When it comes to fantasy football, it can be just as important to identify who NOT to draft as it is to know who to target. We’re here to help. Today, we’ll take a look at wide receivers experts are avoiding.
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)
“Deebo Samuel is by far the most overdrafted player at cost as we sit here in mid-July. Coming off the board as the WR7 and 19th overall player, Deebo has two major areas of concern, which is not what you want for your round two pick. 1) Efficiency regression: 18.2 yards per reception, 6.2 yards per carry, and eight rushing touchdowns on just 59 carries. None of these numbers are likely to repeat in efficiency, specifically the yards per catch and the rushing touchdowns. 2) Volume reduction: Trey Lance stepping in as the starting signal-caller spells trouble for Deebo as well. We saw some of the league’s lowest passing accuracy and passing volume when Lance started in 2021. A 58% completion percentage and 26 passes per start won’t help Deebo retain his receiving volume from 2021. With threats to both his efficiency AND his volume, there’s no way I can draft Deebo in the third round, let alone the second, in 2022 drafts.”
– Robby Jeffries
DK Metcalf (WR – SEA)
“The difference between having Geno Smith/Drew Lock at quarterback versus Russell Wilson cannot be overstated. It’s a horrible situation to be in and puts DK Metcalf in a tough spot for fantasy football. Metcalf thrives on touchdown production (32 touchdowns over his first three seasons), but scoring might be a rare commodity for this 2022 Seahawks offense. One of Seattle’s two top pass catchers might be able to get by based solely on volume or due to an injury, but that’s a bet I am not willing to make. ”
– Andrew Erickson
Chris Godwin (WR – TB)
“Reports out of Tampa state that the Buccaneers are “hopeful” that Chris Godwin will be ready for the start of the season. This would be great news for Godwin, the Bucs, and anyone who bought low on the talented receiver in early drafts. The only problem is that there was no “buying low.” Godwin’s ADP of 59th overall has held steady all draft season, despite the fact that he tore his ACL on Dec. 21. I understand that we live in a time where players are able to quickly rehab injuries that once threatened their career, I just have a hard time paying a fifth-round price on a player who is currently injured. I have yet to press the button on Godwin in a single draft, and I do not see that changing, no matter how much “hope” is coming out of Tampa. ”
– Matthew Hill
FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings
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