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Let’s take a look at players Derek Brown and Andrew Erickson are avoiding based on their Underdog ADP.

• Underdog Quarterbacks to Target
• Underdog Quarterbacks to Avoid
• Underdog Running Backs to Target
• Underdog Running Backs to Avoid
• Underdog Wide Receivers to Target
• Underdog Wide Receivers to Avoid
• Underdog Tight Ends to Target

Best Ball Draft Advice: Players the Experts are Avoiding

Dawson Knox (BUF)
TE11, -2 vs. Best Ball ADP

Dawson Knox has major red flags on his profile from his impending touchdown regression to super-low target rate per route run (14%), so any role that O.J. Howard potentially earns coming in is a massive problem. Considering Knox is being drafted in the middle-range of TEs (TE9) that typically have poor ROIs compared to guys going later, the Bills’ tight end remains hands-off.
– Andrew Erickson

T.J. Hockenson (DET)
TE11, -5 vs. Best Ball ADP

We have likely seen the ceiling already for T.J. Hockenson, but that shouldn’t be construed as shade. Hockenson has now logged back-to-back TE7 finishes in fantasy points per game which is still extremely good, but it’s doubtful he ever reaches the heights of top 3-5 status. He’s also ranked 11th in each of the last two seasons in yards per route run (minimum 50 targets per PFF). With added target competition with the additions of Jameson Williams and D.J. Chark, Hockenson remains a top ten option at the position. Still, his ceiling is likely capped, keeping him outside the top five.
– Derek Brown

2022 Consensus Best Ball Rankings

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