While it’s always important to identify the next big sleeper and breakout candidates, it’s equally important to avoid those fantasy football draft-day landmines. You know what I’m talking about. Those picks that torpedo your draft and have you behind the eight ball before the season begins. Don’t worry, we have you covered. Andrew Erickson and Derek Brown have shared their early players to avoid based on their average draft position (ADP).

• Players to Avoid at ADP: Dawson Knox
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Patrick Mahomes
• Players to Avoid at ADP: D.K. Metcalf
• Players to Avoid at ADP: T.J. Hockenson
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Chris Godwin
• Players to Avoid at ADP: Elijah Mitchell

Why Mark Andrews is a player to avoid at their current average draft position (ADP)

Mark Andrews 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

Last year, Mark Andrews was the early-round tight end who drove rosters to fantasy championships. The Baltimore Ravens’ fourth-year TE led the position with a 25% target share, 28% air yards share, and 17.5 fantasy points per game. He ran a route on 84% of offensive dropbacks, which also ranked first.

With Marquise Brown traded to the Cardinals, Andrews has solidified himself as clear TE1 with a still unproven second-year wideout as his main competition for targets.

However, be aware that even if Andrews does repeat his efforts as TE1 it may not be to the extent that it was in 2021. His 623 routes run were 209 more than he had in 2020 and fueled the career year. Andrews’ increase in route running was tied to the Ravens’ boosted pass-play rate (56%).

From 2019 to 2020, Baltimore passed on fewer than 46% of their plays. Because Baltimore’s increase in passing was due out of necessity in 2021, I’d project it to regress closer to the 2019-2020 rate for this upcoming season.
– Andrew Erickson

FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings