Which under-the-radar players might be able to give your fantasy team a lift? Which chalky players might not be as safe as they seem?
Our featured analysts name some potential sleepers and underachievers for Week 7.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team, and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
Q. Which player outside of the top 100 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is a good sleeper start and why do you think he has upside this week?
Daniel Bellinger (TE – NYG)
“Daniel Bellinger is the TE5 over the past two weeks, averaging 10.9 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, the rookie tight end has at least three targets in four straight games, including a team-high five targets last week. Bellinger has also scored a touchdown in two straight games. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars have surrendered 9.8 fantasy points per game to tight ends over the past three weeks. Fantasy players who need a bye-week replacement for Dallas Goedert should check their waiver wire for Bellinger.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Sony Michel (RB – LAR)
“It’s not often that Sony Michel is anything more than an injury replacement or desperation flex. In Week 7, he has more upside than usual and could be used as a full-in during a bye week filled with potent offenses. With Joshua Kelley out due to injury, Michel becomes the main backup to Austin Ekeler and short-yardage back against a Seattle defense that has given up the most rushing yards in the league.”
– Pierre Camus (Fantasy Endgame)
“Sony Michel gets a juicy matchup, playing against the Seattle Seahawks this week. Michel stepped in on Sunday, receiving 11 opportunities after Joshua Kelley was injured. Joshua Kelley is out, and the Seahawks are allowing 165.8 yards per game. Michel should be in line for 10+ touches against the league’s second-worst run defense. The Seahawks have allowed nine rushing touchdowns in six games.”
– David Heilman (Sports Gambling Podcast Network)
Juwan Johnson (TE – NO)
“The Saints’ Juwan Johnson is a sneaky-good TE play for Week 7. Adam Trautman is out, so Johnson will play a lot of snaps. He had a 78% snap share last week and finished with 4-41-0 on six targets. With WRs Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry still sidelined, six targets could be more of a floor than a ceiling for Johnson. He’ll be facing an Arizona defense that has given up a league-high 501 receiving yards to tight ends. There are few safe havens at the TE position, but Johnson could be a nice one-week solution for fantasy managers.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
Parris Campbell (WR – IND)
“Parris Campbell is a sleeper against a Titans defense, allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. He’s coming off a breakout performance against the Jaguars, where he caught 7-of-11 targets for 57 yards and a touchdown. While Matt Ryan won’t drop back 58 times again, that was encouraging to see from Campbell in advance of an exploitable matchup against Tennessee.”
– Frank Ammirante (The Game Day)
Tyquan Thornton (WR – NE)
“Tyquan Thornton played 42% of New England’s offensive snaps in his NFL debut in Week 5. In Week 6, that number jumped to 57%, and he also turned five targets and three carries into 53 total yards and two touchdowns. The Patriots are figuring out ways to use their new offensive weapon now that he’s healthy, and I think he’ll see double-digit combined targets and touches in Week 7 against a bad Chicago defense. ”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)
Q. Which player inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is likely to disappoint fantasy managers this week?
Christian Kirk (WR – JAC)
“Over the first four weeks of the year, Christian Kirk averaged nine targets per game, seeing at least six in every contest. However, the pricey offseason addition has eight targets over the past two weeks, averaging only 5.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. If not for a touchdown last week, Kirk would have three straight games with under 7.5 fantasy points. Meanwhile, the New York Giants have held wide receivers to only 18.7 fantasy points per game this season, the fewest in the NFL. Over the past three weeks, they’ve given up only one touchdown and 15.6 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Benching Kirk might be difficult, but his recent play and matchup make it the right call.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN)
“It will be really hard to trust Courtland Sutton this week. Aside from the obvious fact Denver is having a hard time finding the end zone or any consistency on offense, Russell Wilson may be playing hurt. The matchup is also concerning, as the Jets have been solid against WR1s. Sauce Gardner has clamped down on elite receivers and should make it unlikely that Sutton does much to help fantasy teams.”
– Pierre Camus (Fantasy Endgame)
“Courtland Sutton will get the Sauce treatment this week. Sauce Gardner has given some of the league’s best wide receivers problems and he will be on Sutton this week. The Broncos’ offense is without their starting running back, and their starting left tackle, and now Russell Wilson has multiple injuries. It’s so bad that Russ can’t say “let’s ride” anymore.”
– David Heilman (Sports Gambling Podcast Network)
Allen Lazard (WR – GB)
“I wouldn’t necessarily say Allen Lazard is “likely to disappoint,” but Lazard is likely to disappoint if he doesn’t score a touchdown. With 12 TD catches in his last 15 regular-season games, Lazard is scoring touchdowns at a Randy Moss-type of pace. His yardage totals, however, are more reminiscent of Sinorice Moss. Over that 15-game touchdown blitz, Lazard has averaged only 46.7 receiving yards per game. Without Davante Adams around, Lazard is still up to 57.0 yards per game this season, but he’s still heavily TD dependent. Lazard has 44.4% of Green Bay’s TD catches this season. He could certainly hit pay dirt again this week vs. a bad Washington pass defense, but if he doesn’t, he’ll struggle to post a double-digit point total.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
David Montgomery (RB – CHI)
“David Montgomery looks headed for a disappointing week against the Patriots. The Bears have a 15-point implied total as nine-point road underdogs, meaning that there likely won’t be many scoring opportunities in this projected negative game script. To make matters worse, the coaching staff has clamored for more touches for Khalil Herbert.”
– Frank Ammirante (The Game Day)
“The obvious answer here is Courtland Sutton, but something tells me he’ll be a popular choice in this space this week. Instead, I’ll focus on David Montgomery and his tough matchup against the Patriots on the road this week. Montgomery’s FantasyPros Matchup Rating this week is 3.4. That’s tied for the worst mark among players inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros flex rankings with Dameon Pierce and his matchup against the Raiders. The Chicago offense is a disaster right now, and Justin Fields looks completely lost at the helm. And while Montgomery saw 16 touches last week, he didn’t do much with them. This is a bad offense going up against a good defense, and Khalil Herbert — who has been the more efficient running back this season — is looming as someone who could continue to eat into Montgomery’s snaps and touches. ”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)
Thanks to the experts for sharing their advice! For more of their insight, be sure to follow each pundit on Twitter (click their names above) and visit their respective sites.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.