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Updated Week 3 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Updated Week 3 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Welcome to Week 3, friends. As always, we’re here to provide you with some Quick Grades (or Start/Sit Grades, if you prefer) for the week.

We tapped into our consensus projections and rankings and Derek Brown’s weekly Primer to generate this week’s Quick Grades. See below for the results and accompanying notes.

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Week 3 QB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A+ Josh Allen BUF MIA
2 A Jalen Hurts PHI WAS
3 A Patrick Mahomes II KC IND
4 A Lamar Jackson BAL NE
5 A Kyler Murray ARI LAR
6 A Joe Burrow CIN NYJ
7 B+ Matthew Stafford LAR ARI
8 B Kirk Cousins MIN DET
9 B Derek Carr LV TEN
10 B- Tua Tagovailoa MIA BUF
11 C+ Russell Wilson DEN SF
12 C+ Jared Goff DET MIN
13 C Carson Wentz WAS PHI
14 C Tom Brady TB GB
15 C Aaron Rodgers GB TB
16 C Marcus Mariota ATL SEA
17 C- Justin Fields CHI HOU
18 D+ Ryan Tannehill TEN LV
19 D Trevor Lawrence JAC LAC
20 D Jameis Winston NO CAR
21 D- Jimmy Garoppolo SF DEN
22 D- Matt Ryan IND KC
23 F Joe Flacco NYJ CIN
24 F Justin Herbert LAC JAC
25 F Daniel Jones NYG DAL
26 F Mac Jones NE BAL
27 F Geno Smith SEA ATL
28 F Baker Mayfield CAR NO
29 F Mitch Trubisky PIT CLE
30 F Davis Mills HOU CHI
31 F Cooper Rush DAL NYG
32 F Jacoby Brissett CLE PIT
33 F Chase Daniel LAC JAC
34 F Kenny Pickett PIT CLE
35 F Andy Dalton NO CAR
36 F Drew Lock SEA ATL
37 F Malik Willis TEN LV

Notes

Matt RyanAfter two games, the Colts’ receiver room has been decimated by injuries. We’ll see if that changes this week, but Ryan has suffered as the QB28 in fantasy. Kansas City might be 22nd in pass defense DVOA, but that’s largely due to their 11th ranking in passing touchdown rate allowed. They are 16th in success rate and EPA per dropback with the eighth-lowest yards per attempt allowed. Their pass rush has been unstoppable, ranking second in hurry rate and third in pressure rate. This is where Ryan crumbles. Through two games among 33 quarterbacks (minimum ten pressured dropbacks), he’s 31st in PFF’s pressured passing grade and 26th in pressured yards per attempt. Ryan is a low-end QB2.

Lamar JacksonJackson is a mid-QB1 this week after his smash performance against Miami. New England has surrendered the ninth-lowest explosive pass rate, the 11th-lowest success rate per dropback, and the 12th-lowest EPA per dropback. Last time Jackson faced this defense, he completed 70.5% of his passes with 7.3 yards per attempt while rushing for 55 yards as the QB7. Yes, I know that far in the past has no relevance on depth charts and matchups this season, but I think his stat line this week probably looks eerily similar. I would be more energetic if the Patriots were the man coverage-heavy team of old, but they have been deploying more zone this year. In Week 1, their outside corners played zone on 62-68% of their snaps. Jackson’s splits last year against man and zone were massive. His completion rate (27th) and accuracy rating (23rd) against zone were outside the top 22 quarterbacks in the NFL (against man coverage third and fifth in those metrics).

Mac JonesWith the slow-moving nature of this Patriots’ offense and heavy instance on rushing, Jones is a low-end QB2 this week. Jones has only finished as a top 12 fantasy quarterback in 31.6% of his NFL starts. Small sample variance: Baltimore’s pass defense looks like a pushover on paper after Tua Tagovailoa and his talented receivers dismantled them in Week 2. In Week 1, the Ravens’ pass defense allowed the ninth-lowest EPA per dropback and 11th-lowest success rate per dropback. Depending on the health of their cornerback unit entering the weekend, I could be revising my stance here. We’ll see.

Davis MillsDavis Mills is a low-end QB2 at best this week. He has followed up a standout rookie season with a disappointing beginning to 2022. He has only mustered 5.6 yards per attempt at the QB27 in fantasy. The Bears might be a laughing stock in the minds of many, but their defense hasn’t been. They are 17th in pass defense DVOA with the 12th-lowest success rate per dropback. Chicago also is first in pressure rate while only blitzing on 1.6% of their defensive plays. Mills has been pressured at the 12th highest rate this year.

