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Let’s take a look at players to sell this week.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Sell
Alvin Kamara totaled just 12 touches for 42 yards in Week 1, while backfield teammate Mark Ingram had 5 for 27. Kamara’s egregiously large workload was going to come down after last season, and that’s exactly how we saw things play out.
Recall, AK41 averaged 15 touches per game when in use in tandem with a healthy Mark Ingram last season.
24.2 touches without Ingram.
If that doesn’t change, Kamara’s production won’t meet that of fantasy RB1.
Not good folks. Najee Harris totaled just 12 touches for 26 yards on a 59% snap share. He also left the game with an injury.
Without top-tier volume on Harris’ side, I’d be looking to try and move the Steelers’ RB1 — even at an ADP loss. Because things could get worse if the injuries linger and he can’t maintain a heavy workload. His offensive environment also provides him no favors.
11 targets, but just two catches. Yikes. Factor in the loss of Dak Prescott, I’d be in the camp of looking to sell CeeDee Lamb before his value hits rock bottom with an obvious downgrade at quarterback for the next 6-8 weeks. Lamb still isn’t proven enough to warrant making a bad quarterback good, which is why I’d be looking to get out now.
Darrell Henderson not only dominated the snap share in the Los Angeles Rams (82%) backfield Thursday night over Cam Akers, but he received elite usage in the passing game. His 78% route participation was par for the course for the Rams RB1 last season (82%) between Henderson and Sony Michel.
Hendo also converted his receiving usage into solid production, commanding five targets.
His fantasy stock is obviously way up after the surprise prime-time showing, but the real question fantasy managers should be having is how to take advantage of Henderson’s status as RB1.
Because I’m not so sure it’s secure as many others will think. And please bear with me here, as I know many that read my advice know that I was “in” on Cam Akers as a target in the RB Dead Zone. As a side note…just drafting WRs in this range helps avoid potential pitfalls such as this…
Regardless, I’d like to point out that all the reports of Akers/Henderson splitting snaps were totally false. Sean McVay has traditionally operated with an RB1 philosophy, where one guy gets 20-plus touches per game. Which is why I was in on Akers in the 1st place.
So my process of chasing the RB1 role – 82% snap rate is extremely high for any RB – was correct. I just picked the wrong Rams running back.
But, let’s not forget that both Akers and Henderson both dealt with soft-tissue injuries during the offseason. So it’s possible that Henderson may have just been the more healthy of the two and got the RB1 role in this particular matchup.
It’s my long way of saying that if I drafted Henderson late, I’d just cash out now. Sell high. Because an 82% snap rate for an RB can only go down, not up, because of how high it is. Not to mention, Henderson’s injury history proceeds him, and the Rams’ offensive line looks like it could have issues all year long.
Josh Jacobs went 10 for 57 with no TDs in Week 1. He’s a low-upside RB behind a horrible O-line. If and when Zamir White gets any type of involvement, Jacobs’ fantasy value will crater.
Cordarrelle Patterson (RB – ATL)
Cordarrelle Patterson made the most of an early exit by Damien Williams, touting the rock 22 times for 120 rushing yards against an elite Saints run defense on a 65% snap share.
All in all, C-Patt totaled 25 touches, easily the most in his polarizing career. Considering how late you were able to draft him, I’d sell high knowing I can get a much less volatile asset in return.
Not to mention, next week’s matchup versus a stout Rams defense might poise serious issues for Patterson and bring his fantasy value back down to Earth.
Patrick Mahomes showed that he didn’t need Tyreek Hill in Week 1, delivering 5 TDs against the league’s worst secondary. But for Mahomes managers, his Week 1 performance provides the perfect conduit to sell high for QBs that offer more on the ground like a Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen, plus potentially more.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB – KC)
Anytime you can sell an RB after he scores two receiving TDs…you should do so. CEH only played 39% of the Chiefs’ snaps — albeit it was a blowout — but you’d expect him to get more than 7 carries with KC playing with a positive game script. The fact that Jerick McKinnon was equally involved — 39% snap share — makes me want to cash out on CEH.
If somebody in your league still think David Montgomery will be the Bears’ starter long-term, trade him immediately. Khalil Herbert totaled more yards (45) on eight fewer carries than Montgomery in Week 1 – 17 rushes for 26 yards. Monty’s -10.6 rushing EPA ranked dead last on the week. Herbert actually posted a positive rushing EPA of 4.3 – which ranked 8th on the week.
Miles Sanders finally scored! But still lost goal-line work to both Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott while playing a 52% snap share.
You can play Sanders in plus-matchups, but he’s risky in game scripts that the Eagles might be trailing in.
Be aware that depending on how long Elijah Mitchell is out for, Jeff Wilson or [insert another 49ers RB here] will lose work to Deebo Samuel in the rushing game.
So although Wilson looks teed up as the sure-fire RB1 for the 49ers…it may not be so simple.
In deeper formats add Jordan Mason on the cheap, who was active over Tyrion Davis-Price because he plays special teams.
TDP was probably inactive because he doesn’t play on special teams, but his third-round draft capital should not be overlooked.
Donovan Peoples-Jones (WR – CLE)
11 targets. 36% target share. Nobody on planet Earth saw this coming for Donovan Peoples-Jones, who averaged exactly three targets over his first 26 NFL games. So consider me skeptical of buying into DPJ’s performance with two highly paid players in David Njoku and Amari Cooper seeing little involvement in Cleveland’s passing game. And keep in mind, even with 11 targets, Peoples-Jones didn’t even finish the week as a top-40 WR.
The two receiving TDs are going to look extremely attractive to those looking for WR help off the waiver wire. But aggressively adding Duvernay is malpractice. He played just 52% of the snaps and commanded only four targets. Let someone else add him. He won’t be on their roster very long.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.