempt, second in breakaway rate, and 12th in PFF’s elusive rating. Denver can be run on. Since Week 4, their run defense ranks 21st in rushing yards per game, 17th in EPA per rush, and 14th in explosive run rate allowed. Etienne is a top 12-15 running back this week.

D’Onta Foreman: Foreman now jumps into high-end RB2 territory with the Hubbard news. Looking at the above small sample numbers, Foreman has continued to run like a person on a mission. Last year Foreman was 15th in yards after contact per attempt, 12th in breakaway rate, and 19th in PFF elusive rating (minimum 100 carries). Foreman played 54% of the snaps last week with 17 touches and 145 total yards as the RB17. Foreman will be the 1A in the backfield, with Raheem Blackshear possibly seeing some passing down work. Foreman may get workhorse usage in this game, though. If that happens, he can smash Atlanta. The Falcons have the second-highest rush success rate allowed while also sitting at 29th and 22nd in adjusted line yards and second-level yards. They have given up the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game as they have faced the sixth-fewest rushing attempts per game. Teams have been happy to pass all game, but the Panthers look like they are deploying the Bears model. Run, Run, Run, and then maybe pass the ball. The Panthers’ run blocking has been among the best in the league, ranking 11th in adjusted line yards and seventh in open field yards.

Week 8 TE Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A+ Mark Andrews BAL TB
2 A George Kittle SF LAR
3 A- Zach Ertz ARI MIN
4 B+ Dallas Goedert PHI PIT
5 B Tyler Higbee LAR SF
6 B Pat Freiermuth PIT PHI
7 B T.J. Hockenson DET MIA
8 C+ Irv Smith Jr. MIN ARI
9 C Hayden Hurst CIN CLE
10 C Taysom Hill NO LV
11 C Kyle Pitts ATL CAR
12 C- Cade Otton TB BAL
13 D+ Greg Dulcich DEN JAC
14 D+ Dalton Schultz DAL CHI
15 D+ Dawson Knox BUF GB
16 D Mike Gesicki MIA DET
17 D Evan Engram JAC DEN
18 D Juwan Johnson NO LV
19 D Robert Tonyan GB BUF
20 D Harrison Bryant CLE CIN
21 D- Noah Fant SEA NYG
22 D- Hunter Henry NE NYJ
23 F Darren Waller LV NO
24 F Will Dissly SEA NYG
25 F Cole Kmet CHI DAL
26 F Foster Moreau LV NO
27 F Tyler Conklin NYJ NE
28 F Isaiah Likely BAL TB
29 F Brevin Jordan HOU TEN
30 F Austin Hooper TEN HOU
31 F Mo Alie-Cox IND WAS
32 F Kylen Granson IND WAS
33 F Jelani Woods IND WAS
34 F Jonnu Smith NE NYJ
35 F Ian Thomas CAR ATL
36 F C.J. Uzomah NYJ NE
37 F Josh Oliver BAL TB
38 F O.J. Howard HOU TEN
39 F Jake Ferguson DAL CHI
40 F Jordan Akins HOU TEN
41 F Logan Thomas WAS IND
42 F Tommy Tremble CAR ATL
43 F Chris Myarick NYG SEA
44 F Pharaoh Brown CLE CIN
45 F Tanner Hudson NYG SEA
46 F Trey McBride ARI MIN
47 F Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN HOU
48 F Dan Arnold JAC DEN
49 F Colby Parkinson SEA NYG
50 F John Bates WAS IND
51 F Zach Gentry PIT PHI
52 F Peyton Hendershot DAL CHI
53 F Geoff Swaim TEN HOU
54 F Durham Smythe MIA DET
55 F Armani Rogers WAS IND
56 F Eric Saubert DEN JAC
57 F Parker Hesse ATL CAR
58 F Brock Wright DET MIA
59 F Adam Trautman NO LV
60 F Connor Heyward PIT PHI
61 F Kyle Rudolph TB BAL
62 F Mitchell Wilcox CIN CLE
63 F Johnny Mundt MIN ARI
64 F Marcedes Lewis GB BUF
65 F Ko Kieft TB BAL
66 F MyCole Pruitt ATL CAR
67 F Ryan Griffin CHI DAL
68 F Jesper Horsted LV NO
69 F Chris Manhertz JAC DEN
70 F Eric Tomlinson DEN JAC
71 F Quintin Morris BUF GB
72 F Albert Okwuegbunam DEN JAC
73 F Josiah Deguara GB BUF
74 F Tyler Davis GB BUF
75 F Jack Stoll PHI PIT
76 F Tommy Sweeney BUF GB
77 F Charlie Woerner SF LAR
78 F Giovanni Ricci CAR ATL
79 F Ross Dwelley SF LAR
80 F Trevon Wesco CHI DAL
81 F Kendall Blanton LAR SF
82 F Anthony Firkser ATL CAR
83 F Grant Calcaterra PHI PIT
84 F J.P. Holtz NO LV
85 F Stephen Sullivan CAR ATL
86 F Hunter Long MIA DET
87 F Miller Forristall CLE CIN
88 F Nick Vannett NO LV
89 F Kevin Rader TEN HOU
90 F Andrew Beck DEN JAC
91 F Luke Farrell JAC DEN
92 F James Mitchell DET MIA
93 F Devin Asiasi CIN CLE
94 F Brycen Hopkins LAR SF
95 F Kenny Yeboah NYJ NE
96 F Stephen Anderson ARI MIN
97 F Sean McKeon DAL CHI
98 F Nick Boyle BAL TB
100 F Charlie Kolar BAL TB
101 F Jacob Hollister MIN ARI
102 F Mason Schreck HOU TEN
103 F Jeremy Ruckert NYJ NE
104 F Jake Tonges CHI DAL

Notes

Greg Dulcich: Dulcich has been worked into the offense quickly. Since Week 6, he’s drawn a 17.1% target share with a 74.4% route run rate. Over the last two games, he’s been the TE11 and TE7 in weekly scoring. He’s garnered three deep targets, and a red zone look in this short stretch. Dulcich is a low-end TE1/high-end TE2 this week. The Jaguars are 21st in DVOA against tight ends with the fifth-highest yards per reception allowed.

Evan Engram: Engram is a TE2 this week. He remains the lackluster volume factory. Engram is 11th in target share, seventh in routes run, and eighth in raw target volume at the position. He’s only the TE14 in fantasy points per game, as he’s 24th in PFF receiving grade, 16th in yards per route run, and 25th in fantasy points per target. The Broncos have been tough on tight ends, ranking fifth in DVOA, giving up the fifth-lowest yards per reception and 13th-fewest fantasy points per game.

Kyle Pitts: Pitts suffers from the same Smith-itis. Among tight ends with 15 or more targets, he’s 12th in PFF receiving grade and 11th in yards per route run. Pitts has run 19.2 routes per game. He’s the only tight end with a route rate above 60% (76.7%), below 22.9 routes per game. Pitts has only seen more than five targets twice this season and surpassed 30 receiving yards once. Again, this is not a Pitts problem but a result of the offensive system he is tied to. Pitts is a TE2 until (if) this offensive design changes. Carolina is 26th in DVOA against tight ends allowing the third-highest catch rate.

Dalton Schultz: In Prescott’s first game back, Schultz saw a 20% target share which is encouraging, but as a reflection of his overall health, he only ran a route on 57% of dropbacks. I don’t buy the Cowboys’ reports of him being at full health. This has been reflected this week in his limited practices and now his questionable tag. Schultz is 31st in PFF receiving grade and 23rd in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). Schultz is a TE2 in a rough matchup. The Bears are seventh in DVOA against the position holding tight ends to the fifth-lowest receiving yards and eighth-lowest yards per reception (one touchdown). 

Mike Gesicki: Since being reintegrated into this offense in Week 5, Gesicki is the TE6 with a 15% target share and a 66.2% route run rate. Over that small three-game span, he’s 13th in PFF receiving grade and 13th in yards per route run with five red zone targets. Gesicki has run about 60% of his routes from the slot, so he’ll see plenty of A.J. Parker (100% catch rate, 118.8 passer rating). Detroit is also 31st in DVOA against tight ends if we’re viewing Gesicki from the traditional tight-end lens. They have allowed the seventh-highest catch rate and yards per reception. Gesicki is a top-12 tight end.

T.J. Hockenson: Hockenson is the TE3 in fantasy scoring, but his Week 4 legend performance against Seattle is masking his shortcomings. Outside of that game, he has only one top-12 finish this season. If we take Week 4 out of the equation, Hockenson is 25th in PFF receiving grade, 34th in yards per route run, and has a 16% target share (four red zone targets). No, I’m not a proponent of “well, if we exclude all of the big plays then,” but this game against Seattle looks like a massive outlier stacked against the rest of his 2022 resume. With all of that being said, Miami is a good matchup for Hockenson. The Dolphins are 23rd in DVOA against tight ends giving up the eighth-most receiving yards and highest catch rate, but they have also yielded the third-lowest yards per reception. Hockenson is a low-end TE1.

