It’s important to know who to target and who to pass on when it comes to your fantasy football draft. To get a better sense of players to avoid and others to reach for, use our Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and compare them to a player’s average draft position (ADP). Players that are going higher in ADP versus ECR are likely those that you want to reconsider at their current cost. On the flipside, players that experts are higher on versus ADP are those that could be worth reaching for, or at least targeting at their current ADP.
And you can use our expert accuracy rankings to help determine which experts to select when you are building your custom fantasy football draft cheat sheets.
Here’s a look at players the experts are avoiding at their current ADP.
50 Players to Target From The Most Accurate NFL Experts
Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free mock Draft Simulator – which allows you to mock draft against realistic opponents – to our Draft Assistant – that optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football draft season.
25 Players to Avoid From The Most Accurate NFL Experts
| RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | POS | BYE WEEK | ECR VS. ADP |
| 3 | Austin Ekeler | LAC | RB3 | 8 | -1 |
| 6 | Cooper Kupp | LAR | WR2 | 7 | -2 |
| 8 | Derrick Henry | TEN | RB5 | 6 | -3 |
| 10 | Najee Harris | PIT | RB7 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 | Nick Chubb | CLE | RB12 | 9 | -4 |
| 40 | Cam Akers | LAR | RB20 | 7 | -8 |
| 45 | Diontae Johnson | PIT | WR20 | 9 | -4 |
| 52 | George Kittle | SF | TE5 | 9 | -10 |
| 55 | Elijah Mitchell | SF | RB24 | 9 | -6 |
| 64 | Jerry Jeudy | DEN | WR27 | 9 | -8 |
| 68 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | WR29 | 6 | -6 |
| 70 | Damien Harris | NE | RB28 | 10 | -7 |
| 77 | Antonio Gibson | WAS | RB32 | 14 | -18 |
| 79 | Amari Cooper | CLE | WR32 | 9 | -13 |
| 83 | Chris Godwin | TB | WR33 | 11 | -12 |
| 85 | Adam Thielen | MIN | WR34 | 7 | -11 |
| 86 | T.J. Hockenson | DET | TE8 | 6 | -18 |
| 98 | Hunter Renfrow | LV | WR41 | 6 | -15 |
| 101 | Ken Walker III | SEA | RB39 | 11 | -11 |
| 102 | Dawson Knox | BUF | TE10 | 7 | -13 |
| 110 | DeAndre Hopkins | ARI | WR44 | 13 | -15 |
| 122 | Chase Claypool | PIT | WR50 | 9 | -10 |
| 125 | James Robinson | JAC | RB46 | 11 | -10 |
| 137 | Mike Gesicki | MIA | TE15 | 11 | -24 |
| 140 | Albert Okwuegbunam | DEN | TE16 | 9 | -13 |
Antonio Gibson (RB – WAS)
Antonio Gibson has been a solid option over the last two seasons as the RB16 and RB17 in fantasy points per game. He also ranked tenth in yards per route run, fifth in evaded tackles, and 14th in juke rate. He was tied for seventh in carries inside the five-yard line and eighth in weighted opportunities. We already know the pass game usage is capped with J.D. McKissic resigned, but now the goalline could be in jeopardy with Brian Robinson on the depth chart. The team has talked about lightening Gibson’s load, so the threat of Robinson is real, especially if Gibson keeps putting the ball on the turf. Since 2020 he’s tied with Ezekiel Elliott for the most fumbles (six) in the NFL among running backs.
Adam Thielen (WR – MIN)
The 32-year-old wideout has made his hay in fantasy because of his “ability” to find the end zone 24 times since the start of 2020, but it’s something that just isn’t sustainable in the long term. Based on Thielen’s targets and yardage totals, his total TD number should be closer to 16.
Justin Jefferson is an ascending rocketship that will only see his TDs rise entering Year 3, most likely coming at the detriment of Thielen. Not to mention, AT’s age may finally be catching up to him after he posted his lowest PFF receiving grade and yards per route run since he first became a starter back in 2016.
Dawson Knox (BUF)
Dawson Knox has major red flags on his profile from his impending touchdown regression to super-low target rate per route run (14%), so any role that O.J. Howard potential earns
coming in is a massive problem.
Considering Knox is being drafted in the middle-range of TEs (TE9) that typically have poor ROIs compared to guys going later, the Bills tight end remains hands-off.
FantasyPros Staff Rankings
- Derek Brown’s Rankings
- Andrew Erickson’s Rankings
- Matthew Freedman’s Rankings
- Pat Fitzmaurice’s Rankings
- Joe Pisapia’s Rankings
- Staff Consensus Rankings
- Staff Consensus Superflex Rankings
Expert Consensus Rankings
- Fantasy Football Redraft Rankings and Tiers: Overall | QB | RB | WR | TE | DST | K | Superflex | IDP
Fantasy Football Player Profiles
Fantasy Football Projections
FantasyPros Consensus Average Draft Position (ADP)
Fantasy Football Draft Tools
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
- Fantasy Football Draft Analyzer
- Cheat Sheet Creator
- Salary Cap Calculator
- Who Should I Draft?
Fantasy Football Draft Research
- Quarterback By Committee Finder (QBBC)
- Strength of Schedule (SOS)
- Fantasy Football Depth Charts
- Matchup Calendar
- Fantasy Football Running Back Handcuffs
- Bye Week Cheat Sheet
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
