Week 5 Player Notes & Start/Sit Advice

Chris Olave (NO) vs. SEA: Saints -5.5 | 46 O/U

• No. 1 WR Michael Thomas (foot) sat out last game after not practicing all week, so I’m skeptical he’ll play on Sunday, and in his absence Olave led the Saints with seven targets and 4-67-1 receiving.
• The Seahawks defense is No. 28 in pass DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers (35.4%).
• With his 36 targets and high 18.7-yard average depth of target, Olave has an elite ceiling.

NFL Leaders in AirYAC (Air Yards + Yards After Catch) per game (Weeks 1-4):

1. Olave: 179
2. Tyreek: 156.4
3. Kupp: 145.7
4. AJB: 145.4
5. Davante: 138
6T. Lamb: 134.8
6T. Waddle: 134.8
8. Hollywood: 131.2
9. Diggs: 129.5
10. Jefferson: 129
11. Chase: 128.5
12. Andrews: 122.3

— Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) October 5, 2022

Gabe Davis (BUF) vs. PIT: Bills -14 | 47 O/U

• Davis (ankle) has just 4-50-0 receiving on nine targets over the past two weeks while playing through an injury — but he still has a playmaking 9.9 yards per target this year and 9.3 for his career.
• Davis could get a lot of targets this week because No. 3 WR Isaiah McKenzie (concussion) exited Week 4 early, No. 4 WR Jamison Crowder (ankle, IR) is out for the year and No. 5 WR Jake Kumerow missed Week 4 after not practicing at all last week.

JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) vs. LV: Chiefs -7 | 51 O/U

• What Clyde Edwards-Helaire is to running backs, Smith-Schuster sort of is to wide receivers: He’s underwhelming (19-224-0 receiving on 27 targets) — but he’s the No. 1 option at his position on the best offense in the league, and he has eight targets in three of four games.
• Without Nos. 1-2 CBs Rock Ya-Sin (knee) and Anthony Averett (thumb, IR) last week, the Raiders used SS Johnathan Abram heavily in the slot, and he could struggle this week if he’s forced to play there again: He has allowed a 75.2% catch rate for his career.

Curtis Samuel (WAS) vs. TEN: Commanders +2.5 | 42.5 O/U

• Samuel has led the Commanders in targets each week with 11, 9, 10 and 7, with which (accompanied by eight carries) he has put up 270 yards and two touchdowns.
• The Titans are No. 4 in most fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers (36.0 FPPG).

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