Week 16 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Baseball)

Didn’t you just read this article? Maybe so. I published Quick Grades for the shortened week post-All-Star break here. But, we are gearing up for a full week of fantasy baseball after a nice couple of days off during the All-Star break.

Each week I rank the top 100 hitters without bias using a variety of data. I take games played, park factors, matchups, and projections to help you find the top hitters for the upcoming week. I have described the process in more detail below, as well as have the top-100 projected hitters for the week. Thanks for stopping by, and best of luck in your leagues this week.

The Quick Grade Series

Each week, I will provide breakdowns of hitters with a grade range from 40 to 100. Think about a school grade (90-100 being an A, 80-89 equaling a B, and 70-79 = C, and so on). Grades are weighted based on several different factors that I discuss below.

Week 15 covers games for the week of Monday, July 25, through Sunday, July 31.

You can find last week’s Quick Grades here.

How It Works

We established that each hitter would have a grade based on four categories that would land them a total score between 40 and 100. Each of the four categories will are graded from 10 to 25, which lands us at that total score. Here is what goes into it:

  • Games Played – Let’s start simple. The more games played in a week, the more stats a player can accumulate. Maximizing plate appearances for fantasy baseball is huge. If the player you roster has seven games versus a different player having five games, it is a no-brainer. If a team is scheduled to play seven games that week, the team’s hitter will get 25 points. Six games earn a hitter 23 points, and five games drop you down to 20. If a team is set to play more than seven games in a week, that player will get 27 points for games.
  • Ballpark Factors – Is a hitter playing four games in Coors? What about three in Oakland? These things matter. We will use the FantasyPros park factors to help us out there. I have created an algorithm that gives each ballpark a score from 10-25. Then factoring in how many games a hitter plays where each week, a score of 10-to-25 is given.
  • Matchups – Does a hitter have strong splits against a left or right-handed pitcher? What if they face three lefties this week with a poor split against lefties. We factor that in.
  • Projections – Finally, we will factor in projections. I will update using FantasyPros projections and scale them down to a weekly projection. It is not perfect, but using projections with the other factors can help project how a player might perform.

Week 15 Hitter Grades (7/25-7/31)

Name Team Grade Projection Games Park Factors Matchups
Trea Turner LAD 98 25 25 23 24
Mookie Betts LAD 98 25 25 23 24
Freddie Freeman LAD 97 25 25 23 23
Will Smith LAD 96 24 25 23 24
Rafael Devers BOS 96 25 25 23 22
Shohei Ohtani LAA 95.8 25 25 20.5 23
Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL 94.8 25 23 20.5 23
J.D. Martinez BOS 94 24 25 23 22
Xander Bogaerts BOS 94 24 25 23 22
Jose Ramirez CLE 93.5 25 25 20 21
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 93.5 25 23 20 22
Kyle Tucker HOU 93.3 25 25 17.5 22
Yordan Alvarez HOU 93.3 25 25 17.5 22
Austin Riley ATL 92.8 24 23 20.5 23
Julio Rodriguez SEA 92.3 25 25 17.5 21
Justin Turner LAD 92 22 25 23 24
C.J. Cron COL 92 24 25 25 19
Gavin Lux LAD 92 22 25 23 24
Cedric Mullins BAL 91.8 24 25 20.5 21
Bo Bichette TOR 91.5 24 23 20 22
Marcus Semien TEX 91.3 24 25 19.5 21
Jose Altuve HOU 91.3 24 25 17.5 22
Kyle Schwarber PHI 91.3 24 25 19.5 21
Luis Robert CHW 91.3 23 20 22.5 24
Brandon Lowe TB 91 24 25 17 22
Aaron Judge NYY 90.8 24 23 18.5 22
Matt Olson ATL 90.8 23 23 20.5 23
Adolis Garcia TEX 90.3 23 25 19.5 22
Max Muncy LAD 90 21 25 23 24
Kris Bryant COL 90 23 25 25 19
Randy Arozarena TB 90 24 25 17 21
Alex Verdugo BOS 90 22 25 23 22
Ryan Mountcastle BAL 89.8 23 25 20.5 21
Taylor Ward LAA 89.8 22 25 20.5 23
Juan Soto WSH 89.5 24 23 20 20
George Springer TOR 89.5 23 23 20 22
Brandon Drury CIN 89.5 22 25 24 21
Corey Seager TEX 89.3 23 25 19.5 21
Tim Anderson CHW 89.3 22 20 22.5 24
Bobby Witt Jr. KC 89 24 25 19 19
Dansby Swanson ATL 88.8 22 23 20.5 23
Cody Bellinger LAD 88 21 25 23 22
Brendan Rodgers COL 88 22 25 25 19
Charlie Blackmon COL 88 22 25 25 19
Jose Iglesias COL 88 22 25 25 19
Connor Joe COL 88 22 25 25 19
Jarren Duran BOS 88 21 25 23 22
Bobby Dalbec BOS 88 21 25 23 22
Anthony Santander BAL 87.8 22 25 20.5 21
Jared Walsh LAA 87.8 21 25 20.5 23
Luis Rengifo LAA 87.8 21 25 20.5 23
Amed Rosario CLE 87.5 22 25 20 21
Teoscar Hernandez TOR 87.5 22 23 20 22
Alejandro Kirk TOR 87.5 22 23 20 22
Franmil Reyes CLE 87.5 22 25 20 21
Tommy Pham CIN 87.5 21 25 24 21
Austin Slater SF 87.3 21 25 19.5 23
Jose Abreu CHW 87.3 21 20 22.5 24
Willson Contreras CHC 87.3 22 23 19.5 22
Marcell Ozuna ATL 86.8 21 23 20.5 23
Michael Harris II ATL 86.8 21 23 20.5 23
Willy Adames MIL 86.3 21 23 21.5 22
Christian Yelich MIL 86.3 21 23 21.5 22
Ty France SEA 86.3 22 25 17.5 21
Ryan McMahon COL 86 21 25 25 19
Randal Grichuk COL 86 21 25 25 19
Austin Hays BAL 85.8 21 25 20.5 21
Adley Rutschman BAL 85.8 21 25 20.5 21
Jonathan India CIN 85.5 20 25 24 21
Josh Bell WSH 85.5 22 23 20 20
Steven Kwan CLE 85.5 21 25 20 21
Andres Gimenez CLE 85.5 21 25 20 21
Joey Votto CIN 85.5 20 25 24 21
Alex Bregman HOU 85.3 21 25 17.5 22
Rhys Hoskins PHI 85.3 21 25 19.5 21
Nick Castellanos PHI 85.3 21 25 19.5 21
Nathaniel Lowe TEX 85.3 21 25 19.5 21
Seiya Suzuki CHC 85.3 21 23 19.5 22
Jeremy Pena HOU 85.3 21 25 17.5 22
Wilmer Flores SF 85.3 20 25 19.5 23
Andrew Vaughn CHW 85.3 20 20 22.5 24
J.T. Realmuto PHI 85.3 21 25 19.5 21
Darin Ruf SF 85.3 20 25 19.5 23
Josh Lowe TB 85 21 25 17 22
Javier Baez DET 84.8 22 25 18.5 19
Giancarlo Stanton NYY 84.8 21 23 18.5 22
Paul Goldschmidt STL 84.8 21 20 19.5 23
Nolan Arenado STL 84.8 21 20 19.5 23
Anthony Rizzo NYY 84.8 21 23 18.5 22
Rowdy Tellez MIL 84.3 20 23 21.5 22
Jorge Soler MIA 84.3 21 25 21.5 19
Jesus Aguilar MIA 84.3 21 25 21.5 19
Garrett Cooper MIA 84.3 21 25 21.5 19
Hunter Renfroe MIL 84.3 20 23 21.5 22
Trey Mancini BAL 83.8 20 25 20.5 21
Nelson Cruz WSH 83.5 21 23 20 20
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR 83.5 20 23 20 22
Oneil Cruz PIT 83.3 21 23 19.5 20
Ian Happ CHC 83.3 20 23 19.5 22
Thairo Estrada SF 83.3 19 25 19.5 23

 

Team to Stream: Boston Red Sox

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the obvious choice, but you are likely starting most of their hitters anyway. The Red Sox get matchups with Cleveland and Milwaukee. They do draw a start against Brandon Woodruff, but other than that, their other six games should draw favorable pitching matchups.

Team to Fade: Detroit Tigers

It’s setting up to be a tough seven-game stretch for the Detroit Tigers. They get three games against San Diego and have tough pitching matchups before heading to Toronto for four games. The first two games of the Toronto series are scheduled to be against Kevin Gausman and Alek Manoah, but they also get Ross Stripling and Jose Berrios. Berrios has been bad, but this could be a big bounceback start for him after a tough week for Tigers hitters.


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