It’s important to know who to target and who to pass on when it comes to your fantasy football draft. To get a better sense of players to avoid and others to reach for, use our Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and compare them to a player’s average draft position (ADP). Players that are going higher in ADP versus ECR are likely those that you want to reconsider at their current cost. On the flipside, players that experts are higher on versus ADP are those that could be worth reaching for, or at least targeting at their current ADP.
And you can use our expert accuracy rankings to help determine which experts to select when you are building your custom fantasy football draft cheat sheets.
Here’s a look at players the experts are targeting at their current ADP.
20 Players to Target From The Most Accurate NFL Experts
| RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | POS | BYE WEEK | ECR VS. ADP |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | WR1 | 7 | 2 |
| 5 | Dalvin Cook | MIN | RB4 | 7 | 2 |
| 7 | Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | WR3 | 10 | 2 |
| 14 | Alvin Kamara | NO | RB9 | 14 | 3 |
| 22 | Leonard Fournette | TB | RB14 | 11 | 3 |
| 27 | James Conner | ARI | RB15 | 13 | 4 |
| 28 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | WR11 | 14 | 7 |
| 33 | DJ Moore | CAR | WR14 | 13 | 6 |
| 35 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | WR15 | 9 | 16 |
| 36 | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | RB17 | 11 | 8 |
| 37 | Mike Williams | LAC | WR16 | 8 | 9 |
| 43 | Brandin Cooks | HOU | WR19 | 6 | 15 |
| 46 | Allen Robinson II | LAR | WR21 | 7 | 9 |
| 54 | J.K. Dobbins | BAL | RB23 | 10 | 7 |
| 56 | Michael Thomas | NO | WR23 | 14 | 13 |
| 57 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | WR24 | 14 | 16 |
| 61 | Chase Edmonds | MIA | RB25 | 11 | 26 |
| 69 | Rashod Bateman | BAL | WR30 | 10 | 11 |
| 71 | Kareem Hunt | CLE | RB29 | 9 | 13 |
| 72 | Rashaad Penny | SEA | RB30 | 11 | 13 |
| 73 | Elijah Moore | NYJ | WR31 | 10 | 9 |
| 74 | Dameon Pierce | HOU | RB31 | 6 | 37 |
| 78 | Tony Pollard | DAL | RB33 | 9 | 8 |
| 80 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | RB34 | 10 | 13 |
| 89 | Melvin Gordon III | DEN | RB37 | 9 | 9 |
| 90 | Allen Lazard | GB | WR35 | 14 | 12 |
| 92 | Trey Lance | SF | QB11 | 9 | 8 |
| 104 | Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS | RB40 | 14 | 10 |
| 106 | Cole Kmet | CHI | TE11 | 14 | 23 |
| 109 | Kadarius Toney | NYG | WR43 | 9 | 7 |
| 115 | Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | RB43 | 7 | 33 |
| 116 | Nyheim Hines | IND | RB44 | 14 | 14 |
| 117 | Justin Fields | CHI | QB16 | 14 | 30 |
| 118 | Skyy Moore | KC | WR46 | 8 | 22 |
| 121 | Jakobi Meyers | NE | WR49 | 10 | 35 |
| 126 | Hunter Henry | NE | TE13 | 10 | 56 |
| 127 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | RB47 | 14 | 33 |
| 130 | Jamaal Williams | DET | RB48 | 6 | 38 |
| 131 | Irv Smith Jr. | MIN | TE14 | 7 | 40 |
| 132 | J.D. McKissic | WAS | RB49 | 14 | 32 |
| 134 | Khalil Herbert | CHI | RB50 | 14 | 25 |
| 135 | DeVante Parker | NE | WR54 | 10 | 18 |
| 136 | Julio Jones | TB | WR55 | 11 | 13 |
| 139 | Rondale Moore | ARI | WR57 | 13 | 11 |
| 141 | Trevor Lawrence | JAC | QB18 | 11 | 26 |
| 142 | David Njoku | CLE | TE17 | 9 | 28 |
| 144 | Gerald Everett | LAC | TE18 | 8 | 55 |
| 146 | Noah Fant | SEA | TE19 | 11 | 49 |
| 147 | Matt Ryan | IND | QB19 | 14 | 30 |
| 149 | Tyler Higbee | LAR | TE20 | 7 | 62 |
Michael Pittman (WR – IND)
Pittman got the true WR1 treatment from the Colts coaching staff in 2021, running a route on 96% of offensive dropbacks – third to only Cooper Kupp (WR1) and Ja’Marr Chase (WR4) through 17 weeks. He also finished the season tied for the league’s eighth-highest target share (24%), which was 11 percentage points higher than the next closest Colt, Zach Pascal, at 13%.
He also made 18 highlight-reel contested catches – fourth most in the NFL. And his 31% target share from Weeks 13-18 cemented his place in Indy’s WR1 chair heading into 2022.
With Matt Ryan under center Pittman has the volume potential to be a top-12 fantasy option. Ryan has a history of fueling top-end fantasy WRs like Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, making a top-five finish not all that crazy for Big Mike in 2022.
Don’t forget that last season, Ridley as the Falcons’ No. 1 receiver owned the sixth-highest target rate per route run and ranked second among all wide receivers in expected fantasy points per game (16.5).
Chase Edmonds (RB – MIA)
This past year Chase Edmonds was viewed as the Arizona starting running back alongside James Conner. He stood as the RB21 through the first six weeks prior to suffering an ankle injury. Edmonds ranked fourth in the NFL in receptions among running backs (four catches and five targets per game).
Edmonds won’t ever be a true three-down back due to durability concerns, as he missed seven games this past season. But used properly and kept healthy, there’s no denying Edmonds can be a viable fantasy option because of his receiving and explosiveness.
His spot-start usage/production in Weeks 16-17 without James Conner in the lineup – 23.9 expected fantasy points per game – showcases a running back who can deliver massive fantasy upside any given week.
In 14 career games when Edmonds has commanded at least 11 touches – his average fantasy finish is RB18 (PPR).
Edmonds should see plenty of work in a Dolphins backfield splitting snaps with Sony Michel and Raheem Mostert. Considering Gaskins’ fantasy spike weeks in 2021 all came from his receiving usage, Edmonds should find similar success in that role with Miami.
The late signing of running back Mostert and Michel might have some fantasy gamers soured on Edmonds. However, Edmonds was never going to see a full bell-cow workload. Losing out on some early-down carries to Mostert or Michel was to be expected. I’d still prefer Edmonds in fantasy due to the pass-catching and hope the other signings keep his ADP at a value.
Cole Kmet (TE – CHI)
No tight end should make a bigger leap in 2022 than the third-year tight end, whose upside has been capped by a lack of touchdown equity with veteran Jimmy Graham rearing his ugly head the past few seasons. But Graham’s currently a free agent, opening the door for Kmet to smash in 2022.
Kmet’s eighth-ranked route participation and seventh-ranked target share (17%) from 2021 hardly aligns with his fantasy production – no tight end finished with more fantasy points under expectation (-36.6) than the Notre Dame product in 2021.
That designation is a sign Kmet is due for a fantasy breakout. It signaled as much for guys like Zach Ertz and Dawson Knox, who scored fewer points than expected in 2020 before contributing in fantasy this year. Both tight ends finished 2021 as top-10 options at the position in fantasy points per game.
The Chicago Bears hired offensive coordinator Luke Getsy to pair with second-year quarterback Justin Fields. Getsy should be able to build an offense more conducive to Fields’ mobility – something he had success with at Mississippi State as its former OC.
An overall offensive boost should help fuel Kmet as 2022’s breakout tight end. He has the requisite size and athleticism, sporting an 87th-percentile height, 88th-percentile vertical jump, and 89th-percentile broad jump.
Kmet checks off all the boxes for a tight end breakout.
FantasyPros Staff Rankings
- Derek Brown’s Rankings
- Andrew Erickson’s Rankings
- Matthew Freedman’s Rankings
- Pat Fitzmaurice’s Rankings
- Joe Pisapia’s Rankings
- Staff Consensus Rankings
- Staff Consensus Superflex Rankings
Expert Consensus Rankings
- Fantasy Football Redraft Rankings and Tiers: Overall | QB | RB | WR | TE | DST | K | Superflex | IDP
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