Justin FieldsJustin Fields is another low-end QB2, but he does present some upside. Has it been pretty through two games? No. He’s finished as the QB23 and QB27 with a combined 28 pass attempts. This is a good avenue to ramp up his passing volume to see where he’s at if you’re the Bears. Fields has been the second-most pressured passer in the NFL, but Houston is only 15th in pressure rate. The Texans are seventh-worth in explosive pass rate and passing yards per game. They have relinquished the 12th-highest EPA per dropback. If you have Fields in Superflex or 2QB formats, he could present more upside this week than the Jameis Winstons and Ryan Tannehills of the world.

If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

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Week 3 WR Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A+ Cooper Kupp LAR ARI
2 A+ Justin Jefferson MIN DET
3 A+ Davante Adams LV TEN
4 A+ Stefon Diggs BUF MIA
5 A+ Ja’Marr Chase CIN NYJ
6 A+ A.J. Brown PHI WAS
7 A Tyreek Hill MIA BUF
8 A Amon-Ra St. Brown DET MIN
9 A Jaylen Waddle MIA BUF
10 A Courtland Sutton DEN SF
11 A Deebo Samuel SF DEN
12 A Tee Higgins CIN NYJ
13 A Michael Pittman Jr. IND KC
14 A- Brandin Cooks HOU CHI
15 A- Christian Kirk JAC LAC
16 A- Gabe Davis BUF MIA
17 A- Michael Thomas NO CAR
18 A- CeeDee Lamb DAL NYG
19 A- Mike Williams LAC JAC
20 B+ DJ Moore CAR NO
21 B+ Drake London ATL SEA
22 B+ Rashod Bateman BAL NE
23 B Diontae Johnson PIT CLE
24 B Marquise Brown ARI LAR
25 B Terry McLaurin WAS PHI
26 B Garrett Wilson NYJ CIN
27 B Allen Robinson II LAR ARI
28 B Curtis Samuel WAS PHI
29 B JuJu Smith-Schuster KC IND
30 B- Brandon Aiyuk SF DEN
31 B- Amari Cooper CLE PIT
32 B- Adam Thielen MIN DET
33 B- Elijah Moore NYJ CIN
34 C+ Jerry Jeudy DEN SF
35 C+ DK Metcalf SEA ATL
36 C+ Tyler Lockett SEA ATL
37 C+ DeVonta Smith PHI WAS
38 C+ Chris Olave NO CAR
39 C+ Darnell Mooney CHI HOU
40 C Allen Lazard GB TB
41 C Jahan Dotson WAS PHI
42 C Jakobi Meyers NE BAL
43 C Russell Gage TB GB
44 C Treylon Burks TEN LV
45 C Jarvis Landry NO CAR
46 C Keenan Allen LAC JAC
47 C Greg Dortch ARI LAR
48 C D.J. Chark Jr. DET MIN
49 C Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC IND
50 C Chase Claypool PIT CLE
51 C- Sterling Shepard NYG DAL
52 C- Mecole Hardman KC IND
53 C- Corey Davis NYJ CIN
54 C- Robbie Anderson CAR NO
55 C- Zay Jones JAC LAC
56 C- Tyler Boyd CIN NYJ
57 D+ Joshua Palmer LAC JAC
58 D Nico Collins HOU CHI
59 D K.J. Osborn MIN DET
60 D Romeo Doubs GB TB
61 D Robert Woods TEN LV
62 D+ George Pickens PIT CLE
63 D Noah Brown DAL NYG
64 D+ Isaiah McKenzie BUF MIA
65 D- Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE PIT
66 C- Breshad Perriman TB GB
67 D- Nelson Agholor NE BAL
68 D Ashton Dulin IND KC
69 D- Marvin Jones Jr. JAC LAC
70 F Devin Duvernay BAL NE
71 F DeVante Parker NE BAL
