I was pleased with the results of the Week 3 article. Many of our picks did well, but the injury bug hit us hard. We actually had three recommendations get injured, and that’s simply bad luck. It’s funny because the Cook and Montgomery suggestions were spot-on because their backups went nuts in that game too. The volatility of fantasy football can drive anyone crazy but putting your chips in the right spots is what makes all the difference. With that in mind, let’s kick off Week 4 with the play-callers!
The players below are the ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 4:
Quarterbacks
DraftKings
Trevor Lawrence (QB – JAC): $5,700, at PHI
There were many people calling Lawrence a bust after his rookie season, but that’s way too early to judge. Early-season results have me encouraged, with Trevor averaging 19.4 DraftKings points per game. He’s done that damage with limited mobility, and something tells me he will get some rushing yards against this feisty defensive line. We also have the Jags projected for 22 points, and we expect Lawrence to throw a ton to keep up with this elite Eagles offense.
I was pleased with the results of the Week 3 article. Many of our picks did well, but the injury bug hit us hard. We actually had three recommendations get injured, and that’s simply bad luck. It’s funny because the Cook and Montgomery suggestions were spot-on because their backups went nuts in that game too. The volatility of fantasy football can drive anyone crazy but putting your chips in the right spots is what makes all the difference. With that in mind, let’s kick off Week 4 with the play-callers!
The players below are the ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 4:
Quarterbacks
DraftKings
Trevor Lawrence (QB – JAC): $5,700, at PHI
There were many people calling Lawrence a bust after his rookie season, but that’s way too early to judge. Early-season results have me encouraged, with Trevor averaging 19.4 DraftKings points per game. He’s done that damage with limited mobility, and something tells me he will get some rushing yards against this feisty defensive line. We also have the Jags projected for 22 points, and we expect Lawrence to throw a ton to keep up with this elite Eagles offense.
Marcus Mariota (QB – ATL): $5,600, vs. CLE
Mariota will be that shifty quarterback who provides production because of his feet. He was running all over the place in the preseason and now has 25 carries for 92 rushing yards through the first three games. More importantly, he’s got two rushing touchdowns, establishing himself as the primary goal-line back. That’s a bonus when you’re a quarterback, with Mariota averaging over 18 DK points per game. Not to mention, Cleveland owns a 21st OPRK against opposing quarterbacks.
FanDuel
Josh Allen (QB – BUF): $8,900, at BAL
Something tells me most DFS managers will pay up for Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts, so Allen is the best GPP bet of the top-tier quarterbacks. This offense simply doesn’t run the ball, with Allen attempting 63 passes on Sunday. Not many signal-callers have that sort of green light, and it makes him the best GPP play on every slate with legitimate 40-point upside. We also have the highest-projected game of the week here, which is no surprise since Baltimore has surrendered the second-most fantasy points to opposing signal callers.
Carson Wentz (QB – WAS): $6,900, at DAL
Wentz has been the biggest surprise in fantasy. He’s scored at least 28 FanDuel points in two of the first three games, ranked Top-5 at the position. That alone makes him $500 too cheap, especially since he faces a subpar Cowboys secondary here. If he scores 75 percent of his season average, Wentz would be one of the best values out there.
In Consideration: Geno Smith (QB – SEA): DK $5,400/FD $6,600, at DET
Smith has been sneaky all season in Seattle, averaging 16 DK points per game. He should continue that sparkling form against a 29th-ranked Detroit defense.
Running Backs
DraftKings
Jamaal Williams (RB – DET): $6,100, vs. SEA
Williams is just as much of a GPP play as he is a cash-game option because he needs to be in every lineup out there. This is a run-first offense that just lost half of their committee because of the Swift injury. That leaves Williams with all he can handle, collecting 107 yards and two touchdowns in Week 3. He’s actually been getting the goal-line carries all year, and he’ll see one of the largest snap shares of his career with Swift sidelined. It’s not like Seattle is scary either, sitting 25th in yardage surrendered this year.
Rashaad Penny (RB – SEA): $4,900, at DET
It’s so strange to see Penny this cheap. This guy led all running backs in fantasy points over the final month of last season, and he’s being priced around many of the handcuffs. This is still a starting running back who will get 15-20 touches. That’s ridiculous from a sub-$5K player, and we’re talking about a guy who’s averaging 4.5 yards per carry throughout his career. That’s disastrous for Detroit, who allows the sixth-most rushing yards in the NFL.
FanDuel
Najee Harris (RB – PIT): $7,000, vs. NYJ
People are panicking about Harris, but this guy is still a stud. The price drop is what got me intrigued, but the role has inspired me to write him up. Najee played a season-high 80 percent of the team’s snaps in Week 3, and it’s just a matter of time before he starts smashing. A home matchup with the Jets should be the start of it, with NY owning a 26th OPRK against opposing backs. As long as Harris gets the 15-20 carries and five targets we project, he will flirt with 100 yards and a touchdown!
Miles Sanders (RB – PHI): $6,600, vs. JAX
Sanders’s touchdown ineptitude has soured fantasy managers, but this guy is great in between the sticks. He’s averaging 15 carries and 74 yards per game this year, which is really all you can hope for from a $6,600 player. He’s also on an Eagles offense that’s humming, and the positive touchdown regression should be headed his way. Getting to face a weak Jacksonville defense is a bonus, with the Eagles projected to score nearly 28 points.
In Consideration: Khalil Herbert (RB – CHI): DK $5,700/FD $7,200, at NYG
If Herbert starts for David Montgomery, he’s one of the best plays, no matter what sort of DFS contest you play in. He had over 150 yards and a touchdown filling in last week.
Wide Receivers
DraftKings
Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA): $5,900, at DET
We all expected Lockett to have some negative regression with Russell leaving town, but this is still the top receiver in Seattle. He’s had nine catches on 11 targets in back-to-back games, and it looks like he’s developing into a possession receiver with Smith at center. That’s great news with the talent this guy possesses, averaging 15 DK points per game. Facing a 25th-ranked Detroit defense is dandy too!
Corey Davis (WR – NYJ): $4,500, at PIT
We had Davis in here two weeks ago, and he’s still one of the top options in New York. Despite lacking targets, Corey played 87 percent of the team’s snaps in Week 3! That’s impossible to find from a $4,500 player, particularly one who’s averaging 12 DK points per game. Many people will get scared when they see the PIT next to the name, but they surrender the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts this year.
FanDuel
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF): $8,700 vs. BAL
Whatever Diggs’s ownership percentage is on this slate, it’s too low. He’s actually the highest-priced receiver on the board, making him a sneaky GPP play because of how many people won’t have exposure to him. We discussed how the Bills throw every play, which is apparent by the fact that Diggs leads the league in receptions, targets, air yards, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Diggs is simply the best DFS option in football right now, and he should have another big night with Buffalo projected for 30 points.
D.J. Moore (WR – CAR): $6,100 vs. ARI
It’s been a horrendous start to the year for D.J. Moore, but he’s too talented to be this cheap. This guy was sixth in the NFL with 163 targets last year, and it’s just a matter of time before he starts getting double-digits every game. A matchup with Arizona is a great way to get rolling, with the Cards allowing 29 points per game.
In Consideration: Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): DK $6,500/FD $6,700, at DAL
McLaurin has 17 targets over the last two games and is finally being recognized by Wentz. We also don’t mind that he faces a Dallas defense that owns a 20th OPRK against opposing wideouts.
Tight Ends
DraftKings
Mark Andrews (TE – BAL): $7,100, vs. BUF
Andrews is the best tight end in football, and it’s not relatively close. The rest of these guys are so unpredictable that it makes Andrews an excellent GPP play on every slate. Not enough people use this stud, with Andrews dropping 29 DK points in back-to-back games. He actually reached that total in three of his final five games of last year, and he should be busy in what could be the highest-scoring matchup of the weekend.
FanDuel
Zach Ertz (TE – ARI): $5,500, at CAR
Ertz is back to the target stud we saw in his Philly days. He’s ranked fourth at the position with 10 FanDuel points per game but sits seventh in salary. That makes no sense because Ertz has the second-most targets of any tight end in the NFL. Andrews is the only guy ahead of him, and we can’t overlook the fact that this $5,500 player is getting nearly 10 targets a game.
In Consideration: Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL): DK $5,000/FD $6,100, vs. CLE
The talent will come around for this kid. He showed glimpses of it last week, and it’s just a matter of time before these prices balloon with his production.
Defense/Special Teams
DraftKings
Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST: $3,600, vs. NYJ
This Pittsburgh D/ST has been flying around the ball, averaging 10.3 DK points per game. That’s the fourth-highest total on this slate, and there’s no reason they should be below $4K against the Jets. This team surrendered the most fantasy points to opposing D/STs last year and surely won’t get much better behind Joe Flacco. The oddsmakers agree, projecting the Jets to score just 18 points.
FanDuel
Philadelphia Eagles D/ST: $4,600, vs. JAX
The Eagles look like one of the best teams in football. This offense is dominating up and down the field, and it’s allowing these defenders to feast. They rank third with 11.7 FD points per game and should do well here as a 6.5-point favorite against one of the weaker offenses in football.
In Consideration: Atlanta Falcons D/ST: DK $2,800/FD $3,400, vs. CLE
Atlanta has been a sneaky D/ST all season, ranked seventh at the position. They remain way too cheap, and Jacoby Brissett is not a quarterback we’re worried about.
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
