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Let’s take a look at players to buy and sell this week.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Players to Buy
You didn’t honestly think the Mike Williams 2022 season wouldn’t have a few bumps in the road now did you? Big Mike did his best Casper impression in Week 1 finishing with just two catches for 10 yards on four targets. It was extremely bizarre to see him not go off, especially considering Keenan Allen exited the contest in the 1st half. It’s par for the course when it comes to Williams, who always has a bit of boom-or-bust to his game. He’ll bounce back big Thursday night with Allen unlikely to suit up.
A.J. Dillon led the team in targets (6) not Aaron Jones (5) in Week 1.
Dillon also out-touched Jones 15 to 8…continuing the usage trend from last season.
Jones’ production is going to be heavily reliant on him as a receiver out of the backfield. So my advice would be the sell Jones after a spiked week in production and buy Dillon before the market realizes he is the traditional RB1 in the Packers offense, with goal-line duties in hand.
Cam Akers managers…you’re concerned. As Akers manager myself, I’m concerned. Of course. But it’s only one game, and overreacting too much isn’t the approach here. Akers still has a handcuff appeal in a high-powered offense if Henderson is the lead back, and he can be bought for dirt cheap after a prime-time contest where everybody saw him take a major backseat.
Especially if you still want to hold Henderson or can’t get a high enough return, just target Akers on the cheap. Because it would not shock me if Akers has this RB1 role at some point down the line.
D.J. Moore was out-targeted 6-to-8 by Robbie Anderson in Week 1, who also caught a long 75-yard TD. It’s a blip on the radar for Moore, who still played 100% of the snaps on offense for the Panthers.
We all know Moore is the alpha in Carolina passing attack, so I’d buy low after a sub-par game. The target share between Anderson and Moore will correct in the coming weeks.
Has Breece Hall taken over the Jets’ backfield? No. Michael Carter is still a significant part of what the team wants to do on offense. But the fact that Hall was able to command a whopping ten targets on just a 45% snap share versus Carter’s 60% snap share, gives me confidence that he will continue to be used in the passing as he eventually takes over the true RB1 role. It might take some time, but fantasy managers who practice patience will be rewarded handsomely.
Panic will ensue among Dalton Schultz managers regarding the injury to Dak Prescott. But we know that TEs fair much better with sub-par QB play than WRs do. And among all the TEs that played on Sunday…Schultz was the only one that played 100% of the snaps. His role in Dallas’ offense provides him a super secure floor, even if the ceiling is shorter with Prescott sidelined.
The preseason usage was a lie! Dameon Pierce fell very much behind Rex Burkhead in Texans’ backfield in Week 1. Pierce played just 29% of the snaps versus Rex Burkhead‘s 71%. Sexy Rexy got 19 touches! However, he was extremely inefficient as a rusher…posting the second-worst rushing EPA -7.7 in Week 1 versus a stout Colts front. I doubt we see his receiving role diminish, but as a long-time journeyman, Pierce will eventually take over duties on early downs. Nowhere to go but up for the rookie.
The Bears passing game was a mess with the weather and SF pass-rush.
Don’t hold it against a guy like Darnell Mooney, who still played on 90% of the snaps and still has no competition for targets in the Bears passing game.
So much for James Cook playing a massive role in the Bills’ passing game. The second-round rookie running back fumbled on his first touch and was basically ever heard from again in Week 1. It makes sense that Moss’ increase in the receiving game could have been Cook’s had he not put the ball on the ground. A lack of ball security put Devin Singletary in the doghouse during the first half of last season; his two teammates both fumbling are a definite benefit to Motor Singletary maintaining the RB1 role on offense.
So even though Singletary was out-targeted by Moss, he ran a higher percentage of routes per dropback (47% vs 37%) and played a higher snap rate (59% vs 37%). It is slightly concerning that Moss did earn the lone red-zone carry among the Bills RBs, but Singletary did have a red-zone target for eight receiving yards.
Trey Lance completed less than 50% of his passes in a September Chicago monsoon, and still managed to score double-digit fantasy points. It’s a credit to his rushing ability — 54 rushing yards in Week 1 — that won’t be going away in future weeks. Buy-low on him now because I wouldn’t be surprised if this is his worst outing all year.
Rhamondre Stevenson was buried on the Week 1 depth chart, playing just 25% of the snaps. However, he saw just one fewer touch than Damien Harris and looked explosive with the ball in his hands. With little to no playmakers in the Pats offense, I’d anticipate Stevenson’s role to just increase with nobody else worthy of seeing more volume.
With Elijah Mitchell sidelined early on with an injury, the 49ers were forced to turn Deebo Samuel back into RB1. And as a result, Brandon Aiyuk ascended to WR1 based on his 99% snap rate. I’d buy low with better weather conditions ahead in the future, even after Aiyuk saw little production in Week 1.
David Njoku played on 89% of the Browns’ snaps in Week 1. That high-end usage will translate to fantasy usage, even though it didn’t in Week 1. Peoples-Jones seeing 11 targets every week isn’t going to happen.
Travis Etienne Jr. dropped a walk-in TD and also was out-carried 11 to 4 to James Robinson off the torn Achilles injury.
Snaps spit 50/50. Excellent for those looking to bolster their RB room with a guy like James Robinson, who has already proven he can be a fantasy RB1.
Christian Watson had a prime opportunity for a long TD from Aaron Rodgers in Week 1.
But let it slip through his hands. Woof.
Had he caught the TD, he’d be the headliner of every waiver wire article this week. Just add him and hope his 66% snap rate — 2nd-highest on Sunday — stays intact even if Allen Lazard makes his return. He still has more long-term upside than Romeo Doubs.
Romeo Doubs was behind in the pecking order among Packers WRs playing just 57% of the snaps…behind the likes of Sammy Watkins, Christian Watson and Randall Cobb. However, he earned four targets in the second half alone, as GB looked to jump start their sluggish offense. Worth stashing if Allen Lazard is still not 100%.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.