There are six games on Monday’s main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel. The fun begins at 6:40 pm ET. The suggested pitchers and stacks are reduced by one from their standard size for tonight’s small-ish slate.
Monday's Starting Pitcher Strategy
I wouldn't fault anyone for liking Zac Gallen tonight. Still, he missed the cut for my inclusions on the table. I've pared the pitchers down, headlined by the clear-cut top pitcher. The margin is much smaller between the second and third pitchers on the table.
There are six games on Monday’s main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel. The fun begins at 6:40 pm ET. The suggested pitchers and stacks are reduced by one from their standard size for tonight’s small-ish slate.
Monday's Starting Pitcher Strategy
I wouldn't fault anyone for liking Zac Gallen tonight. Still, he missed the cut for my inclusions on the table. I've pared the pitchers down, headlined by the clear-cut top pitcher. The margin is much smaller between the second and third pitchers on the table.
Cash Game Recommendations:
Pablo Lopez (MIA) vs. ARI
Lopez has been an unstoppable force so far in 2022. According to FanGraphs, in three starts spanning 23.1 innings, he's had a 0.39 ERA. Obviously, an ERA that low requires good luck. Still, his 2.25 xERA and 2.72 SIERA have been sterling.
In addition, he's struck out 27.1% of the batters he's faced, validating his punch-out prowess with a 33.7 CSW%. The righty should stay hot tonight. This year, the Diamondbacks are 25th in wRC+ (79) with a 26.1 K% against right-handed pitchers. Understandably, Betting Pros lists the Marlins as -152 favorites, and the game's over/under is just 6.5 runs. As a result, Lopez is my favorite pitcher in all game types tonight, especially cash games.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) at OAK
Rasmussen has been a rock-solid starter for the Rays since transitioning to that role last year. In 14 starts, he has had a 2.40 ERA, 3.90 SIERA, and 0.83 WHIP. Sadly, he pitched only 60.0 innings in those starts.
Nevertheless, he's coming off a six-inning gem, holding the Mariners scoreless on two hits, one walk, and nine strikeouts. This year, Rasmussen has also had a stellar 29.2 CSW%. The righty is positioned for another excellent start against the A's.
Oakland is tied for 18th in wRC+ (94) with an exploitable 24.9 K% against righties this year. The betting info supports using Rasmussen in daily baseball tonight, too. The Rays are -165 favorites, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.
GPP Recommendations:
Chris Paddack (MIN) at BAL
I'm reluctant to accept Paddack's rebound after back-to-back underwhelming seasons completely. However, the Orioles are a fantastic matchup.
Paddack has had a 3.68 ERA and 2.15 xERA in three starts lasting 14.2 innings in 2022. He's also had a 1.16 WHIP, 21.7 K%, and 29.0 CSW%. Sure, his marks aren't otherworldly. Regardless, they'll play well against Baltimore.
The O's are 23rd in wRC+(84) with a 25.4 K% against right-handed pitchers this season. Finally, the Twins are -160 favorites with a non-threatening total of 7.5 runs.
Top Lineup Stacks
The transition from solid if unspectacular reliever to starter hasn't been a seamless one for Tyler Wells this year. He has a 5.54 ERA with awful ERA estimators in four starts. The 27-year-old righty has also had a problem keeping the ball in the yard, allowing 2.08 HR/9 innings. Thus, I'm happy to stack against him in all game types tonight.
- Road (Minute Maid Park)
- Value: Low(DK)/Medium(FD)
- Risk: Medium
- Game Type: GPP
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/SEA +110
The Mariners get their second crack at Jake Odorizzi in 2022. When the veteran righty faced the Mariners on April 15, 11 of 23 hitters who faced him reached base. However, the Mariners hung just four runs on Odorizzi. The 32-year-old righty is coming off his best start, holding the Rangers to one run in six innings. Despite his quality start, Odorizzi still has a wretched 6.00 ERA. When he takes the hill, I'll likely stack against him. Tonight isn't an exception to the rule.
- Byron Buxton launched his seventh homer in 58 plate appearances this year on Sunday afternoon. He's sporting a .472 ISO and 222 wRC+.
- Bo Bichette has struggled out of the gate this year. Nonetheless, he has had a .390 OBP, .222 ISO, and 154 wRC+ against southpaws since debuting in 2019 and draws one tonight.
- People were premature to declare Eugenio Suarez as washed-up before the season. Last September, he showed signs of life, and he has had a .215 ISO and 126 wRC+ in 90 plate appearances this season.
- Luis Arraez has been a fixture in the two-hole against righties. So, he's a tremendous lineup-spot-based pick. However, his .365 OBP and 121 wRC+ this year are nice gets at his value salary.
- I'm not crazy about Jesse Winker at his salary on DraftKings. However, I'll gleefully use Seattle's third hitter at his bargain salary on FanDuel. He had a three-hit effort yesterday that might signify his bad luck turning.
- This season, Max Kepler has been hammering righties, ripping off a .279 ISO and 159wRC+. Additionally, I love that he has hit fifth against righties.
- Unfortunately, Yuli Gurriel has had a forgettable start to 2022. Still, there has been nothing to complain about with his .227 ISO and 138 wRC+ against lefties. Further, since 2019, Gurriel has had a .352 OBP, .229 ISO, and 133 wRC+ against southpaws.
Monday's Hitter Strategy
I'm relying heavily on the Twins tonight. However, I also adore the Mariners in GPPs. Gurriel is a fantastic bargain option on both daily fantasy providers, and Bichette is also a great pick. I included Suarez on the core studs table, but he's not a must-use option in cash games. So instead, I'm fixated on his upside in GPPs.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.