Zach Ertz: Since 2021 in a small five-game sample with Hopkins on the field, Ertz has seen his targets drop from 10.0 per game to 4.4 and his receiving yards per game dip from 59.5 to 36.2. Again this is a tiny sample to draw from, but it’s worth mentioning. Despite concerns with Hopkins back, Ertz remains a TE1. He’s the TE5 this season, commanding a 20.2% target share with the third-most red zone targets. He’s 14th in PFF receiving grade and 22nd in yards per route run (minimum 15 targets). The Vikings are a cake matchup for Ertz this week, ranking 32nd in DVOA with the fifth-highest catch rate, seventh-highest yards per reception, and eighth-most receiving yards per game allowed.

Robert Tonyan: It took only one game for Tonyan to turn back into a pumpkin. Since Week 4, he has had a 15% target share but a 56.2% route run rate. Week 6 is the only game this season in which Tonyan has more than 40 receiving yards. Tonyan is a TE2 in a terrible matchup. Buffalo is second in DVOA against tight ends, limiting them to the seventh-lowest yards per reception and zero touchdowns.

Hayden Hurst: Hurst is a low-end TE1. He’s the TE12 in fantasy points per game with a 14.6% target share (16th), seven red zone targets (sixth), and the third-most routes run. He’s the poster child for volume is king. He’s been terribly inefficient, ranking 22nd in PFF receiving grade and 41st in yards per route run (minimum ten targets). The Browns are 12th in DVOA against tight ends with the lowest catch rate allowed while also ranking first in yards per reception.

CTAs

Week 8 D/ST Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A+ Philadelphia Eagles PHI PIT
2 A Dallas Cowboys DAL CHI
3 A- New England Patriots NE NYJ
4 B+ Buffalo Bills BUF GB
5 B+ New York Jets NYJ NE
6 B Denver Broncos DEN JAC
7 B San Francisco 49ers SF LAR
8 B- Indianapolis Colts IND WAS
9 B- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB BAL
10 B- Jacksonville Jaguars JAC DEN
11 C+ Los Angeles Rams LAR SF
12 C Tennessee Titans TEN HOU
13 C Cincinnati Bengals CIN CLE
14 C Washington Commanders WAS IND
15 C Baltimore Ravens BAL TB
16 C- Miami Dolphins MIA DET
17 D+ Atlanta Falcons ATL CAR
18 D+ New York Giants NYG SEA
19 D+ Minnesota Vikings MIN ARI
20 D Arizona Cardinals ARI MIN
21 D Green Bay Packers GB BUF
22 D- Seattle Seahawks SEA NYG
23 D- Las Vegas Raiders LV NO
24 F New Orleans Saints NO LV
25 F Cleveland Browns CLE CIN
26 F Carolina Panthers CAR ATL
27 F Houston Texans HOU TEN
28 F Pittsburgh Steelers PIT PHI
29 F Chicago Bears CHI DAL
30 F Detroit Lions DET MIA

 

Week 8 K Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 8
1 A Justin Tucker BAL TB
2 B+ Daniel Carlson LV NO
3 B Tyler Bass BUF GB
4 B Evan McPherson CIN CLE
5 B- Ryan Succop TB BAL
6 C+ Jake Elliott PHI PIT
7 C+ Brett Maher DAL CHI
8 C+ Jason Sanders MIA DET
9 C Greg Joseph MIN ARI
10 C Jason Myers SEA NYG
11 C Wil Lutz NO LV
12 C Younghoe Koo ATL CAR
13 C Graham Gano NYG SEA
14 C Michael Badgley DET MIA
15 C Nick Folk NE NYJ
16 C- Matt Gay LAR SF
17 C- Cade York CLE CIN
18 C- Robbie Gould SF LAR
19 D+ Ka’imi Fairbairn HOU TEN
20 D+ Greg Zuerlein NYJ NE
21 D+ Randy Bullock TEN HOU
22 D+ Brandon McManus DEN JAC
23 D Mason Crosby GB BUF
24 D Riley Patterson JAC DEN
25 D Chase McLaughlin IND WAS
27 D- Rodrigo Blankenship ARI MIN
28 D- Chris Boswell PIT PHI
29 D- Eddy Pineiro CAR ATL
30 F Joey Slye WAS IND
31 F Matt Prater ARI MIN
32 F Cairo Santos CHI DAL

 

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