While it’s always important to identify the next big sleeper and breakout candidates, it’s equally important to avoid those fantasy football draft-day landmines. You know what I’m talking about. Those picks that torpedo your draft and have you behind the eight ball before the season begins. Don’t worry, we have you covered. Andrew Erickson and Derek Brown have shared their early players to avoid based on their average draft position (ADP).

• Players to Avoid at ADP: Dawson Knox
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Patrick Mahomes
• Players to Avoid at ADP: D.K. Metcalf
• Players to Avoid at ADP: T.J. Hockenson
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Chris Godwin
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Elijah Mitchell
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Mark Andrews
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Ezekiel Elliott
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Allen Robinson
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Javonte Williams
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Antonio Gibson

Why Tyreek Hill is a player to avoid at their current average draft position (ADP)

Tyreek Hill 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

Heading into 2021, Tyreek Hill was a consensus top-three receiver option. But he came in slightly under expectations. The ‘Cheetah’ wrapped a bow on the year as the WR6 overall and in points per game (14.2).

It’s worth noting that Hill posted a career-low in yards after the catch per reception (4.3, 42nd) and yards per route run (2.14, 11th). Hill’s aDOT also dipped dramatically to 10.6, which was the lowest it’s been since his rookie season.

And It’s undeniable that going from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa is a massive downgrade for Hill. Tagovailoa has yet to show that he can properly fuel a fantasy WR1, so it’s hard to expect Hill to deliver a top-5 season with a lesser passer. Especially with Tagovailoa’s lack of a confident deep ball, a prominent running game, and Jaylen Waddle also heavily involved in the offensive game plan. Sure, Hill will have his weeks when he is peppered with low-value targets in PPR formats, but the massive downfield touchdowns will happen much less frequently.
– Andrew Erickson

FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings