This series is tough to get a read on. I had the Warriors winning in seven at the start of it, but I’m starting to change my tune. I’m not so sure Golden State can win in Boston after that Game 3 performance because TD Garden is on another level right now. That’s the definition of a hostile environment, and it’s fun to watch the crowd and players react to every massive swing. This is the most crucial game of the season so far because we could be looking at a 2-2 series headed back west, or Boston could take control with a 3-1 lead! With that in mind, let’s kick things off by discussing the schedule and odds!

Schedule and Odds

GSW at BOS (BOS -4) O/U: 215.5
Boston was expected to win Game 3, and they held the lead for all but a few minutes. The Celtics outscored the Warriors, 33-22, in the first quarter and capped off their win behind a 23-11 fourth quarter. It’s rare to see the Warriors held to 11 points, but that’s a good indicator of how fierce this defense was in front of their feisty home crowd!

Check out our consensus game odds as well as the odds from each sportsbook at BettingPros

Injury Report

• James Wiseman (knee) OUT
• Gary Payton (shoulder) Probable
• Otto Porter (foot) Probable
• Andre Iguodala (old) Questionable
• Marcus Smart (ankle) Probable
• Robert Williams (foot) Probable

Core Plays

Jayson Tatum (SF/PF – BOS): $11,200 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel
It’s impossible to fade Tatum right now. The forward has really struggled with his shot, but he’s doing more stat-stuffing than ever in his career. The forward is doing most of the ball-handling for Boston, while regularly taking 20 shots a game. That’s led to JT scoring at least 41 DraftKings points in 13 of his last 14 games. He’s doing that damage despite shooting below 40 percent from the field, and he could go nuts if he has a good shooting night for once.

Cash Game Considerations

Stephen Curry (PG/SG – GSW): $11,000 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel
Curry certainly hasn’t struggled with his shot, and he’s the safest option outside of Tatum. The former MVP has at least 39 DraftKings points in 17 of his last 18 games, providing a 46-point average in that span. He’s seeing an increase in minutes and shot attempts in this series as well, which should only rise the fewer games we have left. If you’re giving the best shooter of all time 20-25 shots while playing him 40 minutes, he needs to be used in every DFS lineup out there.

GPP Targets

Marcus Smart (PG/SG – GSW): $7,800 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel
Smart has been all over the map in terms of consistency, but he’s going to play better the deeper we get into this series. The aggressive guard has at least 35 DraftKings points in seven of his last 12 games, generating a 33-point average across 36 minutes a night in that span. Some stinkers along the way have forced him into this GPP section, but as long as he’s playing 40 minutes in these games, he shouldn’t be this cheap on these DFS sites.

Kevon Looney (PF/C – GSW): $6,400 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel
It was strange to see Looney play 16 minutes in the Game 3 defeat, and that’s why he’s in this GPP section. The big man was a stud before that, averaging over 32 DK points per game across his previous eight outings. That’s quite the total from a player in this price range, and he’d be the best GPP play on the board if he plays the 25-30 minutes we’ve become accustomed to before that rare Game 3 dud.

Value Plays

Al Horford (PF/C – BOS): $7,600 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel
Big Al has just been a little bit too cheap throughout this postseason run. The big man has at least 29 DK points in 13 of his last 16 games, posting a 35-point average across 37 minutes a night in that span. His stat-stuffing ability has been the main reason why he’s been so consistent, playing the Draymond role for the Celtics. Getting 35-40 minutes makes Big Al one of the best values on the board, and it’s clear he’s hungry for that first title.

Robert Williams (PF/C – BOS): $6,200 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel
This FanDuel price is wild. You get more points for defensive stats on FD, and it makes it hard to understand why they’re keeping Rob-Will so cheap. The big man had 10 rebounds, three steals, and four blocks across 25 minutes in Game 3 gem and has proven to be one of the best per-minute producers in the NBA. That’s over 40 fantasy points, and if he’s doing that, he’ll be a lock in every optimal lineup out there. The simple fact is, Rob-Will needs to be in every lineup if he’s playing 25-30 minutes a night.

Advantageous Pricing

• Robert Williams (PF/C – BOS): $8,500 FanDuel
• Al Horford (PF/C – BOS): $11,500 FanDuel
• Kevon Looney (PF/C – GSW): $6,400 DraftKings
• Marcus Smart (PG/SG – GSW): $10,500 FanDuel
• Klay Thompson (SG/SF – GSW): $10,000 FanDuel
• Draymond Green (PF/C – GSW): $6,800 DraftKings

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