72 F Mack Hollins LV TEN
73 F Richie James Jr. NYG DAL
74 F A.J. Green ARI LAR
75 F Scotty Miller TB GB
76 F Parris Campbell IND KC
77 F Randall Cobb GB TB
78 F Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN LV
79 F Josh Reynolds DET MIN
80 F Equanimeous St. Brown CHI HOU
81 F Michael Gallup DAL NYG
82 F Jamison Crowder BUF MIA
83 F Quez Watkins PHI WAS
84 F Julio Jones TB GB
85 F Kendrick Bourne NE BAL
86 F Ben Skowronek LAR ARI
87 F Olamide Zaccheaus ATL SEA
88 F Braxton Berrios NYJ CIN
89 F Skyy Moore KC IND
90 F Jauan Jennings SF DEN
91 F Christian Watson GB TB
92 F Alec Pierce IND KC
93 F Kenny Golladay NYG DAL
94 F Byron Pringle CHI HOU
95 F DeAndre Carter LAC JAC
96 F David Sills V NYG DAL
97 F Shi Smith CAR NO
98 F David Bell CLE PIT
99 F Bryan Edwards ATL SEA
100 F Kadarius Toney NYG DAL
101 F Justin Watson KC IND
102 F K.J. Hamler DEN SF
103 F Cole Beasley TB GB
104 F Cedrick Wilson Jr. MIA BUF
105 F Marquez Callaway NO CAR
106 F Dante Pettis CHI HOU
107 F Chris Moore HOU CHI
108 F Mike Strachan IND KC
109 F Demarcus Robinson BAL NE
110 F Jalen Guyton LAC JAC
111 F Darius Slayton NYG DAL
112 F Terrace Marshall Jr. CAR NO
113 F Jake Kumerow BUF MIA
114 F Quintez Cephus DET MIN
115 F KhaDarel Hodge ATL SEA
116 F Jalen Tolbert DAL NYG
117 F Jalen Reagor MIN DET
118 F Marquise Goodwin SEA ATL
119 F Kyle Philips TEN LV
120 F Dennis Houston DAL NYG
121 F Trent Sherfield MIA BUF
122 F Andy Isabella ARI LAR
123 F Tylan Wallace BAL NE
124 F Dezmon Patmon IND KC
125 F Deonte Harty NO CAR
126 F Anthony Schwartz CLE PIT
127 F Ray-Ray McCloud SF DEN
128 F Dee Eskridge SEA ATL
129 F Tyrie Cleveland DEN SF
130 F Jaelon Darden TB GB
131 F Amari Rodgers GB TB
132 F James Proche II BAL NE
133 F Kendall Hinton DEN SF
134 F Rashard Higgins CAR NO
135 F Kalif Raymond DET MIN
136 F Tyron Johnson LV TEN
137 F Jamal Agnew JAC LAC
138 F Zach Pascal PHI WAS
139 F Lil’Jordan Humphrey NE BAL
140 F Mike Thomas CIN NYJ
141 F Cam Sims WAS PHI
142 F Chris Conley HOU CHI
143 F Brandon Powell LAR ARI
144 F Simi Fehoko DAL NYG
145 F Dax Milne WAS PHI
146 F Danny Gray SF DEN
147 F River Cracraft MIA BUF
148 F Cody Hollister TEN LV
149 F Tutu Atwell LAR ARI
150 F Montrell Washington DEN SF
151 F Keelan Cole Sr. LV TEN
152 F Laviska Shenault Jr. CAR NO
153 F KaVontae Turpin DAL NYG
154 F Josh Gordon TEN LV
155 F Tim Jones JAC LAC
156 F Gunner Olszewski PIT CLE
157 F Penny Hart SEA ATL
158 F Miles Boykin PIT CLE
159 F Khalil Shakir BUF MIA
160 F Phillip Dorsett II HOU CHI
161 F Jalen Nailor MIN DET
162 F Dyami Brown WAS PHI
163 F Jeff Smith NYJ CIN
164 F Tre’Quan Smith NO CAR
165 F Ihmir Smith-Marsette CHI HOU
166 F Juwann Winfree GB TB
167 F Chester Rogers CLE PIT
168 F Dareke Young SEA ATL
169 F Denzel Mims NYJ CIN
170 F Lawrence Cager NYJ CIN
171 F Andre Baccellia ARI LAR
172 F Jason Moore Jr. LAC JAC

Notes

Brandin CooksCooks might be another year older, but he’s not ready to be put out to pasture yet. Among 57 wide receivers with ten or more targets, he’s 30th in yards per route run but 47th in PFF receiving grade. These aren’t damning numbers when you marry it with his insane volume and role. He’s 11th in target share (30.1%) and 12th in weighted opportunity with a 36% air yard share. He’ll run about 74% of his routes on the perimeter against Jaylon Johson and Kindle Vildor. Don’t be surprised if the team does move him inside more this week. Johnson and Vildor have combined to allow a 55.5% catch rate and 77.0 passer rating. Teams have picked on slot corner Kyler Gordon through two games. He’s defended the third-most targets in the NFL (18) allowing the most receiving yards in the NFL with a 155.8 passer rating.

JuJu Smith-SchusterJuJu Smith-Schuster has seen a 15.1% target share running 50% of his routes from the slot. He’s yet to see an endzone target, and his efficiency numbers have been woeful, with a 1.46 yards per route run and 18% target per route run rate. His aDOT (7.8) is the lowest among all the wide receivers on the roster. This is a good matchup to get him going, though. Smith-Schuster main calling card these days is the ability to beat zone coverage. Lucky for him, the Colts have deployed zone on 69-76% of their cornerbacks’ routes. Limited sample, yes, but Smith-Schuster’s splits this year against man and zone have been huge. Against man, he has a 0.91 yards per route run, but that flies up to 2.79 against zone, which is fifth-best (minimum five zone targets). When inside, he’ll match up with Kenny Moore, who allows an 81.8% catch rate and 146.0 passer rating this season. He’s a WR3 with upside this week.

Mecole HardmanHardman is a dart throw WR6. He’s splitting routes with Justin Watson with only a 57.1% route run rate. His other peripherals are also yuck, with a 1.48 yards per route run. His target-per-route run rate is at 23%, which is nice, but that’s only amounted to five targets per game. When on the field, he’s alternated with Smith-Schuster in the slot (50%), so he’ll see a good bit of Moore. I would be much higher on him if he were a 100% snap player in Week 3.

Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSmith-Schuster and Valdes-Scantling have been the only full-time wide receivers for the Chiefs (highest route run rate of 83.1%). The problem for Valdes-Scantling is he’s been the team’s trusted man coverage beater, with 66.7% of his targets coming against this coverage type. With a boatload of zone coverage in store for these receivers in Week 3, you should sit Valdes-Scantling. He’s a WR5/6 type.

Rashod BatemanBateman is on his way to a breakout season. He’s currently the WR18 in fantasy. After Week 2, he’s third in yards per route run (minimum ten targets) and 20th in targets per route run. He’s handled a 20.2% target share and 29% of the team’s air yards. He’ll see Jalen Mills and Jonathan Jones on nearly 86% of his routes. Mills and Jones have combined to allow a 60% catch rate and 128.3 passer rating in coverage. Bateman is a top 24 wide receiver.

Robert WoodsWoods is just a mediocre WR5/6 at this juncture. He’s seen a 13.5% target share with the highest route run rate among the wide receivers (75.4%). His 1.13 yards per route run and 0.30 weighted opportunity display a wide receiver that’s sadly cooked at this point. He’ll run about 65% of his routes against Nate Hobbs and Rock Ya-Sin. Hobbs has allowed a 69.2% catch rate and 77.7 passer rating. Ya-Sin is playing well with a 45.5% catch rate and a 66.5 passer rating in coverage.

Amon-Ra St. BrownSt. Brown has been a revelation about betting on talent. He’s fourth among wideouts in target share (34.3%), 15th in weighted opportunity, and 17th in yards per route run. He has a 25.5% air yard share running about 75% of his routes from the slot. He’ll match up with Chandon Sullivan, who has given up a 90% catch rate and 107.9 passer rating. St. Brown is a top-ten wide receiver until further notice (WR4 in fantasy points currently).

D.J. CharkAfter a big Week 1 with 52 receiving yards and a score (WR22), Chark disappeared last week. He was targeted four times while failing to record any receptions. He’s outside the top 50 wide receivers in target share (16.9%) and target per route rate (17.9%). 41.6% of his target volume has been on deep targets. Minnesota is 13th in DVOA against deep passing this season. Chark will see Patrick Peterson and Cameron Dantzler on about 85% of his routes. These two corners have combined to allow a 70% catch rate and 85.6 passer rating in coverage. Chark is a WR5.

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Fantas Football Start-Sit Assistant

Week 3 RB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A+ Jonathan Taylor IND KC
2 A+ Christian McCaffrey CAR NO
3 A+ Dalvin Cook MIN DET
4 A Joe Mixon CIN NYJ
5 A Saquon Barkley NYG DAL
6 A Austin Ekeler LAC JAC
7 A Leonard Fournette TB GB
8 A Nick Chubb CLE PIT
9 A Derrick Henry TEN LV
10 A- D’Andre Swift DET MIN
11 A- Aaron Jones GB TB
12 A- Javonte Williams DEN SF
13 A- David Montgomery CHI HOU
14 B+ Antonio Gibson WAS PHI
15 B+ Najee Harris PIT CLE
16 B+ James Conner ARI LAR
17 B Miles Sanders PHI WAS
18 B AJ Dillon GB TB
19 B Kareem Hunt CLE PIT
20 B Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC IND
21 B Jeff Wilson Jr. SF DEN
22 B Dameon Pierce HOU CHI
23 B- James Robinson JAC LAC
24 B- Cordarrelle Patterson ATL SEA
25 B- Ezekiel Elliott DAL NYG
26 C+ Damien Harris NE BAL
27 C+ Tony Pollard DAL NYG
28 C+ Darrell Henderson Jr. LAR ARI
29 C+ Devin Singletary BUF MIA
30 C+ Rhamondre Stevenson NE BAL
31 C Cam Akers LAR ARI
32 C Michael Carter NYJ CIN
33 C Travis Etienne Jr. JAC LAC
34 C Breece Hall NYJ CIN
35 C Jamaal Williams DET MIN
36 C Alvin Kamara NO CAR
37 C Raheem Mostert MIA BUF
38 C- Rashaad Penny SEA ATL
39 C- Melvin Gordon III DEN SF
40 C- Chase Edmonds MIA BUF
41 C- Nyheim Hines IND KC
42 D Mark Ingram II NO CAR
43 D Khalil Herbert CHI HOU
44 D J.D. McKissic WAS PHI
45 D- Josh Jacobs LV TEN
46 D+ Ken Walker III SEA ATL
47 F Tyler Allgeier ATL SEA
48 F Jerick McKinnon KC IND
49 F Rex Burkhead HOU CHI
50 F Kenneth Gainwell PHI WAS
51 F Zamir White LV TEN
52 F Darrel Williams ARI LAR
53 F Eno Benjamin ARI LAR
54 F Jordan Mason SF DEN
55 F Rachaad White TB GB
56 F Alexander Mattison MIN DET
57 F Kenyan Drake BAL NE
58 F Boston Scott PHI WAS
59 F Zack Moss BUF MIA
60 F Jaylen Warren PIT CLE
61 F Samaje Perine CIN NYJ
62 F Isiah Pacheco KC IND
63 F Joshua Kelley LAC JAC
64 F J.K. Dobbins BAL NE
65 F Sony Michel LAC JAC
66 F Ameer Abdullah LV TEN
67 F Brandon Bolden LV TEN
68 F James Cook BUF MIA
69 F Mike Davis BAL NE
70 F Travis Homer SEA ATL
71 F Hassan Haskins TEN LV
72 F Matt Breida NYG DAL
73 F D’Onta Foreman CAR NO
74 F Kyle Juszczyk SF DEN
75 F Chuba Hubbard CAR NO
76 F Marlon Mack SF DEN
77 F Dontrell Hilliard TEN LV
78 F Craig Reynolds DET MIN
79 F Tony Jones Jr. NO CAR
80 F Justice Hill BAL NE
81 F Ty Johnson NYJ CIN
82 F Chris Evans CIN NYJ
83 F Avery Williams ATL SEA
84 F Mike Boone DEN SF
85 F DeeJay Dallas SEA ATL
86 F Jerome Ford CLE PIT
87 F Zander Horvath LAC JAC
88 F Trestan Ebner CHI HOU
89 F Benny Snell Jr. PIT CLE
90 F Pierre Strong Jr. NE BAL
91 F Jonathan Williams WAS PHI
92 F Keaontay Ingram ARI LAR
93 F C.J. Ham MIN DET
94 F Patrick Ricard BAL NE
95 F Darrynton Evans CHI HOU
96 F Justin Jackson DET MIN
97 F Alec Ingold MIA BUF
98 F Tyler Badie BAL NE
99 F Dwayne Washington NO CAR
100 F Dare Ogunbowale HOU CHI
101 F Reggie Gilliam BUF MIA
102 F Jakob Johnson LV TEN
103 F Keith Smith ATL SEA
104 F Gary Brightwell NYG DAL
105 F Michael Burton KC IND
106 F Jonathan Ward ARI LAR
107 F Kene Nwangwu MIN DET
108 F Ronald Jones II KC IND
109 F Caleb Huntley ATL SEA
110 F Derek Watt PIT CLE
111 F Jake Funk LAR ARI
112 F Snoop Conner JAC LAC
113 F Salvon Ahmed MIA BUF
114 F Tevin Coleman SF DEN
115 F Patrick Taylor Jr. GB TB

Notes

Joe MixonMixon has been a volume monster. Despite zero touchdowns on his resume, he’s the RB9 in fantasy. He’s averaged 28 touches and 114 total yards with a 14.8% target share (eighth-best). His efficiency has been good in the passing game (14th in yards per route run) but mediocre as a rusher. He’s 42nd in yards created per touch, 36th in breakaway run rate, and 57th in true yards per carry. Mixon should have another solid day against a plus matchup on the ground. The Jets are second-worst in explosive run rate while also ranking 14th-worst in rush EPA and 12th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game. New York is 22nd and 18th in second-level and open field yards allowed. When Mixon is targeted out of the backfield, he can create some big plays against a team that’s 29th in DVOA against receiving backs. Mixon is a top-ten RB option in Week 3.

Michael CarterCarter remains the leader of this backfield as one of the most underrated backs in the NFL. He’s averaged 14.5 touches and 75 total yards. He’s a top-13 back in yards created per touch, breakaway run rate, and evaded tackles. While his percentage of the rushing attempts dipped that is likely a one week outlier than signal at this point. His pass game role remained. The Bengals are an atrocious matchup for the second-year back. They have surrendered the fifth-lowest rushing success rate, tenth-lowest rushing EPA, and 13th-fewest fantasy points per game. The good thing is they are only average in explosive run rate (15th) and DVOA (15th). Carter is a low-end RB3/high-end RB4.

Breece HallHall has been rendered a middle-of-the-pack RB4. He’s averaged ten touches and 60.5 total yards. The problem for Hall is the two-way split in passing down work has now become a three-way committee, with Hall losing routes to Ty Johnson. While his early down role is unaffected, with a tough matchup on the ground and an offense that is anything but high-flying, Hall is a low-upside flex.

Josh JacobsAfter getting demolished in Week 1 against Saquon Barkley, the Titan’s run defense bounced back in Week 2. They allowed the fifth-lowest rushing success rate and 11th-lowest rush EPA. These numbers are in line with last year, where they gave up the lowest explosive run rate and rushing yards per game in the NFL. After Josh Jacobs could not take advantage of a cakewalk Arizona run defense last week running behind an offensive line that’s no higher than 17th in any adjusted line yard metric, it doesn’t seem any more promising in Week 3. Jacobs is fifth in opportunity share and 20th in route participation averaging 15.5 touches and 77 total yards. He’s tenth in yards after contact per attempt and fourth in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum ten carries). With 15-20 touch upside in a game that projects for neutral and positive game script, Jacobs is an unspectacular RB2.

Derrick HenryHas the big dog lost his bite? That’s the worry. Running behind an offensive line that’s 16th in adjusted line yards and 21st in second-level yards, Henry has looked like a mere mortal. He’s averaged 17 touches and 53.5 total yards through two games. Among 51 running backs with at least ten carries, he ranks 27th in yards after contact per attempt, 28th in breakaway percentage, and 36th in PFF’s elusive rating. These aren’t the type of numbers you hoped for when you selected him in the first round of drafts. The matchup this week is tough. The Raiders are top six in adjusted line yards, second-level yards, and open field yards allowed. They have permitted the seventh-lowest rush EPA and sixth-lowest explosive run rate. Henry remains a low-end RB1 based on projected volume and goal-line work, but he could be slipping into RB2 territory in the coming weeks.

Devin SingletarySingletary is a mid-tier RB3. His snap share (55.3%) and opportunity share (40.8%) are meh marks. The Bills simply aren’t a team that prioritizes getting their running backs work in any facet. Singletary has only seen two high-value touches per game and two total red zone opportunities. Neither of these is enough to push him any higher despite residing in one of the league’s best offenses. He’s averaged nine touches and 41.5 total yards. Despite allowing the tenth-highest explosive run rate, the remaining factors I look at regarding the Dolphins’ run defense don’t paint a pretty picture for Singletary. Miami has allowed the fourth-lowest rushing EPA and sixth-lowest rushing success rate.

Zack Moss: After an eyebrow-raising 12 touches in Week 1, Moss fell back to earth with 19% of the snaps played and three touches (17 total yards) in Week 2. Don’t play Moss.

James Cook: Cook received work in garbage time last week with a season-high 11 carries (42 rushing yards) and 26% of the snaps played. For fantasy, we can’t depend on blow-out clock sapping carries in any week. Stash Cook. Sit Cook.

Week 3 TE Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A+ Travis Kelce KC IND
2 A Mark Andrews BAL NE
3 A- Darren Waller LV TEN
4 B+ George Kittle SF DEN
5 B Kyle Pitts ATL SEA
6 B- Dallas Goedert PHI WAS
7 C+ Pat Freiermuth PIT CLE
8 C Zach Ertz ARI LAR
9 C Tyler Higbee LAR ARI
10 C- T.J. Hockenson DET MIN
11 C- Gerald Everett LAC JAC
12 C+ Dawson Knox BUF MIA
13 D+ Hayden Hurst CIN NYJ
14 D+ Logan Thomas WAS PHI
15 D+ Irv Smith Jr. MIN DET
16 D Evan Engram JAC LAC
17 D Tyler Conklin NYJ CIN
18 D David Njoku CLE PIT
19 D Robert Tonyan GB TB
20 D Albert Okwuegbunam DEN SF
21 D- Hunter Henry NE BAL
22 D- Juwan Johnson NO CAR
23 F Cole Kmet CHI HOU
24 F Mike Gesicki MIA BUF
25 F Noah Fant SEA ATL
26 F Taysom Hill NO CAR
27 F Austin Hooper TEN LV
28 F Jonnu Smith NE BAL
29 F Cameron Brate TB GB
30 F Kylen Granson IND KC
31 F Harrison Bryant CLE PIT
32 F Isaiah Likely BAL NE
33 F Mo Alie-Cox IND KC
34 F Foster Moreau LV TEN
35 F O.J. Howard HOU CHI
36 F Will Dissly SEA ATL
37 F Daniel Bellinger NYG DAL
38 F Dalton Schultz DAL NYG
39 F Ian Thomas CAR NO
40 F John Bates WAS PHI
41 F Durham Smythe MIA BUF
42 F Geoff Swaim TEN LV
43 F Dan Arnold JAC LAC
44 F Tommy Tremble CAR NO
45 F Jake Ferguson DAL NYG
46 F Pharaoh Brown HOU CHI
47 F Adam Trautman NO CAR
48 F Noah Gray KC IND
49 F Johnny Mundt MIN DET
50 F Jody Fortson KC IND
51 F Eric Saubert DEN SF
52 F Tre’ McKitty LAC JAC
53 F Parker Hesse ATL SEA
54 F Colby Parkinson SEA ATL
55 F Anthony Firkser ATL SEA
56 F Josiah Deguara GB TB
57 F Tanner Hudson NYG DAL
58 F Trey McBride ARI LAR
59 F Brock Wright DET MIN
60 F Ross Dwelley SF DEN
61 F Zach Gentry PIT CLE
62 F Peyton Hendershot DAL NYG
63 F Josh Oliver BAL NE
64 F Jeremy Ruckert NYJ CIN
65 F Eric Tomlinson DEN SF
66 F Marcedes Lewis GB TB
67 F Tyler Davis GB TB
68 F Andrew Beck DEN SF
69 F Stephen Anderson ARI LAR
70 F Cade Otton TB GB
71 F Chris Manhertz JAC LAC
72 F Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN LV
73 F Mitchell Wilcox CIN NYJ
74 F Jack Stoll PHI WAS
75 F Jelani Woods IND KC
76 F Charlie Woerner SF DEN
77 F Maxx Williams ARI LAR
78 F Tommy Sweeney BUF MIA
79 F Chris Myarick NYG DAL
80 F Ben Ellefson MIN DET
81 F Armani Rogers WAS PHI
82 F Noah Togiai PHI WAS
83 F C.J. Uzomah NYJ CIN
84 F Donald Parham Jr. LAC JAC
85 F Kyle Rudolph TB GB
86 F Richard Rodgers LAC JAC
87 F Ko Kieft TB GB
88 F Giovanni Ricci CAR NO
89 F Stephen Sullivan CAR NO
90 F Luke Farrell JAC LAC
91 F Trevon Wesco CHI HOU
92 F Shane Zylstra DET MIN
93 F Quintin Morris BUF MIA
94 F Jordan Akins HOU CHI
95 F Jesper Horsted LV TEN
96 F Connor Heyward PIT CLE
97 F Nick Boyle BAL NE
98 F Nick Vannett NO CAR

Notes

Dallas Goedert: I’ve said this before, but it’s worth repeating. Dallas Goedert would be discussed in the same breath as Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews if he received the same volume. He’s 14th in target share and 26th in targets per route run, but he’s fourth in yards per route run and first in YAC. Pick nearly any efficiency metric for the tight end position, and you’ll find Goedert hovering around the top of the list. Washington was eighth in DVOA against the position last year (25th in 2022), but they allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends. Goedert is a mid TE1.

Logan ThomasLogan Thomas is a low-end TE1. Thomas is the TE10 in fantasy scoring with a 12.9% target share (19th) and 19.6% target per route rate. If Wentz wants to avoid the Eagles’ sizzling corners in Week 3, he should look to pepper Thomas with targets. Thomas is 13th in yards per route run while also seeing a pair of red zone and deep targets. Philly has allowed the sixth-most reception to tight ends while ranking 12th in receiving yards.

Juwan JohnsonJohnson’s usage remains strong, although his fantasy success hasn’t hit yet. He’s the TE19 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 16.9% target share (13th) and a 79.7% route participation (11th). He has seen one deep target and two red zone targets. He’s been efficient with his routes ranking 14th in yards per route run. The Panthers were ninth in DVOA against the position last year. Johnson is in play as a deep streamer, but there are better options to stream.

Evan EngramEvan Engram is a top 12 fantasy tight end currently (TE12). Engram is the poster child for the importance of volume and routes regarding tight ends. He’s 12th in targets, tenth in target share, and 11th in routes run. These factors overshadow that he’s 16th in yards per route run and only 32nd in yards per reception. Engram can continue his top 12 ways this week against a pliable Chargers secondary. They are 18th in DVOA against the position after finishing 23rd last season. The Bolts are sixth in receptions and fifth in receiving yards allowed to tight ends. Engram is a top 15 option at tight end this week.

Gerald EverettEverett was a draft season darling of mine who is putting up solid numbers. He’s the TE4 in fantasy points per game with an 18.4% target share (seventh-best). He’s seventh in yards per route run and second in YAC. He has a tough but not insurmountable matchup this week. The Jaguars are tenth in DVOA this year against tight ends after holding the position to the ninth-fewest receiving touchdowns last year.

CTAs

Week 3 D/ST Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A+ Dallas Cowboys DAL NYG
2 A- Cincinnati Bengals CIN NYJ
3 B+ New Orleans Saints NO CAR
4 B+ Los Angeles Chargers LAC JAC
5 B+ Philadelphia Eagles PHI WAS
6 B Cleveland Browns CLE PIT
7 B Buffalo Bills BUF MIA
8 B San Francisco 49ers SF DEN
9 B- Los Angeles Rams LAR ARI
10 B- Baltimore Ravens BAL NE
11 C+ Denver Broncos DEN SF
12 C+ Carolina Panthers CAR NO
13 C New York Giants NYG DAL
14 C Pittsburgh Steelers PIT CLE
15 C Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB GB
16 C Chicago Bears CHI HOU
17 C- Kansas City Chiefs KC IND
18 C- Green Bay Packers GB TB
19 D+ Atlanta Falcons ATL SEA
20 D New York Jets NYJ CIN
21 D Seattle Seahawks SEA ATL
22 D Minnesota Vikings MIN DET
23 D- New England Patriots NE BAL
24 F Tennessee Titans TEN LV
25 F Houston Texans HOU CHI
26 F Miami Dolphins MIA BUF
27 F Las Vegas Raiders LV TEN
28 F Indianapolis Colts IND KC
29 F Jacksonville Jaguars JAC LAC
30 F Washington Commanders WAS PHI
31 F Arizona Cardinals ARI LAR
32 F Detroit Lions DET MIN

 

Week 3 K Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 2
1 A Justin Tucker BAL NE
2 B+ Tyler Bass BUF MIA
3 B Matt Gay LAR ARI
4 B Dustin Hopkins LAC JAC
5 B Daniel Carlson LV TEN
6 B- Evan McPherson CIN NYJ
7 C+ Greg Joseph MIN DET
8 C+ Jake Elliott PHI WAS
9 C Robbie Gould SF DEN
10 C Jason Sanders MIA BUF
11 C Younghoe Koo ATL SEA
12 C Matt Ammendola KC IND
13 C Ryan Succop TB GB
14 C Brandon McManus DEN SF
15 C Matt Prater ARI LAR
16 C Austin Seibert DET MIN
17 C- Nick Folk NE BAL
18 C- Randy Bullock TEN LV
19 C- Wil Lutz NO CAR
20 D+ Chase McLaughlin IND KC
21 D+ Joey Slye WAS PHI
22 D+ Cade York CLE PIT
23 D+ Mason Crosby GB TB
24 D Greg Zuerlein NYJ CIN
25 D Graham Gano NYG DAL
26 D- Brett Maher DAL NYG
27 D- Jason Myers SEA ATL
28 D Riley Patterson JAC LAC
29 F Chris Boswell PIT CLE
30 D- Cairo Santos CHI HOU
31 D- Eddy Pineiro CAR NO
32 F Ka’imi Fairbairn HOU CHI

